Which Democrats are most likely to drop out?

And why it's so important! 

So lets cut to the chase... We have Sanders, Bloomberg, Buttigieg, Biden, Warren, Klobuchar, and as they used to say at the end of the original Gilligan's Island theme song... "the rest". I would argue at this point that I list them in the order the reflects their chance of victory. If they are not listed, then there is a better chance than not that they will drop out before ever earning a single delegate. Yes, that even includes the ever personable Andrew Yang!

Let's be clear, Sanders, Buttigieg and Bloomberg are the only sure bets to make it to Super Tuesday. Sanders will make it because he will likely be leading in delegates and fundraising. Buttigieg will make it because he can still claim victory in Iowa (every Democratic nominee for President in recent history has won Iowa) and will be not far behind Sanders in fundraising. Bloomberg will be there because he has already dumped millions into the Super Tuesday states and it's his strategy to start there.

But the bigger question is who else is going to be there? I think we can assume that "the rest"  (Deval Patrick, Michael Bennett, Andrew Yang, Tulsi Gabbard, and Tom Steyer) will be all gone by then, or at least should be. If not who cares? They would literally just be a name on the ballot with little resources or hope to garner votes. I think it will be difficult for Amy Klobuchar to break through between now and then, and it's likely her bid for a Vice President offer will come to an end as soon as after New Hampshire.

But what about Biden and Warren? These are two people who many expected to be the final two standing and both have led in the National polling and were at one time betting favorites to become the nominee. How hard would it be for either of these former front runners to drop out "before" Super Tuesday?

Yet, the overall race "could" actually be decided by whether these two stay in the race or drop out?  Imagine a scenario where Biden stays in and Warren gets out, leaving a final four of the liberal Sanders, and three (Bloomberg, Buttigieg, Biden) left running in the moderate lane against him. Next imagine the opposite, where the final four pits two liberals (Sanders and Warren) against two so-called moderates (Bloomberg and Buttigieg). Warren getting out puts Sanders in a great position to come out of Super Tuesday well in the lead. Biden getting out, helps "prevent" Sanders from running away with a big lead. Will either of them consider these things or is it all entirely personal? 

This was the same argument we heard in 2016 with the GOP and Trump, and why so many people were angry that John Kasich stuck around as long as he did, siphoning off moderate votes from the likes of Marco Rubio and (some would argue even) Ted Cruz. It turned out okay for the Republican Party. Hard today to even imagine the Party without Trump at the top. But he won, and it is probably more likely than not that Democrats running a literal "socialist" would not garner the same results.

So who will end up getting out of the way and who plays the potential spoiler? Or am I wrong to assume that Warren or Biden do not have a second wind, a last gasp, or an ace up their sleeve that can reveres their recent misfortunes? All I know is who is left standing after South Carolina might give us a pretty good indication of how the rest of the primary season plays out!