Thursday, September 29, 2022

About that Monmouth poll

Almost as many people believe Biden won by fraud than believe Trump was direction responsible for the Jan 6th riots... but Democrats seem to believe that their minority positions are still always the truth?


Now to be fair, many of these polls are push polls. They bring up subjects in a particular order and provide leading questions and information and sort of try to solicit a particular result. When the pollster itself releases a poll article and sounds surprised that more and more people thing Trump did nothing wrong, and demands that election fraud was "debunked"... well then you are no longer a legitimate objective pollster. You are very likely a push pollster with a preconceived idea of how questions should be answered and with an incentive to get people to follow your cue. 

The whole concept of a pollster is to ask genuine questions in a genuine manner as straightforward as possible. We don't need a polling question that starts out "as you know" when you are going to be asking people about what it is that you believe they are supposed to know. All it takes is a handful of people in a sample to feel uncomfortable giving an answer that they otherwise would provide, and your poll is shot.  

Ask generic questions, report your poll, and leave the opinionated analysis to others.  

How is it that one pollster can show over 50% of Americans believe that election fraud was more likely than not to have "affected" the results of the 2020 election while another shows that about 60% of Americans believe it was won "fair and square"? Well because of how the questions are worded and what information and questions are asked prior. 

For me, I could not fit my answer to the question about the election integrity into either "fair and square" or "won only because of fraud". The question is much more complicated than that. 

There was voter fraud (that has been proven by arrests and convictions) and it probably had something to do with some of the results. But there was much more going on in 2020 than just voter fraud. 

There was election laws being skirted. There were executive actions that were later deemed illegal. There was 400 million in "Zuckerbucks" that went to mostly highly Democratic counties and was used mainly for GOTV drives that were technically a misuse of the funding. There was ballot harvesting. There was ballot curing going on in select counties. There was counting issues left never resolved in Fulton County Georgia (where pretty much the entire county election team resigned and are refusing to talk to anyone about  it). 

In other words there was not just "one thing" that might have made Joe Biden's 2020 victory less than palatable in the minds of many Americans. But some people like to place things into a little box and demand that everyone else focus their attention on that particular box. If anyone decides to look outside the box they defined?

Well they call them names...