Sunday, August 7, 2022

Latest in the hypothetical 2024 race

 Average from the last four RCP tracked polls

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoETrump (R)Biden (D)Spread
Average7/5 - 7/28----45.242.2Trump +4.5
Harvard-Harris7/27 - 7/281885 RV--4541Trump +4
Rasmussen Reports7/26 - 7/271000 LV3.04640Trump +6
Emerson7/19 - 7/201078 RV2.94643Trump +3
Trafalgar Group (R)7/11 - 7/141085 LV2.94843Trump +5
This would be an epic beatdown if these numbers were even close. This is a 9 point swing since the 2020 election and would reverse the Electoral College votes in eight states that would slip 93 electoral college votes... giving Trump the most GOP electoral college votes since Bush Sr won well over 400 in 1988. 

33 comments:

Anonymous said...

Winners and Losers in my Constitution Bee

By Clarice Feldman

Every year kids from around the country enter a contest, the Spelling Bee, to test their ability to spell often difficult words better than anyone else.  If adults held a Constitution Bee, the winner this week would be Florida governor Ron DeSantis and the loser would be White House Spokesperson Karine Jean-Pierre.

It has been the game in many states, particularly those where the attorneys general were elected with a big assist from leftist moneybag George Soros and friends, to refuse to enforce (usually criminal) laws adopted by state legislatures with which they disagree. This week, Governor DeSantis played his ace in the hole, removing state attorney Andrew Warren for overstepping his constitutional boundaries.
2024!

Anonymous said...

As vice chairman of the Jan. 6 committee, Ms. Cheney has come across as smart, strong and authoritative. She has been asked, if she loses her seat in Congress, whether she might be interested in running for president. Unlikely as that seems, I could see her as a vice-presidential candidate on a non-Trump ticket that promises to return the Republican Party to its first principles. On such a ticket, if successful, Liz Cheney could be for women in this country all the things that Kamala Harris has thus far proved not to be.

My check is in the mail.


Mr. Epstein is author, most recently, of “Gallimaufry: A Collection of Essays, Reviews, Bits.”

Anonymous said...

Congratulations to the yuge Win by the Socialist Democrats.
As IF , Inflation isn't already bad enough.

"Senate Democrats passed the $740 billion package, 51-50, with Vice President Kamala Harris casting the tie-breaking vote after an all-night session. "

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

We can all agree that the GOP has abandoned its first principles.

Anonymous said...

WE THE PEOPLE
Aware
" new ABC News/ Ipsos poll shows that 69 percent of Americans believe the economy is worsening, 18 percent say it is staying the same, and only 12 percent think it is improving. "

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Democrats have a crowning victory in their own first principles by passing a major climate, tax, and health care package, which among other things, puts Medicare in a position where it can negotiate drug prices.

To wit:
"After two decades, Democrats are finally on track to break the firewall between the pharmaceutical industry and the Medicare program. Soon, the U.S. government will be able to use the full brunt of its leverage to negotiate discounts from drugmakers, like the governments in many other high-income countries."

Read more? https://www.statnews.com/2022/08/07/medicare-poised-negotiate-drug-prices/

Anonymous said...

August 7, 2022

Alex Jones and the Right to Offend


On Dec. 14, 2012, a mass shooting at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown, Connecticut resulted in the deaths of 20 children and six staffers.  Alex Jones, a controversial far-right talk show host, called the Sandy Hook massacre a U.S. government hoax, staged using crisis actors, to serve as a pretext for gun control.  Parents of one of the slain children filed a defamation suit against Jones, claiming that followers of Jones had harassed them and sent them death threats for years in the false belief that they were lying about their son's death.

Jones's defense was his right to free speech and that he was not responsible for the harassment.  He lost.  The jury awarded the parents $45.2 million in punitive damages on top of $4.1 million in compensatory damages — another example of outrageous damage verdicts that plague the legal system.

Freedom of speech is coming under attack from all directions.  The primary assault is based on the existence of a new "right": the right not to be offended.  It is claimed by many on the left that the right not to be offended is more important than the right to free expression.



Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Remember our toilet scoop in Axios AM earlier this year? Maggie Haberman's forthcoming book about former President Trump will report that White House residence staff periodically found wads of paper clogging a toilet — and believed the former president, a notorious destroyer of Oval Office documents, was the flusher.

Why it matters: Destroying records that should be preserved is potentially illegal.

Trump denied it and called Haberman, whose New York Times coverage he follows compulsively, a "maggot."

Well, it turns out there are photos. And here they are, published for the first time.

Haberman — who obtained the photos recently — shared them with us ahead of the Oct. 4 publication of her book, "Confidence Man: The Making of Donald Trump and the Breaking of America."

A Trump White House source tells her the photo on the left shows a commode in the White House.The photo on the right is from an overseas trip, according to the source.

Trump spokesperson Taylor Budowich told Axios: "You have to be pretty desperate to sell books if pictures of paper in a toilet bowl is part of your promotional plan."

"We know ... there's enough people willing to fabricate stories like this in order to impress the media class — a media class who is willing to run with anything, as long as it anti-Trump."

Between the lines: The new evidence is a reminder that despite the flood of Trump books, Haberman's is hotly anticipated in Trumpworld.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Haberman's sources report the document dumps happened multiple times at the White House, and on at least two foreign trips.

"That Mr. Trump was discarding documents this way was not widely known within the West Wing, but some aides were aware of the habit, which he engaged in repeatedly," Haberman tells us."It was an extension of Trump's term-long habit of ripping up documents that were supposed to be preserved under the Presidential Records Act."

The handwriting is visibly Trump's, written in the Sharpie ink he favored.

Most of the words are illegible.But the scrawls include the name of Rep. Elise Stefanik of upstate New York, a Trump defender who's a member of House Republican leadership.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/08/trump-toilet-photos-maggie-haberman

Myballs said...

So hiring 87000 more IRS agents no one wants is a crowning achievement. Lol. Ok.

And $369B funding for climate change pet projects no one asked for is also a crowning achievement. Lol ok.

And raising taxes in a recession is another crowning achievement. Lol. Ok.

The last thing we want to do in a recession is raise taxes
-Barack Obama

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

"Freedom of speech is coming under attack from all directions. The primary assault is based on the existence of a new "right": the right not to be offended. It is claimed by many on the left that the right not to be offended is more important than the right to free expression.
_________

What total bullshit. No one has the right knowingly to lie about parents who lost children. It would have been quite easy for Alex Jones to have taken the time to investigate all the parents who lost children and find out that they were not "paid actors" lying at the behest of an anti gun lobby.

He could even have interviewed the little girl who, after surviving by playing dead, met her mother saying, "Moma, I'm okay, but all my friends are dead."

Jones behaved despicably. He blatantly and irresponsibly lied until just recently, yet you call that freedom of speech. He deserves the harshest sentencing possible.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Ch, if you do not have the balls to disagree with that post about Jones, you do not have any balls at all.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The CPAC conversation was evidence that Trumpism is a leader of a fascist party.

The party of Reagan through Bush is gone and until they break up they should never be treated like a regular political American party.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

In the morning before the Lafayette Square photo op, Trump had clashed with Milley, Attorney General William Barr, and the Defense Secretary, Mark Esper, over his demands for a militarized show of force. “We look weak,” Trump told them. The President wanted to invoke the Insurrection Act of 1807 and use active-duty military to quell the protests. He wanted ten thousand troops in the streets and the 82nd Airborne called up. He demanded that Milley take personal charge. When Milley and the others resisted and said that the National Guard would be sufficient, Trump shouted, “You are all losers! You are all fucking losers!” Turning to Milley, Trump said, “Can’t you just shoot them? Just shoot them in the legs or something?”

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2022/08/15/inside-the-war-between-trump-and-his-generals


The Generals refused to become his private army and impose a fascist dictatorship..



Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

This tells the story about how close we came to becoming a dictatorship during the Trump administration.

anonymous said...

We can all agree that the GOP has abandoned its first principles.

Actually Rev.....they have abandoned all its principal as evidenced by the removal of the insulin cap in the bill......I guess that the lives of over 2 million voters means nothing to the marginalized GOP and its small tent policies!!!!!

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

According to Anony/American Thinker, freedom of speech means the parents of the Sandy Hook victims have the 'right' to be calumnized.*

Did our founders forget to include that 'right' in the Constitution?
_______

*calumnized, slandered, falsely accused, subjected to character assassination

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

If, as seems likely, the Warnock-Walker race for the Senate in Georgia comes down to a runoff, Warnock will probably win.

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/08/runoff-georgia-warnock-walker-00050170

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

https://www.axios.com/2022/08/08/biden-senate-reconciliation-bill-climate-prescription-drugs

You really have forgotten your pledge to listen to both sides.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The Inflation Reduction Act is ppoised to give President Joe Biden another major legislative victory ahead of November’s midterm elections.

It will be interesting in the next three months as the public is informed by the Democrats. They will not keep the house but with a very narrow margin. And ✔️ the Democrats will increase the majority in the Senate.

And if the same thing happens like in Kansas state. Predictions are impossible yet.

I will get censored again and again and again..

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Responsible Republicans are forming

An organization founded by allies of Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R-Ill.) is launching a program to recruit “pro-freedom, pre-democracy” candidates for office, with a particular focus on election officers across the country.

Keep Country First Policy Action, a nonprofit group, is kicking off its “Country First Academy” on Monday, according to plans for the program shared first with POLITICO.

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/08/08/keep-country-first-policy-action-kinzinger-00050148

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The Axios toilet paper 🧻 display
Is nothing too gross for Trump-hating Democrats?

The latest dump comes from Russian-hoax-writing Pulitzer Prize-winning New York Times reporter, Maggie Haberman, according to Axios biggie Mike Allen:

Remember our toilet scoop in Axios AM earlier this year? Maggie Haberman's forthcoming book about former President Trump will report that White House residence staff periodically found wads of paper clogging a toilet — and believed the former president, a notorious destroyer of Oval Office documents, was the flusher.

Why it matters: Destroying records that should be preserved is potentially illegal.

Trump denied it and called Haberman, whose New York Times coverage he follows compulsively, a "maggot."

Well, it turns out there are photos. And here they are, published for the first time.

Haberman — who obtained the photos recently — shared them with us ahead of the Oct. 4 publication of her book, "Confidence Man: The Making of Donald Trump and the Breaking of America."

A Trump White House source tells her the photo on the left shows a commode in the White House.The photo on the right is from an overseas trip, according to the source.

Since the toilet pictures are right in our faces, what I see in this toilet picture are what look like a few doodled names, not official records. Is a president no longer permitted to jot down doodles with names without their becoming official records?

All of this is assuming the pictures are genuine, and the scrawled notes in the toilet actually did come from Trump, who, clean freak that he is, somehow left a lot of unflushed toilets around for staff to photograph.


Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2022/08/circling_the_bowl_nyt_reporter_maggie_haberman_publishes_purported_trump_toilet_pictures.html

C.H. Truth said...

Reverend...

I am not aware of anyone here who supported Alex Jones... nor do I know a single person who listens to him.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Ch says:
I am not aware of anyone here who supported Alex Jones.
_______

Unaware of Anonymous at 11:21 yesterday?

C.H. Truth said...

I am aware of the American Thinker story... one where he (Brodow the author) really doesn't suggest Alex Jones was right to say what he says... but where he believes that other people harassing the Sandy Hook parents because of Jones should not result in a 45 million dollar settlement.

I am pretty sure nobody is going to sue Pelosi, Schumer or other prominent speakers who attacked the USSC members and at least tacitly defended (if not promoted) the illegal harassment of them by protesters at their homes. I think it is okay for there to be criticism of the court, but when does that criticism become a call for harassment or violence.

The court decided that Jones was responsible even though he did not promote harassment or promote any action against the parents. He was pushing a fake conspiracy theory hoax. Probably not much worse than the fake Russian Trump collusion conspiracy theory hoax and no more or less plausible.


The article (had you read it) was not about Alex Jones, but about how far people today are willing to punish people for speech that offends. Frankly I am not seeing a connection between a lawsuit that claims Jones was responsible for harassment and free speech in general, but the latter was more the guts of the article.

C.H. Truth said...

All that being said.... maybe the American Thinker article is assuming that the harassment portion was the red herring and that ultimately the 45 million was because they were offended by what he said. That this was still a jury rewarding money (not over harassment but over speech).

He could be right there.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

If you think journalists and any other commentators do not have at least some responsibility for fact checking statements as ludicrously harmful as those made by Jones and others about the Sandy Hook parents, you really do need to reevaluate yourself.

C.H. Truth said...

Reverend...

Again. Not even the American Thinker article was suggesting that Jones was in the right. Are you suggesting that Trump should be able to sue every journalist who incorrectly pushed an unverified and damaging hoax that claimed he was colluding with the Russians?


Or perhaps every journalist who said he suggested people drink bleach? Or those who flat out lied and said he called neo-Nazis good people?


Where do you draw the line, Reverend?

Okay to lie and provide conspiracy theories about Trump Putin Neo-Nazi Bleach drinking plans to overthrow the Government? In fact okay to lie about everything and anything Trump related.

Maybe our President could stop telling the American public that Migrants were "whipped" by border agents causing them all sorts of problems... and it was a complete lie - made BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES. SHould they sue him? Nope... they get reprimanded even as it was proven a lie as to not embarrass the President.

But some Rush Limbaugh wannabe tosses out a theory that the Sandy Hook shootings were staged to push gun control and that is what we go after? That is what is worth $45 million and all the headlines?

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

I think to set the record straight on something that egregiously wrong and personally harmful to totally innocent, non political people and serve as a warning to others by imposing the strongest punitive consequences is entirely right.

I think that to my very core.
Sorry you don't.

C.H. Truth said...

So Reverend...

Why were you so upset when Nick Sandmann sued and got settlements from media outlets? Why was someone just posting gloatingly about how a Judge threw out a different lawsuit from Sandmann over some other issue.

Seems you were okay that our President called a 17 year old Kyle Rittenhouse a white supremacist and I am sure you would have been horrified had a jury awarded Rittenhouse 45 millions.

Seems to me that there is still a great deal of hypocrisy about what you believe the liberal media or liberals in general can say about conservatives...

or even what you say about them. You attack the woman who was protesting too close to the capital and call her an insurrectionists (when if fact she was just a protester who followed a crowd and got too close to a building and went to jail for it).


So perhaps you should take a step back from "conspiracies" (such as the conspiracy that you can overthrow the US government with bear spray and flagpoles) rather than acting all high and mighty because you like to see a conservative on the losing end of a lawsuit.

You don't seem to have the ability to distinguish between a protester and someone who was "less than peaceful". i won't even get into your support of BLM and Antifa attacking police with no consequences. Free speech, right?