Where do the polls go from here?

Two polls released this morning:

Survey Monkey - was 49-41 now 48-43 
Morning Consult - was 44-39 now 41-40

Just a couple weeks ago, Nate Silver put Donald Trump's chances of winning the Presidency at twenty percent. Polling put Clinton up (at the time) by approximately seven points on the average. Right now that average is somewhere between four and five points, depending on which aggregate you use.

More to the point, virtually every poll released in the past couple of weeks has shown a movement back towards Trump (with the notable exception of the Ipsos/Reuters poll that was at fourteen points, dropped down to eight points, and then back up to ten). I wonder how Silver would rate the race today? Still twenty percent, or would that number have grown?

So what's the buzz right now? How will recent events effect the polling?

Most will suspect that the James Comey FBI announcement will be the next potential poll mover. I figure most everyone on the right will argue that the scathing review from James Comey will harm Clinton in the polls. There is also a case that the FBI's findings proved that the general Clinton's narrative regarding her email server was a complete lie, and that will harm her.

However...

I've argued that the racism charges against Trump and the corruption charges against Hillary have reached the point of diminishing returns. Nothing that happens moving forward will likely convince anyone new to join the club on these two subjects. In many ways, I believe that they are priced into the market so so speak.

So... I can believe that the Director of the FBI can come out and state that Hillary Clinton was extremely careless with top secret information, that it was likely that her server got hacked and caused national security issues, that the FBI did find evidence that criminal statutes were broken, and that non-criminal discipline would generally be warranted. I feel that he can completely debunk every narrative spun by the former Secretary of State as complete and total lies. But the fact that he suggests that the evidence did not reach a case for criminal espionage, will be seen as vindication for Hillary supporters, and that she will lose very little, if any support over her public rebuke.

This is where the bar has always been set for the Clintons. Anything short of actually being tossed into jail is considered high enough moral and ethical standards to warrant a vote for a Clinton. That simply isn't ever going to change.