Both the President and Joe Biden made weekend visits here to Minnesota just days before the election. It sort of begs the question as to why Minnesota (which went to Clinton in 2016) would be in play? But given both candidates spent valuable time campaigning here, it suggests that they see real value in making this last minute stop.
I would think that Joe Biden (given his polling status) would be possibly attempting to "expand the map" in places like Georgia, Texas, Arizona... or shoring up support in Pennsylvania, Michigan... or possibly campaigning in battleground states like Florida and Ohio where it is said that he is lagging in early voting.
It would be one thing if the Biden campaign has been active and that they just had spent too much time already in these other states, but as it is, the former Vice President has had a very light schedule and has made very few public visits overall compared to a normal campaign. In fact, up until a week or so ago, the Biden campaign was generally done with any campaigning by noon.
The buzz is that both campaigns are tracking their internal numbers much closer than the public polling its suggesting. The Trump campaign believes that they are ahead in most every state that they won in 2016. Now that could be bravado or just a head fake. But the Biden campaign has openly suggested that their internal polling shows the race "very close".
I do not watch much live network television anymore, but I did watch the first half of the Ohio State Penn State football game, and I saw about a half dozen Trump ads, and no Biden ads. I know Biden is supposed to have a huge money advantage, but with all of these midwestern states in play, I find it almost criminal that he didn't have anything on a Saturday evening spotlight big ten matchup that was likely heavily watched not just in Pennsylvania and Ohio, but in every Big Ten state (Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota, Indiana, etc...)
133 comments:
Precisely. Even Keith Ellison is worried about MN flipping to Trump. But of course, the brainless dems here don't think so because 538 says otherwise.
57000 turned out to see Trump in Butler, PA. There are pics. But some cannot takeoff their blinders.
Biden is spending an enormous amount of money in California and New York. I think he wants to ensure he wins the "popular" vote and give some traction to legal arguments after the election.
Can't think of anything else.
And his in-person "campaigning" just exposes how weak he is.
A disaster for him.
The wheels have come off the bus.
speaking of ads, Biden is still running ads in my part of NY. if NY of all places is not a lock for him, he has to be in trouble.
Two new polls released today showed that Minnesota is not going red
Personal views of political advertising is irrelevant.
The Democrats have a huge financial advantage over the RNC and the President's campaign. So the Democrats run commercial ads across the country, even in states that are not open!
Roger Amick said...
Two new polls released today showed that Minnesota is not going red
So why is he campaigning there instead of elsewhere?
To get some exercise ???
Some sunlight ???
Biden is ahead of Trump nationally by 10 points among registered voters,
Four years ago Clinton had 3%
The Democrats have a huge financial advantage over the RNC and the President's campaign. So the Democrats run commercial ads across the country, even in states that are not open!
Blogger Roger Amick said...
Personal views of political advertising is irrelevant.
YOU'RE irrelevant, alky.
democrat presidential candidates don't piss away $$$ on political ads here, ever. NY is a fucking LOCK for democrats.
usually.
this year could be different.
The Democrats have a huge financial advantage over the RNC and the President's campaign. So the Democrats run commercial ads across the country, even in states that are not open!
yeah, right. it's bullshit like this that has me convinced that you don't know your ass from a hole in the ground when it comes to politics.
it would be wiser to just set fire to the pile of cash they've spent on ads here in NY. saves time.
Biden campaign: "We all know that NY is a lock, but let's blow a few million on ads up there just because we can."
imbecile.
Proportionality of population methodology. It's a bogus methodology that over weights CA and NY and under weights the red Midwest.
So the Democrats run commercial ads across the country, even in states that are not open!
You constantly say stupid shit Alky, but that’s up there
I must confess, I find it disturbing that Trump could draw 57000 to Butler, PA last night.
Still, as Roger pointed out, Biden now has a 10% lead nationally while Clinton in '16 had only a 3% lead. And a lot of pollsters remain convinced that there is no way Trump can repeat what he did then.
Biden Holds Wide Lead on Final Weekend
A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump nationally,
52% to 42%.
Ronna McDaniel
@GOPChairwoman
We are seeing DEMOCRATS and INDEPENDENTS turn out in droves for
@realDonaldTrump
’s rallies:
In Rochester, MN:
✅ 53.6% NOT Republican
In Green Bay, WI:
✅ 52.6% NOT Republican
These voters are going to make a huge difference on Tuesday!
8:29 PM · Oct 30, 2020·Sprout Social
5.6K
Retweets
531
Quote Tweets
16.9K
Likes
https://twitter.com/GOPChairwoman/status/1322334803199512578
Actually, much of NY is Republican. But the huge NYC liberal population buries the rest of the state. So we're always forced to accept whatever NYC wants. This is why popular vote would not work for president. Small stat3s would have no voice and ultra liberal California woyld decide everything.
B
And we never ever see presidential tv ads. But we are this year.
According to British betting firm Smarkets, twice as many bettors are backing President Trump to win on Tuesday, despite odds that say that his opponent, former Vice President Joe Biden will clinch the general election.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/twice-as-many-bettors-are-backing-trump-despite-projected-biden-victory-155141283.html
Funny how I've been specifically explaining for months why the national polls are wrong and no one ever speaks back to it.
Funny how I've been specifically explaining for months why the national polls are wrong
Proving what????? That the british bettors have a death wish??????? Seems like they are taking the odds and a prayer!!!!!
democrat presidential candidates don't piss away $$$
BWAAAAAAAAAA!!!!! I guess that's why Trump is still begging for $!!!!!!!!!
Iowa
Oct 29-31, 2020
604 LV
Emerson College
Biden 47%
Trump 49
The newest poll
538
New Democracy Institute poll has electoral college landslide for Trump.
You see things on the television about politics is anecdotal observations are not necessarily true or reliable, because based on personal accounts and opinions rather than facts or research.
135 at work
Mad Maxine just had a tantrum over black support for Trump. She did that because it's not really happening? Or because it is.
Ok ballz your source
The survey of voters by the US President’s favourite pollsters gives him 48 percent ahead of his rival Joe Biden on 47 percent.
In the last days of the campaign the Democrat former vice president who has been dogged by corruption allegations surrounding his son Hunter which have, according to the poll, cut through with the electorate.
His favorite poll,,,???,,,
The Hunter Biden bullshit is not resonating with the electorate.
Geezzzzzz
sweephttps://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/10/31/election-2020-iowa-poll-president-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden/6061937002/
Trump leads the final Selzer poll of Iowa by 7 points, 48 to 41.
That's the same margin as their final poll four years ago, which wound up foreshadowing Trump's Midwestern
PA seeing a late shift to Trump, in part because of Biden's I'll advised anti tracking rhetoric. Trump knows it and has focused on the state to bring it home.
Mr. Biden's Neighborhood:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1322546652213846018
Emerson College
Biden 47%
Trump 49
You caught them!
Blogger Roger Amick said...
You see things on the television about politics is anecdotal observations are not necessarily true or reliable, because based on personal accounts and opinions rather than facts or research.
135 at work
this doesn't even make sense.
is there anyone here who speaks 'alky' and can translate?
You are saying what the President says. But the polls show that Biden has a strong lead, beyond the margin of error
If you are take off the mask and think for yourself
Google anecdotal
John Hindraker predicting Trump reelection and gop keeping the Senate.
Larry Schweikart
@LarrySchweikart
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3900518/posts
I don't do polls, but for those of you who do, looks like we might pick up a NH House seat in an upset.
I think we are only about 5 more of these "upsets" from taking the House. We're around 12-13 right now.
I think if Trump wins he will hold all three branches
I knew what an·ec·do·tal
/ΛanΙkΛdΕdl/
Learn to pronounce
adjective
(of an account) not necessarily true or reliable, because based on personal accounts rather than facts or research.
"while there was much anecdotal evidence there was little hard fact"
Google dictionary
As well as the Senate and House...
"while there was much anecdotal evidence there was little hard fact"
explains why someone (roger amick) was posting those earlier
ROFLMFAO !!!
Biden Holds Wide Lead on Final Weekend
10:17 am
A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump nationally,
52% to 42%.
However, the survey finds the race tightening when the landscape is narrowed to a set of 12 battleground states. Biden holds a 6-point lead in those states, 51% to 45%, compared with a 10-point lead last month.
Biden’s advantage in swing states is within the poll’s margin of error and corresponds with the many swing-state surveys that show a close race and potential path for Mr. Trump to build an Electoral College majority without winning the national popular vote, as he did in 2016.
Biden Leads with Latino Voters by 2 to 1
10:20 am
Joe Biden leads Donald Trump among Latino voters by about a 2-1 margin days before the presidential election, 62% to 29%, according to a new NBC News/ Wall Street Journal/ Telemundo poll.
NEW YORK TIMES:
We Have Never Had Final Results on Election Day
11:06 am
“For weeks, President Trump and his allies have been laying groundwork to challenge the results of the election if he loses. Now, in the final days of the campaign, he has settled on a blatantly ahistorical closing argument: that the votes in a fair election should not be counted past election night.
“In reality, the scenario Mr. Trump is outlining — every vote in a modern election being ‘counted, tabulated, finished’ by midnight — is not possible and never has been. No state ever reports final results on election night, and no state is legally expected to.”
rrb said...
Blogger Roger Amick said...
You see things on the television about politics is anecdotal observations are not necessarily true or reliable, because based on personal accounts and opinions rather than facts or research.
135 at work
this doesn't even make sense.
is there anyone here who speaks 'alky' and can translate?
scrambled sausage making using disjointed words.
Bidenspeak
and he probably can't even see it.
ROFLMFAO !!!
Alternate headline
Latino voters breaking 29% for Trump, the most ever, and rising.
On Saturday morning there were more than 29,000 members in a private Facebook group for New Jersey women who support President Trump — and by Saturday afternoon the group was gone.
https://www.nj.com/politics/2020/10/nj-women-for-trump-facebook-group-with-29k-members-removed-from-facebook-days-before-election.html
If you are take off the mask and think for yourself
damn, alky.
doing your biden impersonation?
LOL.
Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
Trump leads the final Selzer poll of Iowa by 7 points, 48 to 41.
That's the same margin as their final poll four years ago, which wound up foreshadowing Trump's Midwestern sweep
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1322682963402915841
Looking Good !!!
Trump Needs Election Day Surge
11:10 am
A CBS News/YouGov poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump among those who have already voted,
66% to 32%.
However, Trump leads among those who plan on voting on Election Day,
69% to 27%.
(Here's what Biden's doing in Minnesota, Ch.)
Biden Zeroes In On the Core Battleground States
11:13 am
“Powered by a favorable political climate and fundraising bonanza, Joe Biden made a late push this fall to expand the battleground map into states Donald Trump won easily in 2016,” McClatchy reports.
“But heading into Election Day, the Democratic nominee’s braintrust is remaining steadfastly focused on the same core six swing states they first identified when the general election began as their easiest path to reaching 270 electoral votes.”
thebradfordfile™
@thebradfordfile
There is literally no good news for Biden--everything is moving to Trump.
Trump is dancing his way to victory.
If the closing words at Trump's rallies don't give you goosebumps, you do not love America.
Trump is a living legend.
Apologies to those readers who don't enjoy seeing the F word constantly paraded here IN CAPS. The person who does that has no class.
Latest AZ poll has Trump up 2.5%.
James, sometimes these people really can't think!
thebradfordfile™
@thebradfordfile
If you think Democrats are freaking out about Trump's speeches today, wait until victory night.
If Biden is winning--why are Trump supporters all smiling, laughing, and having a great time?
They laughed at him. They called him a traitor. They tried to ruin his life, his family, and everything he loves. But remember this:
Trump will have the last laugh.
ROFLMFAO !!!
How long before he resigns or gets fired.
The nation’s top infectious disease expert, Dr. Anthony Fauci, painted a grim future in a bombshell interview on COVID-19 with The Washington Post Saturday, warning that the nation “could not be positioned more poorly” to battle the pandemic.
“We’re in for a whole lot of hurt. It’s not a good situation,” said the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.
“All the stars are aligned in the wrong place as you go into the fall and winter season, with people congregating at home indoors,” Fauci added. “You could not possibly be positioned more poorly.”
Fauci praised Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden for taking COVID-19 “seriously from a public health perspective.” President Donald Trump, on the other hand, is focused on the “economy and opening businesses,” he said.
Fauci called for the government to make an “abrupt change” in addressing the danger. He warned that COVID-19 cases in the U.S. could hit 100,000 each day — just as the nation hit that record on Saturday.
The dire warnings were a dramatic contrast to Trump’s repeated claims that the country is turning the corner on the pandemic, and that COVID-19 will “go away.”
Trump has claimed that the “fake news” focus on “cases, cases, cases” is a plot to stoke fear to hurt his presidential campaign, and that COVID-19 reporting will stop after Election Day. In reality, nearly a quarter of a million Americans have died of COVID-19, and that trend will likely continue without massive intervention.
Fauci complained that the “public health aspect” of the White House coronavirus task force has “diminished greatly.”
He also attacked Trump’s new health adviser, Scott Atlas, who supports allowing the coronavirus to spread among the young and the healthy.”
“I have real problems with that guy,” Fauci said. He’s “talking about things that I believe he doesn’t have any real insight or knowledge or experience in. He keeps talking about things that .... [don’t] make any sense.”
thebradfordfile™
@thebradfordfile
The only thing more crowded than a Trump rally will be his supporters packing the polls on election day.
Are you ready?
What do you mean team Biden decided not to have a ground game in 2020 ???
WTF !!!
ROFLMFAO !!!
https://www.yahoo.com/huffpost/fauci-trump-covid-19-dire-025255462.html
Dr. David Samadi, MD
@drdavidsamadi
I was talking about Sweden 8 months ago and I was right.
Western Europe was called "the gold standard" by the US media and Sweden was panned. Look at the numbers. Look at where Sweden is. Look at the rest of Europe. Seems like Sweden has the recipe!
IMPORTANT GRAPH:
https://twitter.com/drdavidsamadi/status/1322524099839774721
Fauci wants us to follow Europe.
He can be A voice not THE voice.
He's been wrong way to many times.
WHOA! OHIO WAS JUST RETURNED TO THE BIDEN COLUMN ON THE RCP NO TOSS UPS MAP, GIVING THIS RESULT:
===== BIDEN 368 vs TRUMP 170 =====
=========== GO JOE, GO!========
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html
phony fauci's upset that no one is listening to him or taking him seriously anymore.
'sad trombone'
LOL.
Tim Young
@TimRunsHisMouth
I examined BLM riots and I estimate they resulted in 2.5 million cases of COVID.
and 150,000 deaths
The rcp data is absurd. Evidence what is actually happening. Trump drawing huge crowds, as well as grass roots rallies around the country. Aside from the big polls, tberes nothing indicating a Biden win.
Anecdotal evidence of shit
538
We’re now two days away from Election Day, and Joe Biden leads in both national and state polls. At this point, President Trump needs a big polling error in his favor if he's going to win — and as editor-in-chief Nate Silver writes, a 2016-sized polling error just isn’t going to cut it. But that doesn’t mean there isn’t still a path for Trump. Trump might be the underdog, but bigger polling errors have happened in the past, and there’s a difference between a 10 percent chance of winning and a 0 percent chance. A 10 percent chance of winning, which is what our forecast gives Trump, is roughly the same as the odds that it’s raining in downtown Los Angeles. And it does rain there. (Downtown L.A. has about 36 rainy days per year, or about a 1-in-10 shot of a rainy day.)
We’ve gotten a lot of new polls in the past couple of days, and we’ll continue to get many more, but so far, there’s little evidence that the race is tightening. If anything, Biden is continuing to make gains in the Midwest (1.7 points, on average, since the final debate).But unless Trump or Biden has a really good night on Nov. 3, it’s pretty unlikely that either of them will hit the 270 electoral votes needed to win by the end of the night. That doesn’t necessarily mean, though, that we won’t have a pretty good idea of who won. It’s all going to come down to how close some of the key battleground races are and whether a representative share of the vote can be reported, which won’t always be possible given the challenges of the pandemic. We’re tracking when we expect results in every state.
The size of the crowds isn't evidence of voting turnout.
Over half of the total cast vote in 2016 have already been casted.
The news shows that a lot more people will vote this year than in 2016.
A lot of them didn't vote in the last election, and a lot of first time voters
I'm getting very excited!
Yes it is. We've seen in every 4 years. The candidate with the big crowds and momentum wins.
54% Biden 38% Trump first time voters.
The crowds don't mean shit
PA dem Lt gov says he's worried about 5he huge Trump rallies in PA because he says it's not maga propaganda, thay it is genuine, real interest and support.
Joe Biden
@JoeBiden
My Catholic faith drilled into me a core truth — that every person on earth is equal in rights and dignity. As president, these are the principles that will shape all that I do, and my faith will continue to serve as my anchor, as it has my entire life.
Ted Cruz
@tedcruz
Then why have you pledged to persecute the Little Sisters of the Poor?
PA lt gov tells Roger he doesn't know what the hell he's talking about.
rrb said...
Ronna McDaniel
@GOPChairwoman
We are seeing DEMOCRATS and INDEPENDENTS turn out in droves for
@realDonaldTrump
’s rallies:
In Rochester, MN:
✅ 53.6% NOT Republican
In Green Bay, WI:
✅ 52.6% NOT Republican
These voters are going to make a huge difference on Tuesday!
FACT CHECK: TRUE
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/523727-democrats-poised-for-house-gains-with-boost-from-trump-won-districts
Kurt Schlichter
@KurtSchlichter
Sean Connery’s last words were “You Americans, you must re-elect Donald Trump.”
He worries about the covid-19 pandemic and the crowds are super spreader events.
thebradfordfile™
@thebradfordfile
Liberal newspapers in swing states are endorsing Trump 2 days before the election and you can feel the panic setting in.
It's glorious.
Well at least that's all the news that's fit to print
Chuck Woolery
@chuckwoolery
If you believe that Biden has small groups at his rallies because he cares about people getting Covid. You may be an Idiot.
----------------------
FACT CHECK: TRUE
No dumb fuck. Read his comment. He was not talking about covid.
Myballs said...
PA dem Lt gov says he's worried about 5he huge Trump rallies in PA because he says it's not maga propaganda, thay it is genuine, real interest and support.
FACT CHECK: TRUE
Courtney Holland
@hollandcourtney
He is cracking up again! I seriously can’t get enough of Trump laughing over my video.
Best TRUMP laughing VIDEO ever:
https://twitter.com/hollandcourtney/status/1322950387976998912
and you know which one he is watching !!!
https://www.google.com/amp/s/thehill.com/hilltv/rising/522993-pennsylvania-lieutenant-governor-warns-against-underestimating-trumps-appeal-in%3famp
Your link.
I understand why, but unless the President pulls off a surprise he has about a 10% chance of winning the electoral college victory.
If he wins Pennsylvania, but loses North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona or especially Florida, Biden will be the President elect.
Biden has all the states Clinton won in 2016.
I go to RCP and use the electoral college app. Trump has a narrow path.
This one:
https://twitter.com/hollandcourtney/status/1322239388324032512
I read i . I have a different view
Myballs said...
Yes it is. We've seen in every 4 years. The candidate with the big crowds and momentum wins.
And no one has ever run against a worse candidate than Joe is.
Trump is crushing him.
and laughing.
America First
@AmericaFirstPAC
Another endorsement!
The Toledo Blade hasn't endorsed a Republican in over 30 YEARS!
https://www.toledoblade.com/opinion/editorials/2020/11/01/the-man-and-the-record-president-donald-trump-2020-election/stories/20201101091
what they are doing to Joe is elder abuse.
If this was a boxing match they'd stop the fight and announce Trump wins by TKO !!!
I mentioned the super spreader events, because a lot of suburban women are offended by the President's disregard for the people who attend his campaign events.
You make a lot of assumptions, and believe that I'm not sane anymore. But I'm just fine
i just voted. stood in line around 45 minutes. everyone was happy, chatty, polite. let some folks that were old and feeble like the alky cut the line.
I mentioned the super spreader events, because a lot of suburban women are offended by the President's disregard for the people who attend his campaign events.
You make a lot of assumptions, and believe that I'm not sane anymore. But I'm just fine.
Trump Needs Election Day Surge
11:10 am
A CBS News/YouGov poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump among those who have already voted,
66% to 32%.
However, Trump leads among those who plan on voting on Election Day,
69% to 27%.
McClatchy reports:
Biden Zeroes In On the Core Battleground States
11:13 am
“Powered by a favorable political climate and fundraising bonanza, Joe Biden made a late push this fall to expand the battleground map into states Donald Trump won easily in 2016.
“But heading into Election Day, the Democratic nominee’s braintrust is remaining steadfastly focused on the same core six swing states they first identified when the general election began as their easiest path to reaching 270 electoral votes.”
AXIOS:
We’re Headed Into a Firestorm
11:26 am
“We all need to be clear-eyed about the social and political volatility heading into Election Day: The chances of sporadic violence, significant unrest or voting issues are quite high, according to basically every federal and state official monitoring voting and its aftermath in 2020.
“Brace yourself for 78 days of drama and turmoil from Nov. 4 through the inauguration.
“No one working for Trump or Joe Biden thinks the post-election period will be remotely normal. Even if you get the result you want, anticipate months of wild maneuvering and protests.”
saying it a second time in bold is meaningless, alky.
you have no fucking idea how suburban women feel about Trump.
how could you?
you're locked down in a fucking nursing home.
the suburban women i know personally are all in for Trump for two reasons -
the economy and law & order.
they were enjoying the greatest economy in 50 years before local officials tanked it for no good reason, and they don't want antifa & black LIES matter firebombing their fucking house.
Benny
@bennyjohnson
Beautiful
MUST watch VIDEO:
https://twitter.com/bennyjohnson/status/1322939686864736256
Rated "T" for Triggering
FACT CHECK: I'm sure it is for the TDS crowd.
“Brace yourself for 78 days of drama and turmoil from Nov. 4 through the inauguration.
“No one working for Trump or Joe Biden thinks the post-election period will be remotely normal. Even if you get the result you want, anticipate months of wild maneuvering and protests.”
well duh, pederast.
businesses in democrat - run cities have already begun boarding up their storefronts.
I voted last week.
I'm no longer feeble.
rrb said...
i just voted. stood in line around 45 minutes. everyone was happy, chatty, polite. let some folks that were old and feeble like the alky cut the line.
Couldn't have been the alky, he's been doing his best incoherent Biden impressions here.
Check out the video above, I think you will enjoy
You make me laugh out loud at you Jimmy Hitler.
mentioned the super spreader events, because a lot of suburban women are offended by the President's disregard for the people who attend his campaign events.
You make a lot of assumptions, and believe that I'm not sane anymore. But I'm just fine
No, jackass it is you making the assumption
You didn't even know what anecdotal means.
No, jackass it is you making the assumption
there's some level of psychological projection in every alky post.
You are fine, because you are a cultist. Check it out and look in the mirror.
Everyone here knows what anecdotal means. The issue is your gibberish word salad
Roger Amick said...
You didn't even know what anecdotal means.
Well I do but besides posting some anecdotal stories earlier yourself you can't even make a coherent sentence with it ...
Blogger Roger Amick said...
You see things on the television about politics is anecdotal observations are not necessarily true or reliable, because based on personal accounts and opinions rather than facts or research.
Biden couldn't have said it better.
ROFLMFAO !!!
Biden couldn't have said it better.
ROFLMFAO !!!
You left off Mr 97 SAT posting his supposed IQ
The issue is your gibberish word salad
alky's parents must have put the swing set too close to the house.
You won't like this. Except for Scott, intellectual discussions are impossible with the truthers.
In the past, I would predict the outcome of the race. But in the modern social media era, things can change in minutes!
But, unless the election day voters are sufficient, the Democrats will have a historic opportunity to move into the future.
intellectual discussions are impossible with people experiencing declining mental faculties. And that’d be you
VIDEO of campaign ad banned by Facebook
https://twitter.com/dbongino/status/1322960983317487618
Election interference.
They don't even try and hide it anymore.
Desperate.
rrb said...
alky's parents must have put the swing set too close to the house.
Just think of all the damage to the house
If this is correct, the 46th President will be sworn in on January 20th in 2021.
Joseph R. Biden Jr. holds a clear advantage over President Trump across four of the most important presidential swing states, a new poll shows, bolstered by the support of voters who did not participate in the 2016 election and who now appear to be turning out in large numbers to cast their ballots, mainly for the Democrat.
The election day turnout will not be sufficient to reverse the early voting majority.
After 2016, the betting guys decided they would have to be very, very careful about which polls and predictions they would trust in the future.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_president/
Biden Leads Trump in Four Key States, Poll Shows https://nyti.ms/2HWkHNp
I'm watching the Rams play the Dolphins
Roger talking about intellectual conversations is like yoko ono talking about singing.
This is so tricky, because there's both a lot of truth and a lot of misconceptions. I mean, there's the way that people segment the Latino population in their minds. There's the idea that Florida is all Cubans and Cuban Americans when, in fact, Florida is incredibly diverse. There are large Mexican and Puerto Rican populations. And they have so many different interests and issues that they care about. So it's really hard to stereotype them. And there's the idea that the whole Southwest is Mexican American when, in fact, there are many Central Americans who live there.
Latinos are truly a national population and a growing population everywhere we live, but the way that we get talked about is still very much about the Cuban vote in Florida, the Mexican American vote in California or the Puerto Rican vote in New York. And, you know, there's almost like this hierarchy of our politics, from more conservative to less conservative — that Cuban Americans are the most conservative, Mexican Americans are somewhere in the middle and then Puerto Ricans are the most liberal of Latino voters. And there's a degree of truth to that; Cuban Americans vote for Republicans at higher rates than Mexican Americans and Puerto Ricans, but Mexican Americans and Puerto Ricans still vote for Republicans in really large numbers.
Let me tell you one fact that always astounds me: California has the largest number of eligible Latino voters: 8 million. Recent polls have shown that Donald Trump is earning somewhere between 25% to 30% of their support. That means that if all of those 8 million eligible Latino voters vote, more than 2 million Latino voters in California — the state of Proposition 187, the state where the Republican Party is dead — there will be more than 2 million Latinos who vote for Donald Trump. Compare that with Florida, which has 3.1 million Latino eligible voters. In 2016, 35% of Latinos in Florida voted for Donald Trump: That's around 1 million votes. And if that holds true in 2020, there will be more Latinos who vote for Donald Trump in California than in the state of Florida. And that's just one example of how, if you really dig in to individual communities and the politics of individual states, there's a lot that you would be surprised to learn.
Trump’s Main Goal Is to Not Lose on Election Day
2:08 pm
Taegan Goddard says:
"As I mentioned to Political Wire members two weeks ago, President Trump’s main goal is to not lose the election on Tuesday night.
"There’s more confirmation of this strategy in the New York Times:
'Trump advisers said their best hope was if the president wins Ohio and Florida is too close to call early in the night, depriving Mr. Biden a swift victory and giving Mr. Trump the room to undermine the validity of uncounted mail-in ballots in the days after.'”
____________
That may not be what happens. See my next post.
Five simple questions.
They can be answered "yes" or "no." No "buts" are needed.
1:Do you agree with Donald Trump's criticism of Dr. Anthony Fauci as a "disaster" and calling him an "idiot"?
2:Do you agree with Donald Trump's mocking of those who wear masks to protect themselves and others from infection by coronavirus - including mocking Fox News Channel host Laura Ingraham for wearing a mask and being "politically correct."
3:Do you agree with Donald Trump when he admitted privately in a taped conversation with author and journalist Bob Woodward that the COVID was "dangerous" but then, shortly after, lying to the public to avoid "panic" and downplaying the risk - predicting the virus would "disappear" like "miracle"? And Mr. Trump's denials continue to this day - while he holds rallies with most people crowded together and not wearing mask, risking their lives and those who may be infected with COVID by them after the rallies?
4:Do you agree with President Trump, after he heard public reports that the Russians paid bounties to the Taliban to kill U.S. forces in Afghanistan, when he failed to criticize the Russians publicly - and never once asked Putin publicly whether this was true?
5:Do you think that Donald Trump did enough to find the parents of the 545 children separated from them at the border in 2018 - and still the parents have not been located two years later - thanks to Mr. Trump's admitted own"zero tolerance" policy, resulting in those separations?
You will insult me instead of answering the questions.
The Dolphins are kicking ass
538:
When To Expect Election Results In Every State
A complete guide to poll closing times, vote counting and races to watch on election night 2020
By Nathaniel Rakich and Elena MejΓa
There’s a good chance we won’t know who won the presidential election on election night. More people than ever are voting by mail this year due to the pandemic, and mail ballots take longer to count than ballots cast at polling places. But because each state has its own rules for how votes are counted and reported, some will report results sooner than others. Those disparate rules may also make initial returns misleading: The margins in some states may shift toward Democrats as mail ballots (which are overwhelmingly cast by Democrats) are counted, while states that release mail ballots first may experience a shift toward Republicans as Election Day votes are tallied.
Here’s a general picture of how much of the vote we expect to be counted on election night in all 50 states and Washington, D.C. If you click on a given state, it’ll take you to a more detailed description of when to expect results and whether to expect a red or blue shift in the vote count.
How much of the vote is expected to be counted on election night?
[ ] Nearly all
[ ] Most but not all
[ ] Only some
(See graph at site)
_______
The upshot for the presidential race is even if no candidate is able to clinch 270 electoral votes (which is the threshold required to win) until later in the week.
We should get near-complete results in Florida in a matter of hours;
Arizona and North Carolina will release the vast majority of their ballots very quickly, although if the race is too close to call they may not provide a final answer for days.
Georgia and Texas should tally most ballots on Nov. 3, but counting may stretch into Wednesday or Thursday.
We should know the winner in Wisconsin by Wednesday morning;
Michigan and Pennsylvania, by contrast, will probably take until the end of the week.
Of course, there are a lot more races on the ballot than just the presidential contest, so read on to get a more detailed picture of every state.
One last caveat before you dive in: These are just our best guesses based on what we know right now. Things can always go sideways thanks to human error or technological failures. And, of course, even the fastest-counting state may leave a race uncalled for days if the margin is close enough.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-results-timing/
polls are antidotal
No one gives a shit about your questions.
ππππ€£After court ruling, Klobuchar tells Minnesotans 'don't vote by mail anymore'πππ π
The TEXAS TRIBUNE:
Texas High Court Refuses Challenge to 100K Ballots
2:14 pm EST
The Texas Supreme Court denied a Republican-backed petition seeking to toss out more than 100,000 votes in Harris County cast in drive-thru lanes.
Texas Tribune: “The all-Republican court denied the request without an order or opinion, as justices did last month in a similar lawsuit brought by some of the same plaintiffs.”
__________
I just saw this. Good to know that these judges refused to back a Republican attempt to suppress the vote.
The Rams are Alky's Teamπ£
They are the exact opposite meaning. Kputz is stupid
Polls are research
Anecdotal observations are not based upon facts.
Coward
Five simple questions.
They can be answered "yes" or "no." No "buts" are needed.
1:Do you agree with Donald Trump's criticism of Dr. Anthony Fauci as a "disaster" and calling him an "idiot"?
2:Do you agree with Donald Trump's mocking of those who wear masks to protect themselves and others from infection by coronavirus - including mocking Fox News Channel host Laura Ingraham for wearing a mask and being "politically correct."
3:Do you agree with Donald Trump when he admitted privately in a taped conversation with author and journalist Bob Woodward that the COVID was "dangerous" but then, shortly after, lying to the public to avoid "panic" and downplaying the risk - predicting the virus would "disappear" like "miracle"? And Mr. Trump's denials continue to this day - while he holds rallies with most people crowded together and not wearing mask, risking their lives and those who may be infected with COVID by them after the rallies?
4:Do you agree with President Trump, after he heard public reports that the Russians paid bounties to the Taliban to kill U.S. forces in Afghanistan, when he failed to criticize the Russians publicly - and never once asked Putin publicly whether this was true?
5:Do you think that Donald Trump did enough to find the parents of the 545 children separated from them at the border in 2018 - and still the parents have not been located two years later - thanks to Mr. Trump's admitted own"zero tolerance" policy, resulting in those separations?
You will insult me instead of answering the questions.
In 2016 Trump earned 8 % of the Black Vote.
On 2020 Trump appears to be in the 15 to 20 % of the Black Vote.
Most of the time, the courts have been acting correctly.
If the President takes the election to the Supreme Court and some dire consequences could be the end of the American dream
Four years ago, the press went wild with the news that a cache of emails from Hillary Clinton had been located. That’s it. They had no idea whether the emails were new (they weren’t) or whether they contained anything interesting (they didn’t). There wasn’t even an allegation involved in this story, merely the existence of something that everyone already knew existed (emails between Clinton and Huma Abedin).
Having been suckered by conservatives over the email story in 2016, is it any wonder that reporters wanted at least a little bit of confirmation before splashing yet another conservative smear campaign on their front pages? And that they became justifiably dubious about the whole thing when Rudy Giuliani resolutely refused to let anyone see the entire document cache?
Of course not. The mainstream media did try to report the Hunter Biden story, but they ran into blockade after blockade. In the end, there was nothing there.
We are on the precipice, of that we are sure. Of what exactly, there are hints and whispers and clues, but the haze of the future is unknowable. Of course we never really know what lies before us, but the cone of uncertainty at this moment is so wide that it seems to stretch in almost every conceivable direction.
There are plausible scenarios that auger for a fundamental redefinition of this nation and this world. I have felt this before, during World War II and the Cuban Missile Crisis, to name two particularly precarious chapters in American and global history. In both cases there was a chance that outside forces would exterminate, quite literally, our nation and its ideals.
Today, the feeling is quite different. The challenge is dire but it is internal. The choice is ours to make, at least to the point that the votes and the will of the people will prevail. I do not mean to underestimate the threats to a fair and free election. But we should also approach that question with a degree of calm and sense of purpose. For all the intimidation and suppression of the vote, it has never been easier in most places in this nation to cast a ballot. The early and mail-in vote numbers, staggering in their aggregate and state-by-state breakdowns, are evidence of this.
For many years now, I have taken to this platform and others, to urge my fellow citizens to take a long view of history, to recognize the peril we have faced in the past, to shine the bright light of justice on our divisions and inequalities, and to, above all, remain steady. Now that steadiness must be unleashed at the polls.
But part of being steady is to recognize that beyond the current horizons, others loom. This nation will have to find a way to heal, no matter how improbable that seems today. Healing doesn't mean forfeiting one's values. It does not mean watering down the structural, policy, and cultural changes we will have to make. But it does mean not losing a sense of one's humanity, humility, and empathy.
I remain, as I almost always do, an optimist. This is an optimism forged by a lifetime of experience and a belief in the basic decency of most people. I pray for a reduction of tension, a loosening of party politics as the core definition of our populace, and a return to a nation of ideas and ideals.
Do what you can to make this moment count. Vote. Encourage others to do so. And at the same time, remember we are Americans and our future is one that is better in seeking the bonds of unity than in stoking the fires of division. Am I sure this will be our destiny? No. But I have seen many in history make a grave mistake in betting against this nation and its people's ability to right its wrongs, move towards a path to justice, and regain a steady charting of the future.
Courage. I am honored to be here with all of you in a spirit of #WhatUnitesUs.
Very good point, well made!
Biden, Promises to NOT, shut down the US Economy.
Dan Rather
I was referring to 1:59. 2:01 is also good, spoken, I believe, by Dan Rather.
'SNL' warns its views, Joe will not win.
Yep. But now this:
______
AXIOS:
Trump Plans to Declare Victory on Election Night
2:28 pm EST
President Trump has told confidants he’ll declare victory on Tuesday night if it looks like he’s “ahead.”
“That’s even if the Electoral College outcome still hinges on large numbers of uncounted votes in key states like Pennsylvania.
“Trump has privately talked through this scenario in some detail in the last few weeks, describing plans to walk up to a podium on election night and declare he has won.”
______________
How incredibly stupid. Think how he will look if later it becomes clear he has NOT won.
Brainpower is not his strong point.
Biden Platform "Ends Ethonol".
Despite Moines Register has Trump+7 , Ernst +4
Covertigo is not just an outgrowth of our politics. It’s an outgrowth of the current brand of politics practiced by the man who lives in the White House. When constant lying becomes part of the daily discourse, it’s no wonder that our sense of reality is distorted.
In the last days of campaigning to hold on to an office he does not deserve, the president is claiming that hospitals earn more money when patients die of covid-19 — a reprehensible lie. He is still claiming that the United States has rounded a corner even as infection rates are surging in nearly all 50 states. And he is continuing to hold massive rallies in defiance of common sense and best practices. Covid-19 has spiked in several townships and cities following Trump rallies.
This is a man who is not interested in stability, and his rhetoric and actions show he is not tethered to reality.
The best way to begin the long process of calming the waters — ending our collective case of covertigo — is to throw this captain off the ship. Replace him with someone who respects truth and science and wants to lead all of America, not just those who blindly pledge loyalty.
Enough with the lies. Enough with the vanity. Enough with the chaos.
Enough with Trump!
Washington Post:
Trump Focuses Solely on His Base In Final Rallies
at 3:21 pm
"As the president traverses thousands of miles to hold 17 rallies in eight states through Monday night, his closing message is a classic display of the kind of red meat tailored specifically to animate his most faithful supporters. Convinced that it’s too late to change the minds of voters who are not yet sold on Trump, the president’s advisers are intensely focused on turning out those who are.
“Trump’s decision to forgo a broad, unifying closing message and instead double down on appealing to a narrow but enthusiastic slice of the electorate is a gamble. Whether it pays off or becomes a cautionary tale will not be known until the polls close Tuesday and the votes are counted.”
_________
I guess it has never occurred to Trump that, unlike any other president since polling, he's never once been able to attain 50% approval.
ABC NEWS:
Philadelphia Prepares for Avalanche of Mail Ballots
3:30 pm
“The Philadelphia Convention Center will become the center of election activity in the city on Tuesday at 7 a.m., as hundreds of election officials start working to process hundreds of thousands of mail-in ballots.
“Their work in Pennsylvania’s largest city — a key Democratic stronghold — could be crucial to determining who wins the battleground state next week, and with it, the White House.”
Pj media
Trump Is Fighting Transgender Ideology and Marxist Critical Theory. He Needs Four More Years.
And your fighting deteriorating health and senility, I don’t think you’ll make four more years
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