Amazing how much faster the results are coming in tonight!
Candidate | Votes | Percent | Delegates* | |
Biden | 257,000 | 49.0 | 39 | |
Sanders | 105,000 | 20.0 | 14 | |
Steyer | 60,000 | 11.0 | 1 | |
Buttigieg | 44,000 | 8.0 | 0 | |
Warren | 37,000 | 7.0 | 0 | |
Klobuchar | 17,000 | 3.0 | 0 |
*Projected Delegates
Steyer drops out! I'd change my picture on the side, but he was never in it!
(Will Gabbard follow suit?)
Looks like Biden and Bernie will be pretty close going into Super Tuesday for the delegate lead. Of course it didn't help Buttigieg that he was tied as well after two states. What appears to matter in 2020 is the dynamics and the demographics. We should still look for Bernie to have a delegate lead after Super Tuesday, possibly a large one.
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Well there are already conspiracies about how Bernie won Nevada by over double his main rival, but there as no calling of the race till it much of the country probably went to bed... versus the fact that the polls barely closed and the South Carolina race is called for Biden (providing some early headlines). It's also amazing that many outlets are already assigning delegates to Biden (14 within 10 minutes of the race being closed). There seems to be little question that they are pushing hard for a feel good Biden story.
I doubt that any of this will change the momentum of what will happen in three days (especially since many people are not watching the news on a Saturday night). This is why it's well known to try to drop a piece of bad news late on a Friday night when many people will not hear about it till the next Monday. Likewise, Saturday primaries don't gather much momentum either.
I would deem that the person suffering the most from this Biden resurgence will be Michael Bloomberg, who just a week or so ago was calling on Biden and others to drop out and clear the lane for him. Now it seems very unlikely that Biden will drop out of anything.
Here is an interesting stat:
I would deem that the person suffering the most from this Biden resurgence will be Michael Bloomberg, who just a week or so ago was calling on Biden and others to drop out and clear the lane for him. Now it seems very unlikely that Biden will drop out of anything.
Here is an interesting stat:
An exit poll question that asked whether a respondent planned to vote for the Democratic nominee in November, regardless of who it is. Overall, four-fifths of voters said they would, but there were some differences among the supporters of the three candidates who had enough support to dig into. Among Biden voters, 86 percent said yes, as did 84 percent of Steyer supporters. But among Sanders supporters, 72 percent said yes and 26 percent said no.That suggests that attempting to take this away from Bernie at the convention will be a problem (just as it was in 2016). I suspect it will be a bigger problem if he has a delegate lead.