Trump would need estimated 58% of remaining ballots to take the lead
Seems there is less bravado coming from pretty much everyone at this point that I would expect. I think most people believe that when all is said and done that Biden will win (at least by that one Congressional district). But what hasn't happened is everyone in the media declaring Joe Biden the President and Joe Biden acting as if he has already won?
To put it bluntly... it makes me wonder what some of these people know that I don't know.
Well here is one interesting tidbit that just might be worrying the Biden camp a little bit. There is still much to count in Arizona and while most of this will be later arriving mail in and drop off ballots, there is some reason to believe that these will not automatically favor Biden.
The Trump campaign apparently is pointing to areas of Maricopa County coming in that may provide them reason for optimism? At first glance this seems very counterintuitive considering Biden holds nearly a 100,00 vote lead in that county. It's also the county with the highest percentage of uncounted ballots. In fact if turnout was spectacular, there could be as many as 400K more votes there.
Why would the Trump feel confident about a county that currently looks to be costing them the election?
Well apparently in 2016, Trump actually won Maricopa County by about 45,000 votes. hmmmm...
So the question becomes (and it's a reasonable statistical question), was there really a massive 150,00 vote shift in this county over the past four years, or are there actually Trump strongholds within that county that still have plenty of votes to count?
The Trump team believes that the incoming ballots are from areas that are very favorable to them. There are also a projected 200K or more from rural areas.
Whether or not that is true is anyone's guess. Whether or not more "favorable" ballots will make up a significant difference is a larger issue. Biden is very likely still poised for victory in Arizona, but this gives people something to think about.
8 comments:
The early AZ call is really catching hell.
So are the counting games being done in those dem run states. Trump is right to go to court.
AZ is "UN-Called"
Oh oh, Trump 272 , victory.
It's remarkable how well Senate Republicans did. Is this the country telling Chuck Schumer to go fuck hinself?
Joe Biden is the winner in Michigan!
The food and commercecial service union is very strong in Las Vegas and they vote blue about 95%.
Biden needs about 27 electoral college votes to be the next President.
And he has 253 electoral votes.
Anonymous Myballs said...
It's remarkable how well Senate Republicans did. Is this the country telling Chuck Schumer to go fuck hinself?
the stock market definitely approved. and the GOP has an outside chance of taking the house. so fortunately a Biden presidency is blocked from passing any of it's agenda, especially the massive tax hike they've promised.
if this thing does end up going to Dementia Joe and the cum dumpster Ho, Mitch McConnell needs to make it his life's work to make every day of a Biden administration a living fucking hell.
The American people are sick and tired of all the Trump induced disunity and divisiveness and childish tweeting and name calling. They want to have a government that at last can work together for the good of the nation. That is the only thing that really can "make America great again" and begin to restore what Trump has damaged almost beyond repair.
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