1. Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT) has seen his net approval drop 18 percent since the first quarter of 2017, going from +25 in the first quarter to +7 in the fourth quarter.Now some of these red state democrats are in bigger trouble than others. Hard to imagine Bill Nelson at plus 25 being real vulnerable (short of running against Jeb Bush) in Florida. But several others (Tester, Baldwin, McCaskill) are going to have a rough go of it. If the trend continues, look for Heitkamp and others to become equally vulnerable.
2. Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) has seen her net approval drop 11 percent since the first quarter of 2017, going from +28 in the first quarter to +17 in the fourth quarter.
3. Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) has seen his net approval drop 9 percent since the first quarter of 2017, going from +20 in the first quarter to +11 in the fourth quarter.
4. Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) has seen her net approval drop 8 percent since the first quarter of 2017, going from +8 in the first quarter to zero in the fourth quarter.
5. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) has seen his net approval drop 8 percent since the first quarter of 2017, going from +24 in the first quarter to +16 in the fourth quarter.
6. Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-IN) has seen his net approval drop 6 percent since the first quarter of 2017, going from +20 in the first quarter to +14 in the fourth quarter.
7. Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) has seen her net approval drop 6 percent since the first quarter of 2017, going from +6 in the first quarter to zero in the fourth quarter.
8. Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) has seen his net approval drop 4 percent since the first quarter of 2017, going from +22 in the first quarter to +18 in the fourth quarter.
9. Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) has seen his net approval drop 2 percent since the first quarter of 2017, going from +27 in the first quarter to +25 in the fourth quarter.
I believe this boils down to partisanship. The more the two Parties move away from each other, and the more the rhetoric rises, the more likely it is that Republicans and Democrats will have a hard time crossing over on Party line voting. You know that the very red state Democrats (Tester, Heitkamp, Donnelly, Manchin) will have their own identities intertwined with Schumer and Pelosi and the Democratic Party. That's not going to play well in states where upwards of two thirds of the electorate are conservative.
Bottom line is that it would appear counter-intuitive that a deep red conservative Republican state that votes for Donald Trump by 20-30 points would then two years later vote for a Senator who is going to oppose him at every turn.
22 comments:
And trump is losing women and millennials which is not reflected in your shitty post.....LOL
I would bet a hundred bucks that you could match what I do every day and more" alky
Ok, I take your bet, I agree now Pay up
Most Think Trump Should Testify Under Oath
A new CNN poll finds that 78% of Americans think President Trump should testify under oath if asked to by special counsel Robert Mueller. That includes a 59% majority of Republicans, and 75% of independents.
Polls are not facts
James Boswell of Normal, Illinois is a pedophile.
This should happen to rev James Boswell, a pedophile.
'I just signed your death warrant': Larry Nassar sentenced to 40-175 years for sex abuse'
CNN poll. Lol. Like we're gonna believe that.
The idiots of the right are just spinning and denying.....sad how they are turning the US into a banana republic.....yes, the FBI is biased and all wives should toe the line........
Headline...trump to speak to muller under oath, bloomberg!!!! Great!!!!
https://www.mercurynews.com/2018/01/24/your-guide-to-the-anti-fbi-conspiracy-theories-rippling-through-conservative-media/
Tunes is a bigger hack then howdy howdy..
Former White House chief of staff Reince Priebus “knew the staff would have to fall into line to prove the tweet correct, the opposite of the usual process of vetting proposed pronouncements,” Howard Kurtz writes in his new book about the Trump administration. Outside the White House, the response was similar, with allies including Rep. Devin Nunes, R-Calif., working to prove, if not that Trump Tower was wiretapped, at least that Trump was the focus of an unfair, politically motivated investigation initiated by the Obama administration. The focus of the wiretapping charge evolved into the Obama administration having de-anonymized the identities of Trump allies in surveillance reports, an act that Trump eventually called “the real story.”
(This revelation came after an administration staffer showed Nunes classified documents detailing the unmasking. The White House initially denied being involved in sharing this information.)
Over the past year, this tactic has become pervasive: defending Trump by arguing that it’s actually the president who is the victim of a conspiracy and whipping up whatever evidence is at hand to bolster that claim. This effort has by now spawned nearly as many branches and subparts as the Russia investigation itself.
James Boswell of Normal, Illinois is a pedophile.
Chipper Jones in HOF. Thank you Todd Van Poppell, wherever you are
KD the flaming asshole posted again......
James Boswell of Normal, Illinois is a pedophile.
Like peter pan....you will never grow up.......idiot...
Trump Says He’ll Speak to Mueller Under Oath
President Trump said that he was willing to speak under oath to Robert Mueller, the special counsel investigating Russia’s interference in the 2016 presidential campaign, the New York Times reports.
Said Trump: “I’m looking forward to it.”
Lawyer Walks Back Trump’s Comments on Mueller
Ty Cobb, the White House lawyer leading the response to the Russia investigation, told the New York Times that President Trump “was speaking hurriedly and intended only to say that he was willing to meet” with special counsel Robert Mueller and not necessarily be interviewed under oath.
Said Cobb: “He’s ready to meet with them, but he’ll be guided by the advice of his personal counsel.”
I'm going to say this. If, and it's if, the suburban women voters can be mobilized in sufficient numbers as in Alabama and Virginia in the special elections, we may see a blue tsunami.
Sabanow (sp?) In Michigan is in real trouble.
Too Late to "go all wobbly" you are already on record of calling the 2018 mid terms a Yuge Win for the dems.
HB, did you pay off the bet you lost to me by paying the $100 in to CHT PayPal account?
Is not, what is your delay?
KD the moronic asshole said...
Too Late to "go all wobbly"
Go away little man....your idiocy belongs in kansas with the rest of your loser state....i've always been an advocate of the kansas referendum....build a wall around the state and fill with water.....
Trump will take it to the leftist Globalist today. At the door each member gets a bottle of smelling salt, a bo hoo rag and hundreds of failing couch have been strategicly place about the hall.
KD again making a stupid prediction said...
Trump will take it to the leftist Globalist today.
Sure he will....I just wonder what headline will be and how he embarrassed thE US again...No wonder why melodia stayed home after finding out he fucked around right after they got married...I am sure he'll be welcomed home after his Davos sojourn and disaster....LOLOLOLOL
The very popular governor Rick Scott may run for Bill Nelson's senate seat.
Wouldn't count out Florida turning yet.
So your optimism is based on polling that Democratic incumbents have 'only' 7% to 25% net approval in conservative states that Trump won?
I'm kind of hoping that Republicans base their campaign strategies on that idea of strength in those states, where incumbent Democrats have high approval ratings.
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