This is a wave number apparently without the wave...
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| By all accounts, this should have been a stellar night for the GOP |
This number will change over the next few days, likely towards the Democrats by 2-3 points. But it will remain a reasonable advantage for the GOP in the end. We will see how close it ends up being to my GOP +2.83 spreadsheet projection. But generally an even number or better for Republicans is a winning election for them.
Sean Trende might have had the best explanation. When all is said and done, this final popular vote total will be closer and then a "bunch of Democrats made goal line stands" where they won extremely tight races that could have gone either way.
My feelings are simple. Sometimes you are the windshield and sometimes you are the bug. When a man who cannot hold a conversation or provide a cohesive thought wins a Senate seat where half the people who voted for him have no idea he even had a stroke (much less is literally a medical invalid) while the other half voted for him in spite of it, then you simply have bigger problems that won't go away anytime soon.
- 2020 - Dems 50.8% - 47.7% (3.1%) 222 seats
- 2018 - Dems 53.4% - 44.8% (8.6%) 235 seats +41
- 2016 - Reps 49.1% - 48.0% (1.1%) 241 seats
- 2014 - Reps 51.2% - 45.5% (5.7%) 247 seats +13
- 2012 - Dems 48.8% - 47.7% (1.1%) 201 seats
- 2010 - Reps 51.7% - 44.9% (6.8%) 242 seats +63
