So SUSA comes out with a poll showing the challenger Jason Lewis within one point of the incumbent Tina Smith just days after a different poll showed the race within the margin of error. Jason Lewis has been hitting outstate Minnesota extremely hard and if these polls are any indication, that work has been paying off.
If the KSTP/SurveyUSA poll is to be believed, then this would likely make Lewis the favorite, given the idea that in most state wide races (Governor, Senate) undecideds generally break for the challenger. Right now Smith has only a one point lead with 15% undecided.
This is an extremely nonintuitive concept, considering most everyone has had Tina Smith in their almost certain to win category, and I have seen almost no advertising from Smith locally. It almost makes you wonder about whether or not the 6-7 point Biden leads are as accurate as they appear. Jason Lewis is running a "Trump" style campaign and is basically marrying himself to the President. If he is within 1 point of Tina Smith, then it is just as possible that the Presidential race is also much closer than we might believe.
56 comments:
If you don't object, Ch, we'll just keep watching the polls for both Smith and Biden.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/mn/minnesota_senate_lewis_vs_smith-7075.html
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/mn/minnesota_trump_vs_biden-6966.html
So Reverend...
Did you fail to see that the picture on this post is from your link?
Could you be any more inattentive?
So wonder you are a Democrat. You have the attention span of a newt.
And he won’t get better
Ch, of course I saw that the picture was from "my" link. I just thought you surely would have no objection to the possibility that we might want to look, and continue hereafter to look, at the actual polling for both Smith and Biden, with helpful graphs which your post did not provide.
Surely you do not object to that? :-)
And another potential Senate upset in Michigan
Sister Toldjah
@sistertoldjah
So @Twitter has flagged the headline for the @detroitnews endorsing @JohnJamesMI as "not telling the full story"? Seriously?
https://twitter.com/sistertoldjah/status/1319267754818633728
Election interference by the Biden and Chinese censors in big tech.
Now even more desperate to steal this election.
And couldn't be more obvious.
Nice lead for the Republican.
I'm also sure, Ch, that you will have no objection to my pointing out that according to your own sidebar, the number of deaths per million in states with Republican governors is fast approaching the number per million for all the states (only 47 less now!) and may also soon catch up with (or even surpass?) the number per million in states with Democratic governors.
(I mean, you used to make such a very big deal out of the fact that the deaths in states with Democratic governors was three times and later two times as great, so I thought for the sake of honesty you would want me to point this out. --You're very welcome.)
Fox News Poll: Trump gains in Ohio, Biden ahead in Michigan, Pennsylvania, WisconsinDonald Trump holds a narrow advantage in Ohio, while voters in the three battleground states that put him over the top in 2016 prefer Joe Biden
By Dana Blanton | Fox News
Yep, Roger. Yep!
Imagine IF Biden Losses.
How will Jane,Alky and Denise act out?
the word is "loses"
https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/status/1319247130809278464?s=20
��Hunter Biden business partner calls email 'genuine,' says Hunter sought dad's advice on dealsTony Bobulinski said he does not believe Joe Biden's claim that he did not discuss his son's business dealings��
Well Reverend... I wouldn't get too cocky.
Yesterday:
California 131 new deaths and 3047 new cases
Illinois has 68 new deaths and 4342 new cases
Wisconsin had 48 new deaths and 4205 new cases
Even New York, Michigan, and North Carolina are ramping up (2060, 1878, 1842) new cases yesterday.
six out of the top ten new cases in raw numbers are now coming back in blue states.
six out of the top ten new deaths in raw numbers are also now coming back in blue states.
Hidden W/Biden
Amy Barrett vote was 12-0, the 10 Democratic senators failed to do their job, fucking cowards and crybabies.
Scott, this is an attempt to distract attention from the President's mishandled of the pandemic.
In his speech yesterday he said that all the tests are showing the outbreak is getting worse, because we are testing too much!
James wins, 3000 babies murdered on average everyday at his beloved cult of death alter.
đ¤¤Tony Bobulinski, who was listed as the recipient of an email published by the New York Post that appeared to detail a business arrangement involving a Chinese company and members of the Biden family, has confirmed that the email is "genuine" and provided more information regarding the Bidens' role in the deal.
The email includes a note that “Hunter has some office expectations he will elaborate.” A proposed equity split references “20” for “H” and “10 held by H for the big guy?” with no further details.đ¤¤
So that is how Joe bought four homes.
https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/522212-trump-teases-preemptive-release-of-60-minutes-interview
President Trump on Thursday teased the release of an unedited version of his interview with "60 Minutes" as his attacks on the widely watched news program dragged into a third day.
The president has been fixated on the interview with veteran journalist Lesley Stahl, which ended abruptly after Trump grew frustrated with the questioning.
He's been getting more angry every day.
I suspect he will not look Presidential in the debate tonight.
Scott, and the rest of the truthers will be thrilled. But it won't widen his margins of undecideds and the college educated women who voted for him in 2016.
Kputz, Do you believe that life begins at the moment of inception?
I know life begins at conception.
So does the Law of murder in California..
Mike Emanuel
@MikeEmanuelFox
May 20, 2017 text exchange obtained by #FoxNews - Tony Bobulinski is warned by business partner James Gilliar "Don't mention Joe being involved, it's only when u are face to face, I know u know that but they are paranoid", which I'm told is a reference to Joe Biden
Andrew Surabian
@Surabees
On one hand, I'm disgusted by the mainstream media blackout of these texts showing that Joe Biden was part of Hunter's corrupt foreign schemes, but on the other hand, I'm enjoying watching them destroy their own credibility
by blatantly ignoring it for partisan political reasons.
https://twitter.com/Surabees/status/1319300699839254529
So Joe wanted a blackout of his name and only face-to-face discussions to document.
Sounds like an innocent man.
ROFLMFAO !!!
you couldn't be more corrupt.
Both Biden and the state media
KansasDemocrat said...
I know life begins at conception.
the left will insist that this is not true while insisting that there's 57 genders, masks are proven to work with no evidence, and we can control the climate of a 4.5 BILLION year old planet.
Birth control pills stop the fertilized egg to go into the ovaries, so in your opinion, birth control pills are murder.
The Scotus said they are legal.
You would reverse the decision.
"Birth control pills stop the fertilized egg to go into the ovaries, so in your opinion, birth control pills are murder." Alky
Do yourself a huge favor.
Express your own flawed opinions .
I answered your question, something you rarely do.
Then you posted nonsense.
Proving you never ever were in debate, or "stage".
Automatic loss by debate rules in High School and College is when "you project" that which the other them never stated.
Again, "projecting" is an automatic "loss".
Roger, attempt to learn.
The refirmision era brought the modern world that brought us to the modern world.
Well that’s as clear as mud.
Opiates early today?
đunpopular damageđ¤¤
Alky, calm down .
In a debate, when the other person, takes his opponents words as proof of their opinion is wrong, he wins the debate.
I did debates and I never lost.
Reformation.
Auto fill.
"The refirmision era brought the modern world that brought us to the modern world."
What?
Roger racks up 3 self inflicted losses.
The rest doesn’t make any sense either and BTW autocorrect doesn’t misspell words
Idiot
The Protestant Reformation was the 16th-century religious, political, intellectual and cultural upheaval that splintered Catholic Europe, setting in place the structures and beliefs that would define the continent in the modern era. In northern and central Europe, reformers like Martin Luther, John Calvin and Henry VIII challenged papal authority and questioned the Catholic Church’s ability to define Christian practice. They argued for a religious and political redistribution of power into the hands of Bible- and pamphlet-reading pastors and princes. The disruption triggered wars, persecutions and the so-called Counter-Reformation, the Catholic Church’s delayed but forceful response to the Protestants.
I'm a history nerd
rrb and kputz don't believe science.
You want to go back to the dark ages.
The reformation era brought the modern world that brought us to the modern world.
If the President decides to be a creationist and the world is only 6,000 years old, according to the First Book of the Bible, you would agree with him.
The Trump administration has caused irreparable harm to the Republican party.
Roger Amick said...
Birth control pills stop the fertilized egg to go into the ovaries, so in your opinion, birth control pills are murder.
a fertilized egg doesn't "go into the ovaries" dumbass.
a fertilized egg goes into the uterus, attaches to the uterine wall, and begins to develop. this is true of most mammals include humans and "milk cattle."
BC pills prevent ovulation in the first place, genius.
so in conclusion, the alky FAILS AGAIN:
Most birth control pills are "combination pills" containing a mix of the hormones estrogen and progesterone to prevent ovulation (the release of an egg during the monthly cycle). A woman cannot get pregnant if she doesn't ovulate because there is no egg to be fertilized.
Well, Ch, you sure seemed "cocky" when you often emphasized that the deaths per million in states with Republican governors was far, far lower then in states with Democratic governors. So I guess it's not too "cocky" of me to point out that's no longer true.
If the Trump Supreme Court is presented with a decision on Griswold v. Connecticut, the originalist judicial philosophy could reverse Griswold v. Connecticut, because it was not in the original version of the Constitution.
Blogger Roger Amick said...
rrb and kputz don't believe science.
says the clown who just got schooled on how BC pills work.
I did debates and I never lost.
LOL.
I used the wrong word uterus.
Birth control pills stop the fertilized egg to go into the uterus and attach to the uterine, and develop into a fetus, in your opinion, birth control pills are murder.
The Scotus said they are legal.
You would reverse the decision.
Sometimes I should go do a little research, before I say something. Like the birth control issue.
But the fact is that I caught you and won the game!
https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/522212-trump-teases-preemptive-release-of-60-minutes-interview
President Trump on Thursday teased the release of an unedited version of his interview with "60 Minutes" as his attacks on the widely watched news program dragged into a third day.
The president has been fixated on the interview with veteran journalist Lesley Stahl, which ended abruptly after Trump grew frustrated with the questioning.
He's been getting more angry every day.
I suspect he will not look Presidential in the debate tonight.
If you take an objective look at how the President has been saying at his campaign appearances you would see the man he is.
Even Republicans are getting nervous.
The birth control pill, for example, prevents pregnancy in three ways: The pill thickens the cervical mucus to make it more difficult for sperm to reach the egg; it suppresses ovulation by mimicking pregnancy-level hormones in the body, preventing eggs from being released from the ovaries; and finally, as a fail-safe, ...Nov 7, 2011
Kayleigh McEnany
@kayleighmcenany
·
2h
In the past 5 days, President
@realDonaldTrump
has traveled to 5 states, nearly 6,000 miles! Airplane
He has carried his message directly to the American People while
@JoeBiden
sat in his basement, traveling to 0 states, 0 miles!
The American People deserve better
Quite telling
The birth control pill, for example, prevents pregnancy in three ways: The pill thickens the cervical mucus to make it more difficult for sperm to reach the egg; it suppresses ovulation by mimicking pregnancy-level hormones in the body, preventing eggs from being released from the ovaries; and finally, as a fail-safe.
A very conservative Scotus majority may reverse the decision ? vs Mississippi
“I am asking you to believe in Joe’s ability, and Kamala’s ability, to lead this country out of these dark times, and help us build back better. We can’t abandon those protesters who inspired us; we’ve got to channel that activism into action. We can’t just imagine a better future; we’ve got to fight for it. We’ve got to out-hustle the other side. We’ve got to vote like never before and leave no doubt. Make a plan right now for how you’re going to get involved and vote. Do it as early as you can and tell your family and friends how they can vote too. Don’t stop with Joe and Kamala – make sure you vote all the way down the ticket. And if we pour all our effort into these 12 days; if we vote up and down the ticket like never before; then we will elect Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. And we will leave no doubt about what this country we love stands for.” - President Barack Obama
A lot of people see the President's rallies are super spreader events are irresponsible!
The women's march was also irresponsible!
As are BLM protests!
Just being real.
Don’t go if you’re old and sickly
Anonymous Caliphate4vr said...
Kayleigh McEnany
@kayleighmcenany
Dumb and really fucking dumb!!!!!! Big donnie showing us he is a tough guy.....his sickness could have killed him......!!!!!! Obese old fat man with high risk factor might have not been been survivable if he were not in the WH!!!! His message of hate and BS is just a dog and pony show for the moronic GOP slurpers.....sad so many stupid people believe in the charlatan fraud TV show!!!!!!!
Roger, you lost here 5 times on just this thread.
Obese old fat man with high risk factor
You and he have quite a bit in common, eh tubby?
As usual the mouth of the fucking south adds his worthless insults so all can see what a dumb fuck he is!!!!!1 Dr Kendrick is your hero......BWAAAAAAAAAA!!!! Such a tough guy he is.....LOLOLOLOL Keep proving why you are a trump slurper.....
ABC Kristen Welker , job tonight, protect and defend Joe.
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