No matter what happens over the next few hours or days... I think we should all agree that spending 99% of your time touting "polling numbers" as if they are proof of sure victory is silly behavior... Trusting polling has been... for three elections in a row now... pretty much an exercise in futility.
At this point, does anyone really feel that Biden is going to win by 7-8 points and take 400 ECV? Time to admit that polling was wrong, again... and that many of these pollsters should either pack it in or figure this whole thing out.
- This could come down to Congressional districts in Nebraska & Maine
- Ohio Called for Trump- Iowa Called for Trump
- Trump currently leading in Pennsylvania and Michigan
(lots of outstanding votes)
- Wisconsin flipped overnight for Biden
- Trump may disappoint in Arizona however
 |
| Trump seems to be overperforming 2016 in the Great Lakes States |
 |
| A win in Pennsylvania and Ohio would be huge. |
 |
| Good news for McConnell and the GOP Senate? |
 |
| Early call for Biden in Virginia now looks like a mistake? People thought this was a really bad sign for Trump? Perhaps it's a bad sign for the projectionists? |
(looks like Georgia and North Carolina is falling in line)
 |
| Check me if I am wrong... but if we have a 3% Trump projected win and there is a 2% GOP turnout advantage... that would suggest that Independents are actually trending towards Trump. That would be an extremely problematic result for Biden across the board |
 |
| Silver remains "all in" on the idea that Biden will make up this shift with independents. Keep in mind that this is about a 110K+ shift towards the GOP from 2016 in a state that they won by 119K. This means that Silver believes that crossover and Independents will make up this 230K deficit. BELLWEATHER - If Trump wins Florida, then Silver and the 538 conventional wisdom becomes suspect. Not just in Florida but for the rest of the country. If Biden wins Florida, then his polling leads should hold in other battleground states and Trump will likely lose in a landslide. |
Trending on Twitter
 |
| It looks like the idea of Trump doing better with Latinos might be a real thing? |
 |
| Silver suggests that Miami-Dade did pretty good in same day voting, but it wasn't 30 points and won't make up for this |
 |
| Why is the Democratic Attorney General tweeting that they don't have all the votes they need? Who is "they" and what to they "need"? Is Minnesota actually in play? |
 |
| Not understanding the Silver logic here. None of the current polls accounted for the possibility that there would be anything but a Dem advantage of at least +4 |
 |
| GOP had about a 90K advantage in 2016. So it's good but not that good. |
 |
| would that be a potayto or potahto? |
 |
| Broward County went 67-31 Clinton in 2016 |
- Biden campaign manager is already talking about how they can still get to 270 without Pennsylvania or Florida?
- That liberal bloggers like Markos are already complaining on Twitter about the Electoral College and the fact that Biden will most assuredly garner more votes?
- That other liberal bloggers like Josh Marshal are talking about voter suppression?
- That Democratic Governors are already wanting to extend polling hours (wouldn't that seem counterintuitive if they dominated early voting)?
- That conservatives Tweeters have been giddily reporting voting numbers in battleground states like Florida, Arizona, and other places, while liberal Tweeters are reporting "voter suppression" and complaining about the electoral college?
- That 538 has yet to provide a single post in their election day thread regarding early voting or same day voting trends (that are being calculated as we speak in most states).
- Nate Silver has tweeted that he is "declining to fall down the election turnout rabbit hole" and now says we will not know anything until polls close and the votes are counted.
- Silver is claiming today that any Republican turnout advantage in these battleground states will be offset by Independent voters flocking to Biden.
Obviously too much can be made of these observations. I sort of agree with Silver on this one. Just because Republicans seem to be outpacing Democrats in same day voting in most of these battleground states, doesn't mean we know how everyone is voting. If the polling is correct, Republicans would need to have historic turnout (compared to Democrats) to make up for a drastic flip with Independent voters. Of course, if Republicans stay home and the buzz regarding Independents trending Biden is overstated, then it actually "could" matter. I also find it hard to believe that polls missed on early voting, partisan turnout, but got the Independents right?
123 comments:
Yes, it should.
This post Rocks.
cowardly king obamaNovember 3, 2020 at 12:40 PM
Ryan Evans
@RyanEvans29
89,000 Amish in PA. The Amish are also allowing there women to vote. This could be the key for Trump
https://twitter.com/RyanEvans29/status/1323460353309741057
Every vote counts.
Turnout.
Yep that amazing trump economy sucks just as bad as I thought!!!!!! BWAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!
The Obama-Biden economy outperformed Trump’s
Rick Newman
Rick Newman·Senior Columnist
Tue, November 3, 2020, 10:16 AM EST
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is running on his record as Barack Obama’s vice president from 2009 to 2017, and President Trump is running against that record. So on the final day of voting in 2020, who did better on the economy?
Biden-Obama by a hair, according to the Yahoo Finance Trumponomics Report Card. Trump’s current grade on the economy is a C, according to our methodology, with low marks for employment, exports and GDP, middling marks for stock prices and manufacturing employment, and top marks for just one thing—earnings. At the same point in the first Biden-Obama term, the economy was two notches better, at a B-. Obama got top marks for stock prices, with low to average marks for everything else.
Trump frequently claims the economy was at record levels before the coronavirus pandemic exploded in March. He’s mostly wrong about that, but the Trump economy was still notably better than the Obama-Biden economy during February of each president’s fourth year. In February 2020, Trump’s grade on the economy was a B+, with high marks on everything except exports. Obama’s grade at the same point in 2012 would have been a C+. The economy gradually improved for Obama as Election Day approached in 2012. Trump’s economy went the opposite direction, largely due to the nation’s inability to control the coronavirus and widespread business shutdowns.
https://lincolnproject.us/video/america-the-beautiful/
"6 figure income " Roger
Nope. A huge lie.
. If the polling is correct, Republicans would need to have historic turnout.
I'm watching television and in Florida, the videos show very small short lines.
au ng
@athein1
#FL 2pm update R lead is at 127k now.
https://twitter.com/athein1/status/1323706245706969089
KEEP VOTING.
Until every vote is cast
Stay in Line.
Even if Florida appears in the bag.
Remember 2000
A federal judge has ordered U.S. Postal Service inspectors to sweep postal facilities on Tuesday in several locations — including in six battleground states — to ensure that any mail-in ballots left behind are immediately sent out for delivery.
The last-minute order on Tuesday by Judge Emmet G. Sullivan in Washington, D.C., directs the law enforcement arm of the Postal Service to inspect facilities in central Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Detroit, Atlanta, Houston, south Florida, Arizona and a few other locations between 12:30 p.m. and 3 p.m. Eastern time.
The order is part of one of several lawsuits against the Postal Service over cost-cutting measures that slowed mail delivery this year and raised concerns that mail-in ballots would not be delivered on time.
Recent data has shown that on-time mail delivery in some parts of the country has dropped to levels lower than in July, when millions of Americans went days, even weeks, without mail.
The order focuses on postal districts that have struggled to deliver ballots on time in recent days. It also centers on states that will not count ballots received after election day.
“No one should be disenfranchised for something that is out of their control. It’s important that the Postal Service do everything in its power to make sure that that doesn’t happen,” said Shankar Duraiswamy, an attorney for Vote Forward, a voting rights organization that filed the lawsuit prompting Sullivan's order.
A Postal Service spokesman did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Hillary Clinton
@HillaryClinton
Do not lose heart. (Vote.)
Jeff Carlson
@themarketswork
Narrator: They're losing heart.
but the POLLS !!!
Lol, that tired old hag does more to true Biden , then help.
Will she put on blackface again and tell us all how she is "no way tir'd"
Trump is a Twitter troll nowadays
The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru
@Garrett_Archer
Maricopa election day 10:30 update:
Total: 64,236
R: 31,395
D: 11,759
O: 21,082
in-person voting...
3 hours ago...
Political Polls
@PpollingNumbers
JUST IN: Florida has now reached 100% of 2016's voter turnout.
and the Republican vote has surged past registered Democrats...
Keep voting, it's a turnout election...
And we can't trust the media or partisan election officials.
John Hayward
@Doc_0
I suspect people willing to line up for Trump rallies late into the night in uncomfortable weather will not be dissuaded from voting for him by long lines at polling places and temporary voting machine outages. Left-wing activists yelling at them probably won't do it either.
it's called an enthusiastic vote for.
Something Biden is not getting (though he does get the orange man bad vote)
Kamala Harris is the first African American woman to run for the vice presidency.
It bugs the President
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/arizona/
Arizona is in play for the Democratic party
Troll squad asshole Mr. President
Twitter blocked the President who was inciting violence.
The Supreme Court decision on voting in Pennsylvania is a VERY dangerous one. It will allow rampant and unchecked cheating and will undermine our entire systems of laws. It will also induce violence in the streets. Something must be done!
Nutcase websites have been watching this a buying weapons
thebradfordfile™
@thebradfordfile
LOL. Obama went to Florida twice in the past week and Democrats are getting crushed in the state.
but the POLLS !!!
Larry Schweikart
@LarrySchweikart
Want to know how big this ass-kicking is in FL?
There are only four blue counties on election day. One is D by only 14, votes, one by 48 votes, one by 1070 votes, and Broward by 3,294. We are 4,426 votes from having every FL county red today.
But the POLLS !!!
should be an early call except it's 2020
Richard Grenell
@RichardGrenell
Everyone should be telling people to STAY IN LINE.
Talk radio must tell people to STAY IN LINE.
Say it over and over.
VOTE like it's a war.
It is.
Ed Morrissey
@EdMorrissey
Eeeeeenteresting final call from @Gallup on party-ID in this cycle. It shows an even-up at 31% between the two parties, and an indie split that favors Dems by only 4 (49/45).
That model would normally suggest a big day for Republicans.
https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
I'm all for that !!!
Perhaps the president is confused by how the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr., in his greatest speech, referred to the words of the Declaration of Independence and the Constitution as a “promissory note to which every American is to fall heir.” Perhaps that gave Mr. Trump the idea that this was all about money. Surely, money — the household stake, the money with which to buy a home, secure a good education, start a family — was a vital goal of the movement then, just as the need for Black people to be made whole, after all the years of slavery and Jim Crow, is still a pressing need today.
But I was there with Dr. King that day, over a half-century ago, in the shadow of Lincoln’s statue, and what he spoke of was “the riches of freedom and the security of justice.” He quoted the most fundamental promise of the Declaration, that all of us have “certain unalienable Rights” — among them “Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.”
It seems strange that we must still agitate for these basic rights, or that Mr. Trump thinks he is being magnanimous when he offers them to us again as last-minute campaign promises — so long as we stay in our place. In the past, we have turned the wheel in great bursts of energy and faith, and in between, when we stood exhausted and bloodied, there was some sliding back. That is always how it is in a democracy and a people’s movement, but now is the time to move forward again.
Four years ago, faced with the prospect of a Trump presidency, I wrote that what old men know is how quickly things can change. Well, I am still old but I am also still here, at 93, and for all the bitter lessons we have learned from Mr. Trump’s term in office, I can tell you that the wheel is turning again. That we have never had so many white allies, willing to stand together for freedom, for honor, for a justice that will free us all in the end, even those who are now most fearful and seething with denial.
We have learned exactly how much we had to lose — a lesson that has been inflicted upon Black people again and again in our history — and we will not be bought off by the empty promises of the flimflam man.
Harry Belafonte is a singer and activist.
What is this all about?
___________
Concern In Trumpworld About Pennsylvania
November 3, 2020 at 1:04 pm EST By Taegan Goddard
NBC News reports there’s “early concern” inside the Trump campaign about Election Day turnout activities in Pennsylvania.
Said one person with direct knowledge of the campaign’s operations:
“The team in Pennsylvania was not as prepared as it should be in a state that could decide the presidency.”
BEIJING—Early on Election Day, news outlets are already reporting that all precincts in Beijing China have been called for Democrat Joe Biden. CNN has assured the public that the voting was free and fair and that the will of the people in the People's Republic of China was loud and clear.
"We know that Chinese votes don't count in American elections yet," said CNN anchor Don Lemon, "but that needs to change. Chinese people are people too. Our oppressive system of government shuts out the voices of billions of innocent Chinese people every year. The official position of the Trump regime is this: Chinese lives don't matter."
"The voice of Beijing is loud and clear tonight," said Lemon, his eyes filling with tears. "Will we ignore their cry? It's time to hold true to our principles and award China's 789 electoral votes to Joe Biden."
Several Democrat-led states are suing to allow Chinese votes to be counted because of words like love, equality, and democracy. These cases are expected to make it to the Supreme Court where an ACB vote will be crucial.
Supporters of Chinese votes have also taken up the cause by putting up "No Chinese Humans Are Illegal" signs in their yards.
Well Reverend...
If you are paying attention to anything other than Politicalwire.com - the issues in Pennsylvania (according to actual Trump officials) has nothing to do with turnout. In fact, everything points to the fact that Republicans are doing quite well and that Democratic strongholds are running especially thin today.
The issues for the Trump campaign is that their poll watchers and such are being turned away, or being held off away from the ballots, or other things that are potentially illegal. The fact that the Campaign didn't walk in with attorneys and court orders off the bat is the only real concern that they have...
because let's face it... The governor of Pennsylvania has all but said that his administration will not certify a Trump victory unless they are absolutely forced to do so.
In other words if there are concerns (and actual Pennsylvania campaign officials have scoffed at this NBC report) - it's with the manner in which the election is being run (nothing to do with turnout).
Was looking at the market close (up over 650 on the dow right now) and they were commenting on how Bloomberg had spent over 100 million dollars in Florida and brought in the "big guns" including Obama.
Looks lost.
ROFLMFAO if that plays out...
Bodes well for the rest of the day, but its 2020
Closed up 550 on late selling, probably into uncertainty. Oil stocks sold off late too.
Expect a real strong day tomorrow it Trump wins, down if uncertainty or Biden.
Hope we don't have "peaceful" protests as well.
This POTUS is really a no-brainer. Vote Biden who actually has a functioning brain as opposed to Trump who lacks a brain, a heart, and a soul. He only loves himself, all others can go to hell. It would be so nice to have a president who was intelligent & ethical. Trump is such a disgrace. I hope they really let him have it in the history books.
*****************************
If you believe that America deserves better, vote for Joe/Kamala like your life depends on it. Making sure our friends and family have a plan to vote will make all the difference in this election. If you haven't planned to vote yet, head to ➡makeaplan.com to make your early vote plan Or here ➡ http://iwillvote.com . But don’t stop there — get everyone you know to vote for them, too. This election is too important to sit out. #TeamJoe
#condemnwhitesupremacychallenge
Three Bellwethers
Longtime GOP pollster and political strategist Frank Luntz told CNBC he will be closely watching the results in North Carolina, Florida and Ohio.
Said Luntz: “If Donald Trump wins all three of them, he’s going to be in this. If Biden wins even one of those three, it’s Biden’s presidency.”
The news coverage I have seen is that the lines are very short
The President needs a large turnout today.
Plus some reports say that the Biden team is feeling pretty good.
Three Bellwethers
Longtime GOP pollster and political strategist Frank Luntz told CNBC he will be closely watching the results in
North Carolina,
Florida and
Ohio.
Said Luntz: “If Donald Trump wins ALL THREE three of them, he’s going to be IN THIS.
If Biden wins EVEN ONE of those three, it’s BIDEN’S PRESIDENCY.”
______________
Doubting this, I just went to 270towin.com and tried it out.
It's true.
If Trump wins all three he would still be in the race, although he still MIGHT NOT WIN.
If Biden wins even one of them, it's all over for Trump:
BIDEN WINS..
Surprising the short lines here in floriduh.....expected a lot more but seems quiet and peaceful.....as to R counts.....cannot confirm the fucked up #'s reported by coward....he seems to live in another fantasy world.!!!!!!
Reports say trump worried about Pa turnout!!!!!! Oh well!!!!
Reports say trump worried about Pa turnout!!!!!! Oh well!!!!
Reports based on anonymous sources say Trump is worried, while the actual campaign says they believe they will win by 200-300K votes.
Meanwhile Biden's actual campaign manager stated on the record that they will still have a path to 270 if they lose Florida and Pennsylvania. Something a campaign manager would never do if they didn't seriously believe that Pennsylvania is in jeopardy. Why even bring up losing a state that they believe they are winning?
Right now Republican voters are up 164K over Democrats in Florida (Republicans had a 90K lead in that category in 2016 and won by 119K). Curious why Biden's campaign would lump Florida (which they surely are struggling right now in) in with Pennsylvania if they didn't have similar concerns.
Breaking911
@Breaking911
Joe Biden introduces his granddaughter by saying, "This is my son, Beau Biden." ... "This is my granddaughter, Natalie. No wait, no wait. We got the wrong one..."
https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1323725227487100928
And he's totally given up on that circle thing and social distancing.
Desperate and decrepit
And losing.
Reports based on anonymous sources say Trump is worried, while the actual campaign says they believe they will win by 200-300K votes.
BWAAAAAAPAAAAAA!!!!!!!!!! Sure Lil Schitty.....you have a direct link to the campaign there sport????????LOLOLOLOLOLOLOL!!!! Must be your last desperate attempt to make things go well!!!!!!!
Jewish Deplorable
@TrumpJew
Stop complaining about long voting lines
Biden’s breadlines will be even longer than that if you don’t vote
btw Cleveland voting is lagging, a good sign for Ohio !!!
The pandemic has changed things in unprecedented ways.
The high turnout is going to change things unprecedented ways.
A huge number of firsts time voters are overwhelmingly Democratic.
The people are staying in lines to send the President home.
This could be a transitional process into a new direction.
Trump has damaged the Republican party that it may not survive.
The people are speaking out, good bye Mr Bojangle!!!!!!
anonymous sources are usually invalid
Trump War Room - Text TRUMP to 88022
@TrumpWarRoom
Turnout in states like Florida and Pennsylvania is putting President Trump in a solid position to win, says @TimMurtaugh.
“We feel really good about both of those states … If what we believe is happening actually happens, it will be a resounding victory for President Trump.”
https://twitter.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1323738167728607243
and North Carolina and Georgia looking good too.
"You are seeing a red wave all across the country"
Forgot, they are seeing a doubling of minority voting for Trump !!!
Fox News
@FoxNews
ELECTION NIGHT PEP-TALK: Trump addresses campaign team after 14 rallies in 72 hours, predicts victory
https://twitter.com/FoxNews/status/1323741122175389696
His stamina and work was amazing.
The contrast to Biden is night and day.
And voters see it and are rewarding it.
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
The final polls before Election Day show Joe Biden ahead in enough swing states to win.
Polls favoring Biden: Mich. +8, Minn. +9.4, Nev. +4.8, N.H. +11.1, Pa. +4.8, Wis. +8.2.
Toss-up polls: Ariz. +2.6, Fla. +2.5, Ga. +1, Iowa +1.4, N.C. +1.9, Ohio +0.7, Texas +1.
Antifa Is Forward-Deploying Bricks Again for Tonight's Planned Riots
Look at these pallets of Mostly Peaceful Ideas (TM).
Be on the lookout -- and call the cops.
And also, infect the bricks with covid if you've got it.
Small numbers of National Guard members have been activated in sixteen states. Only some of them are activated for purposes of keeping the civil order. A lot of them are activated just for extra election-related busywork manpower.
I really think that tens of thousands should be activated to protect the populace and their property from antifa revolutionaries.
http://ace.mu.nu/archives/391109.php
Ali Pardo
@alipardo
Lots of good news coming out of Wisconsin!
Juneau, Green Lake, Waushara, Wood, and Waupaca County Clerks are all reporting high turnout. All of these counties are printing more ballots and they all went for Trump in 2016.
#STAYINLINE and make sure your voice is heard!
Something a campaign manager would never do if they didn't seriously
BWAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!! Your naive opinion Lil Schitty......many different scenarios get the same result...winning NC is only one of them!!!!!! Keep slurping sport!!!!!
Blogger Roger Amick said...
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
The final polls before Election Day show Joe Biden ahead in enough swing states to win.
hey alky...
TODAY IS FUCKING ELECTION DAY.
you fucking moron.
LOL.
#ThePersistence
@ScottPresler
Republicans are currently ahead in Florida by 173,200 votes.
That’s good, but we need to do better.
The polls close at 7 p.m. on the East Coast. Get in line & stay in line.
need to CRUSH, don't let it get stolen.
The polls close at 7 p.m. on the East Coast. Get in line & stay in line.
pensacola's on central std time.
you have a direct link to the campaign there sport?
It was a tweet and a direct quote from Jen O'Malley Dillon...
In fact, the latest is that the Biden team has all but conceded that they will likely lose Ohio, Texas, Florida, and Pennsylvania... that is being reported pretty much everywhere now.
I personally have not seen numbers in Pennsylvania as I have in other states (Ohio, Arizona, Florida) - but reports are that turnout is way, way down in Philadelphia especially and lagging in Pittsburgh.
Harry Weid said on MSNBC that the Democrats will get at least 4 Senate seats and an unprecedented majority in the house.
Plus the state governments will change dramatically.
rrb said
pensacola's on central std time.
True, that nearly cost the 2000 election when networks made a "premature" call
I'm seeing lots of calls for Republicans to vote in the bluest of blue states to make all votes count, even if it has no real state impact.
You will be proven so wrong, that I will laugh out loud at you.
They are not worried about Pennsylvania anymore.
Trump can't get enough votes from the rural areas to override the Pittsburgh and the suburbs
The bottom line is that the courts will let the President steal the election
The only real doubt about Pennsylvania is because of the widespread reports of vote fraud.
Documented.
And much that can't be documented because observers were not let in and that is documented.
Hopefully Penn will overcome without needing court actions but democrat fraud is unconscionable....
Documented.
In Your ass coward..........The only real fraud is Trump and you slurpers!!!!!!!
Harry Weid said on MSNBC that the Democrats will get at least 4 Senate seats and an unprecedented majority in the house.
alky, i don't expect MSDNC and XiNN to call it for Trump even if Trump pulls off a 50 state landslide.
they'll lie for days seeking a recall to keep hope alive for their mentally ill viewers like you.
You will be proven so wrong, that I will laugh out loud at you.
Well Roger... I am simply repeating what I am reading on twitter and everywhere else. The Biden Campaign manager brought up them losing Pennsylvania, not me.
In fact, Rog... I just pointed out that I have NOT seen any numbers out of Pennsylvania. There is only anecdotal claims being made now of where the heavy voting is coming from, along with the fact that the Biden camp is not acting very confident there.
That being said, there was an NBC reporter on Twitter who says that the Trump campaign is not happy with what is "happening on the ground"... but as I stated, that probably doesn't mean turnout.
Philly GOP
@PhillyGOP
So many people are showing up to vote for @realDonaldTrump in New Hanover, there’s a 4 hour wait at the polls! Incredible turnout in Montgomery County!
Trump country
Harry Weid said on MSNBC
Is that Harry Reid doing a Donald Duck impression???
I personally have not seen numbers in Pennsylvania as I have in other states (Ohio, Arizona, Florida) - but reports are that turnout is way, way down in Philadelphia especially and lagging in Pittsburgh.
And from what I’ve read 2:hour waits in the western mountain areas of the state
peating what I am reading on twitter
GEE Lil Schitty.....depending on Twitter for your BS opinions......BWAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!! That's your big mistake du jour!!!!!
Scott I think you are giving Twitter tirades too much credibility.
I just watched the chairman of the Democratic party, saying that he is feeling very encouraged.
Three Bellwethers
Longtime GOP pollster and political strategist Frank Luntz told CNBC he will be closely watching the results in
North Carolina,
Florida and
Ohio.
Said Luntz: “If Donald Trump wins ALL THREE three of them, he’s going to be IN THIS.
If Biden wins EVEN ONE of those three, it’s BIDEN’S PRESIDENCY.”
______________
Doubting this, I just went to 270towin.com and tried it out.
It's true.
If Trump wins all three,
he would still be in the race, although he MIGHT NOT WIN.
If Biden wins even one of them, it's all over for Trump:
BIDEN WINS.
and that remains true even if Trump wins PA,
BUT
loses NC,
or loses FL,
or loses GA.
In other words,
if Trump loses ANY ONE of those three to Biden,
he will lose the election.
Post the same shit 87 times, pedo.
Fucking boring idiot
And once again the mouth of the south does nothing but bitch and moan like a little old lady.,......BWAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!
If Trump doesn't win one
Of these he can't win.
Pennsylvania North Carolina, Florida Georgia or Texas.
Roger Amick said...
If Trump doesn't win one
Of these he can't win.
Pennsylvania North Carolina, Florida Georgia or Texas.
2016 called, they want their election projections back.
ROFLMFAO !!!
Victor Joecks
@VictorJoecks
Updated Nevada numbers look great for @realDonaldTrump. Election Day voting: Rs are up over 11K votes, including over 5K in Clark County, almost 3K in Washoe.
https://twitter.com/VictorJoecks/status/1323762849085333504
Tim Young
@TimRunsHisMouth
A lot of Democrats are trying to figure out what size TV they're gonna steal after Trump wins tonight...
heck a lot of them may have voted for Trump just for that.
Eric Trump
@EricTrump
Minnesota get out and vote! We can flip Minnesota Red!
The troll thinks that the Republicans will get Minnesota.
He's stoned with meth
I made one important mistake below
(only in what I added in italics).
I have corrected it now.
Three Bellwethers
Longtime GOP pollster and political strategist Frank Luntz told CNBC he will be closely watching the results in
North Carolina,
Florida
& Ohio.
Said Luntz: “If Donald Trump wins ALL THREE of them, he’s going to be IN THIS [race].
If Biden wins EVEN ONE of those three,
it’s BIDEN’S PRESIDENCY.”
______________
Doubting this, I just went to 270towin.com and tried it out.
It's true.
If Trump wins all three,
he would still be in the race, although he MIGHT NOT WIN.
If Biden wins even one of them, it's all over for Trump:
BIDEN WINS.
and that remains true even if Trump wins PA,
BUT
loses NC,
or loses FL,
or loses OH.
In other words,
if Trump loses ANY ONE of those three to Biden,
he will lose the election.
Now let me ask Ch or anyone else this question:
Why would Republican Frank Lutz,
a "longtime GOP pollster and strategist,"
say something as startling as that,
UNLESS IT'S TRUE?
Scott, if Republicans, Democrats, and Independents vote in a more traditional sense, then Trump could well be on his way to another upset.
I agree 10000%.
But the President is the incumbent and it's a referendum on the President.
Ch, you begin this thread asking
SHOULD IT WORRY DEMOCRATS THAT:
I herewith ask you:
SHOULD IT WORRY REPUBLICANS THAT
what is said in post 5:58 above is indisputably true?
Biden has Vermont
I know! Send this out to your friends and non Trumpers!
Written by Barbara Millwater Vaughn:
I voted today.
I voted for humanity.
I voted for our climate.
I voted for the return of dignity, class, and grace to our White House.
I voted for a First Lady that will keep her privates, well, private.
I voted for women.
I voted for equal rights.
I voted for LGBTQ rights.
I voted for a true Catholic Christian, not a lying hypocrite.
I voted for all the reporters who have been belittled, disrespected, and lied to, and lied about, by trump.
I voted for our First Amendment.
I voted for our servicemen who will have a President that won’t allow Putin to put a bounty on their head.
I voted for our Veterans, so they won’t be called suckers/losers and asked ‘what’s in it for them.’
I voted for Nazi’s and KKK to be told they are Wrong and Not very fine people and they are not welcome to spread hate and division.
I voted for black lives and police reform (not defunding, reform).
I voted for clean water, air, and renewable energy.
I voted for people seeking asylum that their babies would not be ripped from their arms.
I voted for Dreamers. To be given full citizen rights.
I voted for funding for education.
I voted for our infrastructure.
I voted for our economy for all Americans not just the top percent.
I voted for Science.
I voted for Medical Science, and an end to this virus destroying our lives.
I voted for the 223,000 Americans that can’t vote because they are dead from COVID.
I voted for coverage for pre-existing conditions: mine and yours.
I voted for not taking health insurance away from people during a pandemic.
I voted for health insurance being a right, not a privilege.
I voted for reaching across the isle and finding common ground, and both parties working together again.
I voted for our relationship with our allies.
I voted for remaining a super power and our country not being a laughing stock.
I voted for a strong leader that doesn’t cozy up to dictators.
I voted for a brighter tomorrow.
I voted to end a cult that supports an evil lying leader.
And yes, I even voted for those cult members.
Because I voted for my Country, not just a political party.
I voted for the Heart and Soul of this Nation.
I voted for Joe Biden.
Barbara Millwater Vaughn.
Right now 11% of the black vote and 38% Latino in GA.
The left will go insane
If that holds and is replicated it’s over
😊Told ya so.
CNN.
"A plurality of Americans say that the economy is the top issue for their vote, according to a CNN exit poll released Tuesday night.
CNN said that 34 percent of voters named the economy as their top issue.
Racial inequality was a distant second with 21 percent. Coronvirus was third, with 18 percent. “Crime and Safety” and “Health Care Policy” each garnered 11 percent" CNN
CNN "Remarkably, Climate Change is 11th"CNN.
Roger and James , AS Biden is clearly winning, .can, for just tonight stop spamming?
So some class, humility and graususness in Victory.
Looks like Trump will win FL by about 3%. Isn't that what Trafalgar called for but so many others disagreed?
Hispanics moved sharply to Trump in Florida.
Boo hoping @ABC.
"Early reaction from Florida: Biden lost ground with crucial Cuban constituency
As vote totals in Miami-Dade, Florida's most populous county, show Biden underperforming compared to the 2016 election totals, political analysts there saw signs of a new phenomenon -- the migration of some segments of the Hispanic community further away from Democrats."
Biden has a great lead in Arizona with 75% votes in!
Roger, how goes it in Ohio, Florida, Texas , Michigan ?
Biden leads in Ohio. Trump looks good in Florida. Michigan is ok
I'm surprised how close things are.
We won't know who won tonight.
You’re not going to accept who won tonight
Texas called R
Ok, Trump is up 7 in Michigan.
Ohio 94 % Reporting , Trump up 8%.
ABC News , Ohio Trump Wins.
Trump Leading in MI, Pennsylvania, ect.
Roger Marshall (R) Won, US Senate
over
Barbara Bollier (Dem.)
Marshall Won by 11 %.
Roger is again proven Wrong.
Trump leads every state yet called, how is that?
Call them as The Did for Biden.
Trump up by 15 % in Pennsylvania
Call it in Micihan Trump up by 10%.
Democrat Joe Biden has won Arizona and its 11 electoral votes, flipping a critical battleground state that Donald Trump won four years ago and that could help determine which candidate wins the presidency.
The victory by Biden was a huge blow to Trump’s chances for reelection. Arizona has backed a Democratic presidential candidate only once in the last 72 years.
Per rcp
Trump up over 2 pts in GA 99% reported. Media still not calling
Trump up 1.4% NC 100% reported. Still not called
Trump up 5 pts in MI, 12 pts in PA
Yet they called AZ early.
NC =15
MI =16
PA =20
GA =16
Trump Wins, There is the definitive answer why those Races which Trump leads have not been called.
Patience.
Biden will win.
The mail in ballots and the absentee ballots are going to be counted.
Biden is ahead in Wisconsin.
Trumps Wins Alaska.
GA and NC are counted. Trump won both. Nets need to call them.
Its almost as if the news networks hate Trump and just don't want to call these states for him because if they do, he wins.
Bingo
Polls , are again dead wrong.
They are a voter suppression tool of the Socialist Democrats.
It is not yet known who will win Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin.
But Wisconsin will go Biden.
Michigan will go Biden.
Pennsylvania is too difficult to call.
Arizona will go Biden.
Georgia will go Biden.
Biden will get over 270 electoral college votes.
Huge gop results in senate
Blue tsunami my ass
The polls were wrong again.
But Joe Biden will be elected President.
The Senate was disappointing.
Oh stop it. GA bus counted. Trump is up 2,2%.
Trump up 5% in MI, 13% in PA.
NC is counted. Trump up 1.4%.
Trump wins.
yep.
Michigan goes Biden.
It's officially over.
Congrats to The Socialist Democrats.
My new President on Jan. 20st, 2021
President Joe Biden.
The absentee and mail in voting will be counted in the Atlanta area will get Biden the electoral college votes in Georgia.
If balls had voted for Minnesota I would have his money.
Biden takes the lead in Wisconsin and Michigan!!!!! Biden is on his way! ������������
Roger said Biden was a shoo in in FL
===== BIDEN 238 TRUMP 213 =====
Biden not leading MI
I said he might win.
Florida has been a extremely close final results
The Detroit absentee ballots have not been counted yet.
That will give Biden the victory
You have been saying that Trump would win Minnesota.
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