Polling by Data for Progress (D) and Civitas (R) showing MASSIVE last minute movement foe Biden! In some cases 20 percent or more?!?
Is this real or is it a bunch of hyped up malarky?
| Betting Odds | Date | Biden | Sanders | Bloomberg | Clinton | Warren | Obama | Gabbard | Buttigieg | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 3/2 | 49.8 | 44.2 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | Biden +5.6 |
| Vbet | March 3rd | 48 | 48 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | TIE | |
| Smarkets | March 3rd | 50 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Biden +11.2 |
| Unibet | March 3rd | 52 | 43 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Biden +8.9 | |
| BetVictor | March 3rd | 50 | 45 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Biden +4.5 | |
| Betfair | March 3rd | 50 | 44 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Biden +5.6 | |
| Bovada | March 3rd | 49 | 45 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | Biden +3.3 |
People "really" must think that the entire Democratic Party will unite behind Joe after one win. Perhaps they will and perhaps the Klobuchar and Buttigieg endorsements will be much much stronger than they are on paper.
But at the same time, Joe has no organization, no money, and has not been active in the Super Tuesday states. Bernie and Bloomberg have been very active and have everything on paper that you would need to do well today.
So this is the story of two theories. Does actual work, organization, money, turnout, and the rest really matter in politics, or can it all be erased due to a last minute news cycle that appears pretty well manufactured.
The general feeling on all of this has been that the "normal" momentum that a candidate would get from winning the early primary states has been undermined by everything else that is going on. But that suddenly the big win by Joe Biden in South Carolina is the straw that broke the momentum back and we are now seeing that traditional "bump" that we otherwise would have seen for Buttigieg or Sanders winning early on.
Today will be very interesting... and with Slow Joe Biden (and all of his Hunter Burisma dirty laundry baggage still alive and lurking) the "establishment" better be careful (and prepared for) what they wish for!
The general feeling on all of this has been that the "normal" momentum that a candidate would get from winning the early primary states has been undermined by everything else that is going on. But that suddenly the big win by Joe Biden in South Carolina is the straw that broke the momentum back and we are now seeing that traditional "bump" that we otherwise would have seen for Buttigieg or Sanders winning early on.
Today will be very interesting... and with Slow Joe Biden (and all of his Hunter Burisma dirty laundry baggage still alive and lurking) the "establishment" better be careful (and prepared for) what they wish for!
6 comments:
Donald Trump is the youngest man running for President.
Let that sink in.
I think the other candidates sharing the moderate lane dropping out was the big factor.
I think the DNC is ok with Bloomberg staying in. The strategy right now is to prevent Sanders from getting a committed majority of the delegate to win on the first ballot.
They are angling for broker convention. There the DNC could choose any candidate who is not Bernie. It's just possible that the candidate coming out of the convention never participated in the primary process.
The one name Trump should fear the most is Michelle Obama. That's who the Democrats really want run.
Let that sink in.
Pretty sad for a country of 300 million......
the most is Michelle Obama. That's who the Democrats really want run.
Who would beat trumps old fat ass into next year.....but will never happen, cramps....!!!
lol, you said every drop out can beat Trump, yet, she is too big a couch coward to run.
I like "Mike"
Mike Obama 🖕
Tucker on a rant
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