So in the religious consideration usually associated with Pascal's wager, the idea is that if you do believe in god and are correct. you get eternal joy. If you are wrong? No real consequences other than the fact that you spent your life believing in a god that doesn't exist. If you are an atheist and you are correct about god, there really isn't any reward other than just being right (and you will never know you were right after death). But if an atheist is wrong, then they are literally doomed to a eternity of suffering.
So it sort of feels like our Governments are making a Pascal's type wager on coronavirus. As pointed out by many in the health science field, we really don't have enough information to be making (or realistically justifying) the sort of draconian measures we are taking (link). Instead, we appear to be making decisions under the wager that there is much more to lose if we don't act than if we do act, economy be damned.
The other issue of psychology here for our leaders (especially at the state levels) is not to be outdone. If other states or cities are banning this or banning that and your state or city doesn't, criticism from more deaths is certainly going to be a bigger stigma than criticism about the economy. This provides the incentive for Governors or Mayors to attempt to outdo each others, so they are not criticized for not acting decisive enough. The Governor here in Washington has been repeatedly criticized for leading from behind pretty much "anytime" he is not first to close something or ban something even if it is just by a day or two.
The pressure to take the most draconian measures far outweigh any pressure to allow for people to go about their everyday business. Time will tell if these were the right or wrong steps for us to take.
17 comments:
VDH was thinking along these lines
Some Coronavirus Humility
The pandemic may prove as bad as some warn; it is also possible that our response could prove as harmful as the virus itself.
Lil Schitty still worried that the state and feds are doing too much in reaction to the hoax virus....the only thing in your POS screed is that time will tell......lets not do a thing....continue without worry and let the hoax continue without impinging on my menial life!!!!!
why wreck the economy to save a few thousand old people that are no longer contributing anyway?
ew thousand old people that are no longer contributing anyway?
Like your old lady and the unemployed goat fucker, asshole???????? No wonder why you are just a salesman.....BWAAAAAAAA!!!!
why wreck the economy to save a few thousand old people that are no longer contributing anyway?
indeed.
rather than send me a $1000 check that i don't need, how about relieving all of us of onerous taxes at every level, so we can spend that extra $$$ in our communities and keep those at the lower end of the scale working?
rather than send me a $1000 check that i don't need
Well good for you, you dumb fuck....give it to the waitress at your bar who was just laid off and has a kid to feed and no savings......yeah sport, the only thing you need is a working brain!!!!! BWAAAAAAAAAA!!!!
Is that what you are going to do Denny?
Give your check away to some random person?
That's the same question you asked me when busch handed out money......which you spent on chinese made camping equipment and I put into my kids college fund!!!!!.....BWAAAAAAA!!!! And for your edicfiacrtion you dumb fuck....rat the idiot said he didn't need it and my response was give it to his waitress that just got fucked by the virus and was laid off.....try to keep up, Lil Schitty......
give it to the waitress at your bar who was just laid off and has a kid to feed and no savings
fine. means test it to lower income. but don't give EVERYONE a check. instead relieve the total tax burden across the board for six months so we can spend it at establishments like her employer.
btw dumb fuck, the waitress got laid off because her democrat mayor/governor ordered her employer to close her employer.
Funny thing, Rat...
In talking to these younger liberals in Seattle working in the service industry... they all accepted that this was the biggest black plague virus in history and they were perfectly accepting of the fact that their business was going to be shut own and that they might go bankrupt.
I figure they will just blame Trump and demand that this means we should all be communists.
4 weeks. That's about the limit of America's patients .
Stock Market Plunges Again
March 18, 2020 at 12:51 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 350 Comments
“Financial markets continued to spasm Wednesday, with U.S. stocks plunging toward levels that pause trading, as the economic fallout from the pandemic outpaces the massive response from governments and central banks,” Bloomberg reports.
“The S&P 500 fell more than 6% and wiped out all the gains logged since Donald Trump’s inauguration.”
Wall Street Journal: “Investors are even shunning assets that are normally considered the safest, including long-term government bonds and gold. That rarely happens when riskier assets like stocks are also falling.”
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Pandemic May Last 18 Months or Longer
March 18, 2020 at 12:02 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 258 Comments
An internal report from the Department of Health and Human Services leaked to the New York Times assumes that the “pandemic will last 18 months or longer and could include multiple waves of illness.”
Ch truth's 12:47 might better read "in talking to these younger people in Seattle working in the service industry... they all accepted that this was a very serious matter and they were perfectly accepting of the fact that their business was going to be shut own and that they might go bankrupt rather than millions of people having to die."
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Ch disagrees and thinks it would be preferable to accept all those deaths because Trump says it was the dirty Chinese commies who sent us this virus.
Know what James?? Millions of people have not died.
Currently only 8774 people have died worldwide.
If you project China's death toll vs population to the US you will get a maximum death toll of 944 people.
That's a far cry from "millions of deaths".
...they were perfectly accepting of the fact that their business was going to be shut own and that they might go bankrupt.
I figure they will just blame Trump and demand that this means we should all be communists.
yup. several generations of public school indoctrination by union marxists has achieved the desired result.
these people have actually made peace with the net result of socialism - the equal distribution of misery.
Currently only 8774 people have died worldwide.
0linsky hit over 12,000 in the US ALONE.
trump doesn't even know how to preside over an effective deadly virus, for chrissakes.
hitler my ass.
0linsky hit over 12,000 in the US ALONE.
BWAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! You mean those who forgot to get the flu shot?????????? I thought you got over that stupidity....obviously not!!!!!
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