Monday, December 16, 2019

Looks like zero GOP votes for impeachment in the House...

Politico wrote an interesting article about this fact, crediting GOP leadership and some sort of partisan "locking of arms" (rather than the more obvious concept that Democrats failed to make their case to Republicans). As has been pointed out, the House hearings have had the opposite effect that Democrats and liberals were hoping for, basically losing public support the longer it drags on. But Politico (and one would assume most liberal outlets) see it as something more nefarious.

Now there is a net negative for impeaching the President

The truth is that none of the recent polling shows either any movement towards impeachment or any tangible evidence that independents are backing it. Even the recent Fox news poll shows independents virtually split, and the only reason the "yes" was stronger than the "no" was due to a partisan breakdown of the sample that had 45% of them voting in the Democratic Primary. The USA today poll showed support within both the Democratic and Independent ranks losing steam, with Independents now opposing it by double digits.

What Politico and other liberals are not getting here is that the information that they deem to be overwhelming and convincing is simply not so. They seem to miss the reality that there is a basic underlying disagreement about the fundamental nature of the allegations. When people outwardly reject the premise of your argument, then proving it makes no difference in the world. You are only proving something that doesn't resonate. There is no "upside" to making a bad argument (no matter how well you make it). But there is a downside, and that is what the Democrats are seeing.

So the real reason that no GOP members will vote for impeachment isn't something nefarious or dishonest. It's really that Democrats have made a bad argument. Think about it... if they cannot sway the public, how can they expect to sway GOP congressional members?

Meanwhile, it would appear that at the very least the two Democrats who voted against the inquiry will vote no again. There is said to be at least three others seriously considering it, and some are even speculating as to whether or not there may be another Party switch or two, in a desperate attempt for these Congress members to hang on to their seat. There can be no doubt that this impeachment has further solidified the partisanship that has been growing in recent years and that will make it harder and harder for red state Democrats and blue state Republicans to keep bucking the trend. Given there is more of the former than the latter, the Democrats have the most to lose from any growing of partisanship.

It would be somewhat humiliating if after all of the attempted clever means to sway public appearance with the basement hearings, selective leaking, selected witnesses, and the the 3-1 legal expert public hearing... that Democrats actually lose support.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

This simple fact remains.
This started with a bi-Partisan vote Against .
It will End the same.