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Monday, April 17, 2017

Back in town...

Well technically I was back in town late last week, but had a wedding reception to deal with. Another wonderful gala with friends and family at a exquisite converted mansion reception forum.

Looks like a lot happened while I was gone. I did update a couple of early morning posts while in town, but otherwise all of the posts over the past couple of weeks, were pre-scheduled to keep the conversations flowing.

But while I was gone some things happened, like giant MOAB being dropped on ISIS, confirmation that at least some Trump associates were being monitored by the Previous Administration, North Korea attempting but failing a missile test, along with a whole bunch of more infantile acts of sniffling from the left.

Oh, and it appears that Trump has hit 50% again in the Rasmussen Likely Voter Poll. So there is that.

Out of everything, I think the bombing of ISIS is the most significant. It would appear that the media cannot quite remember when military responses to acts of slaughter was a somewhat normal and expected thing. Of course, the Trump Derangement Syndrome being what it is today... has a lot to do with this. If this same exact act would have been done by Obama (rather than cowering off in fear over the prospects of backing up his own red line threats) the media would have loved it. Because it's Donald Trump... well... we all know how this goes.

67 comments:

Loretta Russo said...

"but had a wedding reception to deal with. Another wonderful gala with friends and family at a exquisite converted mansion reception forum."

Excellent.

James said...

A long time ago, when Saddam savagely gassed Kurds, I was intensely upset that the first Geo. Bush did nothing.

I regret too that Obama did not take a stronger stance over against Assad.

However, we now have a mentally unstable person in the White House "dealing" with the intricacies of international relations, and the whole Pacific area is concerned. If I were South Korean, I would genuinely fear that a nuclear strike on one or more of my cities could take place.

KD. said...

Welcome Back, you are one lucky guy, let your wife know , you married way up.


"Coal is Dead in the USA" Opium

"Police don't join Unions" Opium

KD, Liberalism is a Mental Disorder said...

we now have a mentally unstable person in the White House " James


It is so refreshing to see you have not grown since your beating on Nov 8th, 2016. Please continue, learn nothing, use the same defeated lines, you know, the ones Hillary Squawked about wealth inequality, while renting $750 a nite rooms for her and her voluminous staff.

Two reasons you gave for her winning in a cake walk, were she had the money and the ground game. tell us again what she won?

KD, said...

Jane are you freaking kidding .....


"A long time ago, when Saddam savagely gassed Kurds, I was intensely upset that the first Geo. Bush did nothing."

And you were intensely upset when "W" Did something.

Are you really a grown man? You really should not be so erratic emotionally, you are worse then a teen girl.

Loretta Russo said...

"Out of everything, I think the bombing of ISIS is the most significant."

There's that...

And the fact that micromanaging by the two-bit community organizer, or ANYONE in DC, has come to an end.

The JV team was allowed to stay in Mosul and using chemical weapons. Mosul is home to the largest research university in the middle east...the media will be shocked.

James said...

Trump Learns to Love Bush Alums

Politico: “Throughout his presidential campaign, Donald Trump repeatedly declared that ‘the last thing we need is another Bush,’ as he vowed to take on two political dynasties — the Bushes and the Clintons. But as president, Trump has been increasingly dipping into the talent pool from the George W. Bush administration that he regularly vilified during the campaign to now fill critical administration posts.”

“Trump promised to drain the swamp and instead rely on Washington outsiders..."
____________

Just one more promise he has not kept.

LOL
Just about everything he was for when he ran,
he is now against,
and just about everything he was against when he ran,
he is now for.

KD said...

I know that only the Conservatives will get the point and the humor of the following said by a Obamanutcase.

UC Berkeley
Speaking at an event called “Future of Democracy,”


Former Federal Election Commission chairwoman Ann M. Ravel says that political speech must be controlled on social media."

If it is a right given to the Individual the Progressives need it controlled by the Government, no thanks.

James said...

Most Say Trump Doesn’t Keep His Promises

A new Gallup poll finds just 45% of Americans say President Trump keeps his promises, down from 62% in February.

The public is also less likely to see him as a “strong and decisive leader,” as someone who “can bring about the changes this country needs” or as “honest and trustworthy.”

KD, Winning Biggly Continues said...

Jane, we know you don't debate, you spam, like Roger Krugman.


Let me lay it out for you , in terms you might understand.

For me Trump needed to do but three things to be a first term success.

1, Win the election, which he did in a freaking landslide
2, Appoint a Conservative Justice to the USSC , which he did and WON his confermation using the Reid Rule and ran over little Cuckold Schumer .

3, Tax cuts, for the individual, business own by individuals and a low , let's say 15% rate of money outside the USA back into the USA.

James said...

A day of judgment is coming when the voters will speak again.

KD, said...

What you did not like them speaking up in 2016, against Obama/Hillary?

Why did she loss , your opinion.

caliphate4vr said...

Lois Lerner Fears For Her Life, Asks Federal Court To Seal Her Upcoming Deposition Testimony

Commonsense said...

James' favorite poll Rasmussen has Trump's approval at 50%.

Commonsense said...

Former Federal Election Commission chairwoman Ann M. Ravel says that political speech must be controlled on social media."

That goes with the writer for the Huffington Post that said white men should be denied the right to vote because they "interfere" with the progressive agenda.

Never seen these fascist so upfront and candid about their intentions.

Loretta Russo said...

Judgement day is coming pedo.

Loretta Russo said...

Judgement day is coming pedo.

Loretta Russo said...

"Lois Lerner Fears For Her Life, Asks Federal Court To Seal Her Upcoming Deposition Testimony"

Welcome to Betsy DeVos' world.

Loretta Russo said...

Sasha's HOT, says the pedo.

Judgement day is coming.

opie said...

KD the goat fucker said
"Police don't join Unions" Opium

I already shove that one up your ass, want to try for a 4x4 without lube/?????? Sure seems your short term memory is shot, dumbass.

opie said...

"Lois Lerner Fears For Her Life, Asks Federal Court

And the new head of the EPA with all the budget cuts, wants to get full-time body guards to watch him. At least lois has a legit reason....people like you ,,,,,Idiot

Loretta Russo said...

"Never seen these fascist so upfront and candid about their intentions."

The two-bit community organizer never minced words...

rrb said...




heh.

young republican expertly trolls chicago cBS affiliate:

http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2017/04/about-trumps-tax-returns.php

Commonsense said...

I have come to the conclusion most anchors don't have the cognitive skills beyond reading a teleprompter.

KD, Pity Opium said...

Opie, how you doing, you seemed stressed out.

Is it because you are proven wrong so often that the broken clock has a better score card then you do.

CS, on the Business Networks the Reporter or guest have to per divulge if they own a position in the stock they are discussing, it would be nice if say, Stephie Stephanopoulos would have to self report that he is a Clinton Hack.

I see little Luna is attempting to cash in with a tell all book about Hillary Cliton and how she lost the election. That did not take long to turn coat.

KD, The Three Liberal Stooges don't answer questions said...

Jane, you talk a lot about the big win tomorrow in GA for the Democrats, you're on the clock. Can you walk us thru how that victory comes about tomorrow for the Dem?

Roger Amick said...

Gallup poll is not biased. 41% it's been stable at 49% plus or minus.

Roger Amick said...

40 + or - usually lower.

C.H. Truth said...

Gallup is not biased... it's just irrelevant.

Rasmussen is a "likely voter" poll.
Gallup is an "all adult" poll.


I would rather have 50% of the likely voter poll and 40% in the all adult poll than the other way around.

Commonsense said...

Gallup poll is all "Americans". Not register or likely voters.

Watch to see what the economy does.

If it continues to improve or more importantly, people perceived as improving (as measured by consumer confidence), then current polls (and punditry) won't mean damn thing.

Trump will win and so will the Republicans.

rrb said...

Blogger C.H. Truth said...
Gallup is not biased... it's just irrelevant.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


LOL.

you have to explain ALL of this to him.

gallup also has 60+% saying trump's not keeping his promises. well, assoc justice gorsuch would disagree. isis would disagree. the taliban would disagree, and there's a mountain of 0linsky exec orders that have been overturned that would also say otherwise.

over on the hospice blog the alky has the dems taking back the house in 2018 and taking back the white house in 2020.

bet accordingly and remember, when the alky pontificates, it's like playing with the house's money to bet against him.

rrb said...

Watch to see what the economy does.

If it continues to improve or more importantly, people perceived as improving (as measured by consumer confidence), then current polls (and punditry) won't mean damn thing.
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Consumer confidence jumped in March to the highest level in more than 16 years, as Americans grew increasingly upbeat about both present and future conditions, according to a report Tuesday from the New York-based Conference Board.

Key Points

Confidence index rose to 125.6 (forecast was 114), highest since December 2000, from 116.1 in February

Present conditions gauge increased to 143.1, strongest since August 2001, from 134.4

Measure of consumer expectations for the next six months rose to 113.8, highest since September 2000, from 103.9

Share of those who said more jobs will be available in the coming months increased to 24.8 percent, the highest since November 1983, from 20.9 percent

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-03-28/u-s-consumer-confidence-rises-to-highest-since-december-2000


winning. BIGLY.


KD, See Jane Run, Run Jane Run, idiot peddy said...

Jane, you talk a lot about the big win tomorrow in GA for the Democrats, you're on the clock. Can you walk us thru how that victory comes about tomorrow for the Dem?


Come on Jane, you are so sure the Dems take the seat away from the Republicans tomorrow, tell how that come to be.

Don't wait until the results are in sissy .

KD said...

How is the US Economy doing , well, today those that are in the investor class of the US Population have more wealth then at any time in this nations long history.

Home Depot continues to grow wealth for those that invest, interlopers , you get nada.



Remember Obama said he would buy a clown car Volt right after he left office, well, UAW members want to know why he has not placed his order yet.

KD said...

Election time Period ,,, Hillary Wins in a cake walk.
Nov 6-10

32% USA Headed in right direction

60% USA headed in the Wrong direction


Now

Apr 9-13

41% USA Headed in Right direction

53% USA Headed in the wrong direction


Plus 9 , wow, Winning bigly


Roger Amick said...

By our formula, Georgia 6 comes out as an R +10 district, meaning that it’s a net of 10 points more Republican than the country as a whole. (That is, in an election where the Republican and Democratic candidates tied in the national popular vote, you’d expect the Republican to win by 10 point in Georgia 6). That’s the sort of district that wouldn’t be competitive in a neutral year, but could easily become competitive if the national environment were friendly to Democrats.

If it seems like I’ve taken a lot of time to parse this district’s partisanship, that’s because it matters quite a lot for forecasting purposes. If you test a district’s presidential margin in the runoff elections I described above,6 it turns out to be more important than either the aggregate party margin or the top-two margin from the first round of voting. Put another way, these nonpartisan primaries can be weird — parties and voters sometimes face counterintuitive tactical choices7 — and therefore they may not be that informative. But in an environment when congressional and presidential voting are increasingly correlated, the long-term partisanship of a district can tell you a lot.

To get back to Georgia 6, we can now use the following formula to project the runoff results:

Runoff margin = .53 * Relative presidential margin + .35 * Aggregate party margin + .19 * Top-two margin

As I mentioned, the relative presidential margin is Republican +10 in the district. And Republicans project to win the aggregate party margin by 3 points on Tuesday. But Ossoff projects to win the top-two margin by 28 points. Apply the formula, and it shows a photo-finish for the runoff, with the Republican projected to win by 1 percentage point — effectively a toss-up given the formula’s high margin of error.8
We’re almost getting to the point where this has turned into (gulp) a model rather than just a quick-and-dirty way to take the pulse of the race. And if this were a full-fledged model, there are a couple of other things we’d want to consider. For one thing, it’s probably safe to conclude that we’re in a somewhat Democratic-leaning environment right now, given Trump’s poor approval ratings, a modest Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot and the results of last week’s special election in Kansas. That should mitigate some of Georgia 6’s Republican lean. For another thing, a couple of polls, such as this one, have tested prospective runoff matchups, and they’ve usually shown Ossoff a percentage point or two ahead of Handel and other Republicans. It’s not much of a “lead,” but it suggests that a runoff might at least be a toss-up for him.


As of Sunday evening, betting markets gave Ossoff about a 40 percent chance of eventually being the next member of Congress from Georgia 6, whether by winning a majority of the vote on Tuesday or prevailing in the June runoff. While that isn’t a ridiculous assessment, it looks too pessimistic on Ossoff. If the polls are right, the outcome of a runoff is more like a true 50-50 proposition — plus, there’s an outside chance that Ossoff could win outright on Tuesday. We’ll have a better sense for the odds after Tuesday, although perhaps not that much better given the uncertainties I described above.

But I generally think the conventional wisdom has been too slow to catch up with the fact that midterm and off-year elections are often problematic for the president’s party, and especially when the president is as unpopular as Trump. What might seem like an extraordinary feat — Democrats flipping Gingrich’s old seat — is going to be more commonplace in an environment like this one.


https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/handicapping-the-georgia-6-special-election/

He's going to pull this off, and this is just one of many tea party movement candidates who are going down to defeat, as Trump costs the republicans the house of representatives in just over a year from now.

Roger Amick said...

And Rasmussen isn't biased.
You betcha

I have a tower in Paris , cheap

Commonsense said...

Boy that Rasmussen poll has liberals all in a twist.

CNN has a whole article trying the debunk it. And as usual, got their facts wrong.

caliphate4vr said...

You don't have a shot in hell liverboy to get the 6th. Handel and he go into a runoff and she wipes his ass out. The 6th has solidly gone for her as Gov and Sec State.

And it's not Gingingrich's old district. GA has added 2 seats since he left, it's a completely different area. Yes he was the rep from the 6th but that was high Cobb county and west the AL state line, it doesn't go nearly that far anymore

Roger Amick said...


He’s going to cover “everyone,” but he’s going to push 24 million people off their health insurance.


He’s going to wipe out the debt, but his tax cuts and spending spree will add trillions to it.

He’s never going to intervene in Syria, but he just did.

China is a currency manipulator, but it isn’t.
He’see going to be a tightwad with taxpayers’ money, Those trips to Florida every single weekend to play golf are expensive, and will soon cost far more than Obama's golf events for eight years.

He’s going to work relentlessly for the American people but he spends half his days watching cable news. He admits as he tweets impulsively after

We’ve got to be “very, very tough” in foreign affairs, but when he sees dead babies on TV, he immediately calls General Mattis and lobs 59 Tomahawk missiles.

He has a secret plan to defeat ISIS, but pursues Obama’s strategy instead.

He is for the “forgotten men and women” of America, but his tax plan — which is itself changing all the time — benefits the superrich and depends on removing health insurance for the working poor.

He wants to be friends with Russia, but he doesn’t.

He’s going to challenge China’s policy on Taiwan, but he isn’t.

He is against crony capitalism, but he is for it.


China is a currency manipulator, but it isn’t.

He’s a great manager, but his White House is consumed with in-fighting and he cannot staff his own administration.


He’s going to pressure China to take on North Korea, but “after listening for ten minutes” to China’s dictator, he changes his minds as a deal-maker, but he cannot make deals even with his own party.

He’s a great manager, but his White House is consumed with in-fighting








caliphate4vr said...

He's living deeper in liverboy's cranium than rat could ever hope.

LMAO

Roger Amick said...

I had other things going on.

Most of them were from rrb's but buddy, Andrew Sullivan.

My points are up to 31. Getting closer!

Commonsense said...

If it's top two regardless of party then Ossoff may not even be in a run off.

Roger Amick said...

I'm doing help for Kaiser Permanente addiction therapy. Joke all you want, I'm liked because I've survived and I inspire others.

I would bet that I'm better helping others than the racist rodent Republican.

caliphate4vr said...

No Ossoff will be in the runoff. There's 11 R's splitting the ticket..

All the donks have to do to get a headline tomorrow is vote in lock step. Then they get wiped out in the regular.

It's my district, Roger as always is full of shit.

Roger Amick said...

Ossof is going to be the first step towards taking the house of representatives, because Trump is going to drag them into the swamp.

caliphate4vr said...

Book it liverboy, you're prognostications are so spot on.

LMAO

Roger Amick said...

We shall see. :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) :-) Americans will rise! Unbelievable one year ago.

Loretta Russo said...

" I'm liked because I've survived and I inspire others."

Sure. That's why they flock to the trash blog...

Roger Amick said...

Just go back to 2010. Obama was not popular, and the what most thought the Tea party movement wasn't going to do anything. The "freedom caucus", still can block almost anything.

The demographics are changing. Look at all the town hall meetings. Its not paid for as the President claimed. The enthusiasm of the marches will probably turn out to vote.

The Pew poll released today, has the President at record lows, as do most except for the Republicans favorite Rasmussen poll.

His refusal to release his taxes, although he said many times that he would. A YouTube search will show a dozen times he said that he would.

The Susan Rice papers have been reviewed by Republican and Democrats. No criminal acts. Trump still says she did.

And his tweet bomb claiming they wire tapping, are all incorrect.

Gallup poll shows that 36% think he is honest and trustworthy now. In February he had 42%.

If you continue to believe the President, you are delusional.

Roger Amick said...

http://www.people-press.org/2017/04/17/1-views-of-trump/A
Approve: 396%
Disapprove: 54%

A record for the first 100 days.

He does not care about the regular people.

Only 45% think that he's doing his promises.

No Health Care

No tax revisions.

He is too impulsive.

He isn't going to ge effective ever as I see it.

Loretta Russo said...

LOL

Loretta Russo said...

This is what not being effective looks like according to the Grand Pooh Bah...

Justice Neil Gorsuch ✔

Loretta Russo said...

Not being effective...

Keystone XL pipeline ✔

Dakota Access pipline ✔

Mexico City Policy ✔

Allowing states to defund family planning centers (such as Planned Parenthood) if they provide abortion services ✔

So far, so good.

rrb said...

" I'm liked because I've survived and I inspire others."
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


i cannot begin to fathom what a galactic, mount everest-sized shitpile a person's life has to become to be inspired by such an enormous asshole like YOU, alky.

rock fucking bottom.

rrb said...

Commonsense said...
Boy that Rasmussen poll has liberals all in a twist.

CNN has a whole article trying the debunk it. And as usual, got their facts wrong.
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Rasmussen Reports says it was the closest of all major pollsters in predicting the presidential election’s popular vote, pointing to final results posted by RealClearPolitics.

On its final poll released Nov. 7, the day before Election Day, Rasmussen had Hillary Clinton up 2 points on Donald Trump. Clinton won the popular vote by 1 percentage point, even though Donald Trump beat her on electoral votes.

No other pollster tracked by RealClearPolitics came as close to the final results.

"The media created a false narrative about the 2016 presidential campaign, and most polling reinforced it," Rasmussen wrote on its website Thursday. "Our polling showed that issues, not the media-fed controversies, would ultimately decide the election."

http://thehill.com/media/306721-rasmussen-calls-itself-most-accurate-pollster-of-2016


KD, Dems win GA 6 in a cake walk said...

We have all Three of the Liberal Three Stooges telling us today GA voters are going to elect a Democrat to the US House, in a landslide.

Kansas Special election was suppose to be the kick off of this yuge comeback, but, it was an easy Victory by the Republican that crushed the hopes of leftist across the USA.

Now 10's of Millions of Code Pinkoes, DizzyKuz, Huffpo, DNC and other extremist are now pouring buckets of cash (remember liberal hate cash unless they have an advantage with it) in to GA.

So when do you see the Dems calling this Election Victory Today?


caliphate4vr said...

Blogger Roger Amick said...
Approve: 396%


That's pretty fucking good.

KD, GA 6 goes to Dems in a cake walk said...

https://www.usatoday.com/pages/interactives/2016/election/poll-tracker/


USA TODAY, Clinton Won in a landslide (on paper).

KD said...

Well he has been sober for 117 years, ya know.

Roger Krugman invests like he does math, poorly.

"caliphate4vr said...
The 42,810 days sober

You haven't drank in 117+ years? Really?

April 13, 2017 at 8:30 "

Roger Amick said...

White House says Trump won't release 2016 tax returns because they're being audited.


Posted: Tuesday, April 18, 2017 7:53 am | Updated: 8:19 am, Tue Apr 18, 2017.
By Abby Phillip The Washington Post

WASHINGTON — As a presidential candidate, Donald Trump defied recent historical precedent and resisted releasing his tax returns, citing an ongoing audit by the IRS.
On Monday, a day before the deadline for most Americans to pay their 2016 taxes, White House press secretary Sean Spicer announced that Trump's most recent taxes are being audited and will not be released.

Coldheartedtruth will be satisfied.

opie said...

Roger Amick said...
White House says Trump won't

Nothing new here. He lied during the election, broke another promise and will never release them because he is lord donald, of NY. No one wants to see them and as pointed out, is not a hot button issue that will affect his overall ratings. But, the idiots here from kansas especially will drool all over themselves at another great victory by donnie. Seems to me other than Gorsuch, which he had nothing to do with, is the only thing of note in his first 2 months of a terrific term. IDIOTS>

Roger Amick said...


He’s going to cover “everyone,” but he’s going to push 24 million people off their health insurance.


He’s going to wipe out the debt, but his tax cuts and spending spree will add trillions to it.

He’s never going to intervene in Syria, but he just did.

China is a currency manipulator, but it isn’t.
He’see going to be a tightwad with taxpayers’ money, Those trips to Florida every single weekend to play golf are expensive, and will soon cost far more than Obama's golf events for eight years.

He’s going to work relentlessly for the American people but he spends half his days watching cable news. He admits as he tweets impulsively after

We’ve got to be “very, very tough” in foreign affairs, but when he sees dead babies on TV, he immediately calls General Mattis and lobs 59 Tomahawk missiles.

He has a secret plan to defeat ISIS, but pursues Obama’s strategy instead.

He is for the “forgotten men and women” of America, but his tax plan — which is itself changing all the time — benefits the superrich and depends on removing health insurance for the working poor.

He wants to be friends with Russia, but he doesn’t.

He’s going to challenge China’s policy on Taiwan, but he isn’t.

He is against crony capitalism, but he is for it.


China is a currency manipulator, but it isn’t.

He’s a great manager, but his White House is consumed with in-fighting and he cannot staff his own administration.


He’s going to pressure China to take on North Korea, but “after listening for ten minutes” to China’s dictator, he changes his minds as a deal-maker, but he cannot make deals even with his own party.

He’s a great manager, but his White House is consumed with in-fighting.

"I will release my taxes.


WASHINGTON — As a presidential candidate, Donald Trump defied recent historical precedent and resisted releasing his tax returns, citing an ongoing audit by the IRS.
On Monday, a day before the deadline for most Americans to pay their 2016 taxes, White House press secretary Sean Spicer announced that Trump's most recent taxes are being audited and will not be released.4/18/2017

Miss type. I have been sober for 1,789

Miss type. Pew 39% approval.

KD said...

Alky, step away from the booze, this is the THIRD time you posted this same HATE TRUMP non-sense.

We get it , you love Hillary but She lost. Grow up.

KD, It was the Dr's not the Russians said...

In the latest tell all book about how Hillary Lost, now they blame her doctors for over medicating her.


OMG, I love it.

KD, Roger Krugman shoots self in mouth said...

. Seems to me other than Gorsuch, which he had nothing to do with, is the only thing of note in his first 2 months of a terrific term." Roger Krugman unaware of how the US Constitution works.


Roger Amick said...

Trump's refusal to release his taxes, may boost the Democratic candidate in the sixth congressional in Georgia. If he wins, it may be the start of a wave.