Bottom line: We are running out of unvaccinated people so the pandemic has to end!
Let's start with some numbers:
- There are roughly 330 million Americans
- Approximately 310 million of them are six and older
- CDC says nearly 80% of Americans over five are at least partially vaccinated
- That leaves approximately 70 million unvaccinated Americans left
- 60 million Americans have already tested positive for Covid
- Only 5% of Covid infections are reinfections.
- Reinfections are proving to be much milder cases
Assuming it's the unvaccinated that have been catching the virus (because that is what our leaders tell us), it's pretty clear that most of the 60 million positive tests have come from within that 70 million who are unvaccinated. Since we know that not everyone who catches covid has actually gone in for a test, it's pretty reasonable to assume that there have been more Covid cases than the 60 million we know about.
Which means that a very large percentage of who has not been vaccinated (mathematically) have probably already gotten Covid and would have to be "reinfected" again. Since reinfection make up a considerably smaller number of cases than the number of people who have been previously infected, we can also conclude that natural immunity is working upwards of 75% or greater (which is about double the booster right now). Moreover, since reinfections are milder, we can assume that these reinfected unvaccinated people will not be hospitalized or dying in a vast majority of these cases.
So, at this point in time... we are simply running out of unvaccinated Americans without natural immunity to catch the virus. If Biden and Fauci are correct in who is catching the virus, then we probably only have a few million people left who are unvaccinated and would not have natural immunity. At worst we will see almost nobody dying since almost none of the vaccinated Americans will even become hospitalized (according to media sources), leaving only a paltry 10 million or so left out there unprotected by neither a vaccine or natural immunity.
So at the current pace of new infections and hospitalizations, it should be no more than a matter of a few weeks (if not a few days) before all of the low hanging fruit of unvaccinated Americans gets infected (either killing them) or providing themselves with the natural immunity (which is statistically as strong if not stronger than the vaccine).
Then, since Biden and Fauci have told us that vaccinated people are protected from anything more than a mild case... we can officially look forward to the end of the Covid pandemic as we know it!!!
Cheers and applause!!!!
Unless of course, the vaccinated ARE actually vulnerable? Then it would serve that many of the 60 million infections "were" vaccinated, many of the hospitalized patients are vaccinated, and we would then be dealing with Covid cases, hospitalizations, and deaths for quite some time...
But that would only happen if Biden, Fauci and the others are not being frank and honest with the American public. We know that cannot be true... so looks like we are "out of the woods" folks! At least from a statistical and mathematical standpoint.
20 comments:
leaving only a paltry 10 million or so left out there unprotected by neither a vaccine or natural immunity.
_________
AND OUT OF THAT "PALTRY" ten million, how many will be hospitalized with serious illness, some resulting in deaths?
Is this is the "data" in Ch's thread article?
assuming ... it's pretty clear ... it's pretty reasonable to assume... have probably already gotten ... we can also conclude ... upwards of ... we can assume ... in a vast majority ... at this point in time ... then we probably are correct ... then we probably only have a few million ... at worst ... almost ... almost nobody ... almost none ... it should be no more ... a few weeks ... a few days...
________
AND THEN COMES WHAT IS NOT EVEN A COGENT ENGLISH SENTENCE, MUCH LESS GRAMMATICAL:
So at the current pace of new infections and hospitalizations, it should be no more than a matter of a few weeks (if not a few days) before all of the low hanging fruit of unvaccinated Americans gets(sic!) infected providing themselves dead (?)(!) or with the natural immunity (which is statistically as strong if not stronger than the vaccine).
Well Reverend...
With 500,000 new cases day and nearly 20,000 new hospital admissions it shouldn't take too long for all of those unvaccinated to catch it (and be provided natural immunity)...
If (as argued) at least 75% of these new cases are unvaccinated, then by simple math everyone who is currently unvaccinated and have not had the virus yet should get infected within a few weeks.
Many could be hospitalized or even die. Certainly. Not the point.
The point is that once all of the unvaccinated have natural immunity and given the evidence suggests that "reinfections" are extremely mild and offer almost no chance at hospitalization or death...
Then we will be out of the woods.
There are only so many people who are both unvaccinated and do not have any natural immunity. You do understand that with the massive amounts of cases, hospitalizations, and death... that if it is only the unvaccinated left that are causing issues, then there will be a day (very soon) when we run out of those who are both unvaccinated and unimmunized.
Once you are vaccinated, you can never go back to being "unvaccinated". The unvaccinated number can only go down (never go up). Once they catch the virus they are no longer unprotected.
Again... unless the virus (gasp) has the ability to also infect and cause grave danger to the vaccinated, then this has a shelf life and we are getting mighty close!
This is not rocket science Reverend...
even from the beginning, Fauci suggested that we needed to get to 70%-80% of the public vaccinated (which along with natural immunity) would get us to herd immunity.
Well, here we are.. with 75%-80% of people over the age of 5 (no vaccination of 5 and under is allowed) with one of the vaccinations and tens of millions more with the booster.
According to the logic of herd immunity this should be more than enough, especially after we have had over 60 million cases already.
There is only one reason why this traditional logic (originally used by Fauci) would be wrong...
Can you guess what that reason would be?
I don't have to guess. Fauci's "suggestions," as you put it, were made before the highly contagious variation of Omicron showed up.
Not sure you get it.
The faster a virus spreads, the faster you reach herd immunity.
Doctor Scott Johnson schizophrenia alzheimers symptoms include insane but well written responses on something he is not qualified.
Ex-Trump Press Secretary Gave ‘a Lot of Names’
January 9, 2022 at 6:24 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 113 Comments
Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD) told CNN that former White House press secretary Stephanie Grisham named “a lot of names” during their phone call about the Capitol riots.
Raskin said she also “identified some lines of inquiry that had never occurred to me.”
He added: “America is going to be shocked and surprised at what we all come to learn this year.”
Based upon assumptions by you
Since we know that not everyone who catches covid has actually gone in for a test, it's pretty reasonable to assume that there have been more Covid cases than the 60 million we know about.
Which means that a very large percentage of who has not been vaccinated (mathematically) have probably already gotten Covid and would have to be "reinfected" again.
Assuming assumptions is irrational
Huh ?
What the fuck is an :
"An irrational garage." Alky
What the fuck is an :
"An irrational garage." Alky
The start of another day of irrational gibberish posted by the no life goat fucker!!!!
He added: “America is going to be shocked and surprised at what we all come to learn this year.”
Not nearly as "shocked and surprised" as you'll be once you find yourself in the minority with the tables turned after the mid-terms, you fucking screwball.
Data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention shows that people who are unvaccinated are at a much greater risk than those who are fully vaccinated to test positive or die from Covid-19.
It's the economy stupid.
Economy Rises as Top Priority for Americans
January 10, 2022 at 10:23 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment
A new AP-NORC poll finds just 37% of Americans name the coronavirus as one of their top five priorities for the government to work on in 2022, compared with 53% who said it was a leading priority at the same time a year ago.
The economy outpaced the pandemic in the open-ended question, with 68% of respondents mentioning it in some way as a top 2022 concern.
An irrational garage.
Well alrighty then. I will see what I can do about finding a garage that is more rational. Perhaps a garage a bit smarter than you? Might not be all that difficult.
Garbage bags
Unless voting rights are protected, the American dream will die.
You tell me — Is this real?
Sen. Rand Paul (R- Ky.) suggested last month that, despite a lack of evidence, he now knows how the Democrats stole the 2020 election from President Trump.
Paul, in a tweet, quoted approvingly from an article in The American Conservative which held that the vital state of Wisconsin had been swung to President Biden by “seeding an area heavy with potential Democratic votes with as many absentee ballots as possible, targeting and convincing potential voters to complete them in a legally valid way, and then harvesting and counting the results.”
What an outrage.
Paul apparently believes that turning out voters in precincts with lots of potential Democrats amounts to stealing an election.
He could have just said straight out that, to Trump supporters, any election that Trump loses is automatically fraudulent.
Paul’s pretzel logic has lots of support among GOP-majority state legislatures. According to the Brennan Center for Justice, at least 19 states passed 34 laws to restrict voting access last year. Republican politicians in those states were driven to change the rules by Trump-inspired suspicions about voter fraud.
These laws are intended to suppress votes from people likely to oppose Trump. Those are Black people, brown people, immigrants, white people who went to college and people who live in cities and inner suburbs.
Paul’s perverse thinking — “heads-we-win, tails-you-lose" — is the same kind of mental gaslighting that led Trump supporters to attack the Capitol after their hero lost the presidential election.
Trump’s lies about election fraud led some rioters to think they were standing up for fair elections by stopping Congress from certifying Biden’s victory.
Now, Senate Democrats are trying to expose this sinister logic.
Senate Majority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) is right to say the lies about voter fraud that led to last year’s violence require Congress to pass federal voting rights protection.
“Make no mistake, the root cause of January 6th is still with us today,” Schumer said at a Senate hearing last week. “It is the big lie pushed by Donald Trump that is undermining faith in our political system and making our democracy, our country less safe."
Incredibly, more than a year after that insurrection, Schumer is operating without support from a single Senate Republican.
That means the GOP can use a filibuster to stop passage of a voting rights bill. As a result, Senate Democrats need to hold a unanimous front to have any chance of success.
That looks unlikely right now. Democrats don’t have that unified front. Some of the party’s senators — principally Sens. Joe Manchin (W.Va.) and Kyrsten Sinema (Ariz.) — are reluctant to change the chamber’s rules even if it is about something that should be a golden principle of democracy: protecting voting rights.
The defense of the filibuster by any Democrat in this case makes no sense because, as Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) has pointed out, there have been over 160 “carve-outs” or exceptions to the Senate filibuster rule.
Schumer recently wrote that he hoped to convince some in the GOP to change their thinking. But even if Republicans remain obstructionists, he plans debate “on or before January 17, Martin Luther King Jr. Day, to protect the foundation of our democracy: free and fair elections.”
Biden, joined by Vice President Harris, is scheduled to speak in Atlanta on Tuesday. According to The White House, Biden will stress the need to rebuff “corrupt attempts to strip law-abiding citizens of their fundamental freedoms and allow partisan state officials to undermine vote counting processes.”
It is powerful to me that Biden and Schumer are making this last dramatic stand to protect voting rights on the federal holiday honoring Dr. King’s legacy of work for racial equality.
Arguably Dr. King’s second-most famous speech, after “I Have a Dream,” was his jeremiad for Black voting rights in 1957, “Give us the ballot.”
“Give us the ballot and we will no longer have to worry the federal government about our basic rights.”
King’s successor in the pulpit of Atlanta’s Ebenezer Baptist Church is now a member of the Senate: Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.).
“Our democracy is in peril, and time is running out,” Warnock said last week in calling for passage of the voting rights law. “This is a moral moment. And if we fail to protect the voices and the votes of the American people, then we have fallen way short.”
But Warnock’s likely opponent in the upcoming race for his Senate seat opposes the laws.
Herschel Walker, a Republican who is endorsed by Trump, said he is against the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act because it “just doesn’t fit what John Lewis stood for...I think that it’s sad for them to do this to him.”
That distortion is astounding and Trumpian.
Lewis, a civil rights icon who served for more than 30 years in the House of Representatives, devoted his life to protecting voting rights. As a young man, he got his head smashed by state troopers while marching to win voting rights for Black people in Alabama.
What is Walker talking about?
This is beyond political spin. It is sinister propaganda.
Lewis and Dr. King fought to give Black people like me the right to vote.
This week: Democrats face crunch time on voting rightsMcConnell's office knocks Democrats over 'the left's Big Lie'
Now it is time for all Senate Democrats — and Republicans willing to step outside the Trump cult — to preserve voting rights for all against a deceitful, violent effort to end American democracy.
Juan Williams is an author, and a political analyst for Fox News Channel.
White supremacist militia groups are all over the country. 40 % of Republicans believe that violence against the government is valid.
https://www.newsweek.com/2021/12/31/millions-angry-armed-americans-stand-ready-seize-power-if-trump-loses-2024-1660953.html
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