Election Night Open Thread....

Update (11:20 CST) - More Nevada Shenanigans. The reason why no votes have been counted in Nevada? Because people are still voting... three hours past the time polls closed. If something odd is going to happen, it's going to happen in Nevada. 

Update (10:20 CST) - I believe at this point that it is mathematically impossible for Senator Nelson to catch Rick Scott in Florida. With 99.51% of the vote counted, Scott is holding on to a 56,000 vote lead. From my calculations there are no more than about 33,000 or 34,000 votes left. 

(On cue, at least one outlet has now called the race for Scott).

Update (9:50 CST) - There is at least one outlet calling another GOP Senate pickup. This one in Missouri, where Josh Hawley will defeat Claire McCaskill. 

Update (9:48 CST) - Looks like they called the Governors race in Florida for DeSantis. Good news for the GOP.  He led by about 80,000 votes. Cannot imagine that a call for Scott is not too far behind.

Update (9:40 CST) - In Florida, Rick Scott holds about a 60,000 vote lead. From what I can see, there is no more than 110,000 votes left out there. Modeling from the counties that are missing votes, the race should tighten a bit, but only by about 17,000.  

Update (9:27 CST) - Everyone is now expecting that the Democrats will come away with the House. Officially they have only one unexpected race, while they have won two of the three toss up races that were called. Nate Silver has pushed his projection to a 32 seat gain. 

Update (9:24 CST) - North Dakota called for Challenger Kevin Cramer. This is the second official GOP pick up in the Senate.  Ted Cruz is declared the winner in Texas. This all but seals the Senate for the Republicans. 

Update (8:55 CST) - Beto O'Rourke is making a run at it in Texas. He is still projected to come up short, but it's closer than many expected. 

Update (8:45 CST) - With approximately 100,000 lead, many pundits are saying it's becoming close to a mathematical impossibility that Republican Ron DeSantis will be caught by Andrew Gillum. Republican Rick Scott leads Senator Bill Nelson by approximately 75,000 votes. 95% are counted. There is probably another 120K or so votes left in Broward to count, but that is not going to get it done. A majority of the rest of the counties are more Republican. 

Update (8:05 CST) - Tennessee called early for the Republican Blackburn. This was a race that many on the left believed they could win. Democrat Joe Manchin has also been declared the winner in West Virginia. Also not unexpected. 

Update (7:54 CST) - Latest 538 Nate Silver projection for House is now +26. This is a double digit drop from his initial projections. They "need" +23 to take the House. Nate Silver admits Democrats have not won a big house race yet.

Update (7:52 CST) - Mike Braun defeats Joe Donnelly in Indiana - this is a huge win for the GOP. Also, bell weather toss up seat Kentucky 6 goes to Republican Barr.

Update (6:41 CST) - Just took a look at both the 538 and Townhall live blogs. I can honestly say that I sense no particular bravado from either side. Nothing so far is surprising anyone. The one area that they seem to agree with is that Braun is doing what he needs to (so far) to beat Joe Donnelly in Indiana. But of course, that could all change.

Update - "early exit polling" is showing that:

Democrats account for 38 percent of voters in exit poll results so far, Republicans for 32 percent and independents for 30 percent. That compares with 36-37-27 percent in 2014, and 37-33-29 percent in 2016.

Two things to point out. The most obvious: if those numbers hold, then we can look for a Democrat result that would meet, if not exceed expectations for the left. The caveat is that they look nothing like the partisan breakdown from the early voters which gave the GOP a slight lead, and would account for a fairly significant (at least a third) of the overall vote. So we will have to see how this fluctuates through the night.