Some of these have been at 100% for days?
At this point in time, Democrats lead in only one of these races, which is in Illinois 14 (and would be a hold for them). Both of the 50/50 races are favoring the Republican by a few dozen votes. The one real remaining chance for a Democratic Pick-up is in California 25 (and I guess New York 2 where the Democrat trails by 45,000 votes with 100% of the vote in and it's not called yet).
There are several close races and Republicans have good pick up chances left. They currently lead in eight of these races that would still be considered a "pick up". That being said, the fact that many of these races have not been called this far out makes me wary. There never seems to be any real late "Republican surges" with ballots that are counted over a week after the election is over.
17 comments:
Coronavirus Rages Across Country
9:31 am
Washington Post:
“As a worrisome summer gives way to a harrowing fall, the nation’s surge of coronavirus cases shows no signs of easing. With little help and scant guidance from a Washington stuck in political limbo, some states and localities rushed to put in place new restrictions aimed at slowing the virus’s spread. Still, almost every metric appeared headed in an ominous direction.
“On Tuesday, the country hit another one-day record, logging more than 135,000 new coronavirus cases, along with 1,403 additional deaths. At least five states, including Missouri and Wisconsin, set single-day highs for fatalities. At least five more, including Illinois and Pennsylvania, set single-day highs for new cases. Almost nowhere in the country are caseloads actually subsiding.”
_____________
It would be helpful, Ch, if you would continue to give us the Covid statistics in your sidebar, even though it would be a daily reminder of how dreadfully wrong you and Trump were about
1) how serious a matter it was and is, and
2) how we should go about responding to it, and
3) how soon it would all "just go away."
Why Trump Fears Leaving the White House
9:35 am
Timothy O’Brien:
“Although Trump has over the years juggled, among other difficulties, ho-hum grades, the threat of personal bankruptcy, sexual assault accusations, an intensive federal investigation and an impeachment, he has plowed ahead relatively unwounded and unencumbered by regret. Wealth, celebrity and the presidency have kept him buoyant. All that insulation has also meant that he hasn’t learned from his mistakes. Every personal and public reckoning has been postponed or shunted aside.
“Now, however, Trump is staring at two threats that loom after he leaves the White House in January. One is financial, the other legal. Neither is entirely under his control. And both may help explain, along with his perennial inability to accept losing, why Trump won’t acknowledge that President-elect Joe Biden is going to succeed him and why he has enlisted the Republican Party to help him gaslight Americans about the outcome of the presidential election.”
Trump Needs Three Consecutive Hail Mary Passes
9:33 am
Rick Hasen:
“Despite the clear math showing that Joe Biden has won the election, President Donald Trump has refused to concede. He has directed his legal team to keep on fighting to try to overturn the results of the election, including in a new 105-page federal-court filing in Pennsylvania. These legal maneuvers are unlikely to pay off in the form of a second term for Trump; he would need the equivalent of three consecutive Hail Mary passes to stay in office.
“But what Trump and his legal team are doing can nevertheless cause real harm to the country going forward, should millions of people believe Trump’s false statements that Biden won the election through fraud. It is this near certainty, and not the long-shot possibility of Trump staying in office, that is reason for grave concern.”
The Electoral College Play
7:48 am
“As the weaknesses of President Trump’s legal cases to overturn Joe Biden’s win become clearer, Republicans are talking more about the Electoral College — hinting at an extreme last-chance way for Trump to cling to power,” Axios reports.
“In this long-shot scenario, Trump and his team could try to block secretaries of state in contested states from certifying results. That could allow legislatures in those states to try to appoint new electors who favor Trump over Biden.”
Said one lawyer: “It’s basically hijacking the democracy. They’ve got nothing else; you’d be trying to deny Joe Biden 270.”
Georgia Democrats Want Obama, Not Biden
7:22 am
“Georgia Democrats want Joe Biden’s campaign and donors to do everything they can to help win a pair of Senate races that could shape the success of his presidency,” Politico reports.
“But there’s one thing they’re not clamoring for: the president-elect himself.
“Though Biden is leading in Georgia by 14,149 votes, Democrats would rather he stay in his proverbial basement by tending to his transition and portraying himself as an above-the-fray government-fixer. Instead, they say, send any Obama to help motivate the base in the two Jan. 5 Senate runoffs.”
Trump Advisers See Little Hope In Overturning Results
6:35 am
President Trump’s top confidants –including White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows, RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, and adviser Corey Lewandowski — have all said in private that they’re pessimistic about success in Trump’s lawsuits in several states that are looking to overturn election results, the Washington Post reports.
One person with knowledge of the discussions said that Trump will carry on fighting, but even he acknowledges that it will be difficult to succeed.
Said the adviser: “He is all over the place. It changes from hour to hour.”
Biden Calm Crashes Into Jittery Washington
6:25 am
“Joe Biden’s campaign strategy just crashed into Washington’s alternate reality. In his public appearances and statements since media outlets confirmed his victory on Saturday, the president-elect has kept the temperature low and offered reassurances that the transfer of power will proceed as dictated by law, even as President Donald Trump and fellow Republicans attempt to use the federal bureaucracy to stall his ascension to the White House,” Politico reports.
“It’s a familiar strategy Biden’s team has employed throughout the general election: follow the rules, model the behavior of a typical president and reject Trump’s attempts to draw the narrative into fantasyland. On Tuesday, Biden showed that he wouldn’t be lured into debating Trump’s version of reality, working to settle the nerves of jittery supporters who are alarmed by what they are hearing out of Republicans.”
IN OTHER WORDS, BIDEN IS BEHAVING THE WAY A PRESIDENT SHOULD.
TRUMP IS NOT, AND NEVER HAS.
THEFT, straight up:
Allegheny County Board Of Elections Votes To Count More Than 2,000 Ballots Without Dates
https://pittsburgh.cbslocal.com/2020/11/11/allegheny-county-board-of-elections-votes-to-count-more-than-2000-ballots-without-dates/
hey joe, shove those calls for unity and healing up your running mate's cavernous twat.
How the World Views America
6:21 am
James Hohmann:
“Imagine being a diplomat in another country, sending a cable to Foggy Bottom about what’s happening. Would be grim.
Unpopular leader won’t accept election defeat.
Parliament not challenging him.
Defense minister fired, replaced by loyalists.
Justice minister weaponizing law.”
The Lead Story Again
6:17 am
Sen Brian Schatz (D-HI): “It just occurred to me that Trump’s refusal to concede means that every day the story is that he lost.”
Biden’s Popular Vote Margin Now Bigger Than Obama’s
11:07 pm
The latest election tallies show that Joe Biden is leading Donald Trump by 5,060,175 votes, Ballot Access News reports.
That is a larger number than the margin between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney in 2012 which was 4,982,296 votes.
Doesn't rat use beautiful language? So respectful of women, too. No wonder Trump lost.
So respectful of women, too.
women i respect. lying whores i do not.
Calling a woman of color a w. because she is a woman of color, rat? Could that be racist?
her color is only relevant to assholes like you who play the race card/identity politics pederast.
i take each individual on their merits.
Cum-Allah is a lying whore.
lying: no mention of color or race.
whore: no mention of color or race.
do not assign your racism and bigotry to me pederast.
Wow - six of nine comments are from the spammer James... who obviously has NOT turned over a new leaf. I just got "another" email from a reader who claims to rarely go into comment threads anymore simply because he cannot figure out how to wade through the spam from "James".
Congratulations, Reverend... for purposely doing everything in your power to make these interactions nearly impossible for those wanting to actually discuss topics in question... and driving away more readers in the process.
I'm Joe Biden and I approve this ISIS atrocity:
More than 50 people have been beheaded in northern Mozambique by militant Islamists, state media report.
The militants turned a football pitch in a village into an "execution ground", where they decapitated and chopped bodies, other reports said.
Several people were also beheaded in another village, state media reported.
The beheadings are the latest in a series of gruesome attacks that the militants have carried out in gas-rich Cabo Delgado province since 2017.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-54877202
...he cannot figure out how to wade through the spam from "James"
Tell your reader, Ch, that whenever he sees in blue print, "JamesNewLeaf" he needs only skip down through and below it.
I would have thought he could figure that out for himself, but...
Stop the fucking spamming that no one reads.
It’s ridiculous and then do it on multiple threads. I understand you’re old and have no life but it’s pathetic
Well Reverend...
As a liberal and a man of god.... you should be setting an example.
Are Democratic men of god people who are so selfish and self absorbed that they feel the problems that their own behavior inflicts on other people are not important.
Or are you what conservatives say you are...
Just someone who wants to drown out everyone else's opinions in any manner you can, which (in this case) includes spamming and spamming and spamming until everyone just gets tired of it and quits?
Many of my "spams" -- article excerpts packed with info -- are short and pithy and of course people read them.
And that just drives you crazy.
I meant that for Cali, but it's appropos for you, Ch.
You're welcome. :-)
No one reads you pedo
You’re very old, near death, have no one to carry your name and looking back on a completely wasted life. It’s why you and your low self esteem feel you must dominate every thread with shit
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