So the key here for Trump is to pick someone that fits into
the same mold as Alito and Gorsuch. Young, reliably conservative, but not so extreme
as to upset the apple cart. With only 51 Senators (and McCain incapacitated),
Trump cannot really afford any Republican defectors. Susan Collins has already
suggested she might balk at certain names on the President’s list of 25,
because they are seen as hostile to Roe v Wade. Trump will quite obviously have
to run any potential name past Collins, Murkowski, and a handful of other
moderates. This is why I believe he will end up picking one of the three women on
the list (Amy Coney Barrett, Allison Eid, or Joan Larson).
Besides the obvious fact that it would be much harder for a conservative woman
to vote against another conservative woman, it would take away the obvious “another
white conservative man” argument that is almost certain if Trump nominates someone
like Brett Kavanaugh. Moreover, all
three of these women faced confirmation votes within the past year, and all
three garnered the full support of the Republican Senators, as well as a
handful of Democratic defectors. Certainly Susan Collins would not vote against
someone she just voted for a few months ago. Likewise Joe Manchin and Joe Donnelly both voted for all three of these women, and would face tons of election pressure to
make the same vote again representing red states. Heidi Heitkamp and Bill Nelson
are other Democrats who voted for one or more of these Judges within the past
year, making it hard for them to reverse positions in the heat of an election
season.
On the flip side, Brett Kavanaugh was confirmed back in 2003
as part of a larger “deal” struck by Republicans and Democrats. Even if some of
these Senators may have voted for him back in 2003, there is less of a guarantee
that they would stick to that vote again.
Trump is nothing, if not pragmatic when it comes to cutting a deal. While some may believe he will attempt to bully his way through this situation, I suspect that he will have all of the ducks in a row before announcing his decision. I would be shocked (and horribly disappointed) if the Trump nominee ended up being someone that caused problems with the Collins’ and Murkowski’s of the Party.
_______
On a less than happy note: There is no guarantee that McCain will still be in office by the time a vote comes around. The prognosis for his type of disease puts him near the end of the rope. Even as it stands, he is not effectively acting as a Senator representing Arizona. While he obviously deserves wide latitude in making his retirement decision on his time, there may not be much time left for him to do so. I find it hard to imagine a situation where a USSC nominee has 49 votes, McCain is unable to vote, but still demands that he keeps his seat. He is a man of principle, and certainly would not place himself above something this important to the conservative movement.
66 comments:
With Ginsburg waving trouble even keeping awake I think you can almost pick 2 out of 3. Guess it would be easier to go one-by-one though.
Amazing how Trump keeps winning and the left claims he is accomplishing "nothing".
I would be shocked (and horribly disappointed) if the Trump nominee ended up being someone that caused problems with the Collins’ and Murkowski’s of the Party.
I haven't yet looked closely at the potential nominees. I will be surprised if he doesn't nominate a (clone) of Scalia.
Pragmatism isn't one of his characteristics.
They have been trying to get the swing state Senators in line.
But given the fact that his campaign message, including the interview with Matthews on (penalties) I don't think he will be pragmatic in his selection.
We shall see.
relax alky. no one is going to take away the fundamental sacrament of liberalism. killing babies for sport and profit will remain.
You support choice.
You should be ashamed to admit it because you support any business enterprise that can profit from killing fertilized eggs aka murder. Birth control pills prevent the fertilized egg from being implanted into the placentia. Make sure that your 401k doesn't have stock in birth control pills or other products or procedures that prevent the fertilized egg from being implanted in the placentia.
Victories
No wall
N.Korea is cheating and enriching uranium.
DACA
Children in cages.
Accomplishments
...
???
Trump not pragmatic? Of course he is. He'll take half a loaf every time.
Roger - according to sources, two of the three women I mentioned are on his short list of five. If you were paying any attention (were you?) - then you would understand that if he chooses one of these two women, that it will be a nominee that has already been confirmed once (for a lower court) in the past year.
In other words, these women fit the bill of someone who should be confirmed, likely with some support from Democrats.
Keep in mind that Collins voted to confirm Neil Gorsuch. So if your idea of "extreme" is someone like Gorsuch, then you have a completely different understanding of "extreme" than someone like Collins does.
I guess people like Roger think Seinfeld was really about "nothing", like as in Trumps accomplishments.
OK by me. We can both laugh, though his may be a bit more like a cry as Trump continues to accomplish "nothing".
Birth control pills prevent the fertilized egg from being implanted into the placentia
some do. others prevent fertilization altogether.
and it's placenta, idiot.
btw, my 401k is about making money, alky. not about virtue signalling.
The progressives’ attitude toward Kennedy is one of ingratitude because their attitude toward the Supreme Court (among many other things) is one of entitlement. Under the progressive vision of judges as politicians in robes, progressives had no entitlement to anything from a Republican appointee like Kennedy. Yet the Left expected Kennedy to not only write and join progressive decisions, but also to chain himself to his chair like a protester until a Democrat won the presidency.
As Ed Whelan, president of the Ethics and Public Policy Center, put it: “it’s a version of the Brezhnev Doctrine. What the Left has wrongly seized, it thinks it’s entitled to keep.” The Left’s ungrateful reaction to Kennedy’s retirement should serve as a lesson to everyone else about progressivism. It should also be a particular lesson to two people.
I haven't yet looked closely at the potential nominees" Roger
Roger you already pick the replacement.
Did you forget?
"oger AmickJune 28, 2018 at 6:19 AM
My guess.
Diane Sykes of Wisconsin, U.S. Court of Appeals for the 7th Circuit. "
As far as the court is concerned, the left can go pound sand.
I see Senator Pocahontas has embraced the Elimination of ICE.
CS, I could not agree with you more.
The Left is Shredding Billary for losing. For IF she would have won she would have had these two Court Picks. Deciding the future of the Court for a genderation.
Rumor, Kennedy is rumored to have said he held his position until a Republican was elected.
More goodness from the trump tariffs....more job loses, monetary losses and can't compete on the world stage.....Brilliant and you adherents will slurp until the cows come home....those tax breaks on the loser class are quickly disappearing.....
GM WARNS: Trump's tariffs 'undermine our ability to compete' (GM)
Business Insider Graham Rapier,Business Insider 8 hours ago
mary barra gm
Bill Pugliano/Getty Images
General Motors warned Friday that new auto tariffs would undermine its ability to compete.
Shares of the US's largest automaker fell 2% after the comments were filed.
"At some point, this tariff impact will be felt by customers," the company said in a filing with the US Commerce Department.
Follow GM's stock price in real-time here.
General Motors fell as much as 2% Friday after warning that US tariffs on imported vehicles, currently being considered by The White House, could "undermine" its ability to compete globally.
In a filing with the US Commerce Department, the country's largest automaker said any new taxes could lead to a shrinking of the company and increased costs for consumers
"Increased import tariffs could lead to a smaller GM, a reduced presence at home and abroad for this iconic American company, and risk less — not more — U.S. jobs," the company said.
"The threat of steep tariffs on vehicle and auto component imports risks undermining GM’s competitiveness against foreign auto producers by erecting broad brush trade barriers that increase our global costs, remove a key means of competing with manufacturers in lower - wage countries, and promote a trade environment in which we could be retaliated against in other markets."
Motorcycle maker Harley-Davidson said earlier this week that new tariffs imposed by Europe on certain manufactured goods will cause a "tremendous cost increase" that the company will have to shoulder. It also said it would seek to move manufacturing of European-bound bikes outside of the US.
The moron in chief is going to cost the economy billions in new taxes.....Brilliant!!
President Trump thinks a new tax on imported cars will boost American auto production and bring back thousands of jobs.
He’s about the only one. As the Trump administration readies a report on imported cars that could be the pretext for new tariffs, economists and industry officials warn of soaring costs for car buyers, a drop in overall sales and a net loss of jobs. Trump said recently that if trading partners don’t agree to his demands, “I’m going to tax their cars coming into America, and that’s the big one.” Big blunder might be more likely.
Trump’s idea is to impose a 20% tariff on imported cars, to encourage more domestic auto production. Imports would become more expensive, so consumers, in theory, would buy more domestic models, and more automakers would build cars in America to escape the tariffs.
In reality, the most certain outcome is that prices would shoot up as soon as the tariffs went into effect. Americans buy about 8 million imported cars each year, and a 20% tariff would add $5,000 to the cost of a $25,000 car. Manufacturers might not pass all of that onto consumers, but the cost of an import would still rise by more than $4,000, on average, according to the National Taxpayers Union.
Many popular models would suddenly be more expensive. Here are a few examples, with the current starting price followed by the higher price including the entire 20% tariff:
Source: Dept. of Transportation, automaker web sites
More
Cars made in America would suddenly have a big price advantage. But those prices would probably rise as well, because the competition would now be more expensive. The National Taxpayers Union estimates the price of an American-made car would swell by $1,262. With prices higher across the board, Americans would buy fewer cars.
Trump has lost Blumberg.aka Fake News Robotics.
Bloomberg Fake news.
It’s hard to imagine a better quick story summing up the Donald Trump administration than the one that broke Sunday night about a bill the White House was preparing to, as Jonathan Swan at Axios put it, “declare America’s abandonment of fundamental World Trade Organization rules” by giving the president authority to unilaterally break those rules.
Let’s see …
The policy is nuts; virtually all experts, both in trade and in foreign policy, believe global trade is very good for the U.S.
In fact, according to Swan’s reporting, almost everyone in the White House thinks the bill “is unrealistic or unworkable.”
Why does it exist, then? Because Trump ordered it, and sometimes the best way to mollify a president is to give him what he wants — very slowly, and without anything actually happening. Apparently this thing has been kicking around for months.
The bill has virtually no chance whatsoever of being enacted into law.
The draft bill has a title, the United States Fair and Reciprocal Tariff Act, which yields an acronym that had every Twitter wag making fart jokes Sunday night.
On that last point, political scientist Brendan Nyhan made the crucial point: There are actually two perfectly plausible explanations. The ridiculous title could be just another sign of an administration that routinely botches basic tasks; after all, official White House communications have been plagued by typos ever since Trump took office, and just a few days ago a prankster claiming to be New Jersey Senator Bob Menendez managed to get a call through to the president. But it’s equally possible it was a malicious effort to undermine the policy by someone in the White House or an executive-branch agency; all administrations leak, but none before this have leaked so often with information that looked this bad for the president.
So to summarize: The president ordered something inept; he’s not going to get what he wanted; and everyone in the administration and Scott have eggs in their faces.
Kim Jong Ung is already cheating on Mr. Trump.
https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2018-07-02/donald-trump-s-ineptitude-is-no-joke?utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=bd&utm_campaign=headline&cmpId=yhoo.headline&yptr=yahoo&ref=yfp
The policy is nuts; virtually all experts, both in trade and in foreign policy, believe global trade is very good for the U.S.
In fact, according to Swan’s reporting, almost everyone in the White House thinks the bill “is unrealistic or unworkable.”
Why does it exist, then? Because Trump ordered it, and sometimes the best way to mollify a president is to give him what he wants — very slowly, and without anything actually happening. Apparently this thing has been kicking around for months.
The bill has virtually no chance whatsoever of being enacted into law.
The draft bill has a title, the United States Fair and Reciprocal Tariff Act, which yields an acronym that had every Twitter wag making fart jokes Sunday night.
Didn't know Trump ever had nanny Bloomberg. News to me.
ALLISON EID
Like several other women on the list, the 53-year-old Eid is a recently confirmed U.S. appellate court judge, having taken the spot vacated by Neil Gorsuch after he was confirmed to the Supreme Court last year. She won 56 votes, including those of Democrats Donnelly, Manchin, Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota and Michael Bennet of her home state of Colorado.
As a state Supreme Court justice for more than a decade, her list of rulings is longer than many other potential Trump picks. When she was nominated for the federal bench, The Denver Post noted that she would likely "echo" Gorsuch's "conservative approach to the law," citing dissents she wrote in favor of a school-voucher system, eminent domain actions by the city of Telluride and other matters.
Eid, who was raised by a single mother and went on to clerk for Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, has the kind of compelling personal story that a president's assistants love to tell during a confirmation fight.
AMY CONEY BARRETT
Barrett, 46, is the newest justice on the 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, having been confirmed by the Senate, 55-43, in October of last year. She received support from Democratic Sens. Joe Donnelly of Indiana, Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Tim Kaine of Virginia, all of whom are up for re-election in 2018. Missouri Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill, one of the most politically vulnerable incumbents in the country, did not vote on her confirmation.
Barrett, a professor at the University of Notre Dame law school, excites conservatives for the very same reason liberals are wary of her: a possible battle over her Catholic faith and whether it would inform her decision-making on abortion and other social issues.
Liberals may be particularly concerned over Barrett's affiliation with a charismatic Christian group called People of Praise.
"The dogma lives loudly within you," Feinstein, who is Jewish but attended a private Catholic high school, charged during Barrett's confirmation hearing.
Barrett assured senators that she would rule according to the law and not her personal beliefs, and conservatives cried foul, arguing that Democratic lawmakers were improperly applying a religious test to the nominee.
Marjorie Dannenfelser, president of the anti-abortion group Susan B. Anthony List, told NBC News that "a woman like Barrett ... would be a welcome addition" to the court.
"She is respected by pro-life movement leaders and grass roots, and beloved by her students — having been thrice named 'Outstanding Professor of the Year' by Notre Dame graduates," Dannefelser said. "More important than gender, however, will always be a nominee's approach to the Constitution."
JOAN LARSEN
Larsen, 49, serves on the 6th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, having won Senate confirmation, 60-38, last year. Eight Democrats, including home-state Sens. Debbie Stabenow and Gary Peters of Michigan, voted to confirm her after an effort to stop her nomination from getting to a vote.
She previously clerked for Justice Antonin Scalia, the conservative icon who died in 2016, and worked as a lawyer in President George W. Bush's White House. Like Grant, she doesn't have many decisions under her belt, and she won over more of the Senate than Barrett did.
My guess.
DIANE SYKES
The 60-year-old Sykes stands out for the fire she's drawn from some conservative activists for sentencing anti-abortion activists to jail and ruling against an Indiana law that defunded Planned Parenthood.
I2004, at a time before confirmation votes were such political footballs, Sykes won the support of 70 senators, including 21 Democrats, to serve on the 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals. But only three of those Democratic senators are still serving: Maria Cantwell of Washington; Tom Carper of Delaware; and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer of New York.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/one-these-women-could-be-trump-s-supreme-court-pick-n888351
She's the least likely candidate because she's too much like Kennedy. I want her to be nominated.
A libertarian view on personal issues like abortion rights, voting rights and marriage equality would be the best option in my opinion.
I hope to be right with a prediction. My record is not that good.
Her age is a problem with the President.
Read it. Don't hide behind your love for the minority President.
She's not a bad choice either
Trump won't pick a 60 year old.
Schumer already out smearing barrett. What a prick.
I actually voted for him. What was I thinking?
Obama/Hillary/Palosi/Waters Ristance movement scored another victory.
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A man is accused of threatening to chop up U.S. Sen. Rand Paul and his family with an ax.
The man has been arrested. He allegedly called in the threats to Paul's Bowling Green office.
Paul mentioned the attack publicly at an event in Leitchfield, Kentucky, on Monday.
"Capitol Police have issued an arrest warrant for a man who threatened to kill me and chop up my family with an axe," Paul said. "It's just horrendous that we have to deal with things like this."
Capitol Police declined to comment because the investigation is ongoing."
Who ever President Trump picks on thing is certain. Hillary Won the Election and Trump's Pick is invalid.
Some people see Trump is a minority President. Therefore he shouldn't be allowed to select the justice.
I think that is invalid at every level.
If Trump does not do the Selection. Then who does?
The President has the authority to appoint the justice. The confirmation is in the Senate.
Civics 101 for kput'z.
McCain is unable to vote, but still demands that he keeps his seat. He is a man of principle, and certainly would not place himself above something this important to the conservative movement.
You're being sarcastic, right?
Some people see Trump is a minority President. Therefore he shouldn't be allowed to select the justice. " Roger
Why should the Selection be Taken from the Presidency?
Lincoln was much more of a minority president than Trump ever was. So in Roger's view, Lincoln had no authority to appoint Supreme Court justices, ambassadors, cabinate officers, or conduct the Civil War.
"Roger Amick Retweeted
Rob Reiner
@robreiner
·
Jun 28
A President who is under investigation for possible money laundering, obstruction of justice & conspiring with an enemy to undermine Democracy can not be allowed to pick a Supreme Court justice who will decide his criminality. We still are a nation of laws."
Both terms of Clinton, minority Pres.
Ah, nice Find Ette.
So Roger has been shopping the newest Socialist Democrat Party Line.
So maybe I should have said: So in Rob Reiner's view, Lincoln had no authority to appoint Supreme Court justices, ambassadors, cabinate officers, or conduct the Civil War.
Serves me right for thinking Roger could think for himself.
BTW a whole book can be written on how the Democrats won the law and order mantle by defending the FBI and DOJ and then promptly threw it away be avocating the abolishment of ICE.
TDS is a terrible thing.
Corey Booker lining up his 2020 Run wants to abolishemention of ICE. He said in his Neighbor the people are afraid of talking to the Police.
Really, he lives in a million dollar plus home.
Serves me right for thinking Roger could think for himself."
Roger is brilliant.
He called for civility Here. I agree and have been for 4 days.
Serves me right for thinking Roger could think for himself."
Roger is brilliant.
He called for civility Here. I agree and have been for 4 days.
Why I despise evangelical christians....they are abject hypocrites, like menstral cramps...trump over humanity is not a christian message as practiced by these whores......
Mr. Hegar’s church on Walnut Street is across from the site of Mount Pleasant’s most popular event, a Labor Day festival of steam-powered tractors and other farm machinery. In the days and weeks after the raid, the church became a hectic crossroads for family members of the detained men and their supporters. Parishioners in a group called Iowa Welcomes Immigrant Neighbors raised $80,000 to help detainees’ families pay rent, utilities and legal fees.
Image
The Rev. Trey Hegar, center, met with Felipe Clamos, right, one of the workers arrested by immigration agents. Mr. Clamos posted bond and was released from detention.CreditWilliam Widmer for The New York Times
Other mainline Protestant churches, including the Lutherans, contributed to the fund, as did the Catholics at St. Alphonsus, where a Spanish Mass is held once a month. Notably absent from the donor roll, though, were Mount Pleasant’s evangelical churches.
Mr. Hegar said he heard relatives of a detained man say that the pastor of the evangelical church they have attended for years had not called to ask if he could help them. “My heart breaks for that,” Mr. Hegar said.
The town’s evangelical pastors, whom he knows, are compassionate individuals, he said, “but to see nothing, after something like this in their backyards — I’m shocked.”
He attributed their silence to the strong political alignment between American evangelicals and Mr. Trump, who counts heavily on their votes.
“The nationalistic politics and theology goes hand in hand now,” Mr. Hegar said. “It drives me crazy when we don’t practice what Jesus preaches because of the mix of religion and national politics.”
Pastors of three leading evangelical churches in Mount Pleasant declined repeated requests over several weeks seeking comment for this article.
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/03/us/ice-raid-iowa-churches.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news
Good morning Dennis.
Macro Look
Illegal Immigrantion is flowing from the "Shitholes" to Nation that Belong to NATO
It is an invation.
Fuck you asshole....
Seems the source of those citizenship grants is fake news, emanating from Iran clerics....funny how all the articles cite an Iranian source and the totals seem never to have been confirmed by the US....oh well, KD baited and swallowed hook line and sinker. Typical for non thinking assholes that swallow everything trump and faux news...
The Obama administration granted citizenship to 2,500 Iranians, including family members of government officials, while negotiating the Iran nuclear deal, a senior cleric and member of parliament has claimed.
Hojjat al-Islam Mojtaba Zolnour, who is chairman of Iran’s parliamentary nuclear committee and a member of its national security and foreign affairs committee, made the allegations during an interview with the country’s Etemad newspaper, cited by the country’s Fars News agency.
From Hannity more bullshit...
The Obama administration granted citizenship to approximately 2,500 Iranians -including family members of politicians and other VIPS- in the run-up to the Iranian nuclear agreement, said a senior cleric inside the Islamic Republic.
According to Fox News, an Iranian member of Parliament confirmed Obama’s White House issued the citizenship orders as a “favor to senior Iranian officials linked to President Rouhani.”
From the Jews....more BS and citing the faux fake headline....I love catching KD the jag off posting BS that he never reads as truth
MainAll NewsForeign AffairsObama granted citizenship to 2,500 Iranians before nuclear deal
Iranian official:
Obama granted citizenship to 2,500 Iranians before nuclear deal
Obama White House issued citizenship orders as 'favor to senior Iranian officials linked to President Rouhani'.
Contact Editor Mordechai Sones, 03/07/18 02:15
The Obama administration granted citizenship to approximately 2,500 Iranians - including family members of politicians and other VIPs - during the negotiations leading to the Iranian nuclear agreement, Fox News quoted a senior cleric inside the Islamic Republic.
From the Jews." Dennis
Well I don't see hypocrisy that Dennis does.
It's not like a catholic politician who supports planned parenthood and abortion dontcha know.
Blogger C.H. Truth said...
Trump won't pick a 60 year old.
nope. he doesn't. and i don't think he picks a woman this time either. he'll appoint another woman when ruth buzzi ginsburg croaks.
my $$$ is on kavanaugh.
I think Trump will have an easier time with Collins and Murkowski (the republican senators from planned parenthood) if does pick a woman.
s not like a catholic politician who supports planned parenthood and abortion dontcha know.
Really....who gives a fuck what you think let alone a politician.....doncha know....
From the Jews." Dennis
That's the source.....asshole...
The jewish source I noted, asshole....unlike your sensationalized BS headline picked from faux fake news.....which you did not provide as usual....idiot
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/248334
Or he goes "minority" with Amul Thapar: Young, originalist, son of Indian immigrants. What's not to like? Imagine, the two most conservative members of the court would be black and Indian. Talk about driving liberals nutso.
From the Jews." Dennis
Every now and then Dennis's anti-semitisim rears it's ugly head.
Yep, he has that in common with James.
From the Jews." Dennis
That's the source.....asshole"
Actually, NO, Dennis, Your Source Calls themselves:
"Israel National News"
The actual list.
Amy Barrett, Brett Kananaugh, Raymond Kethledge, Amual Thapar Joan Larsen, Thomas Hardman and Mike Lee.
KDJuly 3, 2018 at 6:21 AM
Serves me right for thinking Roger could think for himself."
Roger is brilliant.
He called for civility Here. I agree and have been for 4 days.
Reply
KDJuly 3, 2018 at 6:22 AM
Serves me right for thinking Roger could think for himself."
Roger is brilliant.
He called for civility Here. I agree and have been for 4 days.
KDJuly 3, 2018 at 6:21 AM
Serves me right for thinking Roger could think for himself."
Roger is brilliant.
He called for civility Here. I agree and have been for 4 days.
Reply
KDJuly 3, 2018 at 6:22 AM
Serves me right for thinking Roger could think for himself."
Roger is brilliant.
He called for civility Here. I agree and have been for 4 days.
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