Friday, February 2, 2018

Don't look now, but... Part II

Trump Job Approval

Rasmussen Reports1/30 - 2/11500 LV4949Tie
Monmouth1/28 - 1/30711 RV4448-4
Economist/YouGov1/28 - 1/301264 RV4453-9
Reuters/Ipsos1/26 - 1/301856 A4153-12

  • Sneaking out of the upper 30's and into the lower 40's. 
  • 49% in latest LV poll.
  • Up five points since mid-December on RCP average 

8 comments:

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

You can't read the c/p

Rassmusun slants the average.

Anonymous said...

Roger Amick said...
You can't read the c/p

Rassmusun slants the average.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


prove it, alky. prove it.



Anonymous said...

You lumped Russia and Isreal together.

So fucking what!!!! Ever deal with the Israeli's??? They will spy on their own mother to get an advantage....." The Fragile Opie

Again, you call Israel our Enemy.

Anonymous said...

Ever deal with the Israeli's??? " oPie

Answer : Nope

Have you in the manner and context you framed your debating point?

Anonymous said...

President Trump's Tax Cut gains 21 points.

Most gains comes with Black's and Hispanics.

commie said...

Once again CH cums prematurely with his now liking polls....as I have said numerous times....seems a little early to declare a trend....LOL

Then, nearly all surveys put Republicans behind by double digits. Now, poll averages put the Democratic lead at only around six or seven percentage points.

The question isn’t really whether Republican standing has improved recently. It has. The question is whether anyone should care: Is it just one of many blips and bumps along the road, or does it say something meaningful about the midterm elections?

The short answer: Check back in a month.

The shift hasn’t lasted long enough to merit a reassessment of the national political environment. But there are reasons to think it could.

It can be hard to remember, but we’re still nine months from the election. In a presidential election year, the New Hampshire primary might be coming up next Tuesday. So it is quite early to care about every little bump on the congressional generic ballot trend line.

And, to some extent, the Republican gains look like another little bump. After last month’s Democratic surge, it was reasonable to expect the polls would revert toward the longer-term mean, which had been something closer to an eight- or nine-point Democratic edge.

But the last two weeks of polls have gone further than a reversion to the mean. They’re arguably the best two weeks of polls for Republicans since the failure of the Senate health care bill in July. A highly sensitive poll average — like the FiveThirtyEight tracker — might put the Democratic lead down to roughly six points, basically the lowest level since the spring.


One can imagine any number of explanations, but perhaps the best is changing public opinion of the Republican tax plan.

In December, polls showed the plan was deeply unpopular. This was when the bill was grinding its way to passage in Congress. Its opponents were relentlessly campaigning against it, while the bill’s supporters were busy negotiating — and perpetually dissatisfied with its latest form — and didn’t defend it in a meaningful way. Most voters thought they would see a tax hike, even though they were probably going to get a tax cut.

KD again post a completely non sensible question....try again idiot...you make less sense than your pig wife...

Have you in the manner and context you framed your debating point?

Anonymous said...

Too bad dumb fuck. You own your position.

Indy Voter said...

Rasmussen's JA went up four points in one day? They use a three day rolling average so that sounds like a seriously skewed sample they collected Thursday.

There has been an uptick in JA generally over the past six weeks or so, across the polls as a whole.