Friday, November 4, 2022

This is a first

538 lists two other post-debate polls (co/efficient +3 & Wick +2) that also show Oz ahead... However, Silver still shows Fetterman with a 53-47 chance to win.

Polling Data

PollDateSampleMoEOz (R)Fetterman (D)Spread
RCP Average10/24 - 11/2----46.646.3Oz +0.3
Remington Research (R)*11/1 - 11/21180 LV2.84744Oz +3
Susquehanna10/28 - 11/1700 LV3.74847Oz +1
The Hill/Emerson10/28 - 10/311000 LV3.04847Oz +1
USA Today/Suffolk*10/27 - 10/30500 LV4.44547Fetterman +2
FOX News10/26 - 10/30LV--4347Fetterman +4
InsiderAdvantage*10/26 - 10/26750 LV3.64845Oz +3
Morning Call10/24 - 10/28460 LV6.04747Tie