Wednesday, June 3, 2020

Some polling perspective...

CNBC - National poll (Biden 48 Trump 41)


Trump running ahead of national poll:
(assuming these are toss up states)
  • Pennsylvania +11
  • Arizona - +8
  • Wisconsin +7
  • North Carolina +6
  • Michigan +5
  • Florida +4

What does this mean? Well it means that even in these early (likely biased) register voters polls, Joe Biden is running up the score in the deep blue states like New York, California, etc... providing a significant disconnect between what the national polling is going to tell us and what state polling is going to tell us. 

As I have stated, Biden may have to win by at least three or four points to actually win an electoral college victory. 

27 comments:

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/#!

The polls above were conducted on this planet.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

The Guardian:
Sweden Admits Coronavirus Strategy Was Flawed

“Sweden’s chief epidemiologist and the architect of its light-touch approach to the coronavirus has acknowledged that the country has had too many deaths from Covid-19 and should have done more to curb the spread of the virus.”
___________

How many times did Ch tell us what a wonderful job Sweden was doing by not having too many deaths while not locking down?

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

The Daily Beast reports:
Trump Pushed National Enquirer to Probe Scarborough

President Trump, via his son-in-law Jared Kushner, encouraged the National Enquirer in 2017 to push the debunked conspiracy theory that MSNBC host Joe Scarborough murdered a female congressional aide.
__________

So now in his futile depraved desperation he again tries to flog that old, discredited dead horse.

Maybe he should now try to get the National Enquirer to go after Biden!
lol.

Caliphate4vr said...

PEDERAST China Lied

China delayed releasing coronavirus info, frustrating WHO

Throughout January, the World Health Organization publicly praised China for what it called a speedy response to the new coronavirus. It repeatedly thanked the Chinese government for sharing the genetic map of the virus “immediately,” and said its work and commitment to transparency were “very impressive, and beyond words.”

But behind the scenes, it was a much different story, one of significant delays by China and considerable frustration among WHO officials over not getting the information they needed to fight the spread of the deadly virus, The Associated Press has found.

Despite the plaudits, China in fact sat on releasing the genetic map, or genome, of the virus for more than a week after three different government labs had fully decoded the information. Tight controls on information and competition within the Chinese public health system were to blame, according to dozens of interviews and internal documents.

Chinese government labs only released the genome after another lab published it ahead of authorities on a virologist website on Jan. 11. Even then, China stalled for at least two weeks more on providing WHO with detailed data on patients and cases, according to recordings of internal meetings held by the U.N. health agency through January — all at a time when the outbreak arguably might have been dramatically slowed.

WHO officials were lauding China in public because they wanted to coax more information out of the government, the recordings obtained by the AP suggest. Privately, they complained in meetings the week of Jan. 6 that China was not sharing enough data to assess how effectively the virus spread between people or what risk it posed to the rest of the world, costing valuable time.

“We’re going on very minimal information,” said American epidemiologist Maria Van Kerkhove, now WHO’s technical lead for COVID-19, in one internal meeting. “It’s clearly not enough for you to do proper planning.”


And nice lie of omission on Sweden. "There are things we could have done better," he said, "but in essence I think Sweden has chosen the right path."

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

OH LET'S NOT OMIT ANYTHING

Sweden's Coronavirus Response Chief Acknowledges 'Potential For Improvement'
By Colin Dwyer •
50 minutes ago

Anders Tegnell, Sweden's chief epidemiologist, addresses a news conference Wednesday in Stockholm. "There are things we could have done better," Tegnell told a Swedish newspaper.

Nearly every country in the world has confirmed cases of the coronavirus within its borders — but few have received the kind of global scrutiny that Sweden has.

That's because its uniquely relaxed response to the virus, with no strict lockdown, proved such a departure from not only its Nordic neighbors but also much of the rest of the world.

Now the man credited as the architect behind that policy, Anders Tegnell, is acknowledging that he sees "potential for improvement in what we have done in Sweden."

"If we were to run into the same disease, knowing exactly what we know about it today, I think we would end up doing something in between what Sweden did and what the rest of the world has done," he told Swedish radio Wednesday in remarks translated by Reuters.

Unlike many others, including countries from the United Kingdom to South Korea, Sweden did not effectively shutter its economy. Instead of quarantine and shelter-in-place orders, the country issued comparatively light suggestions — banning gatherings over 50 people and otherwise asking them to maintain social distancing as best they can.

Swedish officials have said their approach could lead to "herd immunity" more quickly than other countries. Herd immunity means that enough people in a population have become immune to the virus — either through vaccine or previous infection — that the risk of new infections lowers across the board.

In other words, the idea was, if Sweden kept its bars and restaurants open, more people among the less vulnerable would develop immunity and ultimately slow the spread.

So far, though, Sweden has not yet seen the health results for which it's hoping.

The country vastly outpaces its nearest neighbors in the confirmed cases and death toll linked to COVID-19. And it has not reached herd immunity — a threshold often pegged to around 60% of the population immune — as officials had hoped it would last month.

Already in the spotlight for its distinct approach, the country has attracted significant second-guessing as well, particularly in light of the less than ideal outcome so far. When asked if too many people had died in Sweden of the disease, Tegnell answered simply: "Yes, absolutely."

Still, in comments later to a different Swedish outlet, the news daily Dagens Nyheter, he clarified that he thought Sweden's overall approach was sound, especially WITH WHAT OFFICIALS KNEW AT THE TIME.

"There are things we could have done better," he said, "but in essence I think Sweden has chosen the right path."

____________
BUT IF THEY HAD KNOWN THEN WHAT THEY KNOW NOW...

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

IOW,
Bottom line:

"Herd immunity," so often touted here, has still not been achieved by Sweden.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

THIS IS IMPORTANT.

Joe Biden plans to attend the funeral for George Floyd in Houston next week.
--The Texas Tribune

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

https://www.aol.com/article/news/2020/06/03/bucking-trump-pentagon-chief-esper-says-no-need-for-military-response-to-floyd-protests/24509855/

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...

*** NOTICE OF CONSTANT SPAMMING and USE OF TAEGAN GODDARD's POLITICAL_LIRE ***

Regular readers of this blog know the constant spamming, lying and obsession for that left-wing Taegan Goddard blog by a certain poster. That poster james, also called the "pastor" (which he claims to be even if you can't tell by his actions) is the POS responsible and considers his mindless rude behavior his hobby. Sometimes he credits Taegan Goddard, sometimes he doesn't.

He has descended so far into TDS and desperation he fills every discussion thread with what people have described as an avalanche of spam. If this is being posted today is no different. He even gets his edited news from that site and spams that if he thinks it will hurt Trump. Every day he repeats what that site posts, regardless of topic. It gets so bad he feels the need to even repeat his spam multiple times in a single thread as well as posting in every active thread the very same spam.

He has exhibited the same mental deterioration as Joe Biden and his postings should be given the same consideration. Both their heads will probably explode when it becomes obvious that Trump will win a second term. Biden will not even notice his head did.

I'm JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY and I APPROVE OF THIS MESSAGE
--------
NOTE TO READERS:
--Retired pastor James, an old white POS who will waterboy forever from his ultra-liberal GODdard and savior political_lire's blog.

No matter what the thread topic is.

And will try and do whatever it takes or approve of any means, legal or illegal, to dispose of a duly elected president.


GO FUCK YOURSELF "pastor".


and try keeping your spam to one thread and don't run and hide with the exact same bullshit on a later thread on a totally different topic like you just did here.

What an asshole the "pastor" is

probably trying to impress his butt buddy.

BWAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

AP:
Active Duty Troops Outside Washington, DC Return Home

“Active-duty troops brought in to help if needed with the civil unrest in the nation’s capitol are beginning to return to their home base, after two days of more peaceful demonstrations in Washington, D.C.”

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Apologies to the readership for having to endure F'n's immaturity.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Ex-Congressman’s Son Arrested for Defacing Trump Sign

Police have arrested the 18-year old son of former Rep. Tom Rooney (REPUBLICAN-FLORIDA) after they said he spray painted “B.L.M.” on the sign at Trump National Golf Club in Jupiter, Florida, WPTV reports.

“B.L.M.” is an abbreviation for the “Black Lives Matter.”

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...

Active Duty Troops Outside Washington, DC Return Home
June 3, 2020 at 1:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment


ROFLMFAO !!! it was on Goddard a whole 6 minutes and you saw it, copied and pasted it and posted it here.

Great work waterboy, and what does this have to do with the thread or your previous spam ? Do YOU even bother to read your shit ?

Probably not just as Rosenstein has just admitted he didn't read the FISA warrants he signed and now regrets it. Or at least that's his current story.

Biggest political scandal of all-time, remember all the breathless coverage before, and now we find out it was all an actual HOA and political_lire et all are silent.

Altered documents used to get a warrant. hmmm Comey has been real silent too ever since the transcripts came out. Strange they also didn't say what he said they would say. Wonder when Durham will get to him, I've heard the target is normally last. So Obama may have to wait.

But I'm sure you are to concentrated on being a waterboy than to do any actual thinking

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...

and ALREADY ANOTHER uncredited Goddard SPAM

Ex-Congressman’s Son Arrested for Defacing Trump Sign
June 3, 2020 at 1:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 53 Comments

“B.L.M.” is an abbreviation for the “Black Lives Matter.”

Some REAL IMPORTANT INFORMATION you are spamming to this thread "pastor"

WHO COULD POSSIBLY HAVE KNOWN THIS !!!

GREAT WORK "pastor"

WHAT A FUCKING IDIOT you passed lo iq !!!

Caliphate4vr said...

BTW Pederast Sweden’s top epidemiologist said all they do differently is more attention to nursing homes, so fuck you liar

didn't know that there would be such a big potential for the disease to spread in elderly care homes, with so many deaths."
"We knew that group was very fragile and that we would get a lot of deaths if they got infected. But we didn't know that the disease would enter so easily and for the spread to be so big," he said.
Tegnell said the country's main strategy of social distancing still "worked well" and he "can't see that we should have done it in a completely different way."

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Boring, isn't he? LOL.

And what's wrong with up to date news?

Anonymous said...



BTW Pederast Sweden’s top epidemiologist said all they do differently is more attention to nursing homes, so fuck you liar


so...

the swedes are admitting to having learned the lesson that my governor has so far failed to learn -

focusing on the elederly and where they congregate - namely nursing homes - was what EVERYONE the world over should have been doing.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Quote of the Day

“If he loses confidence in Secretary Esper, I’m sure you will be the first to know. As of right now, Secretary Esper is still Secretary Esper.”
— White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany, quoted by ABC News, when asked if President Trump still has confidence in the secretary of defense.
___________

As of right now, Trump is still President, but no one in the know still has confidence in him.

Caliphate4vr said...

Brilliant!!!

Most of the looters and rioters arrested by the NYPD over the past several days are immediately released as a direct result of New York’s new bail-reform law, New York City police chief Terrence Monahan told the New York Post on Tuesday.

While the city police made over 650 arrests on Monday night alone, Monahan said that “just about all of them” will be released without bail.

“We had some arrests in Brooklyn where they had guns, [and] hopefully [Brooklyn district attorney] Eric Gonzalez will keep them in, [but] I can’t guarantee that’ll happen,” Monahan said. “But when it comes to a burglary [at] a commercial store, which is looting, they’re back out. . . . Because of bail reform, you’re back out on the street the next day. You cannot be held on any sort of bail. I spoke to [Manhattan district attorney] Cy Vance about that, he told me there’s nothing he can do.”

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...

Benny
@bennyjohnson

This is a cult.

VIDEO: https://twitter.com/bennyjohnson/status/1268227401110171649


are blacks not allowed in?

asking for a friend

Commonsense said...

Trump told the Democrat governor of North Carolina to go fuck himself and pulled the RNC out of Charlotte. Trump wasn't about to be blackmailed or dictated to by the governor.

He has at lease 3 places to go to hold a full convention with appropriate social distancing. Two in Florida and one in Georgia.

Caliphate4vr said...

I think Nashville has also thrown their hat in the ring

Commonsense said...

With the open letter from public health experts supporting the protests, we now know that all of the public health experts advice about wearing masks, social distancing, lockdowns, and quarantines was motivated more by politics than science.

I'll never believe a public health expert again.

Anonymous said...

Anonymous Caliphate4vr said...
Brilliant!!!

Most of the looters and rioters arrested by the NYPD over the past several days are immediately released as a direct result of New York’s new bail-reform law, New York City police chief Terrence Monahan told the New York Post on Tuesday.


and in st. louis too -

George-Soros-Backed Leftwing Radical Attorney General Kim Gardner Has Released Every Single Rioter and Looter Arrested in St. Louis

Little background:

George Soros realized that it was very expensive and very hard to attempt to support so many leftwing legislators that they could change the law to make crime, well, not a crime.

So he settled on a new strategy. One that worked. He put a huge amount of money into the campaigns of leftwing, pro-crime prosecutors and attorney generals.

He wouldn't bother to get laws changed -- too difficult! No legislator wants to face a campaign ad against him pointing out, accurately, that he voted to decriminalize crime.

No, he'd just bankroll dozens (hundreds?) of leftwing DAs and AGs to ignore the laws entirely, claiming that prosecutorial discretion gives the absolute power to simply declare that The Law Is No Longer The Law.

Like I said: It worked.

St. Louis' Kim Gardner is one of George Soros' success stories.

She accepted several hundred thousand dollars in in-kind donations in the form of positive campaign ads in her favor -- to allow her to beat other moderate Democrats who were not pro-criminal in the primary -- which were paid for by Stalinesquely named "Safety & Justice Committee," which is devoted to releasing hardened dangerous criminals from jail to kill citizens.

This committee is funded by George Soros.

Who also funded the Ferguson rioters.

"Joe Steiger, president of the police union, said he believes that Soros also funded out-of-state activists to escalate protests into riots in Ferguson after the Aug. 9, 2014, police shooting of Michael Brown, 18.
"It's pretty insulting," Steiger said Friday of the contribution to Gardner. "It's more important for people to realize that calling for 'black lives matter' and 'blue lives matter' is not an opposite proposition."


When Gardner faced ethical complaints and possibly worse due to her shady political witchhunt of former governor Greitens, who descended upon St. Louis but a bunch of Gardner's classmates from the Soros Finishing School for Young Maoists.

"The convergence of the prosecutors, all supported by the same patron, demonstrates the emergence of a national alliance united by shared goals of overhauling the U.S. criminal justice system with an eye toward reducing or eliminating sentences for drug offenders and others.

Aramis Ayala, the state attorney for Orange and Osceola counties in Florida, was on hand to support Gardner. Ayala was backed by $1.4 million from Soros. Stephanie Morales, a Virginia commonwealth attorney, was also in attendance and received $100,000 from Soros's Justice & Public Safety PAC. Diana Becton, a prosecutor in Contra Costa County in California, also benefited from $1.5 million the financier poured into the state to support progressive prosecutors."



http://ace.mu.nu/archives/387583.php

Commonsense said...

So she release the potential murderer of Captain Dorn. Nice.

She should be fired, although she won't be.

Commonsense said...

There are George Floyd riots in London which proves ANTIFA is an international terrorist organization.