Monday, October 31, 2016

Polls trending in Trump's favor...

IBD/TIPP, LA Times, Lucid, People's Pundit, UPI/Voter, and ABC/Washington Post are all tracking polls that have moved in Donald Trump's favor since the news of the investigation broke. In fact, Rasmussen is the only daily tracking poll to not show movement in Trump's direction. Morning Consult also moved in Trump's favor, while Survey Monkey suggested that their survey didn't move.

That's seven out of nine National polls released since the news broke, all moving in Trump's favor. That's 78% of the polls, and that is a trend. We'll see if it continues.

Meanwhile, RCP shows state movement in favor of Trump in Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Nevada, Wisconsin, Arizona, Virginia and Georgia. While Clinton has improved in Michigan, Maine, New Hampshire, and North Carolina. Although most of these polls were from "prior" to the latest FBI announcement, and some of these RCP averages reflect polls dropping off the average. Overall, the latest State polling also seem to be moving in Trump's favor.

Overall, the race was already tightening, and this is just going to tighten it even more. I stated multiple times that the polls would consolidate closer to election day. Seems this is becoming the case, where most of the polls are very close, with the new "outlier" being Clinton up by mid single digits, rather than up double digits.


65 comments:

Myballs said...

The Justice department official in charge of the new email investigation is a close friend of john Podesta. Freakin unbelievable. The corruption never stops with today's dem party.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Yeah, there's been some decline, but “...[a]s of this writing (Monday afternoon), Clinton leads in every national poll now except for the controversial University of Southern California/Los Angeles Times panel, a survey that has had a pronounced Republican lean the entire cycle."
--Larry Sabato

Loretta said...

"Seems this is becoming the case, where most of the polls are very close, with the new "outlier" being Clinton up by mid single digits, rather than up double digits."

No wonder James and Roger are in overdrive spamming/trolling the blog with the "opinions" of others....

...they're incapable of defending their wretched candidate in their own words.

C.H. Truth said...

Sabato apparently is not counting either People's Pundit or UPI/Voter... As PP shows Trump ahead and UPI/Voter shows it tied.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Donald J. Trump proudly acknowledges he did not pay a dime in federal income taxes for years on end. He insists he merely exploited tax loopholes legally available to any billionaire — loopholes he says Hillary Clinton failed to close during her years in the United States Senate. “Why didn’t she ever try to change those laws so I couldn’t use them?” Mr. Trump asked during a campaign rally last month.

But newly obtained documents show that in the early 1990s, as he scrambled to stave off financial ruin, Mr. Trump avoided reporting hundreds of millions of dollars in taxable income by using a tax avoidance maneuver so legally dubious his own lawyers advised him that the Internal Revenue Service would most likely declare it improper if he were audited.

Thanks to this one maneuver, which was later outlawed by Congress, Mr. Trump potentially escaped paying tens of millions of dollars in federal personal income taxes. It is impossible to know for sure because Mr. Trump has declined to release his tax returns, or even a summary of his returns, breaking a practice followed by every Republican and Democratic presidential candidate for more than four decades.

Tax experts who reviewed the newly obtained documents for The New York Times said Mr. Trump’s tax avoidance maneuver, conjured from ambiguous provisions of highly technical tax court rulings, clearly pushed the edge of the envelope of what tax laws permitted at the time. “Whatever loophole existed was not ‘exploited’ here, but stretched beyond any recognition,” said Steven M. Rosenthal, a senior fellow at the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center who helped draft tax legislation in the early 1990s.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/writeup/us_presidential_election_live_betting_odds.html

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Clinton can win with a single digit lead. Trump's "Must Have" of swing states are changing, but not drastically. Florida is the only one that has gone Trump, but barely.

Devastation.

Myballs said...

This election isn't about trump. It's about Hillary's corruption. Swing voters are moving to Trump because of it. She's now defending blue states and Trump is campaigning in them.

Anonymous said...

Roger Amick said...

Donald J. Trump proudly acknowledges he did not pay a dime in federal income taxes for years on end. He insists he merely exploited tax loopholes legally available to any billionaire
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

i know, can you believe the balls on this guy? the greedy prick. i mean, not voluntarily sending the treasury a check for tens or even hundreds of millions of dollars like liberal billionaires like buffet and gates do every year?

oops. check that. sorry rog. those guys don't pay any more than they're legally obligated to pay either. and they even stash the money in special little trusts, rather than give it all away to uncle sugar.

never mind.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

You mean they, like Trump, pay NO taxes?

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2016/Pres/Maps/Nov01.html#item-13

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Looking at 270towin.com,
and looking at the above,
Trump could win AZ, FL, GA, IA, MI, MN, NC, NV, OH, SC, TX, UT, & WI
and still lose.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Also NH.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Trump Stiffs His Pollster

Donald Trump doesn't like bad news and also doesn't like paying his contractors, so he decided not to pay his pollster, Tony Fabrizio, the $767,000 that Trump owes him for doing his polling. Fabrizio, a veteran Republican pollster, was hired in May, before Trump's current campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway (who is fundamentally a pollster) was brought on board. When asked to comment on Trump's stiffing his first pollster, the campaign refused to comment. (Bates)
__________

Trump Avoided Taxes by Stretching a Loophole

People have been wondering for weeks how Donald Trump avoided paying taxes after he declared a $916 million loss in the 1990s. Now the mechanism he used has come out. His casinos were all built with borrowed money. When they failed, ultimately the loans were forgiven. However, a canceled debt counts as taxable income. Trump needed a way to avoid paying taxes on all the "income." The method he chose was to give the creditors partnerships in his now worthless businesses. Technically they didn't cancel his debts, but simply swapped the debt for partnerships. Of course, the key question is how much a partnership with Donald Trump was worth. If it isn't worth much, there is a problem. The IRS will not allow a tax-free swap of $916 million in debt for a partnership worth $1.99. So Trump had to value those partnerships at astronomically high values, which is PROBABLY WHAT TRUGGERED ALL OF HIS AUDITS. (Tannenbaum)
___________
No wonder he doesn't want Americans to see his tax returns.

ALSO
Last Four Attorneys General Have Now All Criticized Comey

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

ALSO
Computer Scientists Uncovered a Digital Hotline between Trump Servers and Moscow

In July, a cybersecurity researcher who goes by the pseudonym "Tea Leaves" noticed a strange pattern of communication between Donald Trump's servers and the Alfa Bank in Moscow. He became curious about it and collected some traces on this connection. He tried pinging the Trump server and his pings were rejected, meaning the server was configured in a way to communicate only with a specific set of other servers, including those of the Alfa Bank. He and his colleagues contacted Paul Vixie, who wrote much of the DNS code that makes the Internet work. Their conclusion: There was a secret digital hotline between Trump's servers and those in Russia. What they also discovered is that this hotline was only active during business hours in New York or business hours in Moscow, strongly suggesting it was being used for human communication, not for serving webpages or something automated like that. Also odd was that very large and powerful servers were set up to handle a tiny bit of traffic. Technical experts who have seen the logs have sworn that they are genuine because there are items in them that would be very hard to falsify in a way to fool experts, such as interpacket timing.

What is also interesting is that traffic on the digital hotline between Trump and Russia seemed to correlate with political news. When there was a lot of political news, there was more traffic than when there was little news. On Sept. 21, the New York Times began investigating this matter, and the Trump server was suddenly shut down. Four days later a new DNS entry was created that pointed to the now-restarted Trump server.

Alfa Bank is owned by people close to Vladimir Putin. This isn't the first piece of evidence that Trump has some connection with Russia and Ukraine. His first campaign manager, Paul Manafort, regularly did business with those countries. Trump praises Vladimir Putin all the time. Then there was the DNC hack by the Russians, clearly with the intent of helping Trump. But the nature of the relationship between Trump and Russia is still not clear. (Tannebaum)

Loretta said...

Plagiarized spam

Commonsense said...

Latest ABC/Post Poll has Trump up by 1. (46-45).

And Trump gained 8 points in the latest WMUR New Hampshire poll.

Morning Joe crew is freaking.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

One Week to Go

ABC News: “Although the election is close at this point, vote preference results a week out are not necessarily predictive of the final result. Mitt Romney was +1 vs. Barack Obama in comparable tracking poll results in 2012, for example, and John Kerry was +1 vs. George Bush a week out in 2004.”

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Clinton Momentum Dramatically Slows In Final Days

New York Times: “The announcement that the F.B.I. is reviewing newly discovered emails of a top Hillary Clinton aide has slowed the campaign’s momentum and the hopes of expanding support in traditional Midwestern battleground states. Leading Democratic strategists say the news has caused some of Mrs. Clinton’s more casual supporters to drift away. Her campaign expressed confidence that she would weather the political turbulence, but acknowledged that optimism about gaining ground in places like Ohio and Iowa, where the demographics favor Donald J. Trump, was fading. Still, it said, even as Mrs. Clinton’s overall support has shrunk in recent days, she can easily assemble the 270 electoral votes she needs for a victory next Tuesday, given her broad base of voters in more demographically diverse states.”

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

PLAYBOOK waits for new North Carolina and Pennsylvania polling: “It seems, at this point, that Clinton is holding her lead nearly everywhere. If Trump puts those states in play, he has a chance.”

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Trump Grabs Lead as Enthusiasm for Clinton Wanes

The ABC News-Washington Post tracking poll finds Donald Trump just ahead of Hillary Clinton in the presidential race, 46% to 45%.

Key finding: “Trump now leads Clinton by 8 points in the share of voters who are very enthusiastic about their choice as of Friday. But, compared to past elections it’s low for both of them –- 53 percent for Trump, 45 percent for Clinton. Strong enthusiasm for Clinton has lost 7 points since the start of tracking, especially Friday through Sunday.”
_________

BUT

State Poll Roundup: Tuesday

New Hampshire: Clinton 46%, Trump 39%, Johnson 6% (University of New Hampshire)

Virginia: Clinton 46%, Trump 42%, Johnson 6% (Schar School)

Michigan: Clinton 47%, Trump 41%, Johnson 6% (Mitchell)

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Electoral College Math Still Favors Clinton

Amy Walter: “However, despite the recent tightening, Trump remains behind in the polls. And, his path to 270 electoral votes remains decidedly and almost impossibly narrow. Polling taken over the weekend suggests that voters are reacting to the FBI story in a typically partisan manner. Could it have an impact on enthusiasm? Perhaps. And, it also could get reluctant GOPers to show up to cast a vote for down ballot GOPers to give a “check” on Clinton. But, it hasn’t upended the normal pattern/trajectory of the campaign.

“The most recent polls suggest that Trump’s best chances to flip a state Obama carried in 2012 are Iowa, Ohio and Florida. Even so, North Carolina — a state Romney carried in 2012 — is looking tougher and tougher for Trump. Pennsylvania, Virginia and Colorado also look out of reach. Without North Carolina or Pennsylvania, it is almost impossible for him to hit 270.”

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Trump Used Legally Dubious Method to Avoid Taxes

Donald Trump “proudly acknowledges he did not pay a dime in federal income taxes for years on end. He insists he merely exploited tax loopholes legally available to any billionaire — loopholes he says Hillary Clinton failed to close during her years in the United States Senate,” the New York Times reports.

“But newly obtained documents show that in the early 1990s, as he scrambled to stave off financial ruin, Mr. Trump avoided reporting hundreds of millions of dollars in taxable income by using a tax avoidance maneuver so legally dubious his own lawyers advised him that the Internal Revenue Service would likely declare it improper if he were audited.”

“Thanks to this one maneuver — which was later outlawed by Congress — Mr. Trump potentially escaped paying tens of millions of dollars in federal personal income taxes. It is impossible to know for sure because Mr. Trump has declined to release his tax returns, or even a summary of his returns, breaking a practice followed by every Republican and Democratic presidential candidate for more than four decades.”

Loretta said...

James will still spam, because he's incapable of thinking for himself.

Simpleton.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Whoops! I made an error at 6:06. Trump could not possibly lose THaT many states (expecially Texas!) and still lose. I guess I hadn't had my coffee yet.

Still, his prospects look pretty bleak in the electoral college.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Ex-Spy Told FBI that Russia Tried to Help Trump

Nov 1 -- “A former senior intelligence officer for a Western country who specialized in Russian counterintelligence tells Mother Jones that in recent months he provided the bureau with memos, based on his recent interactions with Russian sources, contending the Russian government has for years tried to co-opt and assist Trump—and that the FBI requested more information from him.”

C.H. Truth said...

Trump could win AZ, FL, GA, IA, MI, MN, NC, NV, OH, SC, TX, UT, & WI
and still lose.


If Trump won all those states, he would have 302 ECV to 236 ECV for Clinton.

Your source needs remedial math help...

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

LOL No, the source was not at fault. I was.

270towin.com is a lot of fun.

But you mustn't stupidly leave Texas red and think you have turned it blue, as I did.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Or rather, make Texas blue and think you have left it red, as I did. (Coffee just kicked in.)
________________

Back to thread theme:

October’s Surprise May Not Resonate In November

Rick Klein: “The collective view from Democratic and Republican strategists on the fallout from the FBI director’s announcement: that it could have been worse.

While conceding that it will probably be another day or two until polling can fully reflect the impact, top strategists in both parties are saying the race didn’t get upended by the late-October surprise. It gave Donald Trump a crisper closing argument that will boost GOP turnout. It may make Trump likelier to carry Iowa and Ohio, and could save a few Senate seats for Republicans. But the narrowing of polls nationally and in other key battlegrounds doesn’t appear to have changed the stubborn electoral math confronting Team Trump. (It’s in that context, and that context alone, that makes trips to New Mexico, Wisconsin, and Michigan this week make sense.)

“Yes, Trump is now leading by a point in the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll. But recall the race was tightening quickly before Friday’s bombshell. While Clinton’s camp is calling on more information, and quickly, from FBI Director James Comey, it’s not clear that they should actually want that. If the story drifts away, the campaign continues over the final week – and Democrats still like their odds.”

Myballs said...

16 of last 19 posts are James. Cht please do something about this. Isn't this precisely why 2.0 was created?

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Oh balls, I would never ask Ch to censor YOU. I really do believe in free speech.

Speak away.

C.H. Truth said...

When James and Roger realized that nobody was following what they had to say over at the legacy blog... they turned around and started posting their spam over here.


It's a simple case of childish attention seeking.

"Look at me, look at me!"

Do they care that nobody else reads it, and is actually bothered by their behavior? Nope. They thrive on being big pains in the ass. It's what apparently motivates them to get up in the morning. Who can I try to irritate today!

Loretta said...

Childish bullies.

C.H. Truth said...

True story:

last night I was handing out Halloween candy and basically attempting to get some stuff done around the house. About 8:30 or so I went to pick up my youngest (who was at his GF house with some friends) and drove one of his friends home.

So I get home settle in around 9:15 or so and start to watch the Vikings game (which I had taped on my DVR). I get a message from Roger on messenger about 10 minutes later. Figuring it was some stupid link to some obscure political article I look at it. It's a comment about how Cutler is "shredding" the Vikings. I tell him that I just started watching it and that it's first quarter and that I don't need any "real time updates" on the game.

His reply?

third quarter 20-3

Because when you start watching a game that you have on tape delay, the one thing you especially want, is for someone to text or message you updates on what the score is later in the game.... so watching it becomes a moot point.

Thanks!

Now why would someone purposely provide a score when you specifically told them that you were watching it on tape delay and didn't need anyone sending you real time updates? Is there a reason, other than to just be downright irritating?

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

I once inadvertently revealed the outcome of a tennis match to a young lady who was going to watch it on tape and she almost took my head off. But that was, I repeat, inadvertent.

Loretta said...

Irritating? I'd call it obnoxiously mean.

You're a good man to put up with him, even though he continues to thumb his nose at you.

I suspect you feel sorry for him.....

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Senate Forecast Still Cloudy

Stu Rothenberg: “About half of the 11 races that have been watched at some point over the last year are still too-close-to-call. But Republicans remain on the defensive, and Democrats have many routes to gaining the four seats they need … The re-emergence of Hillary Clinton’s email issue puts the former secretary of state on the defensive and gives ammunition to GOP House and Senate candidate… The Republicans’ problem is that, unless they win the Nevada Senate race, they’ll need to win at least four of the five tightest contests.”

“Comey’s letter gives GOP strategists reason for hope, and a race-by-race assessment … suggests that anything from a Democratic gain of as few as three to as many as eight seats is possible. But given the much greater Republican vulnerability, Democrat gains of four to seven seats now looks most likely. And that would flip the Senate.”
_______________

Taegan Goddard is saying there are only three toss up states left

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Mixed news.

Democrat Hillary Clinton held a five percentage point lead over Republican rival Donald Trump, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Monday, down only slightly since the FBI said last week it was reviewing new emails in its investigation of the former secretary of state.

Some 44 percent of likely voters said they would support Clinton, while 39 percent said they would support Trump, according to the Oct. 26-30 survey. Clinton had held a 6 point advantage over Trump in the five-day tracking poll last Thursday.

Other polls have shown Clinton's lead slipping more sharply. Real Clear Politics, which averages the results of most major polls, shows that Clinton's lead has declined from 4.6 points on Friday to 2.5 points on Monday.

Rigged ABC gives Trump his first lead, 1%

One week.

Halfbaked still says Clinton will get 300+ ECV.

Loretta said...

Plagiarized spam

Loretta said...

Plagiarized spam

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

You did say "thanks for the update"

I didn't mean to spoil it.

They lost to the Bears?????

They started hot.

Cold now.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Shut up Twit.

Loretta said...

Drunkard

Anonymous said...

Now why would someone purposely provide a score when you specifically told them that you were watching it on tape delay and didn't need anyone sending you real time updates? Is there a reason, other than to just be downright irritating?
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

do what i do.

start treating him like the asshole that he is.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Orange County California has voted for the GOP in every presidential election since 1936. This year, it could go blue.

It was invaded by "beaners ©rrb."

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Can you tell a psychopath by the way they speak?

Now why would someone purposely provide a score when you specifically told them that you were watching it on tape delay and didn't need anyone sending you real time updates? Is there a reason, other than to just be downright irritating?

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=3&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiVjrL_kojQAhWK5SYKHccmAKkQFggoMAI&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.goodtherapy.org%2Fblog%2Fwarning-signs-of-bad-therapy%2F&usg=AFQjCNF8HWi9fuWz7SWQZUlZJpCh1K0udQ&sig2=uf_YzMPvvm2kHc8pQra6kw&bvm=bv.137132246,d.eWE

50 Warning Signs of Questionable Therapy and Counseling

His line was stolen from the site that defies his psychological problems.

Loretta said...

Not n***ers©Roger?

Loretta said...

You're saying CH has psychological problems?

YOU, of ALL people accusing someone else of mental problems?????

Unfrigginreal.

C.H. Truth said...

From what I can gather... since his link refers to examples of unprofessional therapist behavior... is that he must view me as a therapist and that I somehow behaved unethically in my "treatment" of him and his therapeutic needs.

otherwise, I have no clue what he meant by that.

C.H. Truth said...

I wonder why James is no longer posting Nate Silver's odds?

Commonsense said...

I suspect he's too DEVASTATED. (Yes, I'm piling on.)

Commonsense said...

Survey/USA North Carolina: Trump 51, Clinton 44.

(I hear a pained scream from James.)

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Yes, there's a path for victory for Donald Trump.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-yes-donald-trump-has-a-path-to-victory/?ex_cid=2016-forecast

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Projection from electionprojection.com as of Nov. 1

ELECTORAL VOTES

Hillary Clinton 288
Donald Trump 250

POPULAR VOTE
Hillary Clinton 49.1%
Donald Trump 45.9%


wphamilton said...

Has anyone polled yet, what percentage of the country are bigoted and sexist but who don't ordinarily vote? Or are there so few people who are contemptuous of either candidate equally, that no one has seriously asked the question?

wphamilton said...

Have you noticed, that all of her attacks suddenly seem like a side-show, attempted distractions from her real problems? Not you, hard-core supporters, because to you it is all righteous fury, but I mean everyone else. It's as if she's flailing about, badmouthing the FBI, Trump's taxes, a flurry of name-calling. And the Clinton campaign thinks of that as "focus".

To the rest of us it looks like panic, and it's a short step to pathetic. From where I'm standing, the vast machine seems to be teetering, top-heavy with the weight of too much covered up, and you get the sense that the slightest push will bring a breath-taking collapse. It's already started - are they strong enough to prop it up for one more week?

Loretta said...

Plagiarized spam

wphamilton said...

plagiarized - she doesn't mean me LOL, you won't see the above observations from "respectable"journalists!

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Anything she can't understand, that is most of what is posted, is she calls plagiarism, spit or spam.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

NATE SILVER

Tuesday was another pretty good day of polling for Donald Trump. It’s also not an easy day to characterize given the large number of polls published. You could cherry-pick and point to the poll that has Trump up 7 percentage points in North Carolina, for example, or the ABC News/Washington Post national tracking poll that has Trump up 1 point overall. And you could counter, on the Hillary Clinton side, with a poll showing her up by 11 points in Pennsylvania, or a national poll that gives her a 9-point lead.

Our model takes all this data in stride, along with all the other polls that nobody pays much attention to. And it thinks the results are most consistent with a 3- or 4-percentage point national lead for Clinton, down from a lead of about 7 points in mid-October. Trump remains an underdog, but no longer really a longshot: His Electoral College chances are 29 percent in our polls-only model — his highest probability since Oct. 2 — and 30 percent in polls-plus.

Whenever the race tightens, we get people protesting that the popular vote doesn’t matter because it’s all about the Electoral College, and that Trump has no path to 270 electoral votes. But this presumes that the states behave independently from national trends, when in fact they tend to move in tandem. We had a good illustration of this in mid-September, when in the midst of a tight race overall, about half of swing state polls showed Clinton trailing Trump, including several polls in Colorado, which would have broken Clinton’s firewall.

This time around, we haven’t seen too many of those polls in Clinton’s firewall states, such as Colorado, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. But that’s misleading, because we haven’t seen many high-quality polls from those states, period! We have seen lots of polls from North Carolina and Florida — for some reason, they get polled far more than any other states — and plenty of them have shown Trump gaining ground, to the point that both states are pure toss-ups right now.

So, should you expect to see polls showing Clinton behind in states like Colorado and Wisconsin? Not necessarily. Clinton probably still leads in those states, and we’d expect her to win them if she wins nationally by 4 points or so, where national polls have the race.

Here’s an illustration of that. From a set of simulations the polls-only model ran earlier this evening, I pulled the cases where Clinton won the national popular vote by 3 to 5 percentage points. In other words, we’re positing that the national polling average is about right, and seeing how the results shake out in the states:

Trump has almost no chance if he loses by 3% to 5%.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

CH, my psychological post was in reference to rrb. He is nuts.

wp, I'm not in a panic. I'm just pointing out that the assumptions made by our esteemed host. He seems to believe that Clinton has found a way to lose.

Most of the polls show a small contraction of support for Clinton. I think it's the Republicans are coming home. If Clinton motivates her supporters to vote, she will be our President.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

More than a quarter of Republicans who have already voted in Florida cast their ballots for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton, according to a new poll.

A TargetSmart/William & Mary poll released Tuesday showed 28 percent of early Florida voters picked Clinton over GOP nominee Donald Trump. The poll, which will be released in full Wednesday, was shared early with MSNBC.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/303910-florida-poll-28-percent-of-gop-early-voters-picked

Commonsense said...

Sorry, this poll doesn't compute. If 28% of Republicans are voting for Clinton, she'd be up by 15 or more points.

And nobody believes that.

Loretta said...

"plagiarized - she doesn't mean me LOL, you won't see the above observations from "respectable"journalists!"

LOL, no not you WP.

Roger and James steal the opinions of others, pretending those opinions are theirs.

Like CH said, when they realized no one was reading their spam on the trash blog, they brought it here.

Loretta said...

Just pointing out that you're spamming the blog - again.