There is a new controversy over the alleged bias of the J6 Committee and the extreme measures used to avoid alternative or conflicting accounts. On Friday, Rep. Zoe Lofgren (D-Calif.), a member of the House select committee, declared that former Trump White House counsel Pat Cipollone”did not contradict” the testimony of previous witnesses like Cassidy Hutchinson. However, the New York Times is reporting that he was not asked about statements that the Committee knew he would contradict.
One of the most persistent problems has been the failure of any member to raise opposing views or contradicting points. That issue is now whether the reason that Cipollone did not contradict the testimony of Hutchison was that he was not asked about points of disagreement.
So they LITERALLY figured out what he would and would not confirm before the interview and then simply did not ask him "anything" where he would provide an opposing viewpoint. All so they could gaslight their rabid idiot followers that Hutchinson's testimony was legitimate (when clearly it was riddled with lies and second hand unconfirmed stories).
This is disgusting.
55 comments:
Former White House counsel Pat Cipollone’s meeting with the select committee investigating the Jan. 6 insurrection yielded “relevant information” for the panel, though he claimed privilege in some areas, one committee member said in an interview airing Sunday.
“He claimed privilege on conversations that related to the advice he provided directly to the president or conversations with the president,” Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D-Fla.) said in an interview with “Meet the Press.” “But I think we still got a lot of relevant information from him, and it provides us another perspective on what was happening in the White House in those weeks running up to January 6th that were so critically important.”
Cipollone met with the panel for more than eight hours on Friday. He reached an agreement to sit for a transcribed interview after the committee subpoenaed late last month.
“I think there was a lot of information that fit into this bigger puzzle that we’re putting together,” Murphy said. “And we have different voices telling about the same meeting, and more or less telling the same narrative.”
“The overall message that we have been gathering out of all of these witnesses is that the president knew he had lost the election, or that his advisers had told him he had lost the election, and that he was casting about for ways in which he could retain power and remain the president,” she added.
As the top White House lawyer, Cipollone could be a key source of information on former President Donald Trump and his allies’ attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election. In her bombshell public testimony last month, for instance, former White House aide Cassidy Hutchinson said Cipollone warned of legal culpability if Trump went to the Capitol with his supporters on Jan. 6.
Murphy said the select committee was able to get Cipollone “to confirm the concerns that he did have” about efforts to subvert the election.
“He made very clear that he took the side of many of the folks that you’ve already seen come before the committee, and was asserting that there wasn’t enough evidence to prove that the election was not free and fair,” Murphy said.
Asked if Cipollone’s testimony will be featured publicly this week, Murphy said, “I imagine that you will be hearing things from Mr. Cipollone, but also from others that were in the White House.”
The panel is slated to hold a hearing Tuesday on activities by groups such as the Proud Boys and Oath Keepers surrounding Jan. 6. Another hearing is possible this week, but has not been announced by the committee.
FILED UNDER: MEET THE PRESS,
You really are getting ridiculous
She is a 25 year old woman who worked for Ted Cruz and others.
If he supports her testimony, when we see it, you will call him a brainwashed traitor.
A lot of other people said that exactly same thing.
Cherry picking is definitely partisan not the coldheartedtruth
Cipollone provided 'important insight' on Trump's plans to declare martial law: J6 committee member
Tom Boggioni
July 10, 2022
During an appearance on CNN's "State of the Union," House Jan 6th committee member Rep. Zoe Lofgren (D-CA) was fairly closed-mouthed about what former White House counsel Pat Cipollone told the committee during his 8-hour-along testimony last Friday.
She was a bit more forthcoming when host Jake Tapper narrowed down his questions about Donald Trump's efforts that went beyond the assault on the Capitol building that sent lawmakers fleeing for their lives.
After telling the CNN host that he would have to wait to see what the committee has on tap for Tuesday morning hearing, to be followed by a second public hearing on Thursday in prime time, Lofgren did confirm some topics that were discussed.
"We will have some excerpts of Mr. Cipollone's testimony," she promised. "He was able to provide information on basically all of the critical issues we're looking at, including the president's, what I would call, dereliction of duty on the day of January 6th. So, yes, that was important."
After she added, "As you know, the committee rules don't allow us to disclose the testimony without a vote of the committee, that hasn't happened yet, but it was important testimony," Tapper pressed, "Did he discuss Trump considering seizing the voting machines or Trump considering declaring martial law to seize the voting machines?"
"I think you'll have to wait for the hearing later this week. As i said, we haven't had a vote to disclose the testimony, "she repeated before conceding, "Let me just say this, I think he did provide important insights on those subjects."
It was an attempted coup.
But you don't recognize the threat 🤔
So Alky were you cheering for vax denier or the domestic violence abuser?
😂
Plus he is going to testify under oath.
Bannon could, in theory, reveal to House investigators about his conversations with Trump ahead of the Capitol attack – Bannon spoke with Trump on the phone the night before – and strategy discussions at the Trump “war room” at the Willard hotel in Washington.
The Trump “war room” at the Willard played a major role in the former president’s push to stop the certification. Bannon was based there in the days before the attack, alongside Trump lawyers John Eastman and Rudy Giuliani, widely seen as the architects of that scheme.
Bannon’s offer to testify appears to be a strategic move ahead of his trial for criminal contempt of Congress, scheduled to start 18 July, that comes after justice department prosecutors charged him for refusing to comply with the select committee’s subpoena last year.
The move to testify to the panel now would not “cure” his contempt since he faces criminal contempt and the prosecution is for the past failure to comply with the subpoena, according to former US attorney Joyce Vance.
Politico
Former White House counsel Pat Cipollone’s meeting with the select committee investigating the Jan. 6 insurrection yielded “relevant information” for the panel, though he claimed privilege in some areas, one committee member said in an interview airing Sunday.
“He claimed privilege on conversations that related to the advice he provided directly to the president or conversations with the president,” Rep. Stephanie Murphy (D-Fla.) said in an interview with “Meet the Press.” “But I think we still got a lot of relevant information from him, and it provides us another perspective on what was happening in the White House in those weeks running up to January 6th that were so critically important.”
Cipollone met with the panel for more than eight hours on Friday. He reached an agreement to sit for a transcribed interview after the committee subpoenaed late last month.
“I think there was a lot of information that fit into this bigger puzzle that we’re putting together,” Murphy said. “And we have different voices telling about the same meeting, and more or less telling the same narrative.”
“The overall message that we have been gathering out of all of these witnesses is that the president knew he had lost the election, or that his advisers had told him he had lost the election, and that he was casting about for ways in which he could retain power and remain the president,” she added.
As the top White House lawyer, Cipollone could be a key source of information on former President Donald Trump and his allies’ attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election. In her bombshell public testimony last month, for instance, former White House aide Cassidy Hutchinson said Cipollone warned of legal culpability if Trump went to the Capitol with his supporters on Jan. 6.
No partisan bullshit
Turley said
J6 Committee Says Cipollone “Did Not Contradict” Hutchinson but Sources Say He was Not Asked.
What sources??,
She is a 25 year old woman who worked for Ted Cruz and others.
And what does that have to do with the story in question?
How does that change anything?
Perhaps had you done better in school, had a higher SAT score, and could have cut it in college... you would be a clearer thinker.
But unfortunately....
stupid is as stupid does!
https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/08/politics/cipollone-hutchinson-testimony-january-6/index.html
He used an old CNN article
What sources??
Did you bother to read the fucking story, Roger?
Or is that too hard for you?
Jesus fucking christ on a stick!
Like dealing with a toddler.
My post STATES CLEARLY that there are multiple sources and the one QUOTED is the NY Times.
Can you even read Roger?
The lady you mentioned spoke today.
Cipollone provided 'important insight' on Trump's plans to declare martial law: J6 committee member
Tom Boggioni
July 10, 2022
During an appearance on CNN's "State of the Union," House Jan 6th committee member Rep. Zoe Lofgren (D-CA) was fairly closed-mouthed about what former White House counsel Pat Cipollone told the committee during his 8-hour-along testimony last Friday.
She was a bit more forthcoming when host Jake Tapper narrowed down his questions about Donald Trump's efforts that went beyond the assault on the Capitol building that sent lawmakers fleeing for their lives.
After telling the CNN host that he would have to wait to see what the committee has on tap for Tuesday morning hearing, to be followed by a second public hearing on Thursday in prime time, Lofgren did confirm some topics that were discussed.
"We will have some excerpts of Mr. Cipollone's testimony," she promised. "He was able to provide information on basically all of the critical issues we're looking at, including the president's, what I would call, dereliction of duty on the day of January 6th. So, yes, that was important."
After she added, "As you know, the committee rules don't allow us to disclose the testimony without a vote of the committee, that hasn't happened yet, but it was important testimony," Tapper pressed, "Did he discuss Trump considering seizing the voting machines or Trump considering declaring martial law to seize the voting machines?"
"I think you'll have to wait for the hearing later this week. As i said, we haven't had a vote to disclose the testimony, "she repeated before conceding, "Let me just say this, I think he did provide important insights on those subjects."
Mr. Trump has railed against Mr. Cipollone’s cooperation. On Thursday, he posted on his social media platform, Truth Social: “Why would a future President of the United States want to have candid and important conversations with his White House Counsel if he thought there was even a small chance that this person, essentially acting as a ‘lawyer’ for the Country, may someday be brought before a partisan and openly hostile Committee in Congress.”
Rep. Zoe Lofgren (D-Calif.), a member of the House select committee investigating the Capitol riot on Jan. 6, 2021, on Friday said former Trump White House counsel Pat Cipollone did not contradict the testimony of previous witnesses when he met with the panel that day.
It doesn't specifically mention your desperate lies
He said
On Friday, Rep. Zoe Lofgren (D-Calif.), a member of the House select committee, declared that former Trump White House counsel Pat Cipollone” did not contradict” the testimony of previous witnesses like Cassidy Hutchinson.
He edited it
"did not directly contradict”
The exact words 🙌
He was candid with the committee,” Representative Zoe Lofgren, Democrat of California and a member of the panel, said on CNN on Friday. “He was careful in his answers, and I believe that he was honest in his answers.”
She added, “We gained some additional insight into the actual day, Jan. 6.”
Ms. Lofgren said Mr. Cipollone did not contradict other witnesses. “There were things that he might not be present for or in some cases could not recall with precision,” she said.
You have been gaslighted
You believe that the free press has been trying to get rid of Trump from day one.
That's classic fascist rhetoric in history.
Insults are all the have anymore.
Much more important than your package 📦.
Steve Bannon, the onetime strategist to Donald Trump who was involved in the former president’s efforts to invalidate his defeat in the 2020 election, has opened discussions with the House January 6 select committee about testifying to the inquiry into the Capitol attack.
The offer of cooperation could mark a breakthrough for the panel, which has sought Bannon’s testimony for months, believing he could provide unique insight into the inner-workings of Trump’s unlawful push to stop the congressional certification of his loss to Joe Biden from taking place.
________
Remember how loyal he was for years.
Even more crazy guys have figured out how dangerous he is.
Remember when Roger assured us that IF Elected President Trump Would not be:
Good for the US Economy
Pro Life
Would get us into War
Appointing True Constitutionalist.
Roger is so Spectacularly wrong .
Read it
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/jul/10/steve-bannon-discussions-january-6-committee-capitol-attack
😝🤣😅
C.H. TruthJuly 10, 2022 at 11:48 AM
What sources??
Did you bother to read the fucking story, Roger?
Or is that too hard for you?
Jesus fucking christ on a stick!
Like dealing with a toddler😆😁😅
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/jul/10/steve-bannon-discussions-january-6-committee-capitol-attack
That would mean Bannon could, in theory, reveal to House investigators about his conversations with Trump ahead of the Capitol attack – Bannon spoke with Trump on the phone the night before – and strategy discussions at the Trump “war room” at the Willard hotel in Washington.
The Trump “war room” at the Willard played a major role in the former president’s push to stop the certification. Bannon was based there in the days before the attack, alongside Trump lawyers John Eastman and Rudy Giuliani, widely seen as the architects of that scheme.
Bannon’s offer to testify appears to be a strategic move ahead of his trial for criminal contempt of Congress, scheduled to start on 18 July, that comes after justice department prosecutors charged him for refusing to comply with the select committee’s subpoena last year.
The move to testify to the panel now would not “cure” his contempt since he faces criminal contempt and the prosecution is for the past failure to comply with the subpoena, according to former US attorney Joyce Vance.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/jul/10/steve-bannon-discussions-january-6-committee-capitol-attack
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/jul/10/steve-bannon-discussions-january-6-committee-capitol-attack
July 10, 2022, 2:10 p.m. ET
WASHINGTON — With his criminal trial for contempt of Congress approaching, Stephen K. Bannon, an ally of former President Donald J. Trump’s who was involved in his plans to overturn the 2020 election, has informed the House committee investigating the Capitol attack that he is now willing to testify, according to two letters obtained by The New York Times.
His decision is a remarkable about-face for Mr. Bannon, who until Saturday had been among the most obstinate and defiant of the committee’s potential witnesses. He had promised to turn the criminal case against him into the “misdemeanor from hell” for the Justice Department.
But with the possibility of two years in jail and large fines looming on the horizon, Mr. Bannon has been authorized to testify by Mr. Trump, his attorney told the committee in a letter late on Saturday.
The former president had previously instructed Mr. Bannon and other associates not to cooperate with the panel, claiming that executive privilege — a president’s power to withhold certain internal executive branch information, especially confidential communications involving him or his top aides — compelled them to stay silent. But in recent days, as several witnesses have come forward to offer the House panel damning testimony about his conduct, Mr. Trump has grown frustrated that one of his fiercest defenders has not yet appeared before the committee, people close to him said.
“Mr. Bannon is willing to, and indeed prefers, to testify at your public hearing,” Robert J. Costello, Mr. Bannon’s attorney, wrote to Representative Bennie Thompson, Democrat of Mississippi and the chairman of the committee.
BOY, you sure do have to be AFRAID of the Jan 6 Committee to come up with this.
Bannon, who only served in White House for seven months in 2017, was indicted in November by a federal grand jury and charged with two counts of contempt of Congress for defying a congressional subpoena from the committee.
He was present at a meeting in a Washington hotel the day before the insurrection, where Trump supporters talked about possible efforts to overturn the election, the panel has said, adding that it would like to ask him about a Dec. 30 phone conversation in which Bannon allegedly urged Trump to focus his attention on Jan. 6.
BAD NEWS
New Omicron Subvariant Discovered in China
July 10, 2022 at 1:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 36 Comments
Health officials in Shanghai announced on Sunday that they have discovered a new COVID-19 subvariant, Omicron BA.5.2.1, Reuters reports.
GOOD NEWS
Bonus Quote of the Day
July 10, 2022 at 1:55 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 53 Comments
“On the whole, the odds still favor Republicans. But I buy that Roe being overturned evens the equation a bit toward Democrats.”
— Nate Silver, quoted by ABC News, on his midterm election forecast.
LOL
Why You Should Quit Smoking
July 10, 2022 at 1:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 29 Comments
A new warning on cigarettes in Ukraine says you should quit smoking so you will get to see how Vladimir Putin dies.
THANK YOU FOR DRAWING EVEN MORE ATTENTION TO THE COMMITTEE'S MEETING WITH CIPILLONE.
Thursday’s hearing will be the first in the prime-time slot since the June 9 debut that was viewed by 20 million people. A hearing Tuesday will focus on the plotting and planning of the insurrection on Jan. 6, 2021, by white nationalist groups such as the Proud Boys, the Oath Keepers and the Three Percenters, and will also highlight testimony taken Friday from former White House counsel Pat Cipollone.
e prime-time slot since the June 9 debut that was viewed by 20 million people.
All them over 75 years of age, with nothing else to do
“The House committee investigating the Jan. 6 riot is returning to prime time with a Thursday evening hearing that will examine the three-hour plus stretch when Donald Trump failed to act as a mob of supporters stormed the Capitol,” the AP reports.
For 6 plus years Roger and James have been in full rage and hate of President Trump.
Funny thing is that hate they have, President Trump does know they exist.
Roger is always so clueless.
"Willing to Testify "
"Facing trial for contempt of Congress"
The two can not both exist.
Scott a Republican called you and Turley stupid
Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-Ill.), a member of the House committee investigating the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol, said on Sunday the panel plans to detail portions of former Trump White House Counsel Pat Cipollone’s recent eight-hour testimony in its upcoming hearings.
“At no point was there any contradiction of what anybody said, but the rest I’ll have to leave to the presentation for the committee,” Kinzinger told George Stephanopoulos, anchor of ABC’s “This Week.”
Yesterday I posted on the last thread that James and Roger had made more than 2/3 of the posts on it.
So today. They're at 70% of the posts on this thread.
They are ruining this blog.
Alky breaks the thread
This week is going to get more people aware of what happened and what might happen again.
Jan. 6 hearing to focus on Trump’s ‘siren call’ to violent extremists
By Amy B Wang
and
Olivier Knox
July 10, 2022 at 3:51 p.m. EDT
On July 10 members of the House committee investigating the Jan. 6, 2021 Capitol attack discussed the impact of testimony on future public hearings.
On Dec. 19, 2020, then-president Donald Trump posted on Twitter one of his many baseless claims about the presidential election, alleging that it was “statistically impossible” for him to have lost to Joe Biden and alerting his supporters to a Washington protest in the coming weeks.
“Big protest in D.C. on January 6th,” Trump tweeted then. “Be there, will be wild!”
That tweet would serve as an invitation to far-right militia groups such as the Proud Boys and Oath Keepers as well as other violent extremists who were part of the pro-Trump mob that overran the U.S. Capitol in an attempt to block the certification of Biden’s electoral college win, members of the House select committee investigating the insurrection said Sunday.
The effect of that tweet — as well as other messages from Trump and his allies — will be explored this week as the committee resumes its public hearings. Tuesday’s session will focus on Trump’s connections to those far-right and political extremist groups.
“People are going to hear the story of that tweet, and then the explosive effect it had in Trumpworld, and specifically among the domestic violent extremist groups, the most dangerous political extremists in the country at that point,” Rep. Jamie B. Raskin (D-Md.) said on CBS News’s “Face the Nation.”
Myballsinthewoodsagain said...
Yesterday I posted on the last thread that James and Roger had made more than 2/3 of the posts on it.
So today. They're at 70% of the posts on this thread.
They are ruining this blog.
July 10, 2022 at 2:49 PM
Anonymous Caliphate4vr said...
Alky breaks the thread
---------------------------------
for their next trick they will complain about being censored
what a pair of clueless idiots
or should I say "victims"
Just four little posts from me.
Scott Perry lollipop 🍭 believes that this is fake news regarding Trump and the years long plan to get him because they hate him. TDS
WASHINGTON — Six down. At least two more to go.
The Jan. 6 committee is hitting the home stretch of the public hearings phase of its historic, yearlong investigation into the attack on the Capitol — and American democracy. he said it was just a peaceful demonstration.
After a half-dozen hearings, committee members are looking to build on the momentum with a pair of back-to-back panel meetings this week. They will mark a final push for a special House panel that set out not only to establish an official record for the history books but also to demonstrate Donald Trump's role in the plot to overturn the 2020 election, and to warn the public about ongoing threats to the election system.
He thinks that is just political 🙄
Tuesday’s meeting will focus on what some panel members called the “marshaling of the mob,” including evidence of coordination between Trump, his top aides and associates, and white nationalist or militia groups like the Proud Boys and the Oath Keepers who members say led the assault on the Capitol that day.
The committee will examine how Trump’s “pressure merges with the physical violence” that his supporters carried out at the Capitol, said Rep. Stephanie Murphy, D-Fla., who will lead part of Tuesday's hearing.
The final planned hearing is expected on Thursday and will zero in on Trump’s actions — or inactions — as his vice president, Mike Pence, House and Senate lawmakers and hundreds of police officers came under attack. There were "187 minutes where people were pleading with him to take action, and he failed to do so," Dean said.
Thursday’s hearing is likely to be set for prime time, just like the first hearing, seeking a bigger televised audience.
Panel members will attempt to tie all of their various threads of evidence together — that Trump and his allies launched an aggressive pressure campaign on Pence, the Justice Department and state officials to engage in unconstitutional acts and overturn the election results.
“He summoned a mob to Washington. He knew they were armed on Jan. 6, he knew they were angry, and he directed the violent mob to march on the Capitol in order to delay or prevent completely the counting of electoral votes,” she said. “He attempted to go there with them. And when the violence was underway, he refused to take action to tell the rioters to leave.”
Liz Cheney delivers searing rebuke
The committee will examine how Trump’s “pressure merges with the physical violence” that his supporters carried out at the Capitol, said Rep. Stephanie Murphy, D-Fla., who will lead part of Tuesday's hearing.
The final planned hearing is expected on Thursday and will zero in on Trump’s actions — or inactions — as his vice president, Mike Pence, House and Senate lawmakers and hundreds of police officers came under attack. There were "187 minutes where people were pleading with him to take action, and he failed to do so," Dean said.
Thursday’s hearing is likely to be set for prime time, just like the first hearing, seeking a bigger televised audience.
Panel members will attempt to tie all of their various threads of evidence together — that Trump and his allies launched an aggressive pressure campaign on Pence, the Justice Department and state officials to engage in unconstitutional acts and overturn the election results.
When those efforts failed, they resorted to brute force: a violent and deadly attack on Congress that Murphy called "a last-ditch effort on the 6th to change the outcome of what was acknowledged to be a free and fair election.”
That the last hearing is centered on Trump underscores just how much the 45th president — who is readying a political comeback in 2024 — has become the top target of the panel’s sprawling investigation.
“Donald Trump attempted to overturn the presidential election. He attempted to stay in office and to prevent the peaceful transfer of presidential power,” Rep. Liz Cheney, R-Wyo., the Jan. 6 panel’s top Republican, said in a recent speech at the Reagan Presidential Library.
“He summoned a mob to Washington. He knew they were armed on Jan. 6, he knew they were angry, and he directed the violent mob to march on the Capitol in order to delay or prevent completely the counting of electoral votes,” she said. “He attempted to go there with them. And when the violence was underway, he refused to take action to tell the rioters to leave.”
When those efforts failed, they resorted to brute force: a violent and deadly attack on Congress that Murphy called "a last-ditch effort on the 6th to change the outcome of what was acknowledged to be a free and fair election.”
That the last hearing is centered on Trump underscores just how much the 45th president — who is readying a political comeback in 2024 — has become the top target of the panel’s sprawling investigation.
“Donald Trump attempted to overturn the presidential election. He attempted to stay in office and to prevent the peaceful transfer of presidential power,” Rep. Liz Cheney, R-Wyo., the Jan. 6 panel’s top Republican, said in a recent speech at the Reagan Presidential Library.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/closing-argument-jan-6-panel-makes-final-hearings-push-rcna36966
Roger ruins another thread with cut and paste
Scott, the Wall Street Journal
Steve Bannon Willing to Testify Before Jan. 6 Panel, Member Says
Facing trial for contempt of Congress, former Trump adviser appears to reverse course with approval from ex-president.
The Jan. 6 committee subpoenaed Steve Bannon last year for testimony and documents in connection with the events surrounding the attack on the Capitol building
By Siobhan Hughes
Follow
July 10, 2022 2:25 pm ET
SAVE
SHARE
TEXT
Listen to article
Length(5 minutes)
Queue
WASHINGTON—Steve Bannon, a former adviser to President Donald Trump, told the committee investigating the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol that he is willing to testify, reversing course as he faced trial for contempt of Congress over his refusal to cooperate with the panel.
Rep. Zoe Lofgren (D., Calif.) said that the committee received a letter from Mr. Bannon’s lawyer saying that he was willing to testify, and she indicated the panel would seek an interview.
“We have wanted him to testify,” she said on CNN’s “State of the Union” on Sunday. “I expect that we will be hearing from him. And there are many questions that we have for him.”
Skip to main content
FiveThirtyEightSearch
SearchMenu
NEW: Republicans Are Favored To Win The House In November
2022 ELECTION
Maybe Dobbs Did Change The Race. We'll Need More Time To Know For Sure.
By Nate Silver
JUL. 8, 2022, AT 8:34 AM
ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER
It was a slow week of polling over the holiday weekend — happy birthday, USA — and the FiveThirtyEight midterm election forecast hasn’t changed much since we launched it last week. Republicans have an 86 percent chance of winning control of the House in November according to the Deluxe version of our model. But the Senate is much closer to a toss-up, with Republicans at a 53 percent chance of a takeover. Both of those numbers are pretty much the same as when we launched the model.
But we’ve seen some movement toward Democrats on the generic congressional ballot, which asks voters which party they would support in an election. Democrats now trail Republicans by 1.6 percentage points in the FiveThirtyEight average. That compares with a 2.3-point deficit on June 24, when the Supreme Court announced in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health that it would overturn Roe v. Wade.
Why make a huge deal of the difference between 2.3 points and 1.6 points? Well, I’m not making a huge deal of it. But because of the way our polling average is designed, it’s a bigger deal than it might seem at first glance.
The truth is, when you design any sort of model, it’s rarely as simple as just following the data. Rather, you have a lot of choices to make. One of the most important ones is how sensitive a model or an average is to new data. It’s obviously possible to err in either direction. There’s a lot of noise in polling averages, and you don’t want a model that does acrobatics in response to every new poll, especially when it’s still many months out from the election and most voters are thinking more about what kind of meat to grill than about whom to elect to Congress.
But polls can and do change in response to big news, and Roe being overturned — probably the most well-known Supreme Court decision of the past 50 years — is big news.
The political consequences of overturning Roe v. Wade
Last week at American Thinker, in discussing the Dobbs case, I prophesied, “and if your media sources resemble those I’ve seen, the moral angle will be played to the hilt with stories of exceptional cases being treated as the rule.”
How right I was, as the story of a 10-year-old who was raped and had to travel to Indiana from Ohio to get an abortion was highlighted in multiple media everywhere and used to discredit the Supreme Court justices who decided Dobbs and pro-life politicians.
Megan Fox has done a fine bit of journalism exposing this propaganda coup and the Blaze details her work. Ms. Fox broke the story in a series of tweets. In order to make her work easier to follow I’m reframing it in a more conventional, easier-to-understand way, but you are invited to the source to see how this unraveled. Each of her factual assertions is accompanied by links to them.
The sole source of the story is an ardent abortionist. The story is unverifiable and peddled by those who share her views with no apparent independent efforts to confirm the tale. If nothing else, this shows you how easy the job of a news editor at the named publications is. You don’t have to do anything -- just let your reporters rattle off the headline-framing tales of a figure who advances the desired narrative. Do not demand even the merest investigation of claims, particularly if they sound outrageous. (Like Trump hiring prostitutes to pee in a hotel bed in Moscow because Obama had slept there.)
Ch is right ✅️
Reverend...
The committee right now is getting the attention necessary to switch public opinion from 2-1 in favor to 2-1 saying we should move on, and 2-1 saying it was fair and objective to 2-1 saying it was unfair and partisan.
This is why Trump wanted to quit using metal detectors and other methods.
A member of the far-right Oath Keepers militia brought explosives to Washington, D.C., ahead of the Jan. 6 deadly insurrection, according to court documents from the Justice Department.
Driving the news: The DOJ said that the government seized explosives from Jeremy Brown, an Oath Keeper member from Florida, including "military ordnance grenades" in his vehicle.
Details: DOJ prosecutors plan to present this in the September trial of several Oath Keepers. Brown is not part of that trial.
They will argue that this evidence shows that the members charged with seditious conspiracy had the "manner and means" to "advance the goals of the charged conspiracy.""Indeed, possessing, transporting and storing various weapons around the Washington, D.C., area was part and parcel to organizing and executing" the riot.
And I'd they find evidence that he knew in advance, sedition charges are possible 😏
Post a Comment