Tuesday, September 10, 2019

NC 9 - still too close to call

The race between the two Dans (Bishop and McCready) looks like it will be going down to the wire. While many are talking about how Trump won this district by 10 points in 2016, we are passing over the fact that this was decided by 800 votes in 2018 and the results were effectively tossed out because of allegations of voter fraud.

The Democrat McCready had the advantage of running again just a few months after running the first time. He would have already had infrastructure in place and other money advantages. He is also running (as Democrats generally do in special elections) as a pseudo-conservative Democrat, rather than someone embracing what the Democrats running for President are pushing.

Dan Bishop isn't exactly Ronald Reagan, but he had a lot of help from the RNC as well as the President, who came into North Carolina for a rally this week.

I think our friend over at RCP makes the best point:

Unless one candidate or the other pulls away during the final counting of the votes here, this isn't really going to change much whatsoever. In fact, this race may just be a placeholder, as it's more likely than not that the same two will get a rematch in about 14 months.

30 comments:

Commonsense said...

Dan Bishop (GOP) has won the North Caroline 9th Special election.

CNN is trying to spin it as really a loss for Trump.

Anonymous said...

Politico calls it for the Republican.
"U.S. House, North Carolina 9th congressional district

The 9th District stretches from the suburbs of Charlotte east to Fayetteville, taking in rural and exurban counties along the border with South Carolina. The seat has been in Republican hands for decades.

Candidate. Party Votes. Winner
Dan Bishop GOP 94,984 ✓

Anonymous said...

Two "Referendum on the Trump Presidency "

Commonsense said...

CNN is totally pathetic.

CNN in 2020 "Trump really lost because he only lead the popular vote by 4%."

Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Anonymous said...

Lol, so Winnings is not what CNN.want the Socialist Democrats to do tonite.

Right. God they are as stupid as the Three Socialist Stooges of CHT .

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

What I have seen is that the Republican candidates have won by small margins.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Special elections don't have the turnout as large as in general elections.

I don't think that either side should make it an indication of the future elections.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

50.8% Dan Bishop GOP 94,984 ✓
48.6% Dan McCready Dem 90,824

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

4,000 votes out of about 184,000 I didn't do the math. But it's pretty close.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

1.2%

Commonsense said...

Special elections don't have the turnout as large as in general elections.
I don't think that either side should make it an indication of the future elections.


You mean other that Bishop should win by an even larger margin in 2020.

Face it Roger, the Democrats spent a lot of time and money to try to take this seat only to fail again.

Anonymous said...

Roger = idiot

Anonymous said...

Roger got one right (w/minor editing).

"What I have seen is that the Republican candidates have won ...."

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

A new CNN poll finds 60% of Americans say President Trump does not deserve to be reelected.

“Overall, the poll paints a picture of a President who has done little to improve negative impressions of him or his work during his time in office. Across several questions asked early in Trump’s time in office and asked again now, the poll finds little positive change and deep partisan polarization.

“The President’s approval rating remains about where it was in mid-August, with 39% approving of the job he’s doing and 55% disapproving.”

Commonsense said...

CNN polls are about as trustworthy as their reporting.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Trump Made 21 False Claims at Rally

President Trump made at least 21 other false claims at his North Carolina rally last night, “most of them statements that have been debunked on multiple previous occasions,” CNN reports

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

“His campaign manager is a felon. His deputy campaign manager is a felon. His personal lawyer is a felon. His foreign policy advisor is a felon. His national security advisor is a felon. The Trump campaign was run by criminals.”
— GOP strategist Stuart Stevens, on Twitter.

He's gone bathing in in the swamp, not draining it.

Anonymous said...

CNN is fake news. Huge win for Trump today. Down 17 a month ago to plus 4 is remarkable.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

On this night ... 18 years ago 246 people went to sleep in preparation for their morning flights. 2,606 people went to sleep in preparation for work in the morning tomorrow. 343 firefighters went to sleep in preparation for their morning shift. 60 police officers went to sleep in preparation for morning patrol. 8 paramedics went to sleep in preparation for the morning shift of saving lives. None of them saw past 10:00am Sept 11, 2001. In one single moment life may never be the same. As you live and enjoy the breaths you take today and tonight before you go to sleep in preparation for your life tomorrow, kiss the ones you love, snuggle a little tighter, and never take one second of your life for granted.

Copied and shared ..Never forget 🇺🇸

Anonymous said...

Roger FU.
You have sided with the Criminal Muslims
Like the one in the Congress .

Anonymous said...

"Some people did something," Omar

Myballs said...

Headline:

Republicans sweep! Voters tell democrats to fuck off

Ok, that should be a headline

Myballs said...

Yes never forget by demanding our borders be wide open. Right roger?

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Roger puts up a touching and meaningful post that anyone should be able to affirm, and he gets KD's and Myballs'
usual tripe.

This blog has some real bottom feeders contributing to it.

Anonymous said...

Look Jane you punk.
Your team doesn't get to trash the USA 364 days a year. Then attempt to raise the Betsy Ross Flag one day out of the year..

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

The person who is trashing the USA is in the White House.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

The Final Straw for John Bolton

Politico: “Ultimately, it was hearing media accounts about how Bolton had advised the president to scuttle a meeting with Taliban leaders at Camp David that proved a breaking point for Trump … In the president’s telling, he had taken his own counsel in arriving at the decision to call off the meeting and end the negotiations, and he was infuriated to hear Bolton credited with influencing his decision.”

Washington Post: “Among accumulated grievances that had been building for months, the president was annoyed that Bolton would regularly call on members of Congress to try to get them to push Bolton-preferred policies on Trump … Many on Bolton’s handpicked staff were seen as unnecessarily confrontational with other parts of the national security bureaucracy.”

Trump’s National Security Legacy

New York Times: “No other president has had four national security advisers in his first three years in office.”

Commonsense said...


On this night ... 18 years ago 246 people went to sleep in preparation for their morning flights. 2,606 people went to sleep in preparation for work in the morning tomorrow. 343 firefighters went to sleep in preparation for their morning shift. 60 police officers went to sleep in preparation for morning patrol. 8 paramedics went to sleep in preparation for the morning shift of saving lives. None of them saw past 10:00am Sept 11, 2001. In one single moment life may never be the same


Some planes did something.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

I never said anything like that.