Friday, November 16, 2018

Broward County / Miami Dade Hand Count Update

Fat lady sings! 

In Critical Broward County, Hope for Bill Nelson Fades as Hand Recount Begins 
Last Saturday, Marc Elias, an election attorney working for Nelson, told reporters on a call that he expected the hand recount to give Nelson the lead. “We expect that when we get to a hand recount, we’re going to see a significant jump in the total number of votes counted versus the machines,” he said. “Based on just the demographics and the partisan breakdown of various counties, I think you’re going to see a significant increase in the Nelson vote share.”
But in Broward, that does not appear to be happening. People circulating among the tables observed the same thing. Two observers, one for each party, both estimated that 90 percent of the ballots being recounted were “no votes.” An hour and a half into the hand recount of thousands of ballots, the work appeared almost done.

Wow... isn't that amazing? I suggested that only about 10% of the over/under votes would end up being counted as votes. And look what happened in Broward County? Only about 10% of the ballots were found to include votes.

On top of that, it would appear that a good portion (over half) of the 54K under/overvotes are from Broward county. That leaves probably around another 20,000 more under/overvote ballots to count statewide.

No need to tell me I was right.

10000 Miami Dade under/overvotes yield just over 500 new votes (or just over 5%). Nelson picked up a net gain of 181 votes.
Miami-Dade made short work of some 10,000 undervotes and overvotes, combing through them all in a matter of hours to determine that Nelson gained 348 votes to Scott’s 167. Christina White, the county’s appointed elections supervisor, shared the manual recount results shortly before 1 p.m.

That pretty much mathematically seals the fate.

27 comments:

Commonsense said...

It's all over but the shouting.

Myballs said...

No problem. Abrams has nearly 40 lawyers lined up to protest everything in GA.

This is bullshit.

Commonsense said...

Stacy Abrams has conceded in the worst possibly way.

A way that dooms any chance for elected office in the future.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

CH

+36 House of Representatives

Democrats +7,900,000 votes

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

He can't win Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Iowa is in danger.

Nevada

Your analysis was designed to support your already decided results.

C.H. Truth said...

Hey crazy dude...

What the hell are you talking about?

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

On your other post you said that the Republicans are not going to get defeated and replaced as the more powerful than the Democrats because you said that the racial makeup isn't changing enough for the Democrats to win the house and Senate and White House, basically for ten years or never.

You ignored the request of the off year election results this year. The women vote for the Democrats because of Trump is not going away.

You called me crazy. You have broken with the Republican party that you used to support rational policies in Europe. Trump has been trying to destroy NATO. He endorses Putin over the President of France. He has NEVER been critical of Putin in his insane tweets.

You have a stage 4 Trumpism. He's attacking the institutions that have been keeping the nation safe from enemies. He's been trying to use the Department for Justice for his own political purposes, in contrary to the law.

Putting active troops on the border is possibly illegal and the Pentagon has been pushing back against his efforts to stop the so called invasion. Since he lost the off year election the troops will be quietly withdrawn.

I could write a list of the President lies that would exceed the character limits here. And you don't fucking care. You hate liberals so you signed up with the wannabe dictator.

Myballs said...

Good grief.

Commonsense said...

Who knew an election in Florida could drive Roger bonkers.

anonymous said...

mmonsense said...
Who knew an election in Florida could drive Roger bonkers.

Who knew you were such an unmitigated asshole with such a baseless claim like that...

We all did...LOLOLOL

Commonsense said...

Well the base for the claim is in Roger's own posts.

Just as your posts continually proves your not a person to be taken seriously.

Anonymous said...

Hey crazy dude...

What the hell are you talking about?"

He doesn't know, he never does.

Anonymous said...

"Crazy Dude"

When your team gets to 241 let us know.

anonymous said...


Well the base for the claim is in Roger's own posts.

IOW's you made it up...no surprise there!!!

And the non-working goat fucker who can't afford to heat his house chimes in right on cue...!!!

Anonymous said...

"Hate Liberals"

Nope, I personally find them very entertaining.

Avinaughy for example, your champion for women right while beating them black and BLUE.

OR Abrams that is against racism, but a vote against her makes one a racist.

OR economics degree holder Biden-Cortez. Priceless gaff machine. Her belief that 200 million Americans earn $20,000 a year or less.

anonymous said...

This assessment plays right into our menstral cramps wheel house.....a cult!!!!! This is most amusing, just like CH bragging on record debt with record revenues his spawn will have to pay....but that's okay....trump is winning bigly with his decreasing dying base of old white men like himself...

George Conway: Republican Party has become a 'personality cult' under Trump
Michael Isikoff Fri, Nov 16 8:02 AM EST


Yahoo News photo illustration; photos: AP
WASHINGTON — George T. Conway III, the husband of White House counselor Kellyanne Conway, said the Republican Party has become “a personality cult” under President Trump and that he would “move to Australia” rather than vote for the president again.

“I don’t feel comfortable being a Republican anymore,” Conway said in an exclusive interview for the Yahoo News podcast “Skullduggery” about his decision to drop his party registration earlier this year. “I think the Republican Party has become something of a personality cult.”

Asked if he thinks the president is fully stable, Conway responded: “No comment.”

Anonymous said...

Good morning Mr. Dennis. Hope you and yours are a well as can be expected.

anonymous said...

Avinaughy for example, your champion for women right while beating them black and BLUE.

Typical of our goat fucking idiot like CH....guilty based on nothing but hearsay.....go burn a tree for christ....

anonymous said...

And I hope your goat kicks you in your nutz....FU asshole

Anonymous said...

Oh Mr. Dennis, why r u so upset.

I hear your team is winning.

Anonymous said...

Funny Stuff
"guilty based on nothing but hearsay."

C.H. Truth said...

On your other post you said that the Republicans are not going to get defeated and replaced as the more powerful than the Democrats because you said that the racial makeup isn't changing enough for the Democrats to win the house and Senate and White House, basically for ten years or never.

Liberals: Old white conservatives are dying out. Old white conservatives are dying out. Old white conservatives are dying out. Old white conservatives are dying out. Old white conservatives are dying out.

Me: Statistics show that they are not.

Liberals: You're a racist!!!

anonymous said...


Me: Statistics show that they are not.

And it proves you can't read....LOLOLOL!!!

Others disagree with your conclusion....and the amusing part is you are part of that declining and dying group and can't see it!!

https://thehill.com/homenews/news/308357-decline-of-americas-white-population-accelerating-study-finds

rapidly aging white population and fast-growing younger minority groups are speeding demographic changes across the nation, hastening a political divide likely to have long-term ramifications.

The percentage of the U.S. population that is white has decreased from 79.6 percent in 1980 to 61.9 percent in 2014. The percentage of Latino-Americans has increased from 6.4 percent to 17.3 percent over the same time period, while both the African-American and Asian-American populations have grown, too.

There are growing signs that the rate of change is increasing. The number of non-Hispanic whites who died in 2014 outpaced the number of white births in 17 states, according to a new analysis from the University of New Hampshire. That’s the largest number of states to experience a natural decrease in the white population in American history.

Only two states, Maine and West Virginia, experienced more deaths than births — an indication that Latino and African-American populations are growing at a fast clip in most states.

Anonymous said...



I could write a list of the President lies that would exceed the character limits here.


no you couldn't.

if someone else tabulated all those lies you might be able to copy and paste it, but no alky, you could never ever write it yourself.

anyway, like i said yesterday, all of trump's "lies" - those things he says, those embellishments he makes, those words that trigger you so - they don't hurt anyone.

inauguration crowd size? who the fuck cares?

contrast that to the whoppers told by 0linsky. lies so egregious, so harmful, millions of people were fucked out of health insurance that they were completely satisfied with just so your dear leader could seize the whole system for his own control and enjoyment.

trump's lies are amusing alky. 0linsky's lies literally killed people.

C.H. Truth said...

Others disagree with your conclusion.

My conclusions are based entirely on the numbers.

Anyone who disagrees is by absolute 100% fact... wrong.

anonymous said...

My conclusions are based entirely on the numbers.
Really jag off.... Tells us oh brilliant one, what is incorrect about these basic statistics that apparently you don't understand???

The percentage of the U.S. population that is white has decreased from 79.6 percent in 1980 to 61.9 percent in 2014. The percentage of Latino-Americans has increased from 6.4 percent to 17.3 percent over the same time period, while both the African-American and Asian-American populations have grown, too.

Too funny even for you Lil Scotty.....LOLOLOLOL at you again..

anonymous said...

Yep....MS senate race in deep red south turning into a horse race with of all things an old white women acting like a white man bigot....sad, very sad..

In Mississippi, Republican concern rises over a U.S. Senate runoff that should have been a romp
Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith has faltered over remarks seen as racially insensitive. Mike Espy, a black Democrat and former congressman, appears poised to take advantage.