USA Swimming: How long has Lia Thomas been on HRT?
— Katelyn Burns (@transscribe) February 2, 2022
32 months
USA Swimming: How long until Lia Thomas graduates?
4 months
USA Swimming: Let’s make the new rule 36 months, no one will suspect a thing.
Should we put out documentation to justify this policy?
USA Swimming: No
Now the argument that the three years of testosterone suppression makes it almost impossible for a college athlete to transition and still compete makes a correct but moot point. Certainly this policy actually does undermine the idea that a male college athlete can switch sexes and eventually compete as a female, as it would certainly be difficult to take those three years off and still remain eligible. But is there really anything scientific that suggests that a full grown adult male can take a couple of years of testosterone suppression and then fairly compete with adult females without an advantage?
Imagine if Shaquille O'Neal had decided to transition to Female after one year of college. He might be a women according to some definitions, but he would still be a seven foot three hundred pound woman. Removing your testosterone as a full grown adult doesn't make you a smaller human being. Let's be fair here, there are many sports where being larger is a distinct advantage.
I have a difficult time with the fact that there are plenty of high school transexual females dominating their sports (such as track and field). At least they started transitioning while children which might mitigate some of the natural size advantages that males have over females. But the key term there is still "some of that natural size advantage". There are really very few transgender athletes in this world right now. While it seems nice to give them a forum to compete, it also is going to be inherently unfair to naturally born females to compete with them. I think it was Spock who once said that the needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few. Let's keep that in mind here.
48 comments:
Get help
If The Federalist Society dumps Trump!
Three weeks later, Pence was more explicit on the topic at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Southern California. “Now, there are those in our party who believe that in my position as presiding officer over the joint session, that I possessed the authority to reject or return electoral votes certified by states,” he said. “But the Constitution provides the vice president with no such authority before the joint session of Congress. And the truth is, there’s almost no idea more un-American than the notion that any one person could choose the American president.”
Trump stopped speaking to Pence at that point and gradually began repeating his false assertion, that he first made on the afternoon of Jan. 6 and which inflamed his mob even further, that Pence had the authority but “lacked the courage” to keep Trump in power.
President Donald Trump arrives with Vice President Mike Pence for a "Make America Great Again" rally in Traverse City, Michigan, on Nov. 2,
Pence became the linchpin in Trump’s scheme to nullify the election after the Electoral College formally voted on Dec. 14, 2020, sealing Biden’s 306-232 victory. Trump’s White House and campaign aides had pushed for their supporters in several of the states that Biden won to send up slates of Trump “electors” anyway.
Pence would then be able to cite these “competing” slates of electors to ignore the electoral votes coming from those states entirely and then, with Trump holding a lead in the remaining states, rule him the winner.
Pence, though, made sure to sabotage that plan by crafting language that allowed him to ignore Trump’s fake slates from the outset.
Instead of asking the designated tally-keepers to “count and make a list of the votes cast by the electors of the several states,” as then-Vice President Biden had instructed four years earlier, Pence told them to “announce the votes cast by the electors for each state, beginning with Alabama, which the parliamentarian has advised me is the only certificate of vote from that state and purports to be a return from that state that has annexed to it a certificate from an authority of that state purporting to appoint or ascertain electors.”
Because only the true electors had such a certificate attached, that language necessarily excluded the fraudulent Trump slates.
Trump a year ago became the first president in more than two centuries of elections to refuse to hand over power peacefully. His incitement of the Jan. 6 assault on the Capitol ― his last-ditch attempt to remain in office ― killed five, including one police officer, injured 140 more officers and led to four police suicides.
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/pence-trump-rebuttal-2020-election_n_61faacf6e4b0c7df97452fb4
And you are worried about Tran gender athletics.
Covid-19 cases and hospitalizations are down in the US as deaths also start to plateau, latest data shows
From CNN's Deidre McPhillips
As the Biden administration continues to battle the Omicron variant and push for vaccinations, latest US data shows cases and hospitalizations are trending downward.
New movements on vaccines could also soon expand who is eligible to get the shot. The White House said it is ready to "hit the ground running" to vaccinate children age six months to 5 years old as soon as Pfizer/BioNTech receives emergency use authorization for its Covid-19 vaccine for that age group.
And you are worried about Tran gender athletics.
Only to the extent that left unchecked it stands poised to fucking destroy women's athletics.
Try being polite and staying on topic for a change you fucking asshole.
I do not often agree with Ch but I do think there is definitely a problem with the entire matter of transgender athletes competing with others.
How to be fair to everyone involved is a difficult matter to decide.
Not difficult at all. Female (Women's just in case you forgot female) women's sports are restricted to women only. This excludes biological males from competing.
All you have to do is look.
Give the trannies their own category within which to compete, and leave the women alone.
Regarding transitioning as children - if parents are enabling that shit that's child abuse straight up. And if the school teachers/administrators are encouraging it and assisting the kids in doing it in secret, those teachers/administrators belong in prison and classified as the highest level child sexual predators for life.
Bidennomics has set an easily the biggest single-year gain in U.S. history
December, which initially was reported as a gain of 199,000, went up to 510,000. November surged to 647,000 from the previously reported 249,000. For the two months alone, the initial counts were revised up by 709,000. The revisions came as part of the annual adjustments from the BLS that saw sizeable changes for many of the months in 2021.
Those changes brought the 2021 total to 6.665 million, easily the biggest single-year gain in U.S. history.
It is not fair to everyone involved.
I agree with Ch on this topic because it is not fair.
The only sport I was good at was wrestling. I was able to pin down guys who played basketball etc..
If I was transgender woman I would have been in the Olympics at 20.
Those changes brought the 2021 total to 6.665 million, easily the biggest single-year gain in U.S. history.
WRONG.
Those 6.665 jobs were RESTORED, not new.
If your house burns to the ground and you rebuild the same house on the same lot, that's NOT a net new housing start genius.
If you must lie to gin up support for a demented clown who can't cross a room without mommy holding his hand, you and your narrative are basically fucked.
New or not, the numbers are fantastic for the people who had lost their jobs because of the pandemic
Those 6.665 jobs were RESTORED, not new.
Provide a link or shut the fuck up asshole
I can't link you up with common sense and honesty BWAA.
You either have it or you don't.
If I was transgender woman I would have been in the Olympics at 20.
You would have been a member of the East Germain woman's team.
You have to ask yourselves, how many biological women would be disqualified for each transgender athlete who qualified.
Regarding transitioning as children - if parents are enabling that shit that's child abuse straight up. And if the school teachers/administrators are encouraging it and assisting the kids in doing it in secret, those teachers/administrators belong in prison and classified as the highest level child sexual predators for life.
10-4.
The market's reaction to the bullshit jobs numbers that has the alky ejaculating all over the 5th Beatle.:
Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI)
34,999.44-111.72 (-0.32%)
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EDJI?p=^DJI
US saw surprisingly robust hiring in January despite COVID surge
Agence France-Presse
February 04, 2022
- The US economy brushed off a spike in Covid-19 infections to add 467,000 jobs in January, far better than expected and a potential sign that the pandemic's days of disrupting businesses are numbered.
Labor Department data released Friday also showed major industries hiring, overall employment gains for 2021 revised higher, and more people entering the workforce, which pushed the unemployment rate up slightly to four percent.
The report was good news for President Joe Biden, who has struggled to defend his economic policies as his approval ratings slid amid months of hiring data that failed to bring the surge in jobs he promised when taking office a year ago.
"We created 467,000 jobs in January. That's more than 6.6 million jobs since I took office," Biden tweeted, calling 2021 "the greatest year of job creation under any president in history."
When the government buys goods and supplies, we buy everything from our businesses.
Anti virus pills will eventually eliminate the risk.
Blogger rrb said...
The market's reaction to the bullshit jobs numbers that has
IN OTHER FUCKING WORDS.......I FUCKING LIED AGAIN!!!!!!!! BWAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!! Just admit it is your opinion asshole!!!!!
ONE YEAR OF BIDEN-HARRIS
President Biden and Vice President Harris took office amid several crises – and they promised to move quickly to deliver results for working families. That’s what they’ve done. Here is just some of what President Biden and Vice President Harris have delivered for the American people since taking office:
Got Shots in Arms and Saved Lives
The President set up a historic vaccination program that resulted in more than 200 million Americans fully vaccinated this year: almost 75% of all adults. Millions of teenagers and children are now vaccinated, and tens of millions of Americans are getting booster shots. The President closed the racial equity gap in COVID vaccinations among adults. And, about 96% of schools are open. All these steps have saved and continue to save countless lives.
Drove a Historic Economic Recovery & Jobs Growth
President Biden has grown the economy faster than in decades and added 6.4 million jobs - more in one year than ever on record. Recent weekly unemployment claims are down near a level not seen since 1969. Economic growth is the strongest in two generations .
Passed the American Rescue Plan and Bipartisan Infrastructure Law
President Biden got the American Rescue Plan and the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law passed -- the most impactful legislative agenda for a first year President. The American Rescue Plan led to what experts estimate will be the lowest child poverty rate on record, and the unemployment rate is down to 3.9% four years faster than projected. The Bipartisan Infrastructure Law will create jobs, provide clean drinking water, upgrade our roads, airports, and rail, and is a critical first step towards a clean energy future.
Expanded Affordable Health Care
President Biden increased the number of Americans with health care coverage to the highest number ever and slashed premiums for millions. As a result of his actions, hundreds of thousands of Americans pay premiums as low as $10. He just banned surprise billing, an issue that has been particularly concerning to Americans in the past few years, and lowered the co-pays that many Americans pay.
Restored America’s Global LeadershipTook Aggressive Action to Tackle the Climate CrisisAddressed Gun Violence and CrimeBolstered Domestic ManufacturingConfirmed Historic JudgesAdvanced Racial Equity
So back to the topic of this thread, there is federal law from the early 70s called Title IX. This was and is in place to endure equal opportunity for females to compete. Title IX cannot just be swept under the rug.
Butthurt Roger.
My post is correct.
KansasDemocrat February 4, 2022 at 7:16 AM
Lowered expectations
White house looks for 125 k in today's report.
Should come in well above it as they need a win, any win.
Do tell us where I am wrong ?
I mock Roger because he is so grossly undereducated.
rrbFebruary 4, 2022 at 9:24 AM
And you are worried about Tran gender athletics.
Only to the extent that left unchecked it stands poised to fucking destroy women's athletics.
Try being polite and staying on topic for a change you fucking asshole."
Exactly.
Sports related.
The Speaker of the US House stated that American Athletes must stay Mute.
That is appalling.
I will for the first time not be watching one single moment of the Genocide Olympics.
Trump
1: He denied any Russia involvement
The spectre of Russia has haunted Trump since the 2016 election that brought him to power. Post-election analysis of data by the likes of academics seems to suggest that yes, Russian interference played a part in it.
But Trump, funnily enough, has never been keen to examine the role Russia might have had in seeing him elected. Which means he’s not only blocked every attempt to investigate it but also sacked multiple officials who’ve threatened to do so, like former FBI director James Comey. Trump even admitted that Russia was part of his reasoning for firing Comey, making him only the second American president to sack his FBI director. Historic.
2. When he appointed his unqualified family to top administration roles
Ah, the sweet smell of nepotism. As soon as Trump went to the White House, so did his family. But breaking with protocol, members of the extended Trump clan quickly received important high-ranking roles. Like daughter Ivanka and her husband Jared who are now special advisors, a role that is very vague but ensures they’re essentially part of running the country. Ivanka’s attempt to mingle with world leaders at the 2019 G20 summit was widely ridiculed.
It’s not stopped her, or the other Trumps, ascending the power ladder though.
LMAO at Trumpets
Your post is on the wrong thread Roger.
Joe Biden touted the 6.6 million jobs that have been added to the US economy in the year since he took office, describing it as a historic recovery.
“It comes alongside the largest drop in unemployment rate in a single year on record, the largest reduction in childhood poverty ever recorded in a single year and the strongest economic growth this country has seen in nearly 40 years,” Biden said.
But the president also acknowledged that many American families have not been able to fully enjoy the country’s economic recovery because US prices have increased sharply as businesses have reopened.
“Average people are getting clobbered by the cost of everything,” Biden said. “Gas prices at the pump are up. We’re working to bring them down, but they’re up. Food prices are up. We’re working to bring them down as well.”
The White House has pledged to enact policies aimed at tackling inflation, which has become a major concern for Americans and could be a drag on Democrats’ midterm prospects.
Blogger KansasDemocrat said...
I will for the first time not be watching one single moment of the Genocide Olympics.
First time?
I never watch with two exceptions - hometown kid competing in the hammer throw in Rio and Tokyo.
Other than that, fuck 'em.
December, which initially was reported as a gain of 199,000, went up to 510,000. November surged to 647,000 from the previously reported 249,000. For the two months alone, the initial counts were revised up by 709,000. The revisions came as part of the annual adjustments from the BLS that saw sizeable changes for many of the months in 2021.
Those changes brought the 2021 total to 6.665 million, easily the biggest single-year gain in U.S. history.
Roger fails to understand that we are still 3.7 million jobs lower than where we were pre-covid. One month we had a drop of over 20 million jobs (April of 2020).
More interesting was that the "private sector" numbers came out earlier in the week and showed a 250,000 loss of private sector jobs (which was more in line with what people were expecting).
This is over 700,000 difference between the two reports?
I wonder how the two got that far off, huh?
"Roger fails to understand that we are still 3.7 million jobs lower than where we were pre-covid"
Yet, Roger said Bidenomics would have economic numbers back to per-pandemic highs, in, by last fall.
Now he is on to blaming the Federal reserve.
Bidenomics policies cause oil to soar to $92 a barrel.
Current Avg. $3.423
Yes, of course it is up from yesterday.
Looking more and more like No nothing Alky is wrong about Bidenomics delivering "Sub $3.00 a gallon " gas.
Roger fails to understand that we are still 3.7 million jobs lower than where we were pre-covid.
He understands, he's just part of the 30% totally committed to Brandon thanks to his Stage IV TDS.
Cue Roger coming in and demanding I have Alzheimers and RRB is a Nazi!
I will say that as much as the Reverend has probably never provided a straight answer to any question of challenge, at least his arguments are not 99.9% ad hominem. He can try to make a point without suggesting that the blog host is retarded.
Btw...
Why is it that I am never the Nazi and Rat is never the one with Alzheimer's? At least Roger could be more diverse with his insults that he poses as arguments.
CHT Post: 2+2=4
Roger: You've lost it
CHT: Are you saying 2+2 is not = 4
Roger: You have Alzheimer's
CHT: Is that your argument?
Roger: Get help
Roger: Rat is a Nazi
You won't believe it
With the brutal omicron wave rapidly loosening its grip, new cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. are falling in 49 of 50 states, even as the nation's death toll closes in on another bleak round number: 900,000.
The number of lives lost to the pandemic in the U.S. stood at over 897,000 as of midday Friday, with deaths running at an average of more than 2,400 a day, back up to where they were last winter, when the vaccine drive was still getting started.
New cases per day have tanked by almost a half-million nationwide since mid-January, the curve trending downward in every state but Maine. And the number of Americans in the hospital with COVID-19 has fallen 15% over that period to about 124,000.
Similarly, an early-warning program that looks for the virus in sewage found that COVID-19 infections are declining in the majority of participating U.S. communities, according to data posted by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
The payroll numbers announced today are complete BULLSHIT -
For those who only look at headlines, today's payrolls report was a veritable shock: coming in at 467K, it was almost 4x the consensus median expectation of 125K, and was orders of magnitude above Goldman's forecast of -250K. Putting the stunning, 3-sigma beat in context, it came above all 78 estimates, and was more than double the highest forecast of 225K from HSBC. Even more ludicrous were historical adjustments which saw December increased from 199K to 510K, November from 249K to 647K and so on.
How is that possible?
After all even CNBC - while interviewing labor secretary Marty Walsh - couldn't believe the BLS data, prompting the secretary to repeat on many occasions that the numbers are "credible" and he "stands behind them" and of course he will: after all, taken at face value the numbers signal a resilient labor market and demand for workers despite omicron’s hit. The gains were broad-based, spanning retail, hospitality, transportation and warehousing, business services and others. In short, contrary to data from even the Atlanta Fed whose GDPNow shows Q1 GDP rising just 0.1%, the labor data indicates an economy firing on all cylinders and growing strong.
But is that true?
Well, here's what happened. First, looking at just the December to January change we find that while the seasonally adjusted number rose by an impressive 467K, the unadjusted number collapsed, tumbling from 150.349 million to 147.525 million, a 2.8 million drop (as it tends to do every time the year shifts from December to January) meaning that the entire delta in the January number - somewhere in the 3+ million range - is due to arbitrary adjustments overlaid on top of the data.
The plot thickens, and indeed one thing that analysts apparently forgot when they were submitting their forecasts for January's payrolls is that this is the month when the BLS adjusts data for the past 10 years as part of its population estimates revisions, which impact both the Household and more important, Establishment, surveys.
In summary, what these revisions did was to revise 2017 job growth lower by by -61,000, 2018 lower by -26,000, 2019 revised lower by -43,000, while 2020 was revised higher by 124,000, and 2021 was also revised up 217,000, or in total a 211,000 upward revision over 5 years or 3,500 jobs per month.
Focusing on just 2021, we find something curious: the stunning print from the summer which saw June and July print at or over 1 million, have been slashed by almost 50%, at the expense of most recent months such that October added 29K, November added 398K and December added 311K jobs to what was the original print only as a result of seasonal adjustments. Said otherwise, March-July was revised lower by -1,061,000 while Aug-Dec was revised up by +817,000.
At this point the answer what is behind the massive January beat should be becoming clear: how did a -2.8 million actual drop in jobs translate into an adjusted 467K? If you said seasonal, covid and population control adjustments, you are right. And to be sure, this is something both we and others flagged, when we lamented that month after month, the BLS appeared to be using stale seasonal adjustments.
But digging deeper shows that this was not just an ordinary seasonal adjustment.
As SouthBay Research notes in his NFP postmortem, "there has never been a January Seasonal Adjustment of this magnitude" and visually:
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-whats-behind-todays-stunning-payrolls-beat
If only normalizes the January seasonal adjustment, the payrolls number is some 309K lower, or ends up being 166K, right on top of expectations.
The seasonal adjustment for Private payrolls was even more ridiculous:
Where it gets even more bizarre, is that as SouthBay notes, January's Private NFP (NSA) of -2391K was almost exactly the 10-year and 20-year median 2384K. So why the BLS is applying such a grotesque seasonal adjustment to it, is unclear (actually, if one assumes that the Biden admin tapped the BLS secretary on the shoulder, then it is very clear).
It's not just outside analysts who reach this conclusion: in Table C to its report, the BLS showed "December 2021-January 2022 changes in selected labor force measures, with adjustments for population control effects" and confirmed that if one had used an apples-to-apples basis for the January numbers, the number of Employed workers (from the Household Survey) would be down -272K. Instead, thanks to the population control effect adjustment of 1.471 million, the final number was 1.199 million!
In summary, while the markets had been trading for months on fake data when the BLS failed to catch up to covid reality, and was applying stale seasonal adjustments, they are doing so again today, only in the opposite direction with the BLS now overextending itself in the opposite direction, with a January seasonal adjustment that has never been greater!
So for those who feel like discounting the Seasonally Adjusted data, please do: the bizarre Seasonal Adjustment that created distortion and distorted the underlying trend for much of 2021 is back, only now it's in the other direction.
What is the take home message? It's two fold:
First, we can effectively ignore covid's effect going forward. As Southbay notes, "It would appear that COVID is no longer a brake on employment or on the economy" which is good news: the end of the artificial covid restrictions couldn't come too soon.
Second, while the January report was stellar, its all downhill from here, because "January's win is a loss for February payrolls" or put otherwise, this month's strong payrolls will come at a price: i) Seasonal Adjustment will unwind - reducing payrolls in future months and ii) Seasonal workers will be laid off, resulting in a roughly 100K downside to February and/or subsequent months.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/here-whats-behind-todays-stunning-payrolls-beat
Boy, did they fucking LIE.
If the economy continues to improve enough that inflation won't matter much.
The pandemic is approaching a flu season type and the appointment of a new Justice, and the investigation into the January 6th incident are going to be on prime time and across the internet.
The Democratic candidates will have a better chance than today.
And again the suburbs are going to move to the center, because far too many Republicans are Trump supporters are getting sick and tired of Trump.
You won't believe it
Who won't believe what Roger?
That 495K have died on Biden's watch?
That he is doing statistically worse than Trump?
Or that cases are falling down into the 250K range (which is closer to where they were last winter)?
Nancy Pelosi urged US Olympians to stay silent .
Jesse Ownes Legacy killed by weak Socialist Democrats.
Vapid .
"Roger AmickFebruary 4, 2022 at 12:38 PM
If the economy continues to improve enough that inflation won't matter much."
Inflation always matters a lot.
It is a constant unrelenting cancer on wages and wealth.
Cases are numerous with Omicron. Deaths comparatively few.
And infinitesimally few among the vaccinated and boosted.
Blogger Roger Amick said...
If the economy continues to improve enough that inflation won't matter much.
Only nursing home ridden imbeciles like you and dementia ridden imbeciles like Slow Joe think it's improving.
If anything it's treading water, with inflation adding more pressure every day.
How could you possibly have any actual connection to the state of the economy? You're stuck in a 9 x 12 room with a crazy person. You're not allowed to leave. You probably haven't shopped for a durable good in over a decade. Your big expenditure is fucking juice boxes.
Do you have any idea just how fucking ridiculous you sound alky?
Seriously.
Cases are numerous with Omicron. Deaths comparatively few.
And infinitesimally few among the vaccinated and boosted.
Not sure if seeing 2500-3500 deaths most full reporting weekdays is something to cheer about even if it is probably about 70% of what we had last Winter.
To be perfectly honest, there is simply not enough concrete data regarding boosters to know what those numbers are as most State Dept of Health are not tracking boostered (only the category of fully vaccinated). In fact, I am not sure any of them are tracking that. Since the CDC gets their data from those states, it's difficult to say that they have the information to lay that claim out as fact.
Certainly had the CDC not oversold a whole bunch of other stuff that they claimed they had concrete proof of that turned out wrong, I would be more inclined to give them the benefit of the doubt.
I mean, I hope that they are correct and that we can "booster" our way out of this... but recent indications are that the CDC and Biden administration is getting ready to wave the white flag and say we just have to live with this.
Would they really be taking that stance (that we will just have to live with Covid) if they truly believed that three shots was the silver bullet?
Would they really be taking that stance (that we will just have to live with Covid) if they truly believed that three shots was the silver bullet?
In reality they're much closer to throwing in the towel and just saying we need boosters for evah.
"Do you have any idea just how fucking ridiculous you sound alky?" RRB
Because Roger doesn't actually answer questions, I will for him.
No.
In reality they're much closer to throwing in the towel and just saying we need boosters for evah."RRB
That is exactly what Roger stated.
He said that Biden should declare victory and move on.
Some nonsense of basing the win on ploitical science and getting his poll numbers higher then Trumps.
Today's version of economic knowledge brought to us by Alky.
If the economy continues to improve enough that inflation won't matter much."
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