If Independents really go +7 for the GOP, then they win back both the House and Senate with room to spare.
Republicans did pick up 2 points in the generic on this poll, but it continues to be a product of its sampling.
— Bonchie (@bonchieredstate) September 7, 2022
There is no planet where the GOP wins Independents by +7 but is down -6 on the generic. The D+10 sample is how you get that result. Is that the electorate in November? https://t.co/9Fd6RGAaFp
4 comments:
Ch suffers from Trump syndrome:
"I don't like it, so therefore it's not true."
_________
And by the way, Commander Thief was stupid enough to say that I wasn't even aware that my Illinois governor is a wealthy Dem.
He's more than that. He's a talented wordsmith warrior who is glad to be the Dem's progressive flamethrower and throw effective barbs.
Nothin to "like" or "not like" Reverend.
If this poll is correct in the cross tabs and the GOP wins the independent vote by 6 - they will win both the House and Senate.
That is pretty much a matter of fact, not opinion!
Last time Indies went for Republicans by a reasonable amount was in 2014 when they picked up 9 Senate seats and 13 House seats. Won the popular vote by nearly 6%.
The Democrats have not been even "close" to 10 points better than the GOP in any recent election.
The best they have done in recent years has been 2008 (during the great recession) When Obama won by over 7% - Democrats picked up 8 seats in the Senate and 21 in the House...
and they only had a +6 difference.
That was a great recession issue...
Democrats will not be more motivated and be 50% better in 2022 then they were in 2008 voting for Obama.
The word that I am getting is that the Democrats now are favored to keep the Senate.
And although they wre previouly hoping they had at least a one in four chance of holding the House, their chances, though still risky, are now thought to be a lot better than that.
D +10?
LOL. Yeah... THAT'S believable.
What's hilarious about this is the extent to which the left feels compelled to lie to their base to get them to feel good about their mid-term prospects.
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