Biden expected to increase lead on Tuesday

So we have six states and "Democrats abroad" voting on Tuesday. There are 365 delegates at stake and as of now, it would appear that Biden is expected to garner approximately 200 of those 365 delegates (increasing his delegate lead by 35). Biden is expected to win Michigan, Missouri, and Mississippi, and draw basically even in Idaho, North Dakota, and with the"Democrats abroad" voters.  Washington is the only state Sanders is expected to win, but even that state is expected to be close.

By my calculations, that would put Biden up between 100-110 delegates. Obviously there has not been much polling since Bloomberg and Warren dropped out and much of what people are going on in speculation about momentum, etc. Obviously lots can happen, but suffice it to say that Bernie is still closer in 2020, than he was in 2016 when he stayed in the race till the bitter end.

Right now Democrats are facing a double edged sword. Much of the reason that Bernie has not lived up to certain expectations is that the younger voters are not as excited as they were in 2016 and not coming out at the same pace. While this is certainly helping the Democratic establishment push forward a candidate that is not Bernie, it does not bode well for a general election where they will need that younger vote. To a smaller scale, Democrats are seeing a similar issue with Latino voters, who are less enthused, and less likely to come out and back Biden.

Democrats might be right to say that Trump would exploit the idea of a self described socialist at the top of the ticket. But they may be trading one flaw for another, when they put forward a gaffe prone 77 year old who just doesn't excite much of the ever growing far left wing of the Democratic Party. At least Clinton was able to create excitement by being the first "women" to ever run for President. There was a sort of "progressiveness" about that that many young people got behind. But there isn't the same sort of objective progressiveness about a hair sniffing, I like kids to rub my hairy legs, white male senior citizen.

I go back to the 2016 election, where my son (now 17) took part in a school Presidential election where one of their own students beat Clinton with write in votes for second place. When I asked him and his friends, they all just said that the idea of Trump as President was just way cooler than Hillary. As that generation (who don't necessarily see liberalism as "cool" like those a few years older) starts to vote, that younger vote may not be so overwhelmingly liberal.