- Florida Net: +261,715
- Iowa Net: +38,913
- Nevada Net: +12,720
- North Carolina Net: +173,785
- Pennsylvania Net: +223,552
Absentee ballot requests are going up for the GOP
- Florida: 335,000 more requests for absentee ballots among Republicans
- Iowa: The Iowa Trump Train is going day by day with their number collecting. On Wednesday, Republicans put in 5,000 more requests for absentee ballots than Democrats, who are seeing a 51 percent drop in their ballot requesting numbers.
- Michigan: Republicans are beating Democrats in absentee ballot requests by 59,000. Republicans are leading the daily race by 1,642 ballot requests per day over the last two weeks.
- North Carolina: Republicans are beating Democrats by 1,902 ballot requests in the last three days, pointing to hopeful signs in the immediate future.
- Pennsylvania: Republicans are losing to Democrats in absentee ballot requests by less than 1,000, but Republicans have “posted gains 11 of the past 14 days” according to the RNC.
Sometimes it's not always about how much "money" you are spending or how many people you have on the ground knocking doors. Sometimes it's simply about results.
The assumption is because Clinton has a much more robust organization than Trump, that she should be winning the battles in these states. The fact that she is not, probably reflects the job that has been done over the past two Presidential elections by the Obama team. The reality is that there is a law of diminishing returns with any type of effort such as this. Eventually you just run out of "new voters" who are willing to sign up.
On the flip side, say whatever you want about Trump, but the fact is that he is drawing in "new voters" who are excited by his outsider candidacy. Perhaps he could be doing even better with registration and absentee ballots if he had more people on the ground. But perhaps not.
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The assumption of larger voter turnout (especially in swing states) for the Democrats is what fuels much of the speculation of a Hillary win. In many polling models, they show Clinton actually improving on the demographics that Obama enjoyed in 2008 and 2012.
I doubt very seriously that this will be the case.
45 comments:
A new Quinnipiac poll finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump nationally by five points, 45% to 40%, with Gary Johnson at 6% and Jill Stein at 3%.
As usual Trump's percentage is around 40%.
You're trying to figure out any way to get a victory.....
Just providing information Roger...
Sorry if that offends you.
btw... The poll is already on the sidebar and factored into everything.
Florida: 335,000 more requests for absentee ballots among Republicans
What is funny about that CH, is that you don't have to request a ballot to get on in Floriduh......My 94 year old mother has never requested one and receives one every election. Not supposed to happen that way, but there GOP has a very goo mailing list. Another example of the GOP trying to win any way they can.
BTW, my old lady would vote for a fence post with an R on it. Kinda like you. LOL
"You can do anything you want with women when you are rich" Donald J Trump
That should make inroads with women folk, doncha think, CH?????
Meanwhile... FBI agents are revolting and former agents are openly claiming that the Clinton investigation ruined the reputation of the agency and are calling for the resignation of Director Comey.
Which of course... is unimportant in comparison to something Donald Trump may have said well over a decade ago.
Clinton - Responsible for American deaths
Trump - said mean things
Clinton - Allowed top secret information to be hacked
Trump - said mean things
Clinton - Ruined the reputation of the DOJ and FBI
Trump - said mean things
Clinton - sold privilege to the State Department for cold hard cash
Trump - said mean things
Amazing how shallow some people are...
C.H. Truth said...
Meanwhile... FBI agents are revolting
So what. Meanwhile, trump demeans women hispanics, muslims and uses his wealth to get laid. Whatta guy that deserves to be in the white house. LOL
Funny, when I "just provided information" -- the latest polling information from Real Clear Politics, Ch deleted it.
Censorship is the last refuge of the scoundrel and the coward.
You see, Ch has Clinton at a spread of 2.89 only.
RCP has her spread at considerably better than that. Both in a two way and in a four way race.
Well James...
Can you show me a poll on my side bar that shouldn't be there?
What is funny about that CH, is that you don't have to request a ballot to get on in Floriduh......My 94 year old mother has never requested one and receives one every election. Not supposed to happen that way.
Sounds like the GOP is making it easier for you mother to exercise her right to vote.
Surely you don't want to disenfranchise your own mother?
Can you show me a poll on my side bar that shouldn't be there?
LA times and their magical way of measuring undecided voters and peoples pundit. plus all the polls before 10-2.....those are rather stale at this point.
Sounds like the GOP is making it easier for you mother to exercise her right to vote.
No dumbass....the voter is required to request a ballot. look it up.
Surely you don't want to disenfranchise your own mother?
She gets around just fine.
Do you really think he will survive that tape??????
Seriously CH?
https://m.youtube.com/?#/watch?v=sHTV4hd2Dc4
Saying Bill Clinton isn't going to work.
You should say: "You're Fired" and put Pence and Kasich on the ballot!
You might still lose, but you would be responsible.
Keeping Trump is going to lose the house and Senate.
Keeping Trump is going to lose the house and Senate.
We can surely hope!!!!!
Lost almost $1 Billion in one year and refused to release his taxes.
Is three time married, and has a documented history of infidelity.
Had a history of use of the "f" word and known for checking out the pussy of the contestants on his reality television show.
During his candidacy there are a list of lies per day that often exceed 10.
Called women pigs, porky, and more.
Attacked the Muslim parents of a Gold Star casualty of an American war.
Call soldiers who return from war with PTSD "weak" like George Patton did in Wold War II.
Would call illegal immigrants from Mexico, rapists and murders. (They would love this.)
Who claimed US veterans who were prisoners of war and torture "questionable" as heroes.
And that video.
You are fucked.
Opie,if they don't dump him, Clinton will win a Goldwater landslide.
Steve Jobs lost $1.07B in 1997.
You're clinging to a nonissue. Only parrots like you care.
Steve Jobs isn't running for President!
Donald Trump: You know and I moved on her actually. You know she was down on Palm Beach.
Unknown: She used to be great. She’s still very beautiful.
Trump: I moved on her and I failed. I’ll admit it. I did try and f*** her. She was married.
Unknown: That’s huge news.
Trump. No, no, Nancy. This was— And I moved on her very heavily in fact. I took her out furniture shopping. She wanted to get some furniture. I said I’ll show you where they have some nice furniture. I took her out furniture. I moved on her like a bitch, but I couldn’t get there, and she was married.
Then all of a sudden I see her, she’s now got the big, phony tits and everything. She’s totally changed her look.
[The men spot Arianne Zucker waiting for them outside the bus]
Bush: Sheesh, your girl’s hot as shit. In the purple.
Trump: Whoa! Yes! Whoa!
Unknown: Yes! The Donald has scored. Whoa, my man!
Trump: Look at you. You are a pussy.
[crosstalk as the bus doors open and close - Trump is still on the bus]
Trump: Maybe it’s a different one.
Bush: It better not be the publicist. No, it’s her. It’s —
Trump: Yeah, that’s her. With the gold. I better use some Tic Tacs just in case I start kissing her. You know I’m automatically attracted to beautiful - I just start kissing them. It’s like a magnet. Just kiss. I don’t even wait.
And when you’re a star they let you do it. You can do anything.
Bush: Whatever you want.
Trump: Grab them by the p****. You can do anything.
Bush: Yeah those legs, all I can see is the legs.
Trump: Oh, it looks good.
Bush: Come on, shorty.
Trump: Oh, nice legs, huh?
Bush: Oof, get out of the way, honey. Oh, that’s goo legs. Go ahead.
Trump: It’s always good if you don’t fall out of the bus. Like Ford, Gerald Ford, remember?
[Trump knocks on the bus door to get out]
Speaker Paul Ryan issued a statement Friday night condemning Donald Trump's 2005 comments about groping women. Ryan said he was "sickened" by the video, published by The Washington Post on Friday evening, and said the GOP nominee would no longer join him for an event Saturday morning:
Wow. Ryan showing some balls, finally.
Civil war in the GOP.
See what I just posted on Roger's "You Want This Man To Be President?" thread.
You missed my point.
How is that, balls?
A billionaire loses a billion,
and that's his problem.
A billionaire who claims his business acumen is the major reason he should be president--
he loses a billion, and that's our problem.
Now, let's see... So your point is what, exactly?
WELCOME TO LEWDGATE, CH.
TRUMP IS TOAST
To quote a great man.....
"Hypocrisy is the bedrock of liberalism"
Now, let's see... So your point is what, exactly?
As opposed to someone who lost six billion of your money plus four blackberry's and two ipads chock full of state secrets.
What exactly is your point.
HOW MR. RYAN RESPONDED
“I am sickened by what I heard today. Women are to be championed and revered, not objectified. I hope Mr. Trump treats this situation with the seriousness it deserves and works to demonstrate to the country that he has greater respect for women than this clip suggests.”
HOW MR. McCONNELL RESPONDED
“As the father of three daughters, I strongly believe that Trump needs to apologize directly to women and girls everywhere, and take full responsibility for the utter lack of respect for women shown in his comments on that tape.”
"Put some Ice on that" Rapist Bill Clinton.
As opposed to someone who lost six billion of your money plus
I guess a couple of trillion in Iraq plus 4000kia. Yep 6 billion is just chump change and an issue to bath water drinkers like you, menstral.
two ipads chock full of state secrets.
REALLY???
Ch has begun deleting comments I made here that could in no way be considered spam. Once again, he reveals himself to be a fraud when it comes to freedom of speech.
And a coward.
Ch, we're all waiting for you to launch a full throated (deep throated) defense of The Donald's latest video fiasco.
I take back what I said at 10:28 and 10:232. I was in error on that. Sorry, Ch.
However I repeat what I said at 10:33.
btw... The poll is already on the sidebar and factored into everything.
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
LOL.
Oh, I still stand by the accusation I made yesterday Oct 7 at 5:41 and thereafter.
I was referring only to a misunderstanding I made regarding today. I answered RussoEtta's "to quote a great man" comment on another thread and mistakenly thought Ch had deleted it on this one. I was wrong.
But I really would like to see Ch's defense of Trump's latest video-related fiasco.
Bad News for the GOP:
In response to calls for him to step down,
Trump says he'll never, never quit.
More Bad News:
it's now beginning to look like the House could be in play.
Pence Bails On Event with Ryan
Gov. Mike Pence “will no longer be attending a Saturday campaign event in Wisconsin with House Speaker Paul Ryan,” Politico reports.
“Donald Trump was slated to attend the event but was dropped Friday evening after a leaked tape revealed the GOP nominee making crude comments about sexually harassing women… A top Pence advisor says Pence was not disinvited but decided not to go of his own accord.”
Pence told CNN in a statement that he cannot defend Trump’s remarks.
A source close to Trump campaign tells the Washington Post that Pence and his team are “absolutely apoplectic,” “melting down” and “inconsolable.”
___________________
Well, it's about time.
More GOP Lawmakers Pull Support from Trump
Rep. Joe Heck (R-NV) and Rep. Cresent Hardy (R-NV) “say they’re rescinding their endorsements of Donald Trump, a day after lewd comments from their party’s presidential nominee came to light,” the AP reports.
Sen. John Thune (R-SD) said Trump should withdraw from the race.
There’s a growing tally of Republicans denouncing or unendorsing Trump.
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