Friday, October 30, 2020

Everyone was waiting to hear from Trafalgar?

Well maybe not...

For those of you living under a rock, Trafalgar become famous (or infamous) for being the sole pollster that got the Trump battleground state surge correct in 2016. While your classic pollsters showed Clinton winning the great lake states fairly comfortably, Trafalgar stood alone (and suffered mocking) with polling numbers showing Donald Trump running even with (or slightly ahead of) the former Secretary of State in those states and others. 

So Trafalgar put out what appears to be their final election polling for 2020 and it tells a similar story. 

  • Trump up four in Ohio. 
  • Trump up three in Florida.  
  • Trump up three in North Carolina. 
  • Trump up two in Michigan. 
  • Trump tied in Pennsylvania.
  • Trump down one in Wisconsin.
  • Trump down two in Nevada.
  • Trump down three in Minnesota 

Most of these polling numbers are within a point of where Trafalgar polled in 2016. Moreover, a state by state breakdown of most of the closest states are showing things very close to where polling was in 2016. Where there seems to be the most discrepancy between 2016 and 2020 are with the states (such as Texas & Georgia) that were not considered necessarily "battleground" in 2016. This appears to throw off the overall average and explains to some degree why Biden is doing better in Battleground state polling than Clinton did.

This actually throws even more credence behind the suggestion that there is a wide discrepancy between these state polling numbers and the national polling numbers. IBD/TIPP provides a bit of an insight with this:

"Most of Biden's advantage comes from the blue states, and it is clouding the hard battle the candidates are fighting in the battleground states," TIPP President Raghavan Mayur said.
The IBD/TIPP presidential poll suggests that Biden is outperforming Clinton's 2016 results in both red and blue states. However, swing states, those six states decided by less than 2 points in 2016, look highly competitive.
Today's Trump vs. Biden poll finds Biden up by 26 points in blue states and Trump leading by 11 points in red states. Yet the two are tied at 48% in swing states. To be sure, those differentials reflect smaller samples, especially the swing state total, which comes with a wide credibility interval.

So perhaps it's not so much that the national polling is wrong, it's just that the blue states are becoming darker blue, while the deep red states are becoming lighter. The reality is that there is no real benefit in our election format to win groups of states by an average of 26 points. 

So it's entirely possible and even plausible that IBD/TIPP and Trafalgar are both correct (as they both were in 2016). That the battle ground states are still in play and that larger national popular vote polling leads are misleading as it pertains to the electoral college.    

184 comments:

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Before you get too excited by Ch's enthusiasm, better check ALL the latest polling at

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
_____

and take a careful look at

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

(scroll down and down and down).

Also this:
GALLUP:
Democrats Have Enthusiasm Edge
11:48 am
“Democrats have a clear edge over Republicans on enthusiasm, with 75% and 66%, respectively, feeling more enthusiastic.

“While not quite as large as Democrats’ 15-percentage-point enthusiasm advantage in 2008 when Barack Obama was running for the first time, the current nine-point spread contrasts with a near tie in 2016 and Republican advantages in 2012 and 2000.”

Anonymous said...




"Trump has tightened virtually every one of these swing states. ... The Trump vote is always being undercounted. ... Whatever they're saying the Biden lead is, cut it in half, right now, in your head. Cut it in half, and now you're within the four-point margin of error. That's how close this is! That's how desperately close this is!"

—Michael Moore


yeah, THAT Michael Moore.

LOL.

C.H. Truth said...

The difference between you and I Reverend...

Is that I won't be slitting my wrists because of the results of a Presidential election. As stated about a million times, my interest in politics is much less "personal" and "emotional" than most of you here. I have usually found interest in the game and the insider parts of politics and elections that most people find boring.

To the degree that I would highlight polling and trends favorable to Trump is simply because nobody else seems to care enough to look at it. And let's face it. It's uninteresting for me to cover the same dull thread about a landslide that everyone else is covering.

Obviously you don't like it... it upsets your well being. But others might take something away from another point of view (which I also provided in 2016).

But what has become obvious is that every time I post something like this, those from your ilk have no interest in even addressing it. You just attempt to change the subject and push things back to what Politicalwire.com and the rest of media is repeating.

If all you want is the lockstep view, then why bother reading me?


All that being said, nothing about politics in 2020 is really fun anymore. It's a constant drumbeat of hatred, loathing, censorship, and bullying. People who used to engage in actual debate are now reduced to constant name calling and insults. I mean that on both a macro and micro level (both in the media and here).

Who knows how long this blog remains anything worth doing anymore...

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Since you became a cultist Scott, you are no longer Thecoldheartedtruth.

Trump lost his mind this morning after the Supreme Court refused to let him suppress voting rights.

From the hill

President Trump on Friday sought to preemptively place blame on the Supreme Court should he lose reelection and said that Democratic nominee Joe Biden would pack the high court with "radical left" justices if he wins the White House.

Trump's tweets followed a handful of rulings by the Supreme Court in cases involving deadlines for mail-in ballots in the 2020 elections.

The Supreme Court handed two victories to Democrats in election-related legal disputes this week in allowing extended deadlines to remain in Pennsylvania and North Carolina, two critical swing states.

"If Sleepy Joe Biden is actually elected President, the 4 Justices (plus1) that helped make such a ridiculous win possible would be relegated to sitting on not only a heavily PACKED COURT, but probably a REVOLVING COURT as well," Trump tweeted early Friday morning. "At least the many new Justices will be Radical Left!"

In the next few days we the people will throw him out of the White House.

More people voted in Texas than voted in 2016.


Plus, there is another person who has been correct since 1980, says the exact opposite of what you have chosen to believe in!

I have known you for almost 20 years.

I have seen you as a rational conservative person, but since 2016 , you have abandoned your mind to the President!


Anonymous said...




alky, if CH shut down this blog you'd be dead in six months.

it's the only thing you have left to live for.

Anonymous said...



Experienced my first #Trump parade today....and this happened👇


https://twitter.com/Skillsetmag/status/1320091833666433025


Anonymous said...



CNN’s Alisyn Camerota on Friday said Democrats are “worried” about the Republican turnout in Florida, specifically Miami-Dade County.

Hillary Clinton won Miami-Dade County but ultimately lost Florida in 2016.

Joe Biden isn’t even close to Hillary Clinton’s numbers in blue Miami-Dade and Florida Democrat Congresswoman Frederica Wilson has been sounding the alarm to the Biden campaign.

Frederica Wilson, who represents Florida’s 24th congressional district, told Politico, “I screamed. Hollered. I called. I lobbied from the top to the bottom,” Wilson said of her efforts to sound the alarm including sending written proposals to Biden’s campaign and having virtual Zoom meetings with his advisors.

“We’ve got to stop the bleeding,” Democrats Marc Caputo and Matt Dixon said.

Barack Obama’s former chief strategist David Axelrod said Joe Biden is in big trouble with black voters.


https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/10/got-stop-bleeding-cnn-democrats-freak-republicans-outpacing-democrats-florida-video/


huh.

all that early voting was guaran-fucking-teed to go 'D' by the alky and the pederast.

something about a blue tsunami?

how can this be?


Anonymous said...



WHEN THE HEADLINE DOESN’T MATCH THE ARTICLE:

“Biden did not eulogize former KKK ‘grand wizard,’” AP “reports,” but notes six paragraphs in that ‘As a young man in West Virginia, Byrd recruited members to a local KKK chapter and was elected to the post of ‘exalted cyclops’ according to his 2005 autobiography.”

It’s come to this: in order to help drag Biden over the finish line, AP is doing cleanup work for a former “grand wizard” “exalted cyclops” of the Klan.



https://pjmedia.com/instapundit/410584/

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The gateway pundits lolololololololololol

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Pjmedia is bullshit

Anonymous said...





Gianno Caldwell
@GiannoCaldwell

I want to thank
@JoeBiden
for motivating so many black folks to vote against him. We may finally have an opportunity to make the black vote competitive again. No more free rides for the Democrats.



6:11 AM · Oct 30, 2020 from Miami, FL·Twitter for iPhone
548
Retweets
38
Quote Tweets
2.8K
Likes



https://twitter.com/GiannoCaldwell/status/1322118848351490049

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/

They show Biden above 50%

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The October surprise was the Supreme Court decision

Anonymous said...


link to the XiNN sob fest reported by the gateway pundit. it's exactly as Jim Hoft reported it.


https://youtu.be/WibM5490ivU

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

rrb believe in this

The FBI and Michigan state police have arrested a self-proclaimed leader of the white supremacy group The Base and an alleged associate, Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel said on Thursday. The suspects are linked to a December 2019 incident in which The Base allegedly targeted a Michigan family's home, mistakenly believing it belonged to a podcaster critical of the neo-Nazi movement. 

Justen Watkins, 25, the man who allegedly claimed to be leader of the group, and Alfred Gorman, 35, both of Michigan, have been charged with felony counts of gang membership, unlawful posting of a message and using computers to commit a crime. If convicted, they could face more than 25 years in prison.

According to prosecutors, a man and a woman witnessed two men in dark clothing shining a light and taking pictures on the front porch of the family's home in Dexter, Michigan. The photos were then allegedly uploaded to The Base's channel on the secret chat app Telegram, and misidentified the house as belonging to the podcaster, who Nessel's office said had never lived in the home.

Nessel said the suspects intended to intimidate the podcaster and the posting of the message was "intended to cause conduct that would make the residents feel terrorized and emotionally distressed." 

"Using tactics of intimidation to incite fear and violence constitutes criminal behavior," Nessel said in a statement. "We cannot allow dangerous activities to reach their goal of inflicting violence and harm on the public."   


Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The President should pardon them

Anonymous said...



‘WTF?’ PolitiFact says it’s ‘Mostly True’ that pro-police Thin Blue Line flag at Trump rally is an ‘anti Black Lives Matter flag’

PolitiFact has become a trusted source for honest, quality fact-checking. But only for people who don’t actually care about facts.

Check out PolitiFact’s take on the pro-police Thin Blue Line flag that’s appeared at some Trump campaign rallies:


https://twitchy.com/sarahd-313035/2020/10/30/wtf-politifact-says-its-mostly-true-that-pro-police-thin-blue-line-flag-at-trump-rally-is-an-anti-black-lives-matter-flag/



politifact has become the southern poverty law center of 'fact checking.'



C.H. Truth said...

CNN’s Alisyn Camerota on Friday said Democrats are “worried” about the Republican turnout in Florida, specifically Miami-Dade County.

Love the way Roger turned quotes from a CNN analyst and David Axlerod into "fake news from PJMedia". Do some of these people bother to read anything before the discount it?

This is consistent with the raw numbers I posted from Broward county the other day. If it is happening in Broward (and those are just objective numbers) then no reason not to believe it's also happening in Miami-Dade.

In fact, I find it very telling that you have heard zero about early voting numbers from usual suspects. Silver, Enton and the gang at 538 have been deafly silent on the subject. Nothing from Josh Marshal or Markos or the other bloggers. Nothing from the major networks plugging the huge early voting turnout for Democrats.

Where you hear about turnout is places like Texas and other places where turnout has been heavy. But they are not bragging about any sort of Democratic advantage in early voting. Just that there is some sort of idea that it must be good for Democrats (even if there is no evidence that it is).

Oh but Sean Trende and a couple of other prominent writers have written pieces suggesting that early voting doesn't necessarily look good for Democrats.


Given Biden is supposed to be running ahead of Clinton
Given over half of Democrats are supposed to be voting by mail
Given Democrats are supposed to be more excited about voting early

Democrats should have substantial advantages not just over Republicans, but should have a substantial advantage over their early voting numbers from 2016.

Anonymous said...



Where you hear about turnout is places like Texas and other places where turnout has been heavy. But they are not bragging about any sort of Democratic advantage in early voting.


except for our resident political sage the alky.

every comment he's made about the high early voter turnout in Texas implies that ALL the early voting is guaranteed votes for the democrats.



Roger Amick said...

A much more important is

More than 9 million Texans have cast ballots so far, surpassing the state's total votes cast in 2016

Texas' population is growing and it extended its early voting period this year due to the coronavirus. Experts are predicting the percent of registered voters who cast ballots this year will be higher than it has been for years.

Texas is turning blue wave Tsunami.


October 30, 2020 at 10:02 AM

Anonymous said...


check out this video -


Kira
@RealKiraDavis


Wow. The group that installed that 405 freeway TRUMP sign has come forward with a pro-Trump campaign video and IT IS Fire. Could
@realDonaldTrump
flip California?



https://twitter.com/RealKiraDavis/status/1322204363775864833


Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

BREAKING: House Democrats on the committee overseeing the coronavirus crisis released a report Friday calling the Trump administration’s response “among the worst failures of leadership in American history.”

“President Trump’s decision to mislead the public about the severity of the crisis, his failure to listen to scientists about how to keep Americans healthy, and his refusal to implement a coordinated national plan to stop the coronavirus have all contributed to devastating results: more than 227,000 Americans dead, more than 8.8 million Americans infected, and a dangerous virus that continues to spread out of control nine months after it reached our nation’s shores."

anonymous said...

Blogger rrb said...

check out this video -


BWAAAAAAAAAAA!!! Dumb keeps getting dumber by the day!!!!! LOLOLOL

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

My comments were not from CNN or anywhere else. My opinion is based upon my observations.


Broward county is probably going Trump, but the 65+ vote in 2016 went red. But they have been changing their minds on the President.

The Cuban American people will vote for the President

But because Florida is going to be very close but the fact is that he's not doing well!

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Sean Trende is a conservative. His post didn't mention the fact that most of the early voting rates favor Biden because they are young voters

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

You will notice, Ch, that I have again changed my name, back to one I used before when I tried to "turn over a new leaf" by changing my way of posting and practicing more gentility. I am doing that in response to your post at 11:39am which made some good points, and am herewith signaling my own desire for fairer, more civil discussions between us. And that goes for everyone.

Henceforth I will try to do a better job of considering what you say in a thread before I reply to it.

Of course, it would be good if everyone tried to exercise more civility on this blog.

Less heat and more light.

Less anger and hostility and more understanding.

Anonymous said...

Consumer sentiment index Oct. ⬆️81.8
up again by a healthy 1.4 points.

Anonymous said...



Blogger Roger Amick said...

BREAKING: House Democrats on the committee overseeing the coronavirus crisis released a report Friday calling the Trump administration’s response “among the worst failures of leadership in American history.”



that's nice.



Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Laura Ingraham was wearing a mask and the President said that he couldn't recognize her

Anonymous said...

Spectacular Fail.

"when I tried to "turn over a new leaf"

Anonymous said...

"BREAKING: House Democrats on the committee overseeing the coronavirus crisis released a report Friday calling the Trump administration’s response “among the worst failures of leadership in American history.”


that's nice."

Something more to wipe are as with.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

He's getting desperate on Facebook

Biden’s speech is 90% made up stories and lies. Only broadcast on Fox News.


Even Fox news is breaking away!

Anonymous said...

"The difference between you and I Reverend...

Is that I won't be slitting my wrists because of the results of a Presidential election. As stated about a million times, my interest in politics is much less "personal" and "emotional" than most of you here. I have usually found interest in the game and the insider parts of politics and elections that most people find boring." CUT

exactly, same here.
IF HARRIS/biden win, ok, we overcoming and prosper, like we did during the Lost Years.

What IF Trump is re-elected, how will Same-@hole-James and Alky react?

anonymous said...


Laura Ingraham was wearing a mask and the President said that he couldn't recognize her


BWAAAAAAAAAA!!! I guess she covered her adams apple!!!!!!

anonymous said...

Is that I won't be slitting my wrists because of the results


BWAAAAAAAAAA!!!! That's a new one Lil Schitty......Most people will not be sitting on their wrists and I find your emotional rants about gay bakers rights most amusing!!!!!!1 Why is that????

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leads President Trump by 6 points in North Carolina with just four days to go until Election Day, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll released on Friday. 

If he wins North Carolina he doesn't need Pennsylvania.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The Texas turnout may have an impact on the outcome.

This year's surge is coming partly in counties that have historically voted for Democrats.

There has been massive turnout in Harris County, which includes most of the city of Houston. The cumulative number of votes in the diverse, Democratic-leaning county totaled more than 1.3 million as of Friday morning. Clinton won the county by some 161,959 votes. The early voting people are trending Democratic.

The same thing for Dallas county

Dallas County, which also voted for Clinton in 2016, has logged the second-largest number of votes, with 744,799 ballots cast there as of Friday morning.

Across the country, Democrats are working to push their supporters to vote early, while Republicans are banking on their voters lining up at the polls on Election Day.

The Republicans are demanding on the voting day turnout will be sufficient.

I'm not predicting anything but the President is probably in trouble.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

SURPRISING FACT
Forbes

The last living former Republican president, George W. Bush, has said he won’t back Trump. Nor will his brother Jeb Bush, the former governor of Florida who was mercilessly ridiculed by Trump when they fought for the GOP nomination in 2016. Trump’s former Defense Secretary Jim Mattis and former Chief of Staff and Homeland Security Secretary John Kelly have both expressed opposition to Trump as well, with Mattis calling him “the first president in my lifetime who does not try to unite the American people—does not even pretend to try” and Kelly saying he wished “we had some additional choices.” Other ex-Trump officials have spoken out against him as well, including Homeland Security advisor Tom Bossert, communications staffer Omarosa Manigault, National Economic Council director Gary Cohn, Navy Secretary Richard Spencer, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and National Security advisor John Bolton.

Kputz said...

Biden likes queers!

Joe Biden made no bones about it: If he wins the presidential election, he will gut religious freedom protections that allow faith-based homeless shelters, charities, and small business owners to act according to their consciences. Specifically, he will shove LGBT dicks ideology down the throats of religious Americans in the name of fighting “discrimination.”

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Scott, I checked out the polls and their percentages among educated women is very different than any other polls


I can't post the graphic the assumption are different than any other sources.

WhiteWhite men52.4%42.6%2.2%0.2%1.1%0.5%White women47.0%49.3%0.9%0.3%-0.0%Black/HispanicBlack11.7%77.9%2.3%0.6%0.5%0.7%Hispanic50.0%48.4%-0.015809582--WomenSingle women35.7%60.7%1.7%--0.3%Married women49.2%46.2%0.6%1.0%

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

He's not a partisan person.


The Six Faulty Assumptions on Which the Trump Campaign Rested

Charlie Cook

October 30, 2020

Much of the thinking about the outcome of next Tuesday’s election has been binary: Does Joe Biden hang onto his lead in the polls and win, or can President Trump mount a successful comeback, threading the same needle that enabled him to win 30 states with 306 Electoral College votes last time? Another binary question: Will Republicans keep their Senate losses down to just a seat or two, remaining at 51 or 52 seats, or will Democrats score a net gain of three or four seats, emerging with the barest of majorities?

But it is hard to look closely at the presidential election and not see that, given how little time is left, the odds of a big Biden win are higher than those of a Trump come-from-behind victory. Which brings us to the growing body of evidence on the congressional-district and statewide level showing that Trump’s political problems are metastasizing and having a strong drag on down-ballot Republicans. That extends from the Senate to the House and even down to the state-legislative level, with serious congressional and legislative redistricting implications. A party never wants to have a bad election, but a big loss in a year ending in a zero is the defeat that keeps on defeating, as Democrats painfully learned after their massive 2010 losses, which reverberated for the rest of the decade.

It increasingly looks like a foregone conclusion that the GOP Senate majority is soon to be history. Nine Republican seats are in grave danger, starting with those of Sens. Martha McSally (Arizona), Cory Gardner (Colorado), and Thom Tillis (North Carolina), the real underdogs. They’re followed by Sens. Susan Collins (Maine), Joni Ernst (Iowa), Steve Daines (Montana), Lindsey Graham (South Carolina), and both Georgia seats, all of which are at best even-money races. There is still an open seat in Kansas that is very close, and Sen. Dan Sullivan has a narrow lead in Alaska. Anyone who was around for Election Night 1980, when Democrats lost their first Senate seat, that of Birch Bayh (Indiana), at 6:30 p.m., then basically lost a Senate seat every 30 minutes for the next six hours, can understand the cascading effect that can occur under certain conditions.

Many Republicans believe (and many Democrats fear) that Trump will again pull a victory from the jaws of defeat—that he possesses some mystical political power. This ignores an alternative theory: that the 2016 election outcome was as much about Hillary Clinton as it was about Trump, and that Democrats nominating someone whose favorable-unfavorable ratings are not underwater is by itself yielding a different outcome.

anonymous said...

Very sad how Ossoff Kicked sonny's old fat ass into next week that purdue cancelled the last debate....I guess being called a crook to his face and not being able to say anything was too much for that god ol' southern assshole!!!! It sur amused me and it just may resonate in Ga to the detriment of the GOP!!!!!! BWAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

My guess is that Trump supporters will look back wistfully at six assumptions that gave them hope, only to turn out to be faulty. The first was that the economic boom, which from September 2019 through February of this year gave the U.S. six consecutive months of 50-year-low unemployment, would continue and power the president through to reelection.

The second was that Democrats would nominate either Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren. The third was that the coronavirus would turn out to be less serious than some had warned, or that it would be brought under control with a surging economy by the third quarter, which would propel the president to victory.

The fourth was that the Trump campaign’s decision to build a large field operation would allow it to identify and mobilize Trump supporters in battleground states who looked, acted, talked, and believed the same as those who gave him his victories in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin four years ago.

It was a sound decision, but it was based on a fifth assumption: that fundraising would continue to surge. Instead, it slumped in the latter half of the summer after the president's poll numbers took such a beating in June and July. The money was gone, with insufficient new funds coming in to provide the air cover that the ground game needed.

According to Federal Election Commission reports covering until the end of September, the Trump campaign and the Republican National Committee had $61 million in cash on hand, while the Biden campaign and the Democratic National Committee had $177 million. On Friday, Advertising Analytics reported the Biden campaign had aired $576 million in television advertising, compared to $341 million for the Trump campaign. Did anyone ever think they would see a Republican president outraised and outgunned by a Democratic challenger whose campaign hardly had two quarters to rub together just seven months ago? That is a sign that something was terribly amiss.

The last erroneous assumption was that Biden was senile or had dementia and the debates would expose it for all the world to see. Anyone who covered Biden trooping around Iowa, or who watched the Democratic debates or his convention acceptance speech, could have told them that while he often goes off script, it was nothing new. I would chalk it up to wishful thinking.

This election is going to a very different place than many expected, and it may turn out for Republicans to be even worse than they fear.


Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Wall street is optimistic about Biden, if he wins. Axios says

Joe Biden’s widening lead in polls is providing a bullish cue to investment strategists: Wall Street now sees less chance of a contested election and more chance of a "blue wave" — Democrats taking the House, Senate and White House — and the hearty stimulus that could follow.

Why it matters: A clear-cut Democratic win would "provide certainty to markets that have been nervous about election risks," Bloomberg reports, citing strategists from Citigroup to JPMorgan Chase.

Shares of alternative energy companies, which analysts expect to prosper from policies under a Biden administration, climbed sharply after the Trump-Biden debate, per Reuters.

The Business cover of Thursday's N.Y. Times had the headline, "Wall Street Takes a Turn For Biden," with the online version: "Wait, Wall Street Is Pro-Biden Now?"

"[I]nvestors are of the view that a 'blue wave' victory ... represents the best chance to get another large injection of federal money into an economy that continues to struggle."

But keep your eye on the ball! Goldman Sachs Portfolio Strategy Research told clients Friday night in the US Weekly Kickstart: "A vaccine is more important than the election, which is more important than 3Q results."

"Investors are focused on the implications of a 'blue wave' election. ... However, the vaccine represents a more important factor than the election result for the path of equities. Our assessment of both vaccines and treatments remains optimistic."

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

I don't like the sound of this:

BLOOMBERG:
Biden Aides See Warnings in Black, Latino Turnout
5:03 PM

“Senior officials on Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s campaign are increasingly worried about insufficient Black and Latino voter turnout in key states like Florida and Pennsylvania with only four days until the election.

“Despite record early-vote turnout around the country, there are warning signs for Biden.

"In Arizona, two-thirds of Latino registered voters have not yet cast a ballot.

"In Florida, half of Latino and Black registered voters have not yet voted but more than half of White voters have cast ballots, according to data from Catalist, a Democratic data firm.

"In Pennsylvania, nearly 75% of registered Black voters have not yet voted, the data shows.”


C.H. Truth said...

Sean Trende is a conservative. His post didn't mention the fact that most of the early voting rates favor Biden because they are young voters

Sean is somewhat of a never-Trumper. He has never been a fan.

What Sean Trende is measuring is the number or Republican ballots being cast vs the number of Democrat ballots being cast. Many people (probably 70% or more) who request mail in ballots or vote early have an affiliation to a Party that are able to be measured and reported on.

Those percentages are the percentages are the percentages... and the age of those voters are inclusive to (not outside of or amended to) those percentages.

No offense Roger, but the Senior Elections Analyst for Real Clear Politics (and political author) isn't missing something that the CHT nursing home resident is privy to.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

I hope that much that was said in Roger's last several posts proves true, and that my last post does not reflect a real problem for Biden.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Garrett Graff says:
The Trump Era Won’t End With His Loss
5:05 pm
“In interviews, historians, government legal experts, national security leaders and people close to the administration have a prediction that will disquiet his critics:

The Trump Era is unlikely to end when the Trump presidency ends.
They envision a post-presidency as disruptive and norm-busting as his presidency has been—one that could make his successor’s job much harder. They outline a picture of a man who might formally leave office only to establish himself as the president-for-life amid his own bubble of admirers—controlling Republican politics and sowing chaos in the U.S. and around the world long after he’s officially left office.

“A president unwilling to respect boundaries in office is almost certain to cross them out of office. Experts envision some likely scenarios — a much-rumored TV show and plans to use his properties to profit off his lifetime Secret Service protection, perhaps even continuing to troll the Biden administration from his hotel down Pennsylvania Avenue—and some troubling if less certain ones, like literally selling U.S. secrets or influence to foreign governments.”
____________

This at least assumes Trump will lose.

I only hope we can learn to ignore him in the future and let him rage on by himself.

The GOP had better, if they ever hope to rebuild.

Anonymous said...

RICO Act = Biden's Crime Family

Anonymous said...

Rebuilt the USSC
in the Likeness of Trump.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Trump Sets Aside Career Intelligence Briefer
5:50 pm

The New York Times:
“President Trump has dispensed with intelligence briefings from a career analyst in favor of updates from political appointees including John Ratcliffe, the director of national intelligence and a longtime partisan defender of his, in the closing weeks of an election targeted by intensifying foreign interference.
___________

So he only wants to hear what he wants to hear?

Anonymous said...

The Three Socialist Democrats here deny being Socialst .

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Where I am living is irrelevant.

No offense but since he was elected President, your posts are never critical of the President, no matter how obvious ridiculous his tweets are, you just move on.

You criticized Bush sometimes, but you, no offence meant, you act like a follower.

When I thought that Obama made a mistake I criticized him.

And, don't say that Trump isn't rational about Russia and Kim Jong Ung.

His views on race, would forbid your marriage to an Asian woman!

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

I look at the individual polls and come to my own conclusions

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

He did a marvelous job effing up the pandemic response, alienating much of the nation, insulting various political people, and screwing up the economy! Just as Obama had to clean up GW's economic freefall with the help of VP Joe Biden, so Biden will have to clean up the economy Trump blew with the help of VP Kamala Harris. MORAL OF THE STORY: Quit electing Republicans who serve only the wealthy!

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Ch SAID:
The difference between you and I(sic) Reverend...
Is that I won't be slitting my wrists because of the results of a Presidential election. As stated about a million times, my interest in politics is much less "personal" and "emotional" than most of you here. I have usually found interest in the game and the insider parts of politics and elections that most people find boring.
_________

I would only point out to you, Ch, that there are now many Republicans who formerly held high positions in the GOP and in government, who have come out with statements to the effect that they are convinced that another four years of Trump would be an absolute disaster for our nation, and some of them sound as if they would almost be ready to slash their wrists if he wins those four more years.

Maybe you can dispassionately regard our nation's present situation as little more than a sort of political game, but there are many who think the stakes are FAR too high for that kind of attitude.

Anonymous said...

What are your 5 favorite Policies of Bidens?

Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Anonymous said...

Mark Morgan, Acting CBP Commissioner Banned from Tiwtter , after supporting strong borders.

Not kputz said...

With early voting totals smashing records on a daily basis, Democrats are leading with a key constituency — those who did not, or could not, vote in 2016.

So far, more than 20 percent of the early vote nationwide has come from these voters, according to data from the NBC News Decision Desk/TargetSmart, a Democratic political data firm.

With 77 million having already cast early votes — a number that the Decision Desk projects could hit 100 million by Tuesday's election — more than 17.5 million of them have come from people who passed on voting in 2016 or were not yet eligible to vote.

Among those 17.5 million voters, Democrats hold a nearly 2 million vote advantage over Republicans, with roughly 7.5 million votes coming from registered Democrats and 5.5 million from registered Republicans, according to the Decision Desk/TargetSmart. An additional 4.46 million came from independents who did not vote in 2016.

Polls show independents overall breaking toward 2020 Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden, who holds a large polling lead with early voters in key states, while President Donald Trump maintains a significant advantage among those who have yet to vote.

"While early vote turnout has shattered all records, the most meaningful statistic is the number of ballots cast by voters who didn't turn out in 2016," TargetSmart CEO Tom Bonier, a veteran Democratic strategist, said. "These are the voters who will determine how the 2020 electorate differs from Trump's winning coalition in 2016."

"These surge voters are younger, more diverse, and more likely to vote Democratic," he added. "That's all a good sign for Joe Biden, at this point, though this electorate continues to be highly dynamic and Republicans are counting on a surge on Election Day."

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Here's some sensible and sensitive talk about how the election should go.

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/shields-and-brooks-on-2020-election-predictions

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

He's in Wisconsin, where the pandemic infections are going up. He said this!

JUST IN: President Trump vowed that the nation is "rounding the turn" on the coronavirus at a campaign rally in Wisconsin — which has seen a 41 percent spike in new cases over the last two weeks.

"Our vaccine will eradicate the virus, end the pandemic, quickly restore normal life. I just want normal life. All we want is normal life," Trump added, predicting that a COVID-19 vaccine would be ready "very soon."

The experts say that the virus is not going to be available for almost a year!

Anonymous said...

😁The experts say that the virus is not going to be available for almost a year!😃

Fucking Alky Retard.

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

When Joe Biden attacks America's response to the coronavirus, he's actually attacking Dr. Fauci.

VIDEO:

https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1322335985347289088


FACT CHECK: TRUE

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

Courtney Holland
@hollandcourtney

Guys I can’t stop laughing Face with tears of joy Wait for the end.....

VIDEO:

https://twitter.com/hollandcourtney/status/1322239388324032512


There was more than one reason they were hiding Biden !!!

Anonymous said...

Joe is against oil/coal except when it makes him a multi-millionaire.

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...


So what does a prognosticator who nailed it in 2016,

https://twitter.com/StatesPoll/status/795830036175736832

unlike those constantly brought up here think about 2020?

https://twitter.com/StatesPoll/status/1322193393515077632

Trump 312 Biden 226

Stick with the WINNER !!!

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

Daily Caller
@DailyCaller

When President Trump appeared on @60Minutes, Lesley Stahl repeatedly said that the emails on Hunter Biden's laptop "can't be verified."

We just verified via forensic analysis the email at the center of the NY Post story
https://dailycaller.com/2020/10/29/cybersecurity-expert-authenticates-hunter-biden-burisma-email/

VIDEO:

https://twitter.com/DailyCaller/status/1322019295728144384

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

FOX NEWS POLL:
Biden Leads Trump By 8 Points
8:35 pm
A new Fox News poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump nationally in the presidential race, 52% to 44%.



POLITICO:
Trump May Hold Rallies After Election Day
8:31 pm
“Top surrogates for the Trump campaign have been told to keep their Novembers clear for potential campaign events. And Trump campaign advisers said not to rule out the possibility Trump continues his rallies even as election officials continue to count ballots after the Nov. 3 election, according to a campaign surrogate and two Trump advisers.

“With the possibility that there might not be a clear winner on election night in key swing states like Pennsylvania and North Carolina, the campaign has discussed putting Trump and his family on the road to give a morale boost to supporters and let the president fire off about the election to crowds.”
__________

LOL They'll be needing that morale boost as they celebrate his losing.

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...


Long and interesting Covid Illinois vs Sweden thread

el gato malo
@boriquagato


sweden and Illinois have similar population and lived densities. they pursued very different policies. Il has locked down hard and has had mask mandates. sweden has not.

yet sweden has not only out-performed, but is currently seeing deaths near 0 and stable vs the rise in IL.

THREAD:

https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1322171420412137474

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...

NY Post back on Twitter without backing down !!!

Sohrab Ahmari
@SohrabAhmari

To recap:

1. We never posted hacked material.

2. If reporting has to be approved by subject of the story, all journalism becomes p.r.

3. @jack and Zuck testified under oath that neither has ANY evidence this was hacked material.

4. DNI, FBI and State say no disinformation.



Biden is a crook and this was NOT Russian disinformation

As separately verified by Tony Bobulinski

But many in America still aren't aware.

But enough are.

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

Andrew Kerr
@AndrewKerrNC

The "smoking-gun" Hunter Biden email first published in the @NYPost has been independently verified by cybersecurity expert @ErrataRob.

Graham used a cryptographic signature in the email's header to verify its authenticity with Google's servers.

https://twitter.com/AndrewKerrNC/status/1322004160972206081


So now all the state media can report on it "right" ?

Everybody already knew it wasn't Russian disinformation but actually right.

The Biden's are crooks.

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

* Bidens'

Anonymous said...

>>>>>>Too Funny>>>>>>>[
"JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy"

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

98,538 cases today.

Anonymous said...

Great, Testing is working as designed.

Anonymous said...

Roger, you are a failure.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

RealClearPolitics Commentary

Post-Election Choice for Dems: Retaliation or Reconciliation
By Neal Simon ctober 30, 2020

If next week’s election results match recent polling, Joe Biden and his party will have control of the House, the Senate and the presidency in 2021. The Nov. 3 battle in the Great Red vs. Blue War will have been won decisively by the Democrats.

The military analogy feels sadly appropriate in an era when one in six Americans think violence is justified if their candidate loses. Within today’s climate of division, Biden and his victorious generals will be left with a crucial and binary choice: retaliation or reconciliation.

Retaliation for Democrats would entail a full-throttled, comprehensive attempt, using every available executive and legislative power, to advance a liberal agenda. Blue power would be consolidated by forming a Cabinet constructed to unite Biden’s party rather than the country, perhaps by appointing Elizabeth Warren and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to high level positions.

In Congress, with 51 votes in the Senate, Democrats would abolish the filibuster and advance long-dreamed-about legislation without a single Republican vote. In the judiciary, Democrats would pack the Supreme Court by adding two, or even four, new justices. Blood-thirsty activists would level criminal charges against Donald Trump and even some of his aides and family members. It would all feel good for liberals who have endured not only Trump’s lying and abuse of power, but also his outright denial of their legitimacy as political opponents.

Yet to many Americans, such actions would feel more like vindictiveness. About 43% of the country still approves of President Trump’s job performance and even if he loses big, he will have gotten some 60 million votes. This very large group of people would feel as though salt was being deliberately rubbed into their wounds.

Worse, choosing the vengeful, partisan path would hasten the tortuous ruin of our federal government. It’s easy to imagine scenarios where, in just eight years, Republicans retake control of the presidency and both houses of Congress, and seek their own revenge by packing the court further, reversing recent legislation, and passing new laws with only their own party’s support. Our country would become the proverbial idiot in the shower; the water that was too hot for most of us would then become too cold.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

So, what might reconciliation look like? In the executive branch, it starts with President Biden forming a Cabinet designed to increase national unity rather than party loyalty. Imagine a Secretary of State Mitt Romney or Veterans Affairs Secretary Martha McSally. There’s precedent for this type of bipartisanship. In another divided time, first term Republican President Abraham Lincoln named two Democrats among his seven Cabinet members, including Secretary of War Edwin Stanton.

In Congress, a good beginning would be replacing Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi as Senate majority leader and speaker of the House. There’s too much bad blood between the Republicans and the two of them to allow any real chance of reconciliation. In their place, Democratic legislators would choose more moderate leaders who haven’t been molded by, and scarred by, decades of partisan fighting. Senate Democrats would maintain the filibuster, one of the last remaining tools that encourages cross-partisan cooperation. And they would commit to not passing legislation without at least a few Republican votes.

President Biden would take additional, purposeful actions to signal to the nation that we’re entering a new, post-partisan era. He would call for expanded national service, especially any program that enables young Democrats and Republicans to work side by side for the good of the country. He would fully endorse non-partisan electoral reforms, including ranked-choice voting, that reduce the subservience of legislators to their party bases. Our new president would minimize the partisan talk. His messaging would focus instead on our shared interests as Americans. Finally, and this will sound heretical to his most devoted followers, Biden would preemptively pardon President Trump of all federal crimes.

In 1861, in his first inaugural address, Abraham Lincoln proclaimed, “We must not be enemies. Though passion may have strained, it must not break our bonds of affection.” The country would again be well served if Biden and other Democratic leaders could put country over party, follow the path towards national reconciliation, and end our decades-long dysfunctional politics. President Biden might go down in history as a unifying force similar to Lincoln, rather than as just another general in a tiresome partisan war.

Neal Simon, a Maryland business executive, was a 2018 independent candidate for U.S. Senate. Simon serves on the boards of the Bipartisan Policy Center and Unite America and is the author of “The Contract to Unite America.”

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

When Vice President Mike Pence first took charge of the White House’s coronavirus task force, among his earliest moves was establishing a standing call with all 50 governors aimed at closely coordinating the nation’s pandemic fight.

Yet as the U.S. confronts its biggest Covid-19 surge to date, Pence hasn’t attended one of those meetings in over a month..

Over 78,000 people were infected today.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

In three days, we have to save our country.

It doesn’t have to be this way.

We are masters of our own fate. We control our destiny collectively as a democracy and we can make things better than they are. And that's the civic faith we all have to keep.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

I wonder why Scott didn't post this horror story ?

9 million coronavirus cases and more than 228,000 deaths in the United States. These are tragic milestones. My heart goes out to the countless people who have been impacted by the loss of a parent, grandparent, or loved one. May you find strength and healing._? https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/29/us/coronavirus-nine-million-cases.html

Myballs said...

Both candidates were in MN Friday. MN could go red for first time in nearly 50 years. Biden is not nearly as strong as the media would have us think.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

No chance in hell.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

About one in 10 voters could still be considered “volatile,” half the number as at this point in 2016, but this time around, most of them have an unfavorable opinion of Donald J. Trump.

John Holland, 74, is proud to call himself a political independent, and he has always made a point of voting for the candidate he prefers, not a party to which he had sworn allegiance. In mid-October he told a New York Times/Siena College poll he wasn’t yet won over by either President Trump or Joseph R. Biden Jr.

Ultimately, Mr. Holland, a retired education-technology professional in Minnesota, did choose, and like many late-deciding voters, he said his choice emerged “from a values point of view.”

“I said, ‘Would I want President Trump to be the grandfather of any one of my grandchildren?’ And the answer was no,” he said this week, explaining that he had donned a mask and walked to an early polling site to cast a ballot for Mr. Biden.

Four years ago, voters like Mr. Holland — leery of both major-party candidates, undecided until the 11th hour and guided by their gut more than by policy — decided the election. This year, polling shows far fewer undecided voters remain, but in close battleground states they could still be pivotal.

Volatile voters generally don’t like either candidate, but they are more likely to say they would rather see Mr. Biden handling the coronavirus pandemic than Mr. Trump — in line with trends among the entire electorate. And 56 percent of these voters expected the pandemic to grow worse before it got better, while just 26 percent said they thought the worst was behind us, according to the latest Times/Siena poll. Sixty-three percent said they were worried that they or a family member might catch the virus, higher than the share among Trump supporters, but lower than for Biden supporters.
Undecided Voters Tend to Disapprove of Trump https://nyti.ms/35S8wsX

To a lot of them, it's a referendum on the President


Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

People who live in the alternate reality of Fox news and the right wing media don't live in the real world

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The Democratic party is much more unified than in 2016, plus there no third party candidate.

Three things could happen.

1: Trump loses the majority, but the electoral college victory

2; Biden edges a victory.

3: A national sweep, the house majority increase, the Democrats take the Senate and state governments across the country.

I would love #3. But I can't declare victory for the American people yet

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The Democtats need to rescue the Supreme Court, not stock it.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

In Congress, with 51 votes in the Senate, Democrats would abolish the filibuster and advance long-dreamed-about legislation without a single Republican vote. In the judiciary, Democrats would rescue the Supreme Court by adding two, or even four, new justices.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/10/30/post-election_choice_for_dems_retaliation_or_reconciliation_144569.html

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

NBC found Thecoldheartedtruth

One month before a purported leak of files from Hunter Biden's laptop, a fake "intelligence" document about him went viral on the right-wing internet, asserting an elaborate conspiracy theory involving former Vice President Joe Biden's son and business in China.

The document, a 64-page composition that was later disseminated by close associates of President Donald Trump, appears to be the work of a fake "intelligence firm" called Typhoon Investigations, according to researchers and public documents.

The author of the document, a self-identified Swiss security analyst named Martin Aspen, is a fabricated identity, according to analysis by disinformation researchers, who also concluded that Aspen's profile picture was created with an artificial intelligence face generator. The intelligence firm that Aspen lists as his previous employer said that no one by that name had ever worked for the company and that no one by that name lives in Switzerland, according to public records and social media searches.

One of the original posters of the document, a blogger and professor named Christopher Balding, took credit for writing parts of it when asked about it and said Aspen does not exist.

Despite the document's questionable authorship and anonymous sourcing, its claims that Hunter Biden has a problematic connection to the Communist Party of China have been used by people who oppose the Chinese government, as well as by far-right influencers, to baselessly accuse candidate Joe Biden of being beholden to the Chinese government.





Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/security/how-fake-persona-laid-groundwork-hunter-biden-conspiracy-deluge-n1245387

Myballs said...

Keith Ellison disagrees with you

anonymous said...

Why the GOP is heading the way of the no nothing and whigs.......all they got left is cheating and filing lawsuits to impede the counting of votes!!!!! Drove back 630 miles to in person early vote to avoid the BS trump and the fucking loser GOP is trying to do!!!!!


Politics
Republicans shift from challenging rules to preparing to challenge individual ballots
Boxes of envelopes for ballots at the election office in Erie, Pa.
Boxes of envelopes for ballots at the election office in Erie, Pa. (Bonnie Jo Mount/The Washington Post)
By
Rosalind S. Helderman,
Emma Brown and
Beth Reinhard
Oct. 30, 2020 at 6:59 p.m. EDT
Add to list
In Nevada, the Trump campaign filed a lawsuit this week seeking images of the signature of every registered voter in Democratic-leaning Clark County — a potential first step toward challenging individual votes on grounds that the signed ballots don’t match the signatures on file.
Follow the latest on Election 2020
In Texas, Republican officeholders and candidates sued this week to have more than 100,000 votes invalidated in the Houston area because they were cast at drive-through voting centers the GOP has asked a judge to declare illegal.
And in Minnesota and Pennsylvania, election officials will set aside any mail-in ballots that arrive after Election Day — even if they were mailed before the polls closed — to facilitate potential court challenges.

Republicans have pushed largely unsuccessfully to limit new avenues for voting in the midst of the pandemic. But with next week’s election rapidly approaching, they have shifted their legal strategy in recent days to focus on tactics aimed at challenging ballots one by one, in some cases seeking to discard votes already cast during a swell of early voting.

Myballs said...

In 2016 Trump list MN, NV and NH by only 74000 votes. He could very well flip any or all of these, given that biden is such a weak candidate. Trump landslide perhaps?

anonymous said...

And you slurpers wonder why women are fleeing the GOP and will likely flip those 74 k votes in spades......BWAAAAAAAAAAA! Given trump is such a fucking big mouthed bully......trump will certainly be part of a landslide

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-women-biden/2020/10/30/d95af4b6-199c-11eb-aeec-b93bcc29a01b_story.html

Myballs said...

Black and Hispanic voters supporting Trump at historic levels. Slurp on that.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Quote of the Day
8:01 am
“There will be no heating in the winter, no air conditioning in the summer, and no electricity.”
— President Trump, at a Wisconsin rally, on what will happen if Joe Biden wins the election.

And the virus will go away day after tomorrow.



Trump Celebrates Low Black Voter Turnout
8:00 am
President Trump celebrated reports that Joe Biden wasn’t driving up Black voter turnout, framing it in a way that made it seem like he was happy about the disenfranchisement.

Said Trump: “The Black vote is not turning out for him. They’re not showing up to vote and others aren’t either.”

THAT should turn them out!



Belgium Locks Down to Keep Hospitals from Collapse
7:56 am
The prime minister of Belgium, which has one of the world’s highest Covid-19 infection rates, announced a national lockdown on Friday, calling it a “last chance” to keep the country’s health care system from collapse, the New York Times reports.

The Guardian reports England will go into lockdown next week for at least a month.



Virus Out of Control In the Dakotas
“The percentage of tests for Covid-19 coming back positive in South Dakota has soared to 46%. That’s more than eight times the World Health Organization’s recommended 5% threshold for businesses to be open,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“As Covid cases surge across the U.S. and in Europe, South Dakota and North Dakota hold a distinct position: Each has more new virus cases per capita than any other states have seen since the pandemic began. South Dakota has the most and North Dakota the second-most.”

Wrote South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem (R) in the Rapid City Journal: “Those who don’t want to wear a mask shouldn’t be shamed into wearing one.”

Right. Even though it may kill someone else.

Nor should anyone be shamed into obeying speed limits or wearing safety belts.



Americans Surge to Polls
7:44 am
“An unnerved yet energized America is voting with an urgency never seen before in the approach to a presidential election, as a record 85 million people have cast ballots despite an array of challenges: a pandemic, postal delays, long lines and court rulings that have tested faith in the country’s electoral system,” the New York Times reports.

“The impact of this huge surge in turnout is one of the most unpredictable facets of the election, as strategists in both parties parse early returns for signs of any advantage. Joe Biden is counting on a strong early vote to help him flip states like Florida and Arizona that President Trump carried in 2016. But Republicans are banking on their voters to turn out in bigger numbers on Election Day and deliver battleground wins, as they did in key states in 2016.”

Anonymous said...



9 million coronavirus cases and more than 228,000 deaths in the United States.


sounds like a slightly above average flu year to me.

what's your point alky? other than politicizing the shit out of covid as a weapon to use against the president?


let us know when we hit 60 MILLION covid "positives." that's the H1N1 benchmark skeets hit ten years ago and no one went ape shit.




Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Trump Rallies Likely Led to 700 Deaths
7:14 am
A new Stanford University study estimates that 18 of President Trump’s campaign rallies from June 20 through September 22 have led to at least 30,000 coronavirus cases and more than 700 deaths.

CAN THIS BE TRUE? AND HE KEEPS PACKING THE TRUSTING SHEEP IN?



Too Many Lies to Track
11:36 pm
Daniel Dale told the Los Angeles Times that President Trump lies so much he had to recently “make a decision” to stop counting each one of the president’s false claims and “just focus on the big stuff.”



The 2020s Could Be as Dangerous as the 1850s
11:33 pm
Ron Brownstein writes that, even if Donald Trump is defeated, it “still wouldn’t neutralize Republican power.”

“Republicans have erected a series of defenses that could allow them to impede their rivals—even if demographic and social change combine to more clearly stamp Democrats as the nation’s majority party in the years ahead. And that could make the 2020s the most turbulent decade for America since the 1850s, when a very similar dynamic unfolded.”

BuzzFeed News says researchers claim that a single number they call the “political stress indicator” can warn when societies are at risk of erupting into violence. It’s spiking in the US, just like it did before the Civil War.


Judge Orders ‘Extraordinary Measures’ to Deliver Ballots
11:20 pm
A federal judge on Friday ordered the U.S. Postal Service to adopt “extraordinary measures” at some processing locations to ensure the timely delivery of millions of ballots before Tuesday’s presidential election, Reuters reports.


Cornyn Didn’t ‘Graduate’ from Oxford as Claimed
11:17 pm
Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX), who currently finds himself in an unusually competitive race against MJ Hegar (D), previously falsely represented himself as a graduate of Oxford University in England in the run-up to his successful election to the Texas Supreme Court, Salon reports.



From Challenging Rules to Challenging Ballots
7:41 am
Washington Post:
“For months, Republicans have pushed largely unsuccessfully to limit new avenues for voting in the midst of the pandemic. But with next week’s election rapidly approaching, they have shifted their legal strategy in recent days to focus on tactics aimed at challenging ballots one by one, in some cases seeking to discard votes already cast during a swell of early voting.”

Anonymous said...




BIDEN: “I’ll lead an effective strategy to mobilize trunalimunumaprzure.”


https://twitter.com/EddieZipperer/status/1322218253247303681


elder abuse.





James Fig Leaf said...

They're not turning out FOR HIM. Let's not exclude the rest of his sentence. Minorities turnout out for Trump in record numbers. That's a huge problem for dems.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

rat forgot to mention that even with the 60 MILLION cases there were far, far fewer deaths

skeptical American voters said...

minorities turn out for trump in record numbers

we'll see

Anonymous said...



so... Cornyn never said it, and he's to be blamed for not correcting it?

LOL.

The Oxford claim misrepresents Cornyn's qualifications, and though its origins are unclear, went uncorrected by Cornyn for the duration of the campaign, leaving voters with the impression that he passed through one of the most prestigious institutions in the world.


so Mr Cornyn, when exactly DID you stop beating your wife, hmmmmm???

LOL.

salon. that the laugh factory jack tapper emerged from.



Anonymous said...



rat forgot to mention that even with the 60 MILLION cases there were far, far fewer deaths


well pederast, that's impossible to determine since the number of covid deaths has been wildly over-inflated for both financial and political gain.

Anonymous said...




This is absolutely delicious.


https://twitter.com/GregoryEck/status/1322378245887594497

Anonymous said...




Watch. Antifa DC is targeting the election


https://twitter.com/JackPosobiec/status/1322006737126363138

Anonymous said...



Businesses in Blue Cities Board Up the Windows in Anticipation of Rioting and Looting by Democrat Orcs

http://ace.mu.nu/archives/391059.php

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

====== NO TOSS UPS ELECTORAL VOTES

========== BIDEN 345 TRUMP 198

You mean this STILL has not changed?

Nope.


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

FANTASTIC SATURDAY MORNING !!!

Heather Champion
@winningatmylife

#BidenClownCarRally Updated Trump voters are ugly!
They hate you, not just @realDonaldTrump

Clip:

https://twitter.com/winningatmylife/status/1322305565834514432



Why so angry Joe ? Haven't been getting enough sleep ?

ROFLMFAO !!!

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

Yinon Weiss
@yinonw

Between the US, the EU, and Sweden, only Sweden doesn't require masks, never closed schools, and never forced businesses to close.

Sweden is called an experiment, but they are following scientific pandemic plans. It’s the rest of the world that is the failed experiment.

POWERFUL GRAPH

https://twitter.com/yinonw/status/1322360555143749633



Science in 2020 - give those same failed scientists more power in 2021.

reminder:

https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1322335985347289088

anonymous said...


http://ace.mu.nu/archives/391059.php


Another POS posted by a piece of shit with no brains!!!!!!!!! BWAAAAAAAAAA!!!

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

A little experiment

Go to 279towin.com

(click on the "reset map" button if it is there)

Notice that Biden has already won without carrying Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, or Texas.

He could also lose either Pennsylvania or Arizona, and still he would win.

He would also win if he lost BOTH Pennsylvania and Arizona (and Ohio and Iowa), but won EITHER North Carolina or Georgia or Florida.

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...


WOW, dems sure sound worried.

So worried Biden was out campaigning in Minnesota.

I thought the dems said this was going to be a landslide.

Well maybe they are right.

A RED landslide !!!

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Donald Trump Jr. describes Covid-19 deaths in the US as "almost nothing" on a day reporting 1,000 dead. https://nbcnews.to/2Gc1iai

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...


Last minute "problem" for those who don't plan ahead

Tim Young
@TimRunsHisMouth

The only people wall to wall COVID coverage will keep from the polls are Biden supporters.


Well they are pretty depressed anyway.

And just wait till next Wednesday.

ROFLMFAO !!!

Myballs said...

279towin is a poll aggregator. Nothing more. They miss all the things the polls are missing.

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

Tim Young
@TimRunsHisMouth

Biden is out of the basement and traveling the country because he's losing.

after saying he wasn't going to and then going to Minnesota of all places !!!

No wonder he is so angry.

And his foreign income stream may be drying up soon.

Desperate Times if you are a Biden !!!

Myballs said...

Tues night Trump will be ahead, therefore the tv networks will refuse to call several states. This will go on for a couple weeks or more.

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump

Big win for our very elite U.S. Special Forces today. Details to follow!



WINNING !!!

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

Myballs said...
Tues night Trump will be ahead, therefore the tv networks will refuse to call several states. This will go on for a couple weeks or more.


I expect you may be right. That's a big reason for Republicans to make this a landslide win for us.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

With ONLY 2 day left until Election Day. Please consider LIKING and asking Your Friends to LIKE our Page and show your Support. Thank you.....https://www.facebook.com/FireFightersForBiden/?epa=SEARCH_BOX

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

Jack Posobiec
@JackPosobiec

Hill staffer just texted me, "KH ready to get back to the Senate"

signs...

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

Robert Barnes
@Barnes_Law

Early voting issues for Democrats: polls forecast Democrats in Florida would win an 8 point lead in early voters, built on a surge of minority millennial voters. Today, it's less than a 2 point lead, and Dems are still waiting on that minority millennial voting surge.
----
signs

Anonymous said...



liberal 'logic' -

left declares war on an industry. drives it into bankruptcy. demand investigation into layoffs caused by bankruptcy.

ILION — U.S. Rep Anthony Brindisi and Sen. Chuck Schumer have requested the National Labor Relations Board to investigate the Remington Arms Co., which is being sold in bankruptcy to new owners, including an entrepreneur who runs a paint ball equipment company.

At issue is the old owner’s decision earlier this month to lay off 585 of the more than 700 workers at the historic firearms factory without any severance pay or extended health benefits, which union officials say are included in their collective bargaining agreements.


https://www.timesunion.com/business/article/Lawmakers-Investigate-Remington-layoffs-15689296.php

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

Kambree
@KamVTV

Joe Biden holds car rallies but wants to end fossil fuels.

Explain that one.


fossils for the fossil ???

anonymous said...

imRunsHisMouth

The only people wall to wall COVID coverage will keep from the polls are Biden supporters



BWAAAAAAAAAA!!!! I voted for Biden in person after driving 630 miles to get home instead of risking a mail in ballot!!!!!! Sorry sport, but your wishful thinking is not going to negate the huge turnout that is coming!!!!!!

Anonymous said...


Joe Biden holds car rallies but wants to end fossil fuels.

Explain that one.



and flies private jets to rallies before dozens of 'supporters' touting a nude eel that is green.





Anonymous said...


Blogger Roger Amick said...

With ONLY 2 day left until Election Day. Please consider LIKING and asking Your Friends to LIKE our Page and show your Support. Thank you.....https://www.facebook.com/FireFightersForBiden/?epa=SEARCH_BOX



This site cannot be reached


smooth, alky.

smooth.


LOL.

anonymous said...

Joe Biden holds car rallies but wants to end fossil fuels.


You really post the dumbest shit on the net you dumb fucking idiot!!!!!

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...


Blogger Roger Amick said...

With ONLY 2 day left until Election Day.


guess someone is calling an early "lid"

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

An Amateur’s Predictions for 2020
Taegan Goddard: This piece is by David T.S. Jonas.
____________

There’s no reason to think that popular electoral forecasts like those at The Economist or at FiveThirtyEight won’t serve you better than an underqualified observer’s qualitative approach, but since my goal is chiefly to guard against hindsight bias, I thought I would offer these predictions for 2020.

In short:
Democratic-leaning voters and Republican-leaning voters will both be extremely motivated to vote.

The vast majority of “undecided” or wavering voters will fall back on old voting patterns.

Electoral and legal shenanigans amid a pandemic are likely to cut (marginally) into Democratic vote share.

To oversimplify, there’s good reason to think that the polls are overstating Democratic vote shares in key battleground states. Prominent polling misses in 2018 in states like Iowa, Florida, Missouri, Ohio and other crucial states (see Sean Trende’s musings for more) seem likely for 2020 as well.

That said, Team Biden’s lead in battleground polling is so big, even major systemic polling errors and electoral shenanigans are highly unlikely to cost him the election.

Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are the big prizes, and while the final margins may be relatively close (especially in PA), the White House should be Biden’s from this base of 278 electoral votes.

I only have two other battleground states going to Biden—and by very thin margins.
In Florida, Team Biden’s impressive ability to win older swing voters should give him an Obama-like squeaker of a win.
And in Arizona, Team Biden has successfully duplicated Kyrsten Sinema’s successful 2018 persuasion model, making it safe for former John McCain supporters to vote Democratic.


North Carolina, Georgia, Texas, Iowa, and Ohio should all see big Democratic vote share increases (with Georgia and Texas gaining permanent status as battleground states), but with a highly motivated base of Republican-leaning voters, those states should remain in Donald Trump’s camp.

Final electoral vote count:
319 for Joe Biden,
219 for Donald Trump.

_________

The Senate is much more difficult to predict, but the quality of candidates (and their ample resources) should allow several candidates to outpace Team Biden’s margins and hand Democrats control of the Senate—but again, not by wide vote margins.

Colorado, Arizona, Maine, and North Carolina should flip to Democrats, with Alabama flipping back to Republicans (and Republicans barely holding Iowa), putting the Senate at 50-50.

Two other races stand out for Democrats. In Montana, voters there have a history of sending moderate, policy-oriented Democrats to the Senate despite the state’s Republican lean, and former Governor Steve Bullock fits that mold. And in South Carolina, a once-in-a-generation confluence of an unpopular Republican incumbent in Lindsey Graham and a young phenom in Jamie Harrison should give Democrats that seat as well.

Final Senate count:
52-48 for Democrats.

_________

In the House, Democrats should pick up around 10 seats. My home state of Virginia looks like a good microcosm of the national House map—Democrats look poised to hold their big gains from 2018, with a real shot of winning in fairly red territory.
For example, in Virginia’s 5th district, rising star Cameron Webb should pull off an upset beating non-incumbent Republican Bob Good.

Final House count:
242-193 for Democrats.


My overall thinking can be summed up like this:
the deep current of anti-liberalism (and the accompanying shenanigans) in this country ensures that Donald Trump and Congressional Republicans enjoy a remarkably inelastic floor.

But when Democratic-leaning voters show up in full force—aided by a small but significant coalition of swing independent and moderate voters—they win elections.

That broad, energized majority—a majority demanding the end of Trumpism—should prevail in November.

anonymous said...

lies private jets to rallies before


WHILE TRUMP FLIES AF 1 AND AS A TAXPAYER.....YOU PAY FOR IT BWAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!!

Anonymous said...



That said, Team Biden’s lead in battleground polling is so big, even major systemic polling errors and electoral shenanigans are highly unlikely to cost him the election.


bookmarked.


JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...


ABC NEWS finally reports on Biden and Foreign Deals...

Jack Posobiec
@JackPosobiec

Woah ABC

ABC VIDEO:

https://twitter.com/JackPosobiec/status/1322376502403604480


guess ABC wants to have a fallback position that they did report on the Biden's corruption when he loses the election.

And people were calling the Biden corruption "fake news"...

Anonymous said...




They impeached Trump for the crimes of the Biden family.

The FBI now confirms this

Pass it on



https://twitter.com/bennyjohnson/status/1321938418201468928

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...


ABC News is now engaged in "Russian disinformation" ???

anonymous said...

Trump's ass is soooooo big it blocks out the sun!!!!!! BTW....melodorous looked really good in her $6 grand dress and designer shoes......a real vision for those not working......BWAAAAAAAAAAA!!!

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

rrb said

bookmarked.

JamesNewLeaf says:

bookmark the last three paragraphs
too.
:-)

anonymous said...

ABC News is now engaged in "Russian disinformation" ???


BWAAAAAAAAAA!!!!! Sure......the only misinformation being spread is by you and fucking troll twitter BS you post!!!!!!

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...


Blogger rrb said...



They impeached Trump for the crimes of the Biden family.

The FBI now confirms this


yep

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

Dan Bongino
@dbongino

I TOLD YOU!! Watch the sheer panic as they slowly start to realize they are living 2016 all over again

CNN PANIC VIDEO:

https://twitter.com/dbongino/status/1322210693274345472



but the polls say Biden is dominating !!!

What could possibly go wrong ???

ROFLMFAO !!!

Has Biden called a lid for next Wednesday yet ???

Anonymous said...


a longshot for sure, but...


If you had asked me in 2018 if I thought there was any chance in hell Trump could flip the Golden State I’d have said you were out of your mind for even suggesting it. In March of this year I changed my mind, and published an article predicting the possibility of a flip for Trump. That was before lockdowns, before school closures, before Uber and Lyft were threatening to leave the state, before businesses closed, before riots and looting, before Defund the Police…even before all these horrors California was feeling ripe for a flip, mainly due to the horrific AB5 law that decimated the gig economy and eliminated nearly 300 job categories overnight. I’d never seen so many true blue Democrats ready to cross the aisle.


https://redstate.com/kiradavis/2020/10/30/group-405-trump-sign-campaign-ad-n272061

anonymous said...

a longshot for sure, but...


Are you going to share what you are smoking??????? BWAAAAAAPAAAAAA!!!!! Like ballz predicting NY would flip,.......

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

American Hostage Rescued
10:42 am

An American citizen abducted last week in Niger has been rescued during a high-risk U.S. military raid in neighboring Nigeria, ABC News reports.

“The mission was undertaken by elite commandos as part of a major effort to free the U.S. citizen, Philip Walton, 27, before his abductors could get far after taking him captive in Niger on Oct. 26.”

GREAT WORK, COMMANDOS!!!
_____
(Of course, President Bone Spur will try to make it sound like he personally went there and accomplished this by himself.)

anonymous said...

Anonymous JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...
Dan Bongino


DESPERATION ON ALL FRONTS HERE, FOLKS!!!!!!!!!!!! BWAAAAAAPAAAAAA!!!!!!! I find it rather amusing that Tx looks to be competitive with more votes cast to date than in 2016 in total!!!!! That alone should stop you and make you think!!!!

Anonymous said...




“We believe that regardless of the strength of the Minnesota election system, mass mobilization will and must happen in Minnesota to defend democracy,” the leaked document reads.

“We expect that this mobilization will create space and opportunity for unrest, primarily in Minneapolis. In this context, the situation could rapidly spiral beyond control depending on the nature of the unrest and the State’s reaction.”

In an effort to shift responsibility for violence to others, the groups point to the right, as well as the Minneapolis Police Department (MPD), for the possibility of inciting or enabling violence, for which they must be prepared."



https://www.scribd.com/document/482165176/Draft-1-MN-Democracy-Defense-Plan-1#from_embed

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

THE WASHINGTON POST:
Trump Drags Down GOP Senators
10:47 am
“From the deepest conservative states to more Democratic leaning terrain, Senate Republicans face a brutal political environment that has left the GOP needing to pull off a near-perfect run in a dozen highly competitive races to retain the majority.

“That environment, with a pandemic killing nearly 230,000 Americans and leaving millions unemployed, wounded President Trump’s standing even in his most reliable states, dragging Republican incumbents down with him and opening new avenues for Democrats to pursue the Senate majority.”



NEW YORK TIMES:
Networks Pledge Caution on Election Night
10:49 am
“Batches of ballots that will be counted at different times, depending on the swing state.

"Twitter gadflies and foreign agents intent on sowing confusion.

"A president who has telegraphed for months that he may not accept results he deems unfavorable.

"Television executives overseeing this year’s election night broadcasts are facing big challenges.

"And the world will be watching."

Anonymous said...


(Of course, President Bone Spur will try to make it sound like he personally went there and accomplished this by himself.)


he'll do nothing of the sort, but your TDS compels you to say so anyway.


Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The Economist pretty much summed up how I see the President.

King Donald
Mr Trump has fallen short less in his role as the head of America’s government than as the head of state. He and his administration can claim their share of political wins and losses, just like administrations before them. But as the guardian of America’s values, the conscience of the nation and America’s voice in the world, he has dismally failed to measure up to the task.

Without covid-19, Mr Trump’s policies could well have won him a second term (see first Briefing). His record at home includes tax cuts, deregulation and the appointment of benchloads of conservative judges. Before the pandemic, wages among the poorest quarter of workers were growing by 4.7% a year. Small-business confidence was near a 30-year peak. By restricting immigration, he gave his voters what they wanted. Abroad, his disruptive approach has brought some welcome change (see second Briefing). America has hammered Islamic State and brokered peace deals between Israel and a trio of Muslim countries. Some allies in NATO are at last spending more on defence. China’s government knows that the White House now recognises it as a formidable adversary.
----

I still would not vote for him, but he had a chance to be a great President, but his chracter flaws made it impossible.



Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

New Battleground State Polls

From Muhlenberg College:
PENNSYLVANIA:
Biden 49%, Trump 44%

From Atlas Intel:
FLORIDA:
Biden 49%, Trump 49%


POLITICO:
Biden’s Justice Department Dilemma
10:53 am
“If Joe Biden wins the White House, he and his choice for attorney general will quickly face thorny questions about how they plan to address alleged wrongdoing by President Trump and other members of his administration.

“But the more immediate and urgent question facing newly appointed Justice Department officials will be what to do with a slew of prosecutions and lawsuits already underway that many current and former DOJ officials regard as ill-advised or unfair. For starters, there are nearly 300 federal criminal cases stemming from the ‘law and order’ policy Trump and Attorney General William Barr extolled to quell rioting and looting that emerged from some of the widespread protests over the killing of George Floyd in an encounter with Minneapolis police in May.”



THE WASHINGTON POST:
National Guard Prepares for Unrest
10:52 am
“The National Guard Bureau has established a new unit made up mostly of military policemen that could be dispatched to help quell unrest in coming days, after a turbulent summer in which National Guard members were deployed to several cities.

“The unit, which also could be used to respond to natural disasters and other missions, was formed in September and initially described as a rapid-reaction force. But as one of the most divisive elections in American history closes in, National Guard officials have softened how they characterize the service members, instead referring to them as ‘regional response units.”

Anonymous said...


Blogger Roger Amick said...

The Economist pretty much summed up how I see the President.



so intellectually feeble you can't put it in your own words, eh alky?

that's so sad.




Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

THE NEW YORK TIMES:
U.S. Breaks Record for New Coronavirus Cases
11:01 am EDT
“The United States, after battling the coronavirus for eight months, recorded over 99,000 new cases on Friday, a global record. Two dozen states reported their worst weeks for new cases; none showed any improvement.

“Fourteen states reported single-day records for new cases on Friday:
Wyoming, North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, Montana, Illinois, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Oregon, Kansas, Ohio, Colorado and Maine.

"And three states hit record deaths: Tennessee, Montana and New Mexico.”
__________

Trump calls this turning the corner.

Anonymous said...



New Battleground State Polls

From Muhlenberg College:



and they only oversampled dems by 5 points.

LOL.

anonymous said...

he'll do nothing of the sort,


OF COUSE HE WILL!!!!!!!!

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

"99,000 new cases on Friday" in the USA.
"A global record."

I heard on the radio the other day
someone predicting that we may eventually be having 200,000 cases a day.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

https://www.economist.com/leaders/2020/10/29/why-it-has-to-be-biden

Before the racist rodent bastard calls me names.

Anonymous said...



I heard on the radio the other day
someone predicting that we may eventually be having 200,000 cases a day.



and i remember some assclowns predicting 2 MILLION US deaths.

LOL.


Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

I have said that before. I just like the way they said it.

I have said that if he had said that the virus was a threat and motivated the American people to take the advice of scientists and doctors, a hundred thousand people would be alive today.

Anonymous said...



alky,

if you don't want to be called a plagiarist, stop plagiarizing.

it's that simple.


oh and by the way, sean connery died. so you don't have to act like the fucking town crier and post the article.

we already know.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

That's the party line.

It is not true

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

I saw an the first James Bond movie by Sean Conway in the theater in Rapid City South Dakota! The Elks theater.

I rode the bus downtown!

anonymous said...


and they only oversampled deems by 5 points.


THE SAGE OF NY ONCE AGAIN MAKES SHIT UP!!!!!!!!!!

Anonymous said...



I have said that if he had said that the virus was a threat and motivated the American people to take the advice of scientists and doctors, a hundred thousand people would be alive today.


LOL. sure.

all he had to do was incite a fucking panic, and we'd be using toilet paper as currency right now.

your TDS is so consuming it prevents you from seeing the unintended consequences of your wishes.

the guy had a responsibility to make sure the country didn't lose it's collective shit, and he did his best. it was always a pure judgement call.

plus, your nonsense belies the fact that those that truly hate him, like you, would not have heeded any advice, warnings, or pleas he would have made ANYWAY.

the guy built temp hospitals in record time, spurred the manufacture of ventilators and PPE, floated a hospital ship up both coasts, held daily briefings that included our leading public health officials, and delivered a call to action that motivated multiple drug companies to embark on vaccine development

vaccines that the left will refuse to take because ORANGE MAN BAD.

so under scrutiny, your criticisms are vapid, shallow and ring hollow, alky.

stage IV TDS OWNS your ass alky.


anonymous said...

if you don't want to be called a plagiarist, stop plagiarizing.


You dumb fuck.....Like James, he is not plagiarizing !!!!!!!! Use the google machine and look up the definition ......BWAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!

Anonymous said...



THE SAGE OF NY ONCE AGAIN MAKES SHIT UP!!!!!!!!!!


Democrat……………………………………………………………47%

Republican………………………………………………………….42%

Independent…………………………………………………………10%

Other Party……………………………………………………………1%


https://www.muhlenberg.edu/aboutus/polling/surveys/election/final2020paelectionsurvey/


you were saying BWAA?



Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

rrb usually says Olinski and then copies and paste pj media etc..

His command of the English language is a 6th grade level.

JamesNewLeaf's Fucking Daddy said...

anonymous said...

You dumb fuck.....Like James, he is not plagiarizing !!!!!!!! Use the google machine and look up the definition ......BWAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!


Definition of plagiarize

use (another's production) without crediting the source

to commit literary theft : present as new and original an idea or product derived from an existing source


https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/plagiarized

Thanks for the idea VERY lo iq !!!

Obviously what the lying POS 'pastor" does by not crediting his source (Goddard) is plagiarism !!!

Word for word.

Maybe you will be able to learn something today and retain this. But I doubt it.

ROFLMFAO !!!

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

From the link by the racist rodent bastard said Biden will have a narrow victory

Key Findings:

In the final Muhlenberg College/Morning Call poll of the 2020 election season, former Vice President Joe Biden maintains a slim 5-point lead (49%-44%) over President Donald Trump in the race for Pennsylvania’s 20 Electoral College votes.
Biden’s narrow lead is largely unchanged from last week when he led Trump 51% to 44% among likely Pennsylvania voters.A plurality (49%) of likely voters in the Keystone State disapprove of President Trump’s handling of his job, with 45% approving of the 45th President’s performance in office.As has been the case throughout the campaign, a majority (54%) of Pennsylvanians think that President Trump does not deserve reelection.While Biden has maintained a slim lead over Trump in all Muhlenberg College/Morning Call polls from August onward, more likely voters view him unfavorably (45%) than favorably (38%).Voters supporting President Trump are significantly more likely to be very enthusiastic (82%) about their choice, than voters supporting Biden (48%).Democratic candidates for Congress are slightly more preferred over Republicans in Pennsylvania, with 46% of likely voters supporting Democrats, and 42% supporting Republicans.
The economy, health care, and the Coronavirus pandemic remain the top issues Pennsylvania voters say will affect their choice in the presidential race, with 27% identifying the economy, 22% selecting health care, and 20% choosing the Coronavirus pandemic.About 1 in 3 (34%) of poll respondents report that they have already cast their vote in the 2020 election.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

More people are registered Democratic than Republican nation wide

Anonymous said...

Blogger Roger Amick said...

From the link by the racist rodent bastard said Biden will have a narrow victory



LOL.

see that alky?

i included the LINK.

LOL.

moron.


Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

https://www.muhlenberg.edu/aboutus/polling/surveys/election/final2020paelectionsurvey/

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

So did i!

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

https://www.muhlenberg.edu/aboutus/polling/surveys/election/final2020paelectionsurvey/

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

https://www.270towin.com/maps/N6Nkd

Biden over 270.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Fyi rrb. There were two things that convinced me that the President is the greatest threat to the American dream in history.


One

February 7, 2020

Bob Woodward: (00:00)
And so, what was President Xi saying yesterday?

Donald Trump: (00:05)
Oh, we were talking mostly about the virus, and I think he’s going to have it in good shape. But it’s a very tricky situation.

Bob Woodward: (00:14)
Indeed, it is.

Donald Trump: (00:16)
It goes through air, Bob. That’s always tougher than the touch. The touch, you don’t have to touch things, right? But the air, you just breathe the air and that’s how it’s passed. And so that’s a very tricky one. That’s a very delicate one. It’s also more deadly than even your strenuous flus. People don’t realize, we lose 25,000, 30,000 people a year here. Who would ever think that, right?

Bob Woodward: (00:41)
I know. It’s much forgotten.

Donald Trump: (00:42)
It’s pretty amazing. And then I said, “Well, is that the same thing?”

Bob Woodward: (00:46)
What are you able to do for-

Donald Trump: (00:47)
This is more deadly. This is 5% versus 1%, and less than 1%. So this is deadly stuff.


Two.

There were good people on both sides.

And the bonus.

Three. In Helsinki he took the word of Vladimir Putin over our patriotic heroes in the CIA and our intelligence agencies.

I didn't plagiarize it

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

With over 80 million people have already voted today

The NBC average

Biden 51.7% Trump 43.7

In my not so humble opinion is that the President is going to lose the popular vote and the electoral college votes.

The scale of the victory is uncertain as of today.

But there is a possibility of a national sweep.

The Senate majority.

A larger majority in the house.

A Democratic takeover of state governments nationwide, except for the solid red states that are not as many in recent years.

Georgia is in in play.

Texas is tied. We will see on election day.

Arizona the same as Texas.

Ohio will go blue.

Iowa?????

In my dream, a sweep of the level of 1932 and 1980.

rrb would move to Mississippi and keep away from liberal politics.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

https://www.rev.com/blog/transcripts/donald-trump-bob-woodward-conversation-transcript-trump-playing-down-coronavirus

Anonymous said...



rrb would move to Mississippi and keep away from liberal politics.


wrong again, alky.

i'm headed to the white mountains of NH. where the lakes are clear and the hunting and fishing is exceptional.



btw, here's Slow Joe being serenaded by a mariachi band in vegas at one of his "rallies."


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zxLeofgwfC4


this is so sad...

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

I want to see a change like FDR in 1932, and reverse the Reagan era.

Right now new polls show Biden

Arizona tied

Florida 1.5%

Michigan 7%

North Carolina 7%

Pennsylvania 4%

Wisconsin 7%

Trump won all of them in 2016.

No guaranteed but Biden has a better of getting 270.

Anonymous said...



I want to see a change like FDR in 1932, and reverse the Reagan era.


yeah, to take all 335 MILLION Americans and make them completely dependent upon the government for EVERYTHING.

"Ask not what you can do for your country. Ask what your country can do for you."


Coldheartedtruth Teller said...


No guaranteed but Biden has a better chance of getting 270.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

That's bullshit. We are not advocating socialism.

You spout talking points, but you can't provide valid proof of your talking points.

People like you are easily lead. Look up cultist. It defines you.