Wednesday, October 31, 2018

Silver keeps moving Senate red

This was 1 in 5 just a couple of weeks ago. Then it was 1 in 6.  Now we see 1 in 7.

I wonder if it will change again before the election.


He's bumped both Texas and Tennessee over 80% and moved the second Mississippi to 87%.  He even moved Heidkamp's chances down to 26% (down from around 33%) after another poll showed her down by 9. 

In spite of more polling showing Josh Hawley leading in Missouri (seven in a row now) - Silver still stubbornly keeps McCaskill as a 60% favorite. 

61 comments:

Anonymous said...




i think i've found the secret to nate's polling methodology...


Lloyd Christmas:
What are my chances???

Mary Swanson:
Not good.

Lloyd Christmas:
You mean not good like one in a hundred?

Mary Swanson:
I'd say more like one in a million.

Lloyd Christmas:
So you're telling me there's a chance? Yeah!


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ne56PCUFKDs


American Voters said...

Obama and Oprah ate both going to Georgia to stop for Abrams.

But nothing racist there. They're not focusing on black voters.

cowardly king obama said...

WOW, imagine if it wasn't D+17 like lo iq commie posted

Anonymous said...

227,000 new jobs

caliphate4vr said...

Saw a lot of shots of protesters in Pittsburgh yesterday what you didn't see

Hospital staff overwhelmed by Trump visit

Anonymous said...

Vote Democrat to get this stopped.
"Robust' jobs market sees another 227,000 hires in October

Jeff Cox | @JeffCoxCNBCcom

Published 4 Hours Ago Updated 1 Hour AgoCNBC.com

Private payrolls increased 227,000 in October, according to ADP and Moody's Analytics.Economists surveyed by Refinitiv had been expecting growth of 189,000, compared with the 218,000 in the September report.Services contributed 189,000 to the total while construction and manufacturing added 17,000 apiece."

Anonymous said...

Balls Ford, did she take the $1 plus raised?

"Citing judicial ethics concerns, Supreme CourtJustice Brett Kavanaugh declined more than $600,000 that was donated to aid his family during the firestorm over sexual misconduct allegations that plagued his confirmation. The judge’s decision was announced on Tuesday in a message posted on the online fundraising page that gathered the funds."

Anonymous said...



Hospital staff overwhelmed by Trump visit


real americans welcome the first family wherever they go.

Anonymous said...

Yes. It is just good manners.

cowardly king obama said...

TheBlaze‏Verified account @theblaze

Insurgents freed by Obama in exchange for Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl now back with Taliban


Caleb Howl‏Verified account @CalebHowe

If you like your terrorists, you can keep your terrorists



Anonymous said...



President Donald Trump on Friday used his executive powers for the first time to designate a national monument, establishing a 380-acre site in Kentucky to honor African-Americans’ role as soldiers during the Civil War.

https://www.stripes.com/news/us/trump-declares-his-first-national-monument-honoring-african-american-troops-1.553964#.W9cpyGCKMdI.twitter


what a fucking racist, eh libs?


Anonymous said...

Hillary said "they all look alike"

Anonymous said...




Hillary said "they all look alike"


maybe that's why don lemon has a white boyfriend toss his salad and pack his fudge.


commie said...

Hillary said "they all look alike"

About as funny as trump tossing paper towels to PR's.....sad that you don't see the equivalency of how stupid both sides can be....idiot

Anonymous said...

"equivalency "

Lol, low sugar go eat a baker.

commie said...

low sugar go eat a baker.

Go fuck your goat and fellate trump.....asshole again proving the axiom that fake farmers have no brains especially those who embrace David Duke and his neo's

commie said...

Trump says he will send 15,000 troops to the border to protect us from the invasion of women, children and elderly.....WOW!!!! more troops than we have in Afghanistan......such a douche......whose going to pay for that?????

Anonymous said...

We tried 8 years of open borders , it failed.

Anonymous said...

Fatty shaking belly triggered. Too Funny.

Commonsense said...

And fatty's proposal to feed, house 7000 people swarming across the border is?

Anonymous said...

Hillary 2020 when does the "Outhouse Tour" start?

""You cannot be civil with a political party that wants to destroy what you stand for, what you care about. That's why I believe, if we are fortunate enough to win back the House and/or the Senate, that's when civility can start again."

Anonymous said...

The Racist of the Democrats.
"CNN’s Don Lemon Wednesday after the anchor declared that right-wing white men are the “biggest terror threat” in America.

“Amazing. I thought this was some sort of joke quote taken out of context but no… it’s just Don Lemon being a moron. Unfortunately this is how so many leftists actually think. Disgusting! Imagine the outrage if you changed ‘white men’ with any other demographic?” Donald Trump Jr. 

commie said...

fatty's proposal to feed, house 7000 people swarming across the border is?

Cut your fat white ass up into little bits and have a tex mex BBQ!!!!!! Yeah, all those moose limbs need to be thwarted....asshole....

Open borders my ass....more allowed to stay under trump.....wake up douche nozzle...

commie said...

anchor declared that right-wing white men are the “biggest terror threat” in America.

He should have said old republican white men like you KD are the biggest threat we have.....It is surely not women and children walking 1000 miles to survive.....asshole Why don't you do me a favor....hike your white ass carrying your goat to denver and tell me how your walk was......jag off

Anonymous said...

These are amazing people, walking thousands of miles.
With no men.
"women, children and elderly." Jelly belly Denise

Anonymous said...

As an American, I have Zero need to hike. I drive.

Fatty, 911 operators have a special block n tackle outfit to lift you onto a flat bed ton truck next time you stroke out.

commie said...

With no men.


The only one who said that is you ass wipe......go fuck your goat and burn a tree for christ you who only gives a shit about yourself....fuck a christian life....screw the walkers, they are worthless lives not worth saving....Kill an immigrant for christ....your motto....

Anonymous said...

Cool.
"Canada Border Services Agency moves to 'substantially' increase deportations

FacebookTwitter 

Internal email obtained by CBC shows plan to target 25-35 per cent annual increase in removals

Kathleen Harris · CBC News · Posted: Oct 30, 2018 5:00 PM ET | Last Updated: October 31"

commie said...

Yeah....drive your self right to hell with your slurper friends.....asshole.... Make sure you use a rubber when you fuck your goat....never know where that's been!!!!

Anonymous said...

Low sugar is kicking fatty acre plus wide ads.
women, children and elderly." Jelly belly Denise

".....It is surely not women and children walking 1000 miles to survive"

See no men in caravan.

commie said...

"Canada Border Services Agency moves to 'substantially' increase deportations

Maybe their PM will move troops in with all those dangerous US trying to get free medical.....LOL!!

commie said...

See no men in caravan.

What does that have to do with women and children walking 1000 mile???? I'm sure there are, but are they dangerous as your ass hole in chief alleges?

Commonsense said...

Well Dennis I think your fat white ass will feed a hell of a lot more people. Mooooooooooo!

Anonymous said...

As Mexican authorities continue to deal with two separate migrant caravans on both sides of their southern border, a third began its journey from El Salvador on Wednesday.

While the first two migrant caravans began in Honduras, the third started north from the capital of El Salvador, Reuters reported. The group is believed to be made up of about 2,000 individuals including men, women, and children. The third caravan comes at a time of escalating tensions where the two previous groups clashed with Mexican police forces at the border with Guatemala."

Peaceful fights with cops.

Anonymous said...

Every post of fatty, alky and Jane attacks the US.

Anonymous said...

"U.S. workers are seeing the largest nominal wage increase in a decade, the Labor Department reported Wednesday, as companies compete harder for employees than they did in recent years."

Obama is only a shadow. Lost Years gone.

commie said...


"U.S. workers are seeing the largest nominal wage increase in a decade

Thanx to min wage laws going into effect and Amazonl....too stupid for words....

commie said...

Every post of fatty, alky and Jane attacks the US.

While you suck trumps dick and say ME ME ME!!!!!!!

Anonymous said...

Nutz

Anonymous said...

Thanks for confirming the following tub of lard.
"Every post of fatty, alky and Jane attacks the US."



wfit

commie said...

ommonsense said...
Well Dennis I think your fat white ass will feed a hell of a lot more people.

Snappy retort retard.....again, you have nothing but stupid in your quiver....LOL

Anonymous said...

Libertarian candidate backs Rosendale in Montana's U.S. Senate race

Anonymous said...

"The U.S. economy appears to be in solid shape heading into 2019, boasting unemployment near record lows and a strong 3.5-percent growth rate in the third quarter."

Yep.

Anonymous said...

Rosendale, Montana's state auditor and insurance commissioner, is in a tight race against two-term Democratic Sen. Jon Tester, with the balance of power in the closely divided Senate potentially at play.

Libertarian Rick Breckenridge has virtually no chance of winning. But his participation has threatened to peel away votes that might otherwise go toward the Republican and boost Tester's chances next week."

Trump is going there to help the Republican.

Anonymous said...

Trump is going there to help the Republican.

Trump is toxic to anyone who is not his base.. He could very well drive more out to vote which does not help his boy....Tester has had a pretty steady lead all along and the R is an out of stater that does not fly well in MT

commie said...

appears to be in solid shape heading into 2019,

So does that mean anyone on the right is talking about it or is the ACA the real campaign issue with the R's claiming they are for something that has not yet been proposed by trump or any other asshole...

Anonymous said...

More people blame ObamaCare failures.


DEMS are running on
Impeach
Investigate
Impoverish

Anonymous said...

Trump is toxic"

Hb.

Anonymous said...

Barbara Striestan , fatty do ya feel her pain?

"It’s making me fat,” she admits.

“I hear what he said now, and I have to go eat pancakes now, and pancakes are very fattening.”

commie said...

I said trump is toxic asswipe.....try to keep up...

BTW winning bigly Tech Stocks have the worst month since 2008.....in the heart of the busch recession.....How'd your portfolio do????? Hitting equity to live is a one way street....Maybe Barbra can sing you a dirge......goat fucker...

commie said...

Funny, just noticed how the posting traffic has basically gone to ZERO with only the asshole goat fucker adding his own brand of stupidity to ignore....wonder what's happened??? Impending doom from the trump slurpers comes to mind as the pendulum keeps swinging as trump keeps talking......WOW

commie said...

As predicted....companies buying back stock instead of investing....so sad...

The Trump tax-cut stimulus still isn’t here: The economy is doing well, but 10 months after a steep Republican tax cut went into effect, there remains scant evidence the cuts are boosting business investment as Republicans promised.The tax cuts, which passed Congress with no Democratic support last December, slashed the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%, and also cut the tax burden for most individual payers. Yet the tax cuts remain unpopular, with slightly more people disapproving than approving. [Yahoo Finance]

commie said...

As predicted.....tax breaks going to stock buy backs....enriching the elite....

The Trump tax-cut stimulus still isn’t here: The economy is doing well, but 10 months after a steep Republican tax cut went into effect, there remains scant evidence the cuts are boosting business investment as Republicans promised.The tax cuts, which passed Congress with no Democratic support last December, slashed the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%, and also cut the tax burden for most individual payers. Yet the tax cuts remain unpopular, with slightly more people disapproving than approving. [Yahoo Finance]

commie said...

Found a good movie for our goat fucker to enjoy....

https://yesmovies.to/movie/the-men-who-stare-at-goats-13164.html

Commonsense said...

Don't tell Dennis but using excess cash to buyback stock is a good thing. If makes the company financially stronger.

Anonymous said...



Blogger Commonsense said...

Don't tell Dennis but using excess cash to buyback stock is a good thing. If makes the company financially stronger.



well, when your economic opinion can be represented by a yahoo finance article, it's a given that you're a fucking moron.

Anonymous said...

Don't tell Dennis but using excess cash to buyback stock is a good thing. If makes the company financially stronger."

His so called owned stock of choice NOC is buying back stock. Denise is for those buybacks.

commie said...

Don't tell Dennis but using excess cash to buyback stock is a good thing

For whom asshole? The promised tax cuts were for salaries, capital and jobs....IOW's you fucking lose again asswipe...NOC buy back means nothing to me, I have no control over when and how they do it....jag off

Anonymous said...

Sure you do, you're a share holder, comes with voting rights.

Commonsense said...

It's not either/or Dennis a company can do all of the above.

Commonsense said...

Is the Arizona GOP’s Early Vote Lead Insurmountable?

But 1,230,433 Arizonans have voted early, as of this morning. For perspective, that’s approaching the 1.5 million total votes cast in the state in the 2014 midterm elections.

There are currently 3.7 million registered voters in Arizona. Of those who have voted early so far, 525,647 are registered Republicans and 413,005 are registered Democrats. Of the remainder, 8,250 are classified “minor parties” and 283,531 are classified “other” or unaffiliated.

If you assume that registered Republicans voted for Senate candidate Martha McSally and registered Democrats voted for Kyrsten Sinema in equal proportions, that gives McSally a 112,642-vote margin. That’s a sizable margin one week away from the election.


Can't imagine anyone calling him or herself a Republican voting for Sinema. The question is, why are the polls so damn wrong?