Ukrainian official says that the war might be over in May...

Which is a rough estimate by some as to when the Russians would run out of supplies?

Oleksiy Arestovich, an adviser to the Ukrainian president’s chief of staff, says the war in Ukraine will likely to be over by early May when Russia would have run out of resources to attack its neighbour. In a video published by several Ukrainian media, Mr Arestovich said the exact timing would depend on how much resources Russia is willing to commit to the campaign.

Talks between Ukraine and Russia in which Mr Arestovich was not personally involved had so far produced few results other than several humanitarian corridors out of besieged Ukrainian cities. He said a “completely crazy” scenario could also involve Russia sending fresh conscripts after a month of training.

Well this is a far cry from a week, which is what some people believed was the timeline that Russia had prepared for. At best, we are looking at 6-8 weeks of more death and destruction, until finally the Russians just run out of bombs and ammunition? Seems like this is still a pretty grim assessment. 

Of course, this advisor is also suggesting that Putin might be currently training and arming conscripts and such. Given the fact that Putin has already introduced paid mercenaries from Syria into the mix, I would offer that that idea (30 days and go) is not crazy by Putin standards. I mean back in the day, we were have said to send new recruits into Vietnam with as little as 8 weeks of training (depending on their job description). 

Let's also keep in mind that on top of the 350,000 active service member of the Russian Army, that they have over a million more in what we would think of as the reserves. That would mean that these people have already gone through a basic training and have kept up with at least "some" continuing training as part of there job as reservists. So if these were the people being given 30 days and go, that seems different than some 19 year old kid just graduating from high school with no military training at all.

The real question becomes whether or not Putin is willing to do whatever it takes to win this war or if he has some semblance of sanity and abstains from the sort of things that it "might take" to overwhelm the Ukrainians. We are still looking at at nuclear power who most certainly have the ability to engage in chemical or biological weapons as well.