Thursday, May 14, 2020

Not really all that shocking.

SHOCK CNN POLL: Trump Leads Biden By 7 Points in the Battleground States, Despite Trailing By 5 Overall
A new poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden and President Donald Trump in a standoff over their national support and their momentum in battleground states.
 
A CNN study conducted by SRSS found that 51 percent of national registered voters back Biden, while 46 percent are behind Trump. This is a 2 percent drop for Biden since the poll had him at 53 percent in April while the president has jumped up 4 percent from his previous rating of 42.
The poll featured an oversampling of registered voters living in battleground states, and the findings among that subset indicate that Trump is leading Biden 52 percent to 45. Trump has the edge among male voters, independents, and white people, though Biden has a slight edge with women voters, even though several of the poll’s demographic findings fell within the margin of error.

First of all, a five point national lead for Biden this early and with "registered" voters is not good enough to consider him winning. When all is said and done, this 5 points is likely more like a wash and Biden will need to win by at least 2% (if not 3%) nationally to win the electoral college vote. This is one of several polls that have been moving back towards the President from where we were at a month or so ago.

Moreover, the laborious math involved over how this poll differs would have been more easily explained by just stating that last month Biden led Trump by 11 points and now it's 5. The 2% to this and 4% to that and the rest makes it appear that they are trying to hide the actual bottom line poll results (which are very, very bad for Biden).

While the coronavirus pandemic is certain to cause ongoing changes in public polling, the numbers from battleground states are a surprising break from other recent surveys. Reuters’ latest poll showed Biden leading Trump, surveys from last month showed the president’s pandemic response approval is lower than every state governor in the country, while Biden has polled much more favorably on the crisis.

Well first of all, nobody actually looks at anything that puts the words Reuters and poll in the same sentence, and I am not sure what biased anti-Trump polling on the Covid-19 response has to do with horse race battleground match-ups.  The overall reality is that Trump still leads in the betting odds by almost double digits (as Biden just dropped to under 42%).

18 comments:

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Do people look at anything that puts the word RASMUSSEN in its statement?
__________

23% of Republicans Wish Trump Wasn’t Their Nominee

A new Rasmussen Reports survey finds that 23% of Republican voters think their party should find someone other than Donald Trump to be their presidential nominee.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

The overall reality is that Trump still leads in the betting odds by almost double digits (as Biden just dropped to under 42%).

The night before the election, Hillary led the betting odds 88% to Trump's 13%.

Anonymous said...



The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 23% of Likely Republican Voters think their party should find someone other than Trump to be their presidential nominee. Seventy percent (70%) disagree. Only seven percent (7%) are undecided.

LOL. Get Fucked.



Anonymous said...



teegen left this out of his anal-ysis.:


By comparison, 28% of Likely Democratic Voters say their party should find someone other than Joe Biden to be their 2020 presidential nominee. Fifty-four percent (54%) disagree, while another 18% are not sure.


where's BWAA?

i think this deserves a BWAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!



Myballs said...

No. Nov 8, 2016 it was reported that betting odds had Trump 95.3% winning. Business Insider, among others reported it.

Anonymous said...


No. Nov 8, 2016 it was reported that betting odds had Trump 95.3% winning. Business Insider, among others reported it.

the pederast doesn't know the difference between the vegas/london betting lines and the tracking polls

Commonsense said...

I'm detecting a certain amount of high anxiety in the media zeitgeist today.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...


EPA Says NO LIMITS on Contaminant Tied to Fetal Damage

“The Trump administration will not impose any limits on perchlorate, a toxic chemical compound that contaminates water and has been linked to fetal and infant brain damage,” the New York Times reports.

“The decision by Andrew Wheeler, the administrator of the EPA, appears to defy a court order that required the agency to establish a safe drinking-water standard for the chemical by the end of June. The policy, which acknowledges that exposure to high levels of perchlorate can cause I.Q. damage but opts nevertheless not to limit it, could also set a precedent for the regulation of other chemicals.”
______________

NOT REALLY ALL THAT SHOCKING WHEN YOU CONSIDER HOW HYPOCRITICALLY ARTIFICIAL AND POLITICAL TRUMP'S "PRO LIFE" OPPOSITION TO ABORTION IS.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Graham Shoots Down Trump’s Call for Obama to Testify

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) brushed back President Trump’s pleas for the Judiciary Committee chairman to haul in former President Barack Obama for testimony about the origins of the Russia investigation and the FBI’s handling of the investigation into Michael Flynn, Politico reports.

Said Graham:
“I don’t think now’s the time for me to do that. I don’t know if that’s even possible. I have grave concerns about the role of executive privilege and all kinds of issues. I understand President Trump’s frustration, but be careful what you wish for. Just be careful what you wish for.”
_______

IOW, IT COULD GO VERY BADLY FOR YOU, DONALD.

Anonymous said...



Biden Taps AOC to Chair Campaign’s Task Force To Completely Destroy The US Economy

Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden chose far-left congresswomen Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D., N.Y.) and Pramila Jayapal (D., Wash.) to lead "unity task forces" to craft the party's general election platform.

Biden announced the appointments Wednesday alongside former rival Sen. Bernie Sanders (I., Vt.), who dropped out of the race in April and endorsed Biden. The two campaigns worked together to create joint task forces dealing with the party's stances on six issues: climate change, immigration, health care, education, criminal justice, and the economy.

Ocasio-Cortez will chair the climate change task force along with former secretary of state John Kerry, who was the Democratic presidential nominee in 2004. Jayapal, also a staunch progressive, will run the health care task force.


https://freebeacon.com/2020-election/biden-taps-aoc-to-chair-climate-change-task-force/

Myballs said...

No. Iow, it could set precedent for testimony by ex presidents.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Trump says it's safe for schools to reopen. Fauci disagrees.
What does the science say?
Yahoo News

May 14th 2020 1:47PM

With reopening well underway in some states — and reopening plans now taking shape in states that remain locked down — America’s harried, anxious parents are suddenly being asked to consider whether they feel comfortable sending their children back to school.

Late last month, President Trump told governors to “seriously consider” and “maybe get going on” school openings “because a lot of people are wanting to have [them]” and “young children have done very well in this disaster that we’ve all gone through.”

Then on Wednesday, Trump reiterated his belief that schools should reopen after Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation’s top infectious disease expert, cautioned the Senate about the unknown effects the coronavirus has on juveniles in light of recent reports about a multisystem, COVID-triggered inflammatory disease that has killed three children.

“They should open the schools, absolutely,” Trump told reporters. “I was surprised by his answer. To me it’s not an acceptable answer, especially when it comes to schools.”

“Now where you have an incident, one out of a million, one out of 500,000, will something happen? Perhaps,” the president continued, referring to the rare yet tragic complication. “But, you know, you can be driving to school and some bad things can happen too. We’re going to open our country. We want it open.”

Trump is probably right that cases of the Kawasaki-like disease are too few and far between — for now — to change most policymakers’ minds about the safety of returning to school. He is also right that children have “done” better than adults overall: Confirmed COVID-19 cases among minors are uncommon (2 percent of the U.S. total) and significantly less likely to be severe. As of May 6, there were 10 deaths in children 14 and younger and 48 deaths in those between the ages of 15 and 24 — though some early research suggests that asymptomatic coronavirus infections might be more prevalent among children than the confirmed case count would indicate.

Either way, reopening schools would not only help kids start learning — and in many poor districts, eating — again. It would also help parents get back to work. Other countries, including Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, Taiwan, Germany, Denmark, France and Belgium, are already doing it.

As a result, administrators nationwide have been contacting families and asking for feedback. “We are exploring opening our doors to a reduced number of students on July 1st, with new protocols in place to minimize health risks,” one California preschool emailed earlier this month. “We’d like to gauge from the community who among you would be interested in returning on July 1st ... PLEASE EMAIL ASAP to let us know.”

The immediate, instinctive answer — as any preschool parent will attest — is a resounding yes. Working from home while caring for young, cooped-up children is somewhere between challenging and maddening.

But the real risk of sending kids back to school isn’t to the kids themselves. It’s to everybody else. What parents are actually being asked to assess when administrators request “feedback” on reopening is whether that risk — the risk that children will wind up spreading the coronavirus to teachers, parents, grandparents and beyond — is one they’re willing to take.

In other words: What role do children play in the pandemic? Do they pass the pathogen to adults and continue the chain of transmission?
____________

So what does the science say?

==the article continues--

Commonsense said...

In other words: What role do children play in the pandemic? Do they pass the pathogen to adults and continue the chain of transmission?

The science say none, and they don't pass it to adults

Anonymous said...

Bingo.

This Pendemic was avoidable.
China made it in their Lab then released it upon the World.

WHO covered for China.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

In other words: What role do children play in the pandemic? Do they pass the pathogen to adults and continue the chain of transmission?

Common lack of sense says:
The science[sic] say none, and they don't pass it to adults
____________

I suppose you meant to say
"The scientists say none, and they don't pass it on to adults."

Which of course is something YOU and others do not yet know.
Scientists fear that may indeed be the case,
and if so, we need desperately to find it out.
Otherwise, we could be in deep, deep trouble
letting children crowd back into the schools.

Anonymous said...

Nonsense from James.

Anonymous said...

James your prediction of no protest against Governors, got any updates?

Commonsense said...

I suppose you meant to say
"The scientists say none, and they don't pass it on to adults."


No, I meant to say the science say none. And children don't pass it on to adults as studies have comfirmed.

Don't ever tell me what I meant to say again, asshole.