Monday, April 6, 2020

Models revised for the state of New York

5664 Ventilators required




Of course this is very good news. Obviously nobody (other than a few Trump hating liberals) wanted to see people die in New York due to lack of medical equipment. As it stands, the amount of ventilators they have on hand should suffice, and despite this graphic stating that they would be short on hospital beds, there are still nearly 3000 extra beds that were created for New York by the Federal Government that are largely going unused. 

Now quite obviously that is also good news. Better to be overzealous in preparation than lackadaisical. The models are now projecting that we may only need 25,000 ventilators at the peak. We have 160,000 nationally. My question will be what will we do with 100,000 more ventilators that we have ordered if we end up not needing them during the crisis? Will we end up with a giant federal surplus? Free replacement for ventilators that stop working. 

Certainly the respirator masks, gowns, gloves, etc... were all needed in a hurry. Those things can be made fairly quickly. So if there was something we overestimated, I am glad it's something that we otherwise would have had issues making over night.


59 comments:

Anonymous said...

Federal funds flow Illegals.
"Newsom: “We are making available these emergency grants … to provide support for people across the panoply, including those without documentation in the state of California.”

Caliphate4vr said...

My Self-Isolation Quarantine Diary

Day 1 – I Can Do This!! Got enough food and wine to last a month!
Day 2 – Opening my 8th bottle of Wine. I fear wine supplies might not last!
Day 3 – Strawberries: Some have 210 seeds, some have 235 seeds. Who Knew??
Day 4 – 8:00pm. Removed my Day Pajamas and put on my Night Pajamas.
Day 5 – Today, I tried to make Hand Sanitizer. It came out as Jello Shots!!
Day 6 – I get to take the Garbage out. I’m So excited, I can’t decide what to wear.
Day 7 – Laughing way too much at my own jokes!!
Day 8 – Went to a new restaurant called “The Kitchen”. You have to gather all the ingredients and make your own meal. I have No clue how this place is still in business.
Day 9 – I put liquor bottles in every room. Tonight, I’m getting all dressed up and going Bar hopping.
Day 10 – Struck up a conversation with a Spider today. Seems nice. He’s a Web Designer.
Day 11 – Isolation is hard. I swear my fridge just said, “What the hell do you want now?”
Day 12 – I realized why dogs get so excited about something moving outside, going for walks or car rides. I think I just barked at a squirrel.
Day 13 – If you keep a glass of wine in each hand, you can’t accidently touch your face.
Day 14 – Watched the birds fight over a worm. The Cardinals lead the Blue Jays 3–1.
Day 15 – Anybody else feel like they’ve cooked dinner about 395 times this month?

Stolen off the web

Anonymous said...

😅

Anonymous said...



Here’s a fucking idea.

A 3 hour presidential fucking briefing with Jon fucking Karl and his gay little fucking blue glasses, that Herman Munster looking motherfucker from NBFUCKINGC and that gay-hating harridan from CNNLOFUCKINGL whose smug fucking face is one fucking wart...

...short of a fucking witch. And this trio of Fuckers will spend all 3 fucking hours only asking Trump why he isn’t fucking shutting the whole fucking country the fuck down.

And if by some fucking miracle we’re able to fucking crack that fucking mystery, let’s move the...

...fuck on and see if we can’t fucking solve the fucking whodunnit about why Trump supports these fucking anti-malaria drugs. And on the off fucking chance we untie that fucking Gordian knot, let’s fucking have these fucking top-notch fucking Columbo-level questioners...

...ask Trump why he won’t fucking release his fucking taxes.

Let’s never fucking move this fucking fucker the fuck on. Let’s never fucking stop finding the fuck out how many different fucking ways Trump can fucking answer the same fucking questions over and fucking over...

...and fucking-the-fuck over until we’re all so fucking misinformed and driven fucking mad we’re all fucking licking fucking toilets.

And I can’t think of three fucking useless fucking lying fuckers more up to the job than the fucking fuckers I call the fucking....

... FrankenWitchBlueFuckingGlassesFuckerTrio

And when this fucking three-the-fuck hour exercise in fucking illumination is done, let’s all tune to CNNLOFUCKINGL so we can watch Jake Fucking Tapper’s smug little resting bitchfuckingface fucking whine like the fucking little Fauntleroy bitch he is because...

... Trump didn’t answer whatever gay-ass retard of a retarded fucking question Tapper wants answered— you know, the fucking question question the gay-hating witch face from CNNLOFUCKINGL had 3 fucking hours to fucking ask and fucking didn’t cuz she’s a fucking retard.


https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1247313836828495873.html


i watched the last 2 hours of the briefing and this is pretty much how it went.


Anonymous said...




Ned Nikolov, Ph.D.
@NikolovScience

Comparing #COVID19 Projections (https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections) with reported data by Covid Tracking (https://covidtracking.com/data/) for Apr 5:

- Overestimation of hospitalizations: 8 times
- Overestimation of of ICU beds needed: 6.4 times
- Overestimation of ventilators needed: 40.5 times



https://twitter.com/NikolovScience/status/1246823479820693505

anonymous said...

The reason we are in this mess.....trump did nothing when warned numerous times!!!!

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/06/us/politics/navarro-warning-trump-coronavirus.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage

And rat.....an opinion is like an asshole.....everybody has one!!!!!! Including your irrelevant Phd!!!!!!!!!

Anonymous said...

When do we get the newly revised models?

Anonymous said...

Mich. Democrat Cunt Govenor complains that The drug she shit on is not getting to her state fast enough, 🤣

Anonymous said...

Mich. Democrat Cunt Govenor complains that The drug she shit on is not getting to her state fast enough, 🤣

Anonymous said...

Just Wow. His TEAM, is trying to protect Joe from Joe.

"Democrat presidential front runner Joe Biden shifted to an edited style of “live”streaming .."

That is not live.

anonymous said...

And the cunt goat fucker still thinks this virus is a hoax and trump is doing a fantastic job.....BWAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!!

Anonymous said...

"On Monday, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo told reporters that in his state alone, the epicenter of the viral outbreak in the United States, new coronavirus hospitalizations dropped by about 75 percent, from 1,427 four days ago to 358 on Sunday."

Great News.

anonymous said...

AND TRUMP SAID IT WAS UNDER CONTROL!!!!!!

Maggie Haberman
By Maggie Haberman
Published April 6, 2020
Updated April 7, 2020, 12:46 a.m. ET

A top White House adviser starkly warned Trump administration officials in late January that the coronavirus crisis could cost the United States trillions of dollars and put millions of Americans at risk of illness or death.

The warning, written in a memo by Peter Navarro, President Trump’s trade adviser, is the highest-level alert known to have circulated inside the West Wing as the administration was taking its first substantive steps to confront a crisis that had already consumed China’s leaders and would go on to upend life in Europe and the United States.

“The lack of immune protection or an existing cure or vaccine would leave Americans defenseless in the case of a full-blown coronavirus outbreak on U.S. soil,” Mr. Navarro’s memo said. “This lack of protection elevates the risk of the coronavirus evolving into a full-blown pandemic, imperiling the lives of millions of Americans.”

anonymous said...

And the goat fucker diddles like trump...hoping for a miracle.....BWAAAAAAAA!!!!!

Anonymous said...

CO2 gasses have dropped over the last month or so, because of reduction in cars/plane USE.

Yet, we have the same number of live stock ie. Cows.

anonymous said...

Things are getting better in Floriduh......first time in weeks the local store had TP on the shelves.....DAYUM!!!!! Must be a sign!!!!!!! BTW.....pine cones and rope are an easy alternative!!!!!!!

Commonsense said...

Well Trump is doing a fantastic job striking the balance between a semi-command economy, federalism and the safety and health of Americans.

The Democrat governors and local officials? Not so much.

1. There is no healthcare justification to banning sales of non-food items in big box stores.
2. Their is also little or no justification for these petty tyrants to trample on the constitutional rights of Americans.

Without exception the most draconian and unconstitutional trampling of rights have occurred in Democrat control localities.

At the statewide level all you hear is whining about not enough ventilators when they have ventilators that are unused in warehouses.

anonymous said...

Methane has also decreased due to trump continuous lies.....BWAAAAAAAA!!!!!!!

anonymous said...

Hey cramps....no body gives a fuck about your opinion on what and what should not be open... Keeping people apart is what is needed and you think otherwise......no wonder why I call you a stupid fuck like trump....who refuses to lead the country and has state he will not wear a mask.......what a great example!!!!!

Anonymous said...

Valued Opinon
"
Without exception the most draconian and unconstitutional trampling of rights have occurred in Democrat control localities.

At the statewide level all you hear is whining about not enough ventilators when they have ventilators that are unused in warehouses."

Correct.

Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Anonymous said...

I was sorry to hear that alky and James have tested Positive.

I hope they make it.

anonymous said...

"
Without exception the most draconian and unconstitutional trampling of rights have occurred in Democrat control localities.



WHICH PROVES THEY TAKE THEIR JOB SERIOUSLY !!!!! UNLIKE TRUMP OR YOU!!!!!! IDIOT!!!!! Yeah, those dying people are whining to stay alive while you sit on your old fat white ass and do nothing.....god you are a despicable asshole !!!!

Anonymous said...




And rat.....an opinion is like an asshole....

indeed, dumb fuck denny.

so is that why you posted a link to maggie haberman's opinion?

anonymous said...

That's your opinion you dumb fuck....she is a reporter unlike you!~!!!!! Why don't you pick out what she did wrong instead of your ad hominem idiocy!!!!! BWAAAAAAAA!!! Funny how you will say anything to protect the asshole in the WH!!!!! God you are a dumb fuck!!!!

anonymous said...

I guess the dumb fuck from NY is questioning the fact Navarro warned trump and who did nothing but lie....Yeah....he sure looks out for the US....as long as he looks good on camera.....BWAAAAAAAA!!!!!

Anonymous said...



a reporter, eh?

One January 2015 strategy document — designed to plant stories on Clinton’s decision-making process about whether to run for president — singled out reporter Maggie Haberman, then of Politico, now covering the election for the New York Times, as a “friendly journalist” who has “teed up” stories for them in the past and “never disappointed” them. Nick Merrill, the campaign press secretary, produced the memo, according to the document metadata:

That strategy document plotted how Clinton aides could induce Haberman to write a story on the thoroughness and profound introspection involved in Clinton’s decision-making process. The following month, when she was at the Times, Haberman published two stories on Clinton’s vetting process; in this instance, Haberman’s stories were more sophisticated, nuanced, and even somewhat more critical than what the Clinton memo envisioned.

But they nonetheless accomplished the goal Clinton campaign aides wanted to fulfill of casting the appearance of transparency on Clinton’s vetting process in a way that made clear she was moving carefully but inexorably toward a presidential run.

Given more than 24 hours to challenge the authenticity of these documents and respond, Merrill did not reply to our emails. Haberman declined to comment.


https://theintercept.com/2016/10/09/exclusive-new-email-leak-reveals-clinton-campaigns-cozy-press-relationship/


she's a DNC operative hack with a perch at the NY Times.

only a dumb fuck toolbox like you sees her as a "reporter."

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

REPUBLICANS DO NOT WANT AMERICANS TO VOTE,
EVEN IF THEY HAVE TO ENDANGER THEIR HEALTH TO PREVENT THEM.
WE ARE SEEING THAT MOST CLEARLY TODAY IN WISCONSIN.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

OH MY GOODNESS. SOMEONE IN THE WHITE HOUSE ACTUALLY TRIED TO TELL TRUMP THE TRUTH.

A top White House adviser starkly warned Trump administration officials in late January that the coronavirus crisis could cost the United States trillions of dollars and put millions of Americans at risk of illness or death.

The warning, written in a memo by Peter Navarro, President Trump’s trade adviser, is the highest-level alert known to have circulated inside the West Wing as the administration was taking its first substantive steps to confront a crisis that had already consumed China’s leaders and would go on to upend life in Europe and the United States.

“The lack of immune protection or an existing cure or vaccine would leave Americans defenseless in the case of a full-blown coronavirus outbreak on U.S. soil,” Mr. Navarro’s memo said. “This lack of protection elevates the risk of the coronavirus evolving into a full-blown pandemic, imperiling the lives of millions of Americans.”

___________

"Another of those nameless 'top White House advisers,'" Rat was going to complain.

But then he saw the name is given. Peter Navarro, Trump's own trade adviser.

anonymous said...


she's a DNC operative hack with a perch at the NY Times.


And the fucking idiot loser from NY again shows his single digit IQ and wonders why trump has taken over his drug addled brain....BWAAAAAAAAAA!!!! She reports for the times and your kind don't like her .....which you just opine she can't be honest.....LOLOLOLOL!!! You got nothing you dumb fucking loser other that your reality is up trumps old fat white ass!!!!! BTW....WTF do the clintons have to do with anything/???? Another POS opinion you buy into blindly!!!!!! And you still a gigantic chickenshit hiding the town you live in!!!!!!! So brave you are cheeto breath!!!!

Anonymous said...



dumb fuck denny already shared that op/ed from the NY Times, pederast.

pay attention.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

FELLOW AMERICANS!
THE REPUBLICANS AND THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION ARE AT WAR WITH US!
RISK YOUR LIVES TODAY TO VOTE!
NOW IS THE TIME FOR ALL TRUE PATRIOTS TO STEP FORWARD AND DO YOUR VOTING DUTY!

anonymous said...

Gee...SecNav takes back his words....something trump will probably fire him for!!!!!! What a dick wad trump is!!!!!

WASHINGTON – The acting Navy secretary disparaged the former captain of the USS Theodore Roosevelt, calling him "too naive or too stupid" to command the aircraft carrier stricken with COVID-19, before issuing a remarkable apology taking back the insults.

Acting Navy Secretary Thomas Modly, who last week fired Capt. Brett Crozier for sending a letter to Navy officials urgently seeking help before one of his sailors died from the coronavirus, made the remarks about Crozier April 5 to members of the Roosevelt's crew. A Defense official, who was not authorized to speak publicly, confirmed Monday that a transcript of Modly's remarks was accurate.

In a stunning reversal, Modly apologized to Crozier, his family and the Navy in a statement late Monday night.

"Let me be clear, I do not think Capt. Brett Crozier is naive or stupid," Modly said, according to the statement released by the Navy. "I think, and always believed him to be the opposite."

It's unclear what prompted Modly's sudden change of heart. However, hours earlier President Donald Trump waded into the controversy, saying at a White House briefing that he would "look into" Crozier's case. In addition, powerful lawmakers called for Modly to be fired. And the Navy, shortly after Trump spoke, said it had extended the deadline for its investigation into Crozier's letter.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Thankee, Rattypoo, but I knew that.

I thought it bears repeating.

It does.

It most certainly does.

Especially with the anticipated erroneous comment from you.

anonymous said...

And the Ag school dumb ass failure takes trumps dick up his ass again and begs for more!!!!! BWAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!

Anonymous said...

The Models are as wrong as the Polls in 2016 Presidential Race.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

DO NOT READ THIS:

This Is Trump’s Fault
by David Frum

“That the pandemic occurred is not Trump’s fault.

The utter unpreparedness of the United States for a pandemic is Trump’s fault.

The loss of stockpiled respirators to breakage because the federal government let maintenance contracts lapse in 2018 is Trump’s fault.

The failure to store sufficient protective medical gear in the national arsenal is Trump’s fault.

That states are bidding against other states for equipment, paying many multiples of the precrisis price for ventilators, is Trump’s fault.

Air travelers summoned home and forced to stand for hours in dense airport crowds alongside infected people? That was Trump’s fault too.

Ten weeks of insisting that the coronavirus is a harmless flu that would miraculously go away on its own? Trump’s fault again.

The refusal of red-state governors to act promptly, the failure to close Florida and Gulf Coast beaches until late March? That fault is more widely shared, but again, responsibility rests with Trump: He could have stopped it, and he did not.

The lying about the coronavirus by hosts on Fox News and conservative talk radio is Trump’s fault: They did it to protect him.

The false hope of instant cures and nonexistent vaccines is Trump’s fault, because he told those lies to cover up his failure to act in time.

The severity of the economic crisis is Trump’s fault; things would have been less bad if he had acted faster instead of sending out his chief economic adviser and his son Eric to assure Americans that the first stock-market dips were buying opportunities.

The firing of a Navy captain for speaking truthfully about the virus’s threat to his crew? Trump’s fault.

The fact that so many key government jobs were either empty or filled by mediocrities? Trump’s fault.

The insertion of Trump’s arrogant and incompetent son-in-law as commander in chief of the national medical supply chain? Trump’s fault.

For three years, Trump has blathered and bluffed and bullied his way through an office for which he is utterly inadequate.

But sooner or later, every president must face a supreme test, a test that cannot be evaded by blather and bluff and bullying. That test has overwhelmed Trump.”


I would have said, "...has overwhelmed the obviously incompetent Trump."

anonymous said...

And the goat fucker cums in his hand again with his above post....WHY ARE YOU SUCH A DUMB FUCK????? BWAAAAAAPAAAAAA!!!!! BTW.....The 2016 popular vote polls were dead nuts you fucking idiot!!!!

Anonymous said...

"White House trade adviser Peter Navarro warned in a late January memo the coronavirus could cost the United States trillions without a travel ban on China.

Navarro called for an immediate travel ban on China in the memo, dated January 29th"

Jan 30th, Trump bans travel from China.

Biden opposed the ban.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Quote of the Day
April 7, 2020 at 9:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Either voters will have to brave the polls, endangering their own and others’ safety. Or they will lose their right to vote, through no fault of their own.”
— Justice Ruth Bader Gingsburg, quoted by the HuffPost, excoriating her conservative colleagues over their decision to deny Wisconsin Democrats’ request to extend the deadline for absentee voting in today’s primary due to the pandemic.
____________________
Trump has ruined the Supreme Court. It once stood for American values.

Anonymous said...




so...

the WI supreme court foiled the democrat plot to "keep voting until we win."

bravo!

Anonymous said...



so...

in Wisconsin, a trip to the grocery store is no big deal, but a trip to the polls is CERTAIN DEATH.

okey dokey.

Anonymous said...

Lol, Drama Queen Jane.

C.H. Truth said...

“Either voters will have to brave the polls, endangering their own and others’ safety. Or they will lose their right to vote, through no fault of their own.”
— Justice Ruth Bader Gingsburg, quoted by the HuffPost, excoriating her conservative colleagues over their decision to deny Wisconsin Democrats’ request to extend the deadline for absentee voting in today’s primary due to the pandemic.



The morons from Wisconsin should have postponed their election like everyone else has done. The fact that some wanted to flip election law on it's head because of Covid-19 seems pretty much like the attempt by Pelosi and gang to undo our Federal election laws for the 2020 November election.

Either we run our elections based on the laws in place...

or you postpone the election.

Governors and Courts have no constitutional rights to simply change election laws because they decide there is some reason to do so. That just opens up a whole can of worms and would effectively allow any Governor or Court to do so willy nilly for whatever reason they believe is valid.

Anonymous said...



The fact that some wanted to flip election law on it's head because of Covid-19 seems pretty much like the attempt by Pelosi and gang to undo our Federal election laws for the 2020 November election.

that's all this was. a naked partisan political attempt to use vote by mail, ballot harvesting, and any other dirty trick in the book to try and steal an election.

C.H. Truth said...

The biggest problem for Democrats in Wisconsin is that Republican requested ballots have been coming back at a much larger percentage than Democratic requested ballots (somewhere in the vicinity of 53% to 38%).

So at this point, Democrats will be wiped out unless they win the same day voting by a huge margin. Considering Democrats/Liberals are much more likely to be cautious than Republicans/Conservatives... that seems like a steep order.

So that is "exactly" why Democrats want to extend things out in a vain hope that they can catch up. The longer they can hold out, the better chance you can see counting irregularities and other cheating.

anonymous said...

Blogger C.H. Truth said...
The biggest problem for Democrats in Wisconsin is that Republican


BWAAAAAAAA!!! The biggest problem is the R's don't want them to vote, Lil Schitty!!!!!!!! But again.....your opinion will be duly ignored again!!!!

Anonymous said...



So that is "exactly" why Democrats want to extend things out in a vain hope that they can catch up. The longer they can hold out, the better chance you can see counting irregularities and other cheating.


yep.

like i said earlier -

the democrat strategery is - "keep voting until we win."

Anonymous said...



The biggest problem is the R's don't want them to vote


that's right, dumb fuck...

nothing says 'we don't want you to vote' like...

...making sure the polls open on time.



C.H. Truth said...

The biggest problem is the R's don't want them to vote

Everyone had the same chance to vote.... just that some people are more organized and motivated than others.

The fact that potential Democratic voters took longer to request, the Democratic Party took longer to send, and the voters took longer to follow up and vote... is not on the Republicans.

Evers thought by not postponing the election he would be given free reign to manipulate the rules. He was wrong. He should have postponed it like everyone else.

anonymous said...

I see my comment flew over your head again as you expound the Bullshit of the R talking points in a new format!!!!!! BWAAAAAAAA!!!!!! They don't want D's to vote....and all your excuses are rather telling of your immature thinking and support of trump!!!!!

anonymous said...

he democrat strategery is - "keep voting until we win."



You mean like the R's did in NC???????? Wow, you sure are a funny dumb fuck!!!!

anonymous said...

The other day, Lil Schitty posted all the stuff that he claims were provided to states and Hospitals.....Seems to me, it is another giant trump fail as the HHS has published a report with these key findings....


Severe Shortages of Testing Supplies and Extended Waits for Results
Hospitals reported that severe shortages of testing supplies and extended waits for test results limited hospitals’ ability to monitor the health of patients and staff. Hospitals reported that they were unable to keep up with COVID-19 testing demands because they lacked complete kits and/or the individual components and supplies needed to complete tests. Additionally, hospitals reported frequently waiting 7 days or longer for test results. When patient stays were extended while awaiting test results, this strained bed availability, personal protective equipment (PPE) supplies, and staffing.
Widespread Shortages of PPE
Hospitals reported that widespread shortages of PPE put staff and patients at risk. Hospitals reported that heavier use of PPE than normal was contributing to the shortage and that the lack of a robust supply chain was delaying or preventing them from restocking PPE needed to protect staff. Hospitals also expressed uncertainty about availability of PPE from Federal and State sources and noted sharp increases in prices for PPE from some vendors.


I can only imagine the trump will call the report BS and Lil Schitty will swallow and ask for another!!!!!

Anonymous said...



They don't want D's to vote...


by giving them the exact same access to the polls as the R's.

got it.

so what you're saying is that D's have "special needs," what we used to call 'retarded', which requires an accommodation above and beyond standard voting and poll requirements.

anonymous said...


so what you're saying is that D's have "special needs,


And all you ever say is stupid, inane, bigoted and racist.....sorry you dumb fuck.....try not to think too hard....trump would not approve!!!!!! BWAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

They don't want D's to vote because so many of them are a lot more worked up against Trump than the R's and Indies are worked up for him.

Especially when it comes to women and minorities.

Commonsense said...

Yeah that's it James.

If the D's are so worked up, why do they have to cheat?

anonymous said...

If the D's are so worked up, why do they have to cheat?


BWAAAAAAA!!!!! Sad that your stupidity runs sooooo deep cramps.....Having the R's demand people to vote in Wi is just another example of winning a judge any way they can......denying people access to sufficient polling places is a great idea....doncha think!!!

Commonsense said...

Wisconsin didn't have anything to do with the R's. The D's are in charge and they tried to postpone a previously announced election.
The Wisconsin supreme court said "No".