Friday, September 9, 2022

My personal spreadsheet generic ballot

After careful review of the crosstabs of a handful of pollsters who bother to provide them and using the tried and true measure of historical statistical norms tied to the spreadsheet in question using 11 different factors and 6 embedded paragraphs! 

GOP - 48.31 (+1.08)
DEM - 47.24

13 comments:

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

That has dropped quite a bit from earlier, hasn't it, Ch?

Is a Dem wave building?

And by the way, why aren't you and yours rushing to defend Steve Bannon? Surely his indictment is nothing more than anti Trump shenanigans, right?

(Former Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach, the Republican candidate for state attorney general, quite obviously diesn't think so. He's jumbped off the board of directors of We Build the Wall after the nonprofit organization was indicted on allegations of money laundering, conspiracy and defrauding donors in a scam that Bannon seems to have been right in the thick of.

And Trump can't pardon him now.

[Mexico would pay for the wall, Trump repeatedly promised, and doubled down on promising it,]

C.H. Truth said...

Reverend - as Nate Silver suggested - the "default" position here is generally around D+3 or D+4. As in... if the generic ballot is at D +3.5 or so then both sides are looking at a 50/50 chance of winning.

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1568235367634960384

C.H. Truth said...

So Reverend...

Why would I give a better hoot about Steve Bannon?

Why would anyone care?

Anonymous said...

KD.
The Biden Recession is here and getting worse.
"FED’S OWN ECONOMIST WARNS OF “SEVERE RECESSION” FROM CHAIR POWELL’S RATE HIKESFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell insists he won’t cause a deep recession but that “pain” is necessary to fight inflation"

Anonymous said...

KD.
"Fifty-six percent of Americans say President Joe Biden’s 40-year-high inflation has caused them hardship, up from 49 percent in January and 45 percent in November, a Gallup poll found this week."

Wake up to Woke! said...

Why does someone have two daddies?  The left insists a question like that is not culturally sensitive and you could be destroyed for even asking such a question.  Why Elliot has Two Daddies is a book that focuses more on Elliot than his two daddies, and how Elliot goes from being a sad little boy,to a happy one via the help of his new “parents.”  Awww.  As one reviewer posted, “As long as a child is loved and cared for, this is all that really matters.” 

Children showing up in emergency rooms with monkeypox sores is an unnecessary travesty, an uncalled-for injury, and an obvious crime.  The dirty little secret The New Yorker found is exactly what the East German Communists found and the Georgia police found -- when children are placed in the homes of homosexual men by the government, those children are likely to be sexually abused. 

Isn’t this an illegal and immoral scheme that uses the power of government to facilitate sex between minors and adults?  Maybe there is a reason the FBI doesn’t investigate these.

First there was one, then two.  Then there was a dog.  Now America is up to nine children with monkeypox.  And those are the ones we know about.

What do the governors of red states say when their state agencies place children in the homes of acknowledged homosexuals and pedophiles?  Do they think these children will be okay, that they are going to a caring home, or will these children get “the gay men disease” because “daddy,” the pedophile, has a state-provided child to abuse? 

Who is going to act, knowing that while Berlin authorities placed children with pedophiles for 30 years, turning children into government-sponsored sex-slaves and destroying the lives of countless children, American health and human services’ authorities across the country are doing the same thing?  Who will be held accountable to those officials who placed the welfare of pedophiles, gay men identifying as “parents,” ignoring or dismissing their known rapacious predilections, over the welfare of innocent children? 

Woke culture is pure evil.  When pedophiles’ atrocities are being ignored by the media, the police, and the FBI, and when pedophiles are being subsidized by state and federal governments in the name of progressivism, is the legalization of pedophilia far behind?

rrb said...

And by the way, why aren't you and yours rushing to defend Steve Bannon?

A better question is why should anyone give a shit, and why are you clowns so desperate for a diversion - any diversion - from your epic fucking failure of a president?

You're fixated on Trump, you're fixated on Bannon, you're fixated on anything except what you should be fixated on - how the imbecile in the oval office is having everything he touches turn to fucking shit.

Now why would that be pederast?

LOL.

Idiot.

rrb said...



Just a heartbeat away -

"Today, the business of our work is for the council to report on the work that has occurred since our last meeting across these areas. We will today also discuss the work yet ahead, the work we must still do."

https://twitter.com/i/status/1568310951950127109


Look! Squirrel! Bannon!

LOL.

rrb said...



A story with the happiest of endings:

https://twitter.com/i/status/1568009704877719552


An armed society is a polite society.


Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Why does it upset you so much that a man (Steve Bannon) whom Trump pardoned is still in deep trouble, financial trouble connected with Trump's not-paid-for-by-Mexico wall?

Why do you want simply to ignore that, and say it's unimportant?

Is that how you plan to treat all the questionable actions Trump has perpetrated?*

FACT CHECK: YES.
___________

*That will keep you busy for years!

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Why does it upset you so much to speak about Steve Bannon, whom Trump pardoned?

Why do you want so desperately to ignore the fact that he's in deep financial trouble over Trump's not-paid-for-by-Mesico wall?

Is that how you plan to treat
all of Trump's numerous questionable actions?*

FACT CHECK: TRUE.
__________
*That should keep you busy for years!

C.H. Truth said...

Sure Reverend...

I lost sleep last night worrying about Steve Bannon. Ahem...

Question? Do you have a life outside of hating conservatives?

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...


Question: Do you have a life outside of hating conservatives?
_________

Yes, a life of loving all true patriots, both conservatives and progressives, who care about our country and our world.