Micah Cohen, the politics editor at Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight site, is at a loss to explain it. So am I. My gut reaction was that it must be the steel and aluminum tariffs. There are lots of blue-collar Republicans and Berniebros out there who might take a new shine to Trump for waging trade war to try to protect American jobs. But CNN notes that Trump’s job approval on trade here is just 38/50. Other polls taken within the last few weeks on the tariffs have differed, with one finding a 41/35 plurality in favor and another finding a 33/48 plurality opposed. It’s hard to believe that views on them among CNN’s sample were so strongly in favor that that issue could singlehandedly lift POTUS’s job approval seven points in a month.
Cohen seems to have settled on the unsexy explanation that this month’s “bounce” is really just reversion to the mean. Trump has been in the high 30s or low 40s for his entire presidency in many polls. Statistically it makes sense that you’d get a month where he’s a little bit higher than usual in the low 40s range. Just one question: If Trump’s “bounce” is noise, why are Republicans also inching up on the generic ballot against Democrats?
This is consistent with the RCP averages, which shows Trump at his highest average approval since May of 2017. With the big Second Amendment protests, the profanity filled David Hogg going full out anti-Trump, and the Stormy Daniels nonsense in the news... apparently this causes confusion with those who believe this sort of "bad press" should be hurting the President.
But bad press cannot bring down Trump any further than it already has. I think for anything to change negatively at this point, the feeling (with so many people) that America is on the upswing will have to fall away. But as long as people feel good about how things are going with the country, the media will have a hard time distracting them with High School kids and porn stars.
65 comments:
I think it has to do with the public getting fed up with the constant attacks on Trump which many consider unfair. I think this is similar to the President Clinton effect where the majority of the public thought the Republicans were over-reaching on the impeachment efforts and his popularity kept creeping up.
We shall see.
Even the Far Leftist and basic cunt Rossane Barr said enough already.
Tuesday, March 27
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
President Trump Job Approval CNBC Approve 39, Disapprove 50 Disapprove +11
President Trump Job Approval Rasmussen Reports Approve 46, Disapprove 53 Disapprove +7
Monday, March 26
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
President Trump Job Approval CNN Approve 43, Disapprove 53 Disapprove +10
President Trump Job Approval Gallup Approve 39, Disapprove 55 Disapprove +16
Direction of Country Rasmussen Reports Right Direction 39, Wrong Track 56 Wrong Track +17
Yep, that hot air opinion has trump soaring in a poll .....LOLOLOL
That's panic I hear in Dennis's voice.
menstral our endemic cramp is hallucinating......
That's panic I hear in Dennis's voice
Posting ALL the polls of the past few days to refute CH is always an enjoyable day. I'm sure he'll have a condescending reply, like yours idiot...
Actually, you're not refuting a damn thing Dennis.
But do take a happy pill and chill.
menstral our cramp once again speaks out his ass with.....
Actually, you're not refuting a damn thing Dennis.
What ever you say, mr. .6% is always interspersed with abject stupidity....nothing new there....Your side is crashing as evidenced by ALL polls, not the singular CNN which BTW SUCKS FOR YOU!!!!!!.I'm as happy as you are....LOLOLOL>....
That's panic I hear in Denn0is's voice."
Ya Dairy Queen increased thier prices.
And Perkins just had a price jump on their pies.
I'm as happy as you are... oPie"
Simpleton
Damn, oPie , good thing the Nazi in the WH gave you a tax cut.
Dennis is the only person in history that was banned from the Golden Corral's all you can eat buffet.
Lol
Alky, did you see the backlash in CA over Sanctuary Cities?
Orange County Sheriff post release dates of illegals being held in his Jail. To help ICE vacuum up the trash.
The liberal media really think that they're fooling the American people. They just don't get it that they're not.
Stormy Daniels glassy eyed confused prattle, it did get HB and Jane searching her porn.
American photojournalist Matt Schrier said he felt “betrayed” by the FBI under former directors Robert Mueller and James Comey after he was kidnapped by al-Qaeda in Syria"
Tuesday during an interview with TMZ’s Harvey Levin, gun control proponent and Parkland shooting survivor David Hogg said it was “annoying” he has been rejected by all the University of California campuses that he’d submitted college admissions applications for, but he will continue to “change the world.”
Lol, changing the world, really, pure liberal delusional mind.
So he is changing the life people live in Vietnam?
How, exactly.
Your entire post on the President has no credibility. Your parroting the party line with this: But bad press cannot bring down Trump any further than it already has..
The press reports on the administration are not Fake News written with the intent to discredit the President. They are the facts. His lies are not a creation of the press. The media isn't fooling the American people, because their intention is to bring down the President. They report the news.
Your obsession with claiming it's fake news has destroyed your credibility as a truth seeker..
They fool HB. Clearly.
Rogar will believe anything negative about Trump no matter how patently false and absurd it is.
Therefore, to Roger, "they are reporting the news".
Stage four TDS.
"Your obsession with claiming it's fake news has destroyed your credibility as a truth seeker.."
Start your own blog.
He won't get the attention he gets here. He knows no one will care enough about his opinions to go to his blog.
So true.
Pitiful.
The press reports on the administration are not Fake News written with the intent to discredit the President.
this is one of those rare moments when i agree with you, rog.
and that would be because as far as the media treatment of this president is concerned, they are WAY past the 'discrediting' stage. the media is on to the 'removal of the president' stage. the media is and always has been an active participant and partner with the deep state in the coup to overthrow trump. it's been this way since election night when we had so-called 'objective' journalists breaking down and crying on air at the prospect of the election of donald trump.
one of the reasons i'm so pleased at the appointment of bolton is that i fully expect him to clean fucking house of the leakers and traitors infesting this white house and our national security apparatus. without those fucking worms assholes lime your darling maggie haberman at the times will have no one to go to for ammunition against this president. oh, it'll take a while to root them out, but when they are exposed i hope it's public and i sincerely hope the most serious criminal charges available are brought against them.
a good old fashioned firing squad on the white house south lawn would be a nice touch, don'tcha think?
heh.
The media isn't fooling the American people, because their intention is to bring down the President. They report the news.
oh look, alky -
here's a real live LA Times journ0list who thinks he's some sort of special snowflake marching activisting activist or something. and we all know that guys like him are ALWAYS objective with no personal agenda at all, right alky???
Matt Pearce 🦅
✔
@mattdpearce
Journalism *is* activism in its most basic form. The entire basis for its ethical practice is the idea that a democracy requires an informed citizenry in order to function. Choosing what you want people to know is a form of activism, even if it’s not the march-and-protest kind.
https://twitter.com/hotlinejosh/status/978019910625452034 …
8:37 PM - Mar 25, 2018
https://twitter.com/mattdpearce/status/978068381495582720?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=http%3A%2F%2Face.mu.nu%2F
Liberals weep...
"China Says North Korea's Kim Open to Discussing Nukes With Trump"
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/china-says-north-koreas-kim-open-to-discussing-nukes-with-trump/ar-BBKNccX?li=BBnb7Kz
"Choosing what you want people to know is a form of activism"
Good little Marxist.
Total nonsense.
the profanity filled David Hogg going full out anti-Trump, and the Stormy Daniels nonsense in the news... apparently this causes confusion with those who believe this sort of "bad press" should be hurting the President.
But bad press cannot bring down Trump any further than it already has. I think for anything to change negatively at this point, the feeling (with so many people) that America is on the upswing will have to fall away. But as long as people feel good about how things are going with the country, the media will have a hard time distracting them with High School kids and porn stars.
Hogg is here. Nowhere else.
Fake New: The President uses this invalid propaganda was created by Karl Rove.
The President has been a womanizer for his entire life. It's not bullshit, it is part of who he is. The lawyer for Daniels is playing with Trump's legal team.
The demonstration were not celebrities, they were victims of gun violence.
He is beginning to look ridiculous every single day. It's his behavior that matters. It's not the Fake News, it's the man himself and his incompetent behavior.
Hogg is here. Nowhere else.
Either you're not paying attention or your just in deep denial the obnoxious little twerp is all over the place.
They fool HB. Clearly.
menstral our stunningly stupid cultist projects....
attention or your just in deep denial the obnoxious little twerp is all over the place.
Yeah, sure, maybe the warped places you surf, but his tirade has limited coverage to non-existent!!!! He message is resonating with voters in spite of you praying polls for trump get better.
IF, you belive, really believe that Hillary's defeat was because she was cheated your problem, is yours.
Name 5 voters by name who's vote was changed after it was cast.
"Either you're not paying attention or your just in deep denial the obnoxious little twerp is all over the place."
And constantly changing his story.
Yeah, sure, maybe the warped places you surf, but his tirade has limited coverage to non-existent!!!!
You mean except for CNN, MSNBC, NBC, ABC, and CBS?
Do you only watch Fox News? (the one outlet Hogg won't appear on)
The demonstration were not celebrities, they were victims of gun violence.
uh, alky...
celebs like the oprah and george clooney are not as naive and as stupid as you as to hand over $500,000.00 checks to a bunch of tide pod snackers who haven't enjoyed their first piece of ass yet.
saturday's shit show was coast to coast astroturf.
and for the grand finale the ny times trotted out a senile old USSC retiree to say what everyone at the rallies was screaming:
overturn the 2nd amendment.
look son, if your side really wants to push this issue to a critical mass, it would be wise for you to keep one critical data point in mind -
my side has virtually all the guns and ammo. and we can form a relatively well regulated militia faster than you think.
He is beginning to look ridiculous every single day. It's his behavior that matters.
and there you go again with your psychological projection.
Do you only watch Fox News?
I guess that's the only place covering the twerp since their idea of news is as sick as yours....LOLOLOL You must have a real shitty life if all you do is monitor stations you don't like....Idiot..You need a new hobby, like bashing women and gays....
Argument preview: For the second time this term, justices to take up partisan gerrymandering
I side the the Democrats on this one just as I sided with the Republicans in Pennsylvania.
Courts shouldn't be involved is drawing district lines.
You must have a real shitty life if all you do is monitor stations you don't like....Idiot.
I monitor stations I don't like because I don't want to be stuck in an echo chamber like you and Roger are.
So everytime you try to make an argument or just spout the talking point of the day I already know what it's going to be.
I monitor stations I don't like because I don't want to be stuck in an echo chamber like you a
You watch all those stations because you are a loser and are searching for something to do...So every time you spew a GW BS lies, I know exactly what you are doing,,,,,sticking your head up your ass.....
You lose.
Denny's in a foul mood today.
Denny's in a foul mood today.
And you are still an old ugly hag....I win!!!!
He obviously woke up hungry, the Golden Corral doesn't open for another 2 hours.
HA!
You mean except for CNN, MSNBC, NBC, ABC, and CBS?
Deflect, divert, obfuscated the fatty book of debate
It's why I so rarely engage, he just so intellectually dishonest
Califat the lost shows up with more stupidity...
Deflect, divert, obfuscated the fatty book of debate
Wow, how can you stand up in the morning with a head as big as yours?????
Too bad you always engage with nothing but childish taunts.....A true troll. LOL
hungry, the Golden Corral doesn't open for another 2 hours.
HA....you are too stupid to even be original, loser...
"It's why I so rarely engage, he just so intellectually dishonest"
No one takes him seriously, not even his fellow liberals.
Hell, no one can interpret his incoherent rants.
NK & CHINA.
NK to de-nuke and remain at peace.
Let Trump be Trump.
Jane and AlkyDope. Told us they "have followers" no of which ever come here.
I exposed fake Jane again. He has repeatedly told us his "followers" "monitor" this blog. Yet in the last week he has twice told us he "never talks to his people" about this blog.
Roger -
It's not that a anti-gun rally or Stormy Daniels is "fake news"... it's that it's unimportant news to most Americans. It simply doesn't matter.
Loathsome loretta the loser lesbian adds her childish comments with
No one takes him seriously, not even his fellow liberals.
Hell, no one can interpret his incoherent rants.
And no one cares about your or you alleged marine since loretta is not your real name.....troll
You forgot LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL, Denny.
LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL at you again, lesbo fake loretta.....
So predictable, lol.
Blogger C.H. Truth said...
Roger -
It's not that a anti-gun rally or Stormy Daniels is "fake news"... it's that it's unimportant news to most Americans. It simply doesn't matter.
and this is one of the things that's driving the alky (and so many of his resistance comrades) mad.
it's supposed to matter goddammitt!!!
all this shit was supposed to take out trump and install hillary as president!!!
we're on like the fourth or fifth scandal that was supposed to depose trump. and nothing has. they've been reduced to pinning their hopes on a washed up old whore who had consensual sex with trump. only someone in the grip of stage IV TDS would behave like the alky has been behaving lately.
loretta said...
So predictable and stupid, typical of frauds and liars....Idiot
You forgot LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL, Denny.
Hey loser loretta....these might help you get noticed!!!!!!
https://nypost.com/2018/03/26/nipple-stickers-are-the-new-glitter-boobs/
LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL at you again, lesbo fake loretta..
Awe, poor sex obsessed Denny...
Not getting laid since the stroke?
all this shit was supposed to take out trump and install hillary as president!!!
Inebriation
Any increase is just a result of Republican Stockholm-syndromers lowering their standards and settling for basically nothing from the most left-wing Republican administration in history.
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