Monday, April 2, 2018

Trump Approval Topline Breakdown

Let's face it. Nine out of ten Americans do not look at anything other than the approval number of a poll. They don't look at what demographic they used, whether the sample was good or bad, or whether or not the poll appears to be a "outlier". They simply look for polls that reinforce their own belief system. But let's take a look at one Demographic breakdown that actually matters:
  • Trump Approval Likely Voter - 44.33
  • Trump Approval Registered Voter - 42.33
  • Trump Approval All Americans - 38.67 

So certainly 44.33% is not anything worth writing home to mother about, but it also isn't horrible considering it includes a 39% from the Democrat partisan PPP polling organization. Lets also keep in mind that Trump won the Presidency with a favorability under 40% so something in the 44% range for likely voters is probably a good number for him.

The reality is that Trump probably has a ceiling and a floor that are going to be pretty stable. I don't expect him to reach much past the 44-45% range, and short of some huge "real" scandal, I don't expect his approval averages to fall below 38-39%.

51 comments:

Anonymous said...

People wanted to see the show after the originalshowing.

‘Roseanne’ Reboot Sets Delayed Viewer Record with 25 Million Total Viewers"

It was funny and balanecd. Going forward we shall see.

Anonymous said...

President Trump Winning Bigly, again.

"According to a survey by the Monmouth University Polling Institute, the vast majority of Americans believe that mainstream media outlets report “fake news.”
A whopping 77 percent of over 800 respondents relayed their distrust for major news organizations in both television and print — a marked increase from the 63 percent that was already skeptical a year ago. Of those, 31 percent believe it to be a regular occurrence, while 46 percent see it as a more occasional issue."

Anonymous said...

The red two faces of liberal CNN

"The same CNN launching puritanical attacks against President Donald Trump over a disputed one-night stand with a porn star over a decade ago is now glorifying John F. Kennedy’s serial-adultery as “legendary.”

commie said...

Your bias is showing CH... You adore trump and his inanity....yes his polls suck, but in your opinion is good enough to win again....me thinks the country is tired of his BS now with amazon, lies about the Post Office, caravans of beaners heading north with Mexico doing nothing....market crashing because of his policy....tax cuts that are now failing him and adding to the deficit bigly.....yep, CH, he's doing a great job....all polls from yesterday showing disapproval creeping higher and higher!!!!

Monday, April 2
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
President Trump Job Approval Harvard-Harris Approve 44, Disapprove 56 Disapprove +12
President Trump Job Approval IBD/TIPP Approve 38, Disapprove 56 Disapprove +18
President Trump Job Approval Gallup Approve 39, Disapprove 55 Disapprove +16

Looks like what you claim as an outlier PPP, is now being confirmed by others....so much for your naive opinion......

Loretta said...

"So certainly 44.33% is not anything worth writing home to mother about"

Hell CNN has him at 42% approval, which is astounding considering the 92% of negative press.

commie said...

which is astounding considering the 92% of negative press.

Once again proving why so many still believe Obama was born in Kenya, just like you still believe and menstral thinks is a small minority.....

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

What concerns me is the fact that a significant percentage of the likely voters support a President who has an admiration of authoritarian leaders. His first actions were the use of Presidential directives.

His personal attacks on justice department and the FBI, claiming that they are determined to attack the President are designed to be loyal to him. They are sworn to enforce the law an defend the Constitution against harm. He is attempting to make the law enforcement system politically loyal to himself instead of enforcing the law and defending the Constitution against harm.

This is evident in his admiration of the brutal dictatorship of Vladimir Putin.

Commonsense said...

When Putin starts criticizing his secret police for abuse of power, you'll let me know?

OK?

Loretta said...

"His first actions were the use of Presidential directives."

Reversing Obama's Presidential directives, lol.

"This is evident in his admiration of the brutal dictatorship of Vladimir Putin."

Oops!

"As he was leaning toward Medvedev in Seoul, Obama was overheard asking for time — “particularly with missile defense” — until he is in a better position politically to resolve such issues.

“I understand your message about space,” replied Medvedev, who will hand over the presidency to Putin in May.

This is my last election … After my election I have more flexibility,” Obama said, expressing confidence that he would win a second term.

“I will transmit this information to Vladimir,” said Medvedev, Putin’s protégé and long considered number two in Moscow’s power structure."

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The secret police are loyal to Putin. That's a classic example of authoritarian government. Is that OK to you?

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Please provide the source of your plagiarist information.

Loretta said...

"Please provide the source of your plagiarist information."

LMAO! Rich I tell ya, coming from the king of spam, LMAO!

https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/obama-more-flexibility-russia/

commie said...

Please provide the source of your plagiarist information.

You got a better chance of CH admitting a mistake or menstral admitting .6% growth was incorrect...But, all will remain pounding me on my coupe troll which is still catching idiots.....LOL

Loretta said...

Rating: TRUE

LOL

American Voters said...

Monmouth University poll - 77% respondents say main stream media is reporting fake news.

That's why Trump remains popular. The country is wise to the coup attempt underway.

Commonsense said...

The secret police are loyal to Putin. That's a classic example of authoritarian government. Is that OK to you?

I find it interesting that you think Trump is authoritarian when he doesn't have the loyalty of the secret police.

And make no mistake, under Barack Obama the FBI and IRS are certainly acting like a secret police.

So the person you should be slapping the authoritarian label on is Barack Obama.

Loretta said...

"So the person you should be slapping the authoritarian label on is Barack Obama."

Never happened before, ain't gonna happen now.

Like a great American says, hypocrisy is the bedrock of liberalism.

commie said...

Obama said, expressing confidence that he would win a second term.

And he did win....much to your chagrin....and this post shows you still living in the past, which is typical of weak minded trump sycophants.

Myballs said...

What a stupid response. We don't call you dopie for nothing.

commie said...

Yep...those polls are sure showing us how trump is soaring.....LOL

Following allegations by the adult film star that she and Trump had an affair in 2006—shortly after his wife Melania gave birth to the couple’s son Barron—the president’s approval rating among men rose from 50 to 53 percent compared with last month, according to a new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll.

But female voters are not impressed. The poll, conducted from March 27-29 , showed that among women the president’s approval rating dropped from 41 percent to 35 percent, in what the poll’s co-director dubbed “the Stormy effect.”

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/men-trump-more-stormy-daniels-114726484.html

Seems women with the exception of our lesbo are smelling the coffee.....

commie said...

Our ballless wonder opines again with his limited ability to think...

What a stupid response

Yes, yours sure was....LOL Another asshole living in the past...too funny!!!

Commonsense said...

Non story. Trump has always had a gender gap, especially among single non-white women.

Which I'm pretty sure the poll oversampled.

They didn't learn their lesson from the last election.

Loretta said...

You forgot LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL, Denny.

Loretta said...

You forgot LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL, Denny.

Loretta said...

"The share of voters who said the Daniels matter did not make much difference either way in their opinion of the president rose to a 46 percent plurality from a 39 percent plurality two weeks ago."

It just doesn't matter, lol.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

You think that you should be taken seriously because you are Mensa. Then you said this: And make no mistake, under Barack Obama the FBI and IRS are certainly acting like a secret police. and Fake News. Pathetic

commie said...


Which I'm pretty sure the poll oversampled.

Lesbo Loretta said...
LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL,

Yeah menstrual, as usual in your cultist world....women don't matter....!!!!!! I'm sure your wife would be thrilled..... and the fraud from Kansas is just as stupid...

Loretta said...

You forgot LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL LOL, Denny.

Loretta said...

"You think that you should be taken seriously" - Roger the spammer.

Rich, lol.

Commonsense said...

Well Roger I could possibly care less whether you take me seriously or not but it's kind of obvious that you do.

And the FBI abuse of the FISA process as well as the abuse of the IRS to go after Obama's political opponents give truth to the above statement.

That you just don't care for it is too damn bad.

commie said...

And the FBI abuse of the FISA p


BWAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA! Can't fix stupid or brainwashed....There is not a single shred of evidence you can produce that confirms that talking point of the demented right.....

Commonsense said...

You mean except for the fact that the FBI deliberately withheld information on their FISA warrants.

commie said...

e FBI deliberately withheld information on their FISA warrants.

BULLSHIT......I said proof, not your made up crap from unverified sources.....

Anonymous said...

Trump has had a"legendary Sex Life".

Thier, liberal are satified. Issue droppe.

Anonymous said...

"not your made up crap from unverified sources.." drpiping with hypocrisy

Anonymous said...

IRS are certainly acting like a secret police. and Fake News. Pathetic"

HomelessBaked, you missed out on the Obama directed Lois Learner attack on Conservatives.

So blind.

Anonymous said...

Blind. Broke and broken HomelessBaked.

It is still amazing how little you know about your trained chimp did during the Lost years.

MON MAR 26, 2012 / 3:06 PM EDT Reuters

Obama tells Russia's Medvedev more flexibility after election
Reuters I understand your message about space," replied Medvedev, who will hand over the presidency to Putin in May.

"This is my last election ... After my election I have more flexibility," Obama said, expressing confidence that he would win a second term.

"I will transmit this information to Vladimir," said Medvedev, Putin's protégé and long considered number two in Moscow's power structure."

Commonsense said...

BULLSHIT......I said proof, not your made up crap from unverified sources..

Well the proof is right there in the House IC Report and if you don't see it, you're just being a blind obtuse troll.

Anonymous said...

Blogger Roger Amick said...

What concerns me is the fact that a significant percentage of the likely voters support a President who has an admiration of authoritarian leaders. His first actions were the use of Presidential directives.



where do you come up with this shit alky?

seriously.

acknowledging the fact that putin is a strong leader, especially when he did it when we had a fucking pansy in the white house, is not the big deal you and your sissy comrades would make it out to be.

and those presidential directives? those were done to remove the jackboot that 0linsky had placed on the neck of the american people and the american economy.

for chrissakes, drama queen. sack up. find your balls. maybe mail order put them in the transparent backpack that hangs off the front of your walker.

Anonymous said...




nice:


In a move that could upend the U.S. auto industry and spark a bitter legal fight with states such as California, the Trump administration said Monday that it will scrap Obama-era fuel economy standards and effectively cancel the looming requirement that all vehicle fleets average more than 50 miles per gallon by 2025.

Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Scott Pruitt said the program, known as Corporate Average Fuel Economy, or CAFE standards, fell victim to politics during the Obama administration as officials sought to take dramatic action against climate change.

He said his predecessors at the EPA rushed through rules governing fuel economy for model years 2022 through 2025 without fully understanding their potential consequences, and that it’s now clear those rules simply aren’t realistic.

The decision represents a major defeat for green groups and other backers of the program, which was one of the most sweeping and lasting environmental actions of the prior administration.

“The Obama administration’s determination was wrong,” Mr. Pruitt said in a statement. “Obama’s EPA … made assumptions about the standards that didn’t comport with reality, and set the standards too high.”

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/apr/2/scott-pruitt-epa-chief-scraps-obama-era-fuel-effic/

Loretta said...

"for chrissakes, drama queen"

His drama would give me a headache...

Commonsense said...

Obama-era fuel economy standards and effectively cancel the looming requirement that all vehicle fleets average more than 50 miles per gallon by 2025.

Sooner or later government regulation will run up against physics.

And the physics is that it's impossible to build an internal combustion engine to push a 1/2 vehical at 50+ miles per gallon.

Anonymous said...




His drama would give me a headache...


he's just mad because now everyone can see his tampons through his transparent backpack.

Loretta said...

HA!

wphamilton said...

Combustion engines do have a thermodynamic limit, but it's far beyond what would represent 50 miles per gallon in a personal transportation vehicle. In theory, as you approach idealization of heat losses, internal friction, short term burns, etc, to determine absolute limits, given reasonable compression ratios, the thermal efficiency of internal combustion engines is seen to approach 67%, which is 2-3 times greater efficiency than most vehicles on the road.

Scott Pruitt btw is just about the last person you want to rely on regarding environmental science and the potential of technology.

commie said...

And the physics is that it's impossible to build an internal combustion engine

That is certainly you naive opinion.....like the leaps in battery technology the past few years, incentivized the auto industry will develop new technology that may involve higher temperature engines that are reliable and can provide better than the current 30% or so engines...maybe even an electric generator set up with a small turbine will do the trick...but your surrender to Pruit who is about the least qualified EPA director evah is not the person to lead the charge.....he probably thinks coal is the answer...

commie said...

I think that menstrual needs to realize what is already available before saying it is impossible...

https://www.consumerreports.org/fuel-economy-efficiency/the-most-fuel-efficient-cars-best-mpg/

James proudly said...

IOW, THE FBI RISES TO NEW HEIGHTS

Commonsense said...

Combustion engines do have a thermodynamic limit, but it's far beyond what would represent 50 miles per gallon in a personal transportation vehicle.

A "personal transportation vehicle" would definitely be a niche market.

The absolute minimum passenger capacity is two persons. More popular are four person configurations, with six to eight people for family vehicles.

It would be rather difficult to get 50 miles per gallon out of these cars.

While it may be possible for a "personal transportation" vehicle, nobody would give up passenger a cargo capacity they need in their lives.

Otherwise, why bother, just ride a bike.

Commonsense said...

I think that menstrual needs to realize what is already available before saying it is impossible..

All those cars are hybrids so the MPG rating is somewhat misleading.