Panic Time For Centrist Dems: Bernie Now Leads By 12 Nationally — And Leads Bloomberg Head To Head By 20
Rest assured, tomorrow night’s debate live thread will contain plenty of blather by yours truly hyping it as very important indeed to the outcome of the race. It’s the first Bloomberg debate, right? And it’s coming at a moment when Buttigieg, Klobuchar, and Elizabeth Warren all need to make magic happen to keep their slim chances at the nomination alive. Should be explosive!
“There is one clear and inescapable set of results: Bernie Sanders is the definitive [Democratic] front-runner, and the current numbers do not represent his ceiling, but instead his base with room to grow,” said Democratic pollster Peter Hart, who conducted this survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies…
When the Democratic field is reduced is just Sanders and Bloomberg, the Vermont senator holds a 20-point national lead over the former New York City mayor, 57 percent to 37 percent.
And Sanders also holds a double-digit lead over Buttigieg in a hypothetical two-person race, 54 percent to 38 percent.
Well, for whatever reasons there is a ton of Bernie momentum taking shape, in spite of the odd embrace by some moderates to Mini-Mike Bloomberg. Perhaps the rumors of the demise of early state success were greatly exaggerated and we are now (belatedly) seeing the momentum swing in favor of the guy who basically won the popular vote in the first two states. In a normal year, this is what we would be seeing. Perhaps it's not as abnormal as we might believe.
The NBC poll is interesting because it confirms what the most recent YouGov polls suggests, and that is that if the race boils down to just two people, that Sanders holds a comfortable lead over any of them. Perhaps he will welcome a winnowing of the field moving into Super Tuesday, contrary to much popular conventional wisdom that he is helped by moderate vote splitting.
Either way, if Bernie pulls off the trifecta and takes the popular vote (at least) in Nevada, he will likely gain even more momentum. I would suspect that South Carolina will be the last stand for several candidates, and I am sure Bernie (and whoever else sticks around) will be relieved to get to Super Tuesday states and start to compete with Bloomberg and Steyer (who have had the airwaves to themselves without apparently any overwhelming success).
2 comments:
Hillary Rejected, more correctly, dismissed out of hand midget mikes pleading for her to be his VP.
After buying the DNC at fire SALE prices, can he buy this election.
Wow you can now be denied crappy care.. why the gubment should never be in charge of healthcare
NHS staff can refuse to treat racist or sexist patients under new rules
The NHS will soon bar discriminatory patients from non-critical care - powers that currently only cover aggression or violence.
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