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Thursday, March 9, 2017

Classic Case of Bias Confirmation...

I have not hidden the fact that I have been intrigued with the writings of Scott Adams as it pertains to subjects like persuasion, bias confirmation, cognitive dissonance, and the fact that different people can view the exact same events but see completely different realities. Or as Adams would say, they are viewing the same scenes play out...  but actually watching different movies.


I think the recent late night tweets from the President regarding the alleged Government monitoring of communications of Trump Towers is maybe one of the most glaring examples of the same events being seen as completely different realities.

Movie one:  This view is based on the preconceived idea that Donald Trump is an overgrown adolescent, with limited intelligence, who is on the verge of a complete mental breakdown. It's quite obviously the consensus among those in the main stream media (who are mostly anti-Trump).

In this movie, the crazy old man probably was up late at night reading the right wing blogs, ran across some of the allegations regarding FICA warrants (quite possibly Mark Levin), and impulsively sent out a barrage of tweets making completely unfounded allegations.

Movie two:  This view is based on the preconceived idea that Donald Trump is reasonable person, with reasonable to intelligence, who has become a successful businessman, author, reality television producer and star, and was able to win both the GOP nomination and the general election. While this is a minority view in the media at this point, it happens to be the opinion of several people whom I personally view as being both prudent (and mostly historically correct in their positions).

In this movie, the combined buzz from the NY Times story about how Obama had been intercepting communications, declassifying information, leaving bread crumb, etc... along with the renewed media buzz regarding the two FICA requests, sent the Trump team into action to verify and/or clarify what they could find out. In this movie, Trump is the President, Jeff Sessions is the Attorney General, and the validity of the FICA warrant story could be ascertained fairly quickly. Given Sessions had just met with Trump, the tweets regarding "just found out" were not in response to any blog post he read in the middle of the night, but more likely a response to what he had been told by the Attorney General.
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Now what is interesting here, is that those who are watching the first movie, don't even take into consideration the possibility that the second movie is even playing. They are so convinced of Trump's incompetence that the idea that he would have gone through the logical channels available to him to verify these claims doesn't even enter their brains. They still don't consider that such channels would be used by the President to verify even after the fact. In their minds, the claims will always be unfounded. 

On the flip side, those who are watching the second movie, do acknowledge the possibility that Trump may have just tweeted off the cuff but find it to be the less likely scenario here. They also point out that even had the original tweets were not based on any confirmed information, that the chances of the administration not taking the actions (after tweet) to confirm the existence or non-existence of said FICA warrants is next to zero. Either way, the President knows today if these FICA requests do or do not exist. The media does not. 


Which movie are you watching? 

23 comments:

opie said...

It is officially confirmed....CH Truth has turned into I love DONNIE! 4 EVAH!!!!!! Most humorous for someone who tried to be the calming middle voice of reason. LOLOL!!!

opie said...

Michael Steel said The WH is now calling healthcare "ryan care" as they try to run away from the sausage making. And you guys did nothing but bitch about how the ACA was written in secret and published without process......look in the friggin mirror righties. LOLOL

opie said...

The pussy grabber now says he has tremendous respect for women.......I'm sure his mail order bride feels the same. LOL

Commonsense said...

I take it Opie is watching movie 1 and hasn't a clue movie 2 exist.

C.H. Truth said...

Common - that would suggest that Opie actually took the time to read the post. I'd be surprised if he made it past the first paragraph.

Commonsense said...

Yeah I assume he at least cursorily glanced at the post.

Silly me.

opie said...

Bias and stupidity rolled up into a singularity. Sure would love to see the science behind his statement. Idiot.

EPA chief Scott Pruitt says carbon dioxide is not a primary contributor to global warming

Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Scott Pruitt said Thursday he does not believe carbon dioxide is a primary contributor to global warming.

Loretta Russo said...

With the newest release of WikiLEAKS documents, definitely movie 2...

BTW, you're not really expecting a reasoned response from opie8 - right?

opie said...

Link for our moron in the EPA!!!

http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/09/epa-chief-scott-pruitt.html

Certainly wouldn't expect anything but spam from you, sweet lorettta. LOLOL

C.H. Truth said...
Common - that would suggest that Opie actually took the time to read the post. I'd be surprised if he made it past the first paragraph.

Yep, you caught me CH.....Just like Pauline did yesterday with the DU and EO he failed to read.

OPIE said...

Anyone see the cuts trumps cuts to pay for the wall that he said mexico will pay for. Seems to me, we the people will be paying for that monolith that will stop nothing but deer and antelopes from crossing. LOLOL

BTW....... I LOVE WIKILEAKS.........DONALD TRUMP POTUS. He accepted the behavior before he was against it. Just like all you idiots here. Now it has bitten you in your asses...LOLOLOL

C.H. Truth said...

Opie has left six comments on this thread. Not a one of them addresses the post itself.

Loretta Russo said...

Shock.

cowardly king obama said...


Look, we shouldn't shame Opie,

He does a fine job of that himself.


ROFLMAO !!!

Loretta Russo said...

He's our Maxine Waters.

Commonsense said...

Opie has left six comments on this thread. Not a one of them addresses the post itself.

He's really not much more than a troll-bot. A rudimentary algorithm that randomly selects leftist platitudes and childish insults and puts them together in semi-coherent sentences.

rrb said...

Which movie are you watching?
___________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

i'm watching the movie of a raging alcoholic running around shrieking with what's left of his hair on fire, furiously copying and pasting talking points from kevin drum and occupy democrats...

...and when he's not shrieking, he's mumbling incoherently something about mark levin.



C.H. Truth said...

i'm watching the movie of a raging alcoholic running around shrieking with what's left of his hair on fire, furiously copying and pasting talking points from kevin drum and occupy democrats...

...and when he's not shrieking, he's mumbling incoherently something about mark levin.


My only question: What kind of movie is this?

Drama?
Comedy?
Horror?

rrb said...

My only question: What kind of movie is this?

Drama?
Comedy?
Horror?
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


PBS documentary narrated by bill moyers.


KD said...

C H. Truth said...
Opie has left six comments on this thread. Not a one of them addresses the post itself. "


HalfOpium , has no brain.



What happened to the breathless Obamabots of the US Press telling us the Russians stole the election from Hillary?

Did it go up in smoke when we now know Obama did in fact have Trump towers , which was his Campaign HQ and his Private Home Residency under US Govt Surveillance .

Darn it, it was to be the story that got Trump Impeached , If not for the facts .



__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Two major Economic Happenings UNDER Trump , he gave Rain to CA , Now they can become to recover.

And, On the North Slope of Alaska the largest oil find in over 20 years on land. I know the earth creates oil, an endless supply, that kills those "Peak Oil" numbasses.

opie said...

C.H. Truth said...
Opie has left six comments on this thread. Not a one of them addresses the post itself.

Mental masturbation is your forte, CH. As to not being on subject, suggest you start paying attention to the spam lady and her comments on all threads. Next time, post something that evokes discussion, not stupid partisan what ifs.

I LOVE WIKILEAKS......Donnie the POTUS.

Loretta Russo said...

You forgot LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL

opie said...

CH, a self fulfilling prophecy posted by loretta, who has posted 60 LOL's, and you say nothing. FU. CH.


5 days since the trump tweet about tapps..... nothing but bull crap. Just like here.

Loretta Russo said...

Whaaa, big PUSSY.

You forgot LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL