Saturday, November 28, 2020

This is an interesting read... if you understand statistics...

Anomalies in Vote Counts and Their Effects on Election 2020
In the early hours of November 4th, 2020, Democratic candidate Joe Biden received several major “vote spikes” that substantially — and decisively — improved his electoral position in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia. Much skepticism and uncertainty surrounds these “vote spikes.” Critics point to suspicious vote counting practices, extreme differences between the two major candidates’ vote counts, and the timing of the vote updates, among other factors, to cast doubt on the legitimacy of some of these spikes. While data analysis cannot on its own demonstrate fraud or systemic issues, it can point us to statistically anomalous cases that invite further scrutiny.
This is one such case: Our analysis finds that a few key vote updates in competitive states were unusually large in size and had an unusually high Biden-to-Trump ratio. We demonstrate the results differ enough from expected results to be cause for concern.

Previously I have discussed statistical anomalies that dealt with odd vote counts in certain counties that appear to show stark difference between the 2016 Trump/Clinton results and the 2020 Trump/Biden results. Generally speaking, these were anomalies due to:

  • Much higher margin of Biden to Trump ratio than other counties with the same demographics.
  • Much higher margin of Biden to Trump ratio than surrounding counties.
  • Much higher Democratic voter turnout than other counties with the same demographics
  • Much higher Democratic voter turnout than surrounding counties
These were not smallish anomalies, either. As suggested, single county differences between 2016 and 2020 made up the entire margin of victory for Biden in three different states, while a combination of two different counties made up the difference in two other states. 

This particular article deals with something completely different (but likely related) to these county anomalies. It looks at the so called "vote drops" that take place when a particular county uploads vote totals to the Secretary of State office. What they found was several statistical anomalies that are somewhat close to being unexplainable. 

In some cases, the Biden to Trump ratio did not correlate to any particular county count that you could find and would have required the inclusion of  multiple large Biden counts coming in simultaneously from multiple counties. In some cases the Trump vote was so low, that he barely beat the third party candidate (a result that also cannot be found in any of the actual reported totals anywhere). 

This report studies 8,954 individual updates to the vote totals in all 50 states and finds that four individual updates — two of which were widely noticed on the internet, including by the President — are profoundly anomalous; they deviate from a pattern which is otherwise found in the vast majority of the remaining 8,950 vote updates. The findings presented by this report [28]suggest that four vote count updates — which collectively were decisive in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia, and thus decisive of a critical forty-two electoral votes — are especially anomalous and merit further investigation.

Again, this is not unlike what I found when looking at the counties that provided Biden with the margin of victory in several swing states. There doesn't seem to be any correlation to what happened in other parts of the states or in other similar areas. 

Now as pointed out by this article, none of this (on it's own) proves fraud or tampering. It just seems to warrant someone taking the time to make a reasonable explanation for it (assuming that there is a reasonable explanation).

All that being said, there is one thing that these four large drops that feature huge wild anomalies have in common. They all took place in the middle of the night or very early morning, and they all took place in states where the Governors and Secretary of States had claimed that they were done counting. 


90 comments:

Myballs said...

Precisely
And the mainstream media refuses to cover this. If this fraud is allowed to stand, it could destroy our democratic election process and usher in the socialism that the new dem party wants.

Three are far many highly questionable activities that are unexplained. Half 5he country thinks the election was fraudulent.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The latest votes that changed the election numbers, came from the inner city ballot stations.

They strongly support the Democratic candidates

Those spreadsheet and graphics show the last votes favored Biden, but they have zero evidence of fraud

Myballs said...

Roger's post suggests that he does not understand the thread commentary. Not a surprise. He's never studied statistical analysis.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

These were not smallish anomalies, because the voters in the suburbs voted against Trump.

They all took place in the middle of the night or very early morning, and they all took place in states where the Governors and Secretary of States had claimed that they were done counting. 

Is meaningless because the latest votes were from the inner city areas because there were a huge number of voters, and some were mail ballots.

If you took this to a court hearing, the justice would laugh you out of the courtroom.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

I know how to read analysis because I did that for decades. I also wrote analysis on complex medical issues as related to construction issues .


Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The red dots on the bottom left side of the graph is meaningless because the later results changed the outcome of the election

Myballs said...

The turnout % is highly questionable in those particular cities. It's is a valid inquiry. For example, WI had 89% turnout. When their own Paul Ryan was on 5he ticket in 2013, turnout only reached 70%. This extreme turnout is worthy of audit. Yet the mainstream media is not interested in even acknowledging it.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

If you took this to a court hearing, the justice would laugh you out of the courtroom.

Myballs said...

No you don't. Your a minimally education wannabe who needs to embellish everything you say and do to try to keep up with the rest of us.

Anonymous said...

"Roger AmickNovember 24, 2020 at 4:05 PM

I'm not a great mathematician"🤣



Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

We had a record turnout, that's not proof of fraud asshole

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The turnout % is highly questionable in those particular cities.


Why,??????

Myballs said...

Biden won a record low 17% of counties. And yet received 80M votes? This is highly unlikely and deserves to be audited.

Anonymous said...

My balls, 2020. Roger has obtained.
1, A Huge Bank Account
2, A Model Girlfriend
3, A Luxury Home
4, A Audi A8 ($78 k)

Well, in his dreams.
In reality, he hasn't got a pot to piss in, the only land he owns in on the bottom of his shoes.

Anonymous said...

Roger , skillless step n fetch.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

the fact that these incredibly large anomalies taking place in the exact battleground states that Biden needed to win seems to be an entirely different anomaly.

A judge would ask for evidence of fraud via fraudulent registration!

He would ask for evidence of mail ballots were sent by dead people in sufficient numbers of change the outcome of the election.


a highly improbable anomaly is an opinion. That's not admissible.

C.H. Truth said...

Roger's post suggests that he does not understand the thread commentary.

Understanding this article requires at least a basic concept of statistics. Roger attempts to cover the concept that he doesn't understand statistics in any reasonable fashion requires him to make stupid statement such as suggesting the drops just represented "inner city ballots".

If they simply mirrored the numbers reported in "inner city" areas than there would actually be no anomaly here, and you would have seen multiple drops with the exact same type of numbers.

But lo and behold there were no actual precincts (much less counties) that went 23.5 to 1 for Biden, much less did so with the amount of votes necessary to make those anomalies possible. In Dane county (for instance) Biden won by about a 3.25 to 1 margin. Meaning the 23.5 to 1 margin is actually off by a factor of 6.7 - which is virtually statistically impossible when you are talking about drops that include nearly 150,000 votes.


Moreover, considering the entire concept of mail in votes, actual votes, inner city advantages for Democrats exists in all 50 states... the fact that these incredibly large anomalies taking place in the exact battleground states that Biden needed to win seems to be an entirely different anomaly.


Even if you concluded that these handful of anomalies were otherwise possible, the chances that all but a couple of them taking place in three states mentioned in this article is also a highly improbable anomaly.



Roger has two concepts.

- Simplifying things he doesn't understand as if that justifies his lack of understanding (does he really believe that there are places where Biden beat Trump by 23.5 to 1 or that he did so by the tens of thousands)? Perhaps he does, but that just makes him all the more misinformed.

- Or demanding that reading statistical analysis by a group of statisticians is akin to simply "defending Trump" as if Trump has anything do to with this article.


What Roger will never do is admit he doesn't understand or otherwise admit that these sort of anomalies are at the very least strange.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

You make this too easy to discredit

Myballs said...

So he both to hold the clipboard the last five years of his career and thinks that is equivalent to statistical analysis.

If he knew statistics, he wouldn't be so ignorant in economics.

Myballs said...

You haven't discredited anything.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Flynn Says Trump Won In a ‘Massive Landslide’
6:07 pm EST
Michael Flynn, in his first i terrier since being pardoned, told the Washington Times he believes Donald Trump won his race for reelection contrary to it being called for Democratic rival Joe Biden.

Said Flynn: “There is no doubt in my mind that he won this election. Hands down. In a landslide.”

He added: “I believe that at the end of the day we’re going to find out that he won by a massive landslide and he’ll be inaugurated come this January.”
____________

I'll tell you what I believe, Mr. Flynn. I believe Trump said to you,
"If you just promise to say I won, I'll pardon you."
___________

Did he ever say that BEFORE the pardon?
__________

I must say, I did NOT expect Ch to come out with THIS stupid a stupidity.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

"...and he’ll be inaugurated come this January.”

...and pigs will fly.

Anonymous said...

Roger likes making those kind of statements, he is very emotional.

He lacks the basic ability to do math.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

You guys are accusing honest Republicans who were involved in running the fairest election they possibly could -- you are accusing them of crass dishonesty.

Anonymous said...

James rushes in out of breath and vastly off topic.

Violating , once again his own standards of personal conduct.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

"You haven't discredited anything."

A true statement, if applied to Ch.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Political motivated anomalies are almost never admissible. Because Scott, they are opinions. Maybe this concept is above your abilities.

Cue the insult

Myballs said...

Actually we're saying it deserves a legitimate audit. Just because some are Republican doesn't mean they want Trump gone. There are plenty of gop never trumpers.

Myballs said...

James actually posted his own comment. Do I don't mind responding.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Exactly!

On the previous post I found evidence of plagiarism and a letter from John Hopkins that blew up his mind

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

AS I SAID,
State Republicans Resisted Trump’s Election Narrative

6:02 pm EST
New York Times:
“If the president hoped Republicans across the country would fall in line behind his false and farcical claims that the election was somehow rigged on a mammoth scale by a nefarious multinational conspiracy, he was in for a surprise. Republicans in Washington may have indulged Mr. Trump’s fantastical assertions, but at the state and local level, Republicans played a critical role in resisting the mounting pressure from their own party to overturn the vote after Mr. Trump fell behind on Nov. 3.

“The three weeks that followed tested American democracy and demonstrated that the two-century-old system is far more vulnerable to subversion than many had imagined even though the incumbent president lost by six million votes nationwide. But in the end, the system stood firm against the most intense assault from an aggrieved president in the nation’s history
because of a Republican city clerk in Michigan,
a Republican secretary of state in Georgia,
a Republican county supervisor in Arizona
and Republican-appointed judges in Pennsylvania and elsewhere.”

________

MEANWHILE, HOWEVER, CH HIS FELLOW BOTTOM FEEDERS HERE AT CHTRUTH.COM SLURPED UP TRUMP'S PREPOSTEROUS BILE WHOLESALE.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

My last post may come from the NY Times, but it represents objective truth better than I could express it myself, and better than anything Ch or any of you can credibly or convincingly refute.

You can't make liars out of the entire GOP, only yourselves and a far too large portion of the GOP who have obsequiously made liars out of themselves.

Historical truth will prevail, to the ongoing detriment of the GOP.

Anonymous said...

The NFL has done everything to keep players, safe and healthy, epic fail.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

white flag

C.H. Truth said...

MEANWHILE, HOWEVER, CH HIS FELLOW BOTTOM FEEDERS HERE AT CHTRUTH.COM SLURPED UP TRUMP'S PREPOSTEROUS BILE WHOLESALE.


If you have no ability to add anything of substance to this discussion of statistical anomalies... just say so.

You don't have to go ahead show that just like Roger... you view any view point that doesn't follow the Democratic (nothing to see here) attitude as somehow having to do with Trump.


I guarantee you that Trump had "nothing" to do with this group of accomplished statisticians pointing out statistical anomalies that have no real explanation.

Keep in mind that I have not suggested that there was any sort of international conspiracy or that Joe Biden is a foreign agent who conspired with some foreign leader to steal the election.

That was you and yours who went on and on and on for three years about Russia, Russia, Russia and how Putin and Trump conspired to steal an election.


I have written at length about very real statistical irregularities, and this article represents statisticians way more qualified than I am who have found even graver statistical irregularity in regards to vote drops... that just happens to correlate "exactly" with the statistical anomalies that took place in the exact counties that Biden needed to win.

Now unlike the Russian conspiracy that you and your ilk suggested for three years that never had a shred of evidence... there is actual evidence of suspicious statistical problems.

The fact that you cannot go to court with statistical anomalies and overthrow an election is not at issue. I know that. They know that. It's not the point.

So either ante up with your extensive knowledge of statistics (or be like Roger and pretend that there is nothing unusual about 150,000 vote drops where they go 23.1 to 1 for one candidate... or drops of 40,000-50,000 where Trump barely gets as many votes as the Libertarian.

Because try as you may (and I know you won't bother) - you will not see these sort of percentages in any precinct in any county anywhere.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

If what you and they say has any real merit, it seems to me that someone should be able to take their arguments into court and convince Trump appointed judges of their correctness.

And failing that, get the agreement of SCOTUS.

The first has not happened and the second will not.

So your arguments can gain no legal standing?

Seems you just admitted that is so.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

You are simply playing the Trump game.

Sow doubt, as much as you can and wherever you can.

But that is only with the Trumpian true believers.

Myballs said...

The necessity for audit has been shown. The evidence comes from the audit. But the media dont want one.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Do any Republican appointed judges?

Anonymous said...

Has Joe and his HOE changed their position?

or are they still anti-vaxers.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

And if not, why not?

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

The Pennsylvania Supreme Court dismissed a lawsuit Saturday night from US Rep. Mike Kelly and other Republicans, after they had tried to invalidate absentee voting and block the certification of votes in recent weeks.
The dismissal adds to a growing number of losses in court for Republicans and supporters of President Donald Trump, who have tried to attack voting systems in the wake of President-elect Joe Biden's victory. The lawsuits have failed almost uniformly.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Myballs said...
The necessity for audit has been shown. The evidence comes from the audit. But the media dont want one.

james said...
Do any Republican appointed judges?

Anonymous said...

James asked us to compare counties.

Ok.

I live in a very rural county.
We have had 231 positive tests, no deaths.

Normal, Illinois is a dumpster fire.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Myballs said...
The necessity for audit has been shown. The evidence comes from the audit. But the media dont want one.

james said...
Do any Republican appointed judges?
And if not, why not?

Anonymous said...

McLean County
8,200 cases
54 Dead

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Myballs said...
The necessity for audit has been shown. The evidence comes from the audit. But the media dont want one.

james said...
Do any Republican appointed judges?
And if not, why not?

Myballs said...

Perhaps. But you've skipped a step.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

What step is that?

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Myballs said...
The necessity for audit has been shown. The evidence comes from the audit. But the media dont want one.

james said...
Do any Republican appointed judges?
And if not, why not?

Myballs said...
Perhaps. But you've skipped a step.

james said...
What step is that?

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Crickets.

Ch or anybody, would you be so nice as to answer that?

Myballs said...

I'm talking about recognizing the need for an audit of results based on highly irregular anomalies in the election results. There are some who should see and apply th8s before a judge.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Why has that not been done?

Myballs said...

James I did have a life ya know.

Myballs said...

Do

Caliphate4vr said...

james said...
Do any Republican appointed judges?
And if not, why not?


What state would that be stupid?

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Well, spare us just a small portion of your life to defend statements you make.

Myballs said...

Why indeed? Some do not want anything questioned.

Myballs said...

Well...thats what I've been doing. I suspect that you choose both to see it. And save the attitude.

Myballs said...

Not

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Myballs said...
The necessity for audit has been shown. The evidence comes from the audit. But the media dont want one.

james said...
Do any Republican appointed judges?
And if not, why not?

Myballs said...
Perhaps. But you've skipped a step.

james said...
What step is that?

Myballs said...
I'm talking about recognizing the need for an audit of results based on highly irregular anomalies in the election results. There are some who should see and apply this before a judge.

james said...
Why has that not been done?
And if not, why not?

Myballs said...
Why indeed? Some do not want anything questioned.

james said...
Because they just don't want to question anything, or because the charges brought before them are too preposterous to have any legal standing?

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Suits have already been filed with highly irregular anomalies. The judge asked for evidence, when they had no evidence of irregular anomalies the judge dismissed the suit.

You have to quit reading PJ media and Breitbart and @realdonaldtrump Twitter feed and read the fake news to get the facts.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Roger has answered. Thanks.

Caliphate4vr said...

Pedo what state are republican judges appointed?

Myballs said...

We can all read the thread. No need to repost it all.

And clearly some do not want these statistical irregularities addressed.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

But why would Republican, Trump appointed judges not want that?

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

myballs, Minnesota’s turnout average for the last 3 elections was 76% and in 2020 it was a full 13% higher. In Wisconsin, the average was 71% last 3 elections, so the 2020 increase was a whopping 18%. The 2020 turnout percentages in WI and MN are fully 9% higher than in 2018.

The anomalies are the result of high record turnout not fraud

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Again Roger brings sanity. Thanks.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

And high record turnout was fueled in large part by extreme disdain for the Republican nominee, Trump.

Myballs said...

I've been here posting for 2.5 hours now. Much longer than usual. But I do have to go.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Schlaff gut.
(Sleep well.)

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

* schlaf (My German's getting rusty.)

C.H. Truth said...

If what you and they say has any real merit, it seems to me that someone should be able to take their arguments into court and convince Trump appointed judges of their correctness.

The fact that statistical anomalies such as this CANNOT BE TAKEN TO COURT does not in any manner, shape or form undermine their validity.

Election challenges (as explained over and over and over) require the proof of fraud up front. The lack of time to engage in discovery and such is why these lawsuits are different. As pointed out by many legal minds (again more qualified than anyone here) - there are issues with this election that under normal circumstances of law would make it past dismissal and move into discovery phases (where a general lawsuit would take months or even years in some cases).

I actually give you some credit and believe that you are smart enough to realize that the timing between election and the certification deadlines (safe haven dates) do not allow for such lawsuits.

So that means you are simply dishonestly suggesting that because these statisticians don't take this to "court" that they must be wrong.

That is idiotic and open and transparent red herring.


So I ask you again...

Do you understand this article enough to comment intelligently, and if so do you pretend to have an explanation to provide for them (other than the silly Roger concept that they are simply wrong without explanation).

C.H. Truth said...

myballs, Minnesota’s turnout average for the last 3 elections was 76%

It was actually 79.9% this year, Roger... not 13 percent higher which would have put us at nearly 90%. This was literally discussed by my brother in law who works for a Minnesota State Senator and is a City Counsel member of his city.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Pennsylvania High Court Throws Out Challenge to Ballots
8:16 pm EST
“The Pennsylvania Supreme Court on Saturday rejected an election challenge spearheaded by Rep. Mike Kelly (R-PA), who argued that a law permitting no-excuse mail voting violated the state Constitution,” NBC News reports.

“Kelly, along with several other Pennsylvania Republicans, sought to invalidate millions of mail-in votes, which could have ceded a key state won by President-Elect Joe Biden to President Trump.”

Washington Post:
“Legal experts had predicted little chance of success for the suit, which also sought to block certification of election results. Trump and his allies have gained no substantive traction across more than two dozen cases trying to undermine President-elect Joe Biden’s win since Election Day.”

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Inside Trump’s Quest to Overturn the Election
8:34 pm EST

Washington Post:
“The 20 days between the election on Nov. 3 and the greenlighting of Biden’s transition exemplified some of the hallmarks of life in Trump’s White House:
a government paralyzed by the president’s fragile emotional state;
advisers nourishing his fables;
expletive-laden feuds between factions of aides and advisers;
and a pernicious blurring of truth and fantasy.

“This account of one of the final chapters in Trump’s presidency is based on interviews with 32 senior administration officials, campaign aides and other advisers to the president, as well as other key figures in his legal fight, many of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity to share details about private discussions and to candidly assess the situation.”

_______

"This account" appears in WaPo and sounds as if it would be extremely interesting reading.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Ch asks me this question:

"Do you understand this article enough to comment intelligently, and if so do you pretend to have an explanation to provide for them (other than the silly Roger concept that they are simply wrong without explanation)."

My answer:
First, it does not seem to me that Roger's answer is all that silly. But if, as you say, these alleged anomalies cannot be gathered together and legally used in time for an overthrowing of the election before certification, then these alleged anomalies will surely be examined extensively in the "court" of public opinion and, better yet, beneath the "microscopes" of real historical research, and we shall ultimately see what the outcome there will be.

Simply put, what will be the ultimate verdict of objective historians and history? How, after extensive examination, will this President and these alleged "anomalies" ultimately be seen and presented in the hallowed annals of American history?

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

From the silly Roger Einstein Visa lol

As of today

Where cases per capita are highest

N.D.

S.D.

Wyo.

N.M.

Minn.

Neb.

Ind.

Kan.

Iowa

Utah

Mont.

Wis.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

MILWAUKEE – A dangerous fiction has made its way through social media and American politics, the idea that COVID-19 is really only a danger to the elderly or those with a severe, chronic illness.

"Those who are in terrific shape, are young and have no prior illness can, indeed, become critically ill from COVID," said Nina Shapiro, a professor at the David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA and author of the book, "HYPE: A Doctor's Guide to Medical Myths, Exaggerated Claims and Bad Advice."

"Many have died and many will die. In addition, healthy people are continuing to unknowingly spread COVID to the elderly, who, in turn, become quite ill and are at higher risk for death."

To those young adults who doubt their vulnerability to the pandemic, "I would invite them to visit our ICU and see the multiple tragedies of younger people who are infected with COVID," said Daniel S. Talmor, chairman of anesthesia, critical care and pain medicine at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center in Boston.

"I think people are willing themselves to believe that they are not at risk because they are young and healthy, but that's a very dangerous and mistaken belief."

The persistent dismissal of the pandemic as an overhyped virus that kills mainly the elderly and those already severely ill has undermined the public health message that "we're all in this together."

Moreover, when the young and healthy underestimate the danger, it provides new opportunities for the virus to spread, especially at a time when many Americans have grown weary from months of wearing masks, canceling birthday parties and downsizing weddings and funerals.

The result has been all-too-predictable: reckless behavior and skyrocketing cases, with Wisconsin ranking among the highest rates of COVID cases in the nation.

College parties are believed to have triggered outbreaks at Notre Dame, the University of New Hampshire and the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Riskier yet was the 10-day motorcycle rally in Sturgis, South Dakota, which drew almost half a million people in August. The rally has been linked to COVID outbreaks in South Dakota and Minnesota, and cases across a dozen states.

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Now, Americans face a moment of peril, but also promise. Public health leaders worry that at a time when the first vaccines appear to be just a few weeks away from emergency use, people will disregard warnings and gather for the holidays.

"The tragic thing is that now we're very close to having a solution available, if people would just hold on for a few more months," said Nasia Safdar, medical director of infection control at UW Health in Madison. "We don't have to see the devastation in health care systems, and the people who are dying from it."

Safdar and others say that while age definitely increases the likelihood that a patient will experience more severe illness from COVID-19, there is no ironclad protection for the young.

"That concept that young people do not get extremely ill and die from COVID-19 is simply not true," said Jakob I. McSparron, associate director of critical care medicine at Michigan Medicine in Ann Arbor.

"The majority of patients in our intensive care unit currently are below 60. There are three patients in their 20s."

McSparron said the myth that the young have little to fear from COVID has also led to people unknowingly infecting friends and loved ones, who have then died. An infected person may not show symptoms of the disease, but they can still pass it to others, a phenomenon doctors call "asymptomatic spread."

"We had a very young man with chronic disease who was very fearful of acquiring COVID," McSparron said. "Unfortunately, someone visited him at home who did not know they had COVID. The young man did end up getting COVID and dying of COVID."

A grim toll

The death toll of Americans under the age of 40 from COVID-19 — 3,571 — has now surpassed the total death toll from the 9/11 terrorist attacks.


Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

https://www.newsbreakapp.com/n/0XnfsfRZ?s=a99&pd=06knAsNf&hl=en_US

Caliphate4vr said...

chairman of anesthesia,

You fucking hack earlier this week you discounted an article from a PATHOLOGIST and now you use an anesthetist

Coldheartedtruth Teller said...

Chris Krebs, the former director of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency who publicly countered President Trump's claims of election interference, says he regrets not being able to say goodbye to his team before the president fired him. In his first interview since his dismissal, airing Sunday on 60 Minutes, Krebs reiterates that the election process was the most secure in history and that his public firing by America's leader was "not how I wanted to go out."


Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/kamala-harris-trump-rerun-madam-vice-president-t-shirt_n_5fc2d381c5b66bb88c676751

(see video above)
Harris Gets Big Laugh Out Of Another Trump Run
12:37 am EST
“Vice President-elect Kamala Harris enjoyed some comic relief Saturday when a reporter asked for her reaction to the possibility of Donald Trump running again for president in 2024. ‘Please,’ she responded, deadpan, before bursting into laughter — along with the journalists and spectators around her,” the HuffPost reports.


Colorado Governor Tests Positive
12:30 am EST
Colorado Gov. Jared Polis (D) and his spouse tested positive for COVID-19 Saturday.

anonymous said...

I read enough of this Lil Schitty screed and link to realize that

1. No names in executive summary why is that???
2. Biden won
3. Who cares how the tallies were released biden got more votes
4 4 anomalies out of 8500 did not change the outcome!!!!!!
5. No clue why Lil Schitty thought this was germane!!!!!!!

C.H. Truth said...

First, it does not seem to me that Roger's answer is all that silly

Roger's answer was that the statisticians were wrong when they say that these drops were statistical anomalies. Roger's real answer was that the drops (such as the 23.7 to 1 in one 150,000 drop) or drops where Trump barely beat the third Party candidate were actually just reflections of actual urban counties that apparently these statisticians missed.

Of course Roger could go to Michigan (where this drop happened) and find those counties... but the only counties Biden won that has that many votes are Washtenaw (72-26), Wayne County (68-30), Kalamazoo (58-40), Oakland county (56-42), Genessee (54-44), and Kent County (52-46). However a 150,000 from any of those counties is far too many votes (in comparison to their totals) to show a disparity between their actual vote counts and the 23.7 to 1 Biden drop seen. It would be virtually impossible.

Only Oakland and Wayne have enough overall voters to absorb 150,000 votes and still have enough room to account for the final count. But that would suggest that Trump would have to have won outright large sections of these two counties (which are in Detroit) to make up the difference between that particular drop and the final counts. I doubt seriously that Trump won many (if any) of the Wayne or Oakland precincts).

then these alleged anomalies will surely be examined extensively in the "court" of public opinion and, better yet, beneath the "microscopes" of real historical research, and we shall ultimately see what the outcome there will be.

Again... I assume you didn't bother to read the article. Meaning you have no interest in even a broad questioning of anything, much less being interested having anything looked at "beneath a microscope".

The "court" of public opinion is largely determined by what people want to look at. In 2016, of course, many people on your side demanded we put the idea that Trump was a Russian agent who worked with Vladimir Putin to "steal the election" under a microscope. Didn't turn out very well and I doubt long term history will look kindly on that.

Something tells me that the media moguls will not be making that same demand in putting voter fraud or statistical anomalies under any microscope.

That being said...

But as it stands right now... as many as 30% of Democrats, nearly half of Independents, and a majority of Republicans believe that there was vote tampering, voter fraud, and that poll workers in many counties were willing to cheat to provide Biden with more votes.

So for many Americans, Joe Biden's win will always have an asterix next to it... and his chances of "unifying" the nation are no better than Trump's were.

anonymous said...

That being said Lil Schitty.....no where do the drops prove anything but your bias!!!!!! As I pointed out above....no authors....and as for the statistical aberration, those data points are well outside the SD and would be tossed in any scientific study!!!!! As the report states.....no fraud can be inferred by the data and that subject of tampering is very well described in Brooks column I posted in funnies!!!! Sorry sport you have spent an inordinate amount of time proving nothing!!!!!! BWAAAAAAAAAA!!!

C.H. Truth said...

as for the statistical aberration, those data points are well outside the SD and would be tossed in any scientific study!!!!!

Sure Denny...

Nobody knows more about math, statistics, and standard deviations than you!

Of course, since the statistical aberrations in this case are not hypothetical or part of some model... they cannot just be "thrown out".

But you make a great point. If this study was based on a simulation (and not real life) these anomalies would actually be considered too out of whack to be part of the actual data points and they actually would be tossed as unrealistic.


So I guess then, your answer is to toss them in real life too. Which means that you actually have to toss the votes too. That would then mean that Biden lost Georgia, Wisconsin, and Michigan and no longer have enough Electoral College votes to win the election.

Great call genius!

Thanks for making my point!!

anonymous said...

ince the statistical aberrations in this case are not hypothetical or part of some model..

Which again proves nothing you dumb fuck!!!!!!!!!! They are data points, nothing more!!!!!!! Has nothing to do with simulations, that is your BS!!!! In real life, data is analyzed before application....Like GW when a temperature in miami in a data set is minus 2 degrees in summer.....you don't use it!!!!!! Your hypothesis is nothing more than your bias showing !!!!! The inference of fraud is BULLSHIT!!!! Doe the results change with the releases Lil Schitty?? The answer is no....it is just another BS opinion you have posed from a an unknown author of questions credentials just like you!!!!!! BWAAAAAAAAAA!!!!! No body is a bigger bullshiter and expert in everything than you.....Sorry sport, your logic is failing just like masks don't slow the virus argument you lost on!!! BTW....who are the authors and where are they from.....Again I note you ignored my points from earlier!!!!!!!

C.H. Truth said...

They are data points, nothing more!!!!!!! Has nothing to do with simulations, that is your BS!!!! In real life, data is analyzed before application....Like GW when a temperature in miami in a data set is minus 2 degrees in summer.....you don't use it!!!!!!

Well these vote drops are not measured data (such as temperature) that carries with it any sort of statistical MOE.

They are concrete numbers that have zero MOE and there is not a means to statistically "throw them out" because those votes ARE actually counted in the totals.

The substance of this data (such as Michigan dropping 141,258 Biden votes to 5968 Trump votes) is not in dispute and it's not subject to being incorrectly measured or something outside the margin of error to be thrown out. It concrete absolute data that exists.

The fact that under a statistical model we would likely toss aside this data point as too far outside the margin of error to be correct is nothing more than proof that in very real terms, this sort of vote drop is not legitimate. This sort of vote drop mathematically and statistically cannot exist without some outside manipulation.