Republicans gaining registered voters in key battleground states

Florida - GOP has gained 70,000 more voters than Democrats this year, and cut the Democratic Party advantage by about 250,000 since 2012.

Pennsylvania - More than 85,000 former Democrats are now registered Republicans, and the Democratic registration advantage as been cut by around 200,000 since 2012.

North Carolina - Large rise in Independent voter status has been a major factor in North Carolina. Neither Party seems to be gaining. However, the GOP has remained nearly constant, while the Democratic registration has lost about 200,000 voters.

Iowa - Democrats are said to have lost all of their 100,000 voter edge that they enjoyed in the 2012 election.

Democrats gained in smaller numbers in Colorado (39,000), Nevada (9000),  Arizona (14,000), and New Mexico (no number given).  But according to Politico, the Republicans have a clear overall advantage in the eight battle ground states they looked at.

One of the biggest problems for the Democrats has been their inability to register new Hispanic voters. Hispanics typically turn out at less than 50% nationally, and seem reluctant to get engaged in the political process.  Democrats have (quite obviously) been playing to that audience, possibly at the expense of other voters. Giving up the bird in hand strategy may backfire, if they cannot collect on the two in the bush.

On all fronts, it appears that the Democratic Party is well behind the rates they were at in 2008 and 2012, when they splashed big in new voter registration. Once can only speculate, but certainly it appears that Hillary Clinton is no Barack Obama when it comes to exciting voters.

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Now why this is relevant is important. The Democrats seem to believe in the changing Demographic strategy of simply "waiting" till all the old white people die off and are replaced with a more diverse and younger set of voters that will most assuredly be more liberal. Problem is that this theory has been a much better theory than an actual tangible phenomenon.

To put this in perspective:

• In 2014, Republicans made up a larger share of the electorate than Democrats (36% to 35%). This was an improvement over 2010. 
• In 2012,  Democrats enjoyed a six point advantage in voter turnout (38-32) - but this was a three point improvement for the Republicans over 2008. 
• In 2010, Republicans matched their 2006 showing, which showed a slight Democratic advantage at (38-36)  

This is three elections in a row where the Democrats have failed to gain any Demographic ground from the previous election (Presidential to Presidential / mid term to mid term). A this point there is little statistical reason to believe that 2016 will be better for them than 2012.

This is one of those mathematical/statistical realities that seem to run 180 degrees counter to the narrative being spun by your Main Stream Media, who insist that the voting Demographics have been slowly but surely changing for the better for Democrats. Other than in 2008 (where Obama brought in a ton of new voters) - this has been more wishful punditry than fact.