This tracking poll once had Warnock at 50%
Now obviously Walker is behind slightly in the overall polling averages at RCP and other places. But even in those polling averages, Warnock (the incumbent) is struggling to make it much higher than 47%. On the flipside Warnock has the advantage of complete outlier polls showing him up by as many as nine points (he won't win by nine points).
So yes... this is just a single poll amongst many.
All that being said, I have always been a big fan of "tracking polls" as they generally show movement in ways other pollsters (who are polling maybe once a month) cannot track. So many variables can explain a swing between two polls taken weeks apart (most swings due to who who ends up in the sample).
But a tracking poll generally moves fairly slow as these tracking polls are polling the same overall subset of people on a consistent basis. So when you see movement, it is generally due to people actually changing their minds... rather than just randomly getting a new sample that happens to be better or worse for a particular candidate than the last sample.
In this case, at least a good portion of the polling is the same sample of respondents that previously had Warnock at 50%. To see a drop of about six points in a tracking poll is a big deal. A much bigger deal than a six point drop in a general media poll.
3 comments:
What Americans are learning — and will painfully learn as the days unfold — is that big government isn't, finally, compassionate, fair, or equitable. It cannot be redeemed. It must be reduced — dramatically so. It cannot just be restrained. Doing so will ensure that a future generation of power-hungry cutthroats will again seek to impose their wills.
Big government is voracious, eating up a nation's prosperity, trampling rights to achieve misbegotten ends, and always intruding into every corner of people's lives, reducing people to forms of servitude. And always, regardless the ruse, regardless the reflexive "for the people" pap, elites bend big government to serve their interests. Today, corruption isn't just rife in Washington, but throughout major institutions. Corporations, nonprofits, schools, media, unions, health care — corruption permeates the society on a scale unmatched.
Prepare for the days ahead. Arm yourselves with knowledge and arguments. Be apostles of liberty, spreading the word to all who listen. Speak truth to power — smartly and civilly, but speak up. Join with like-minded Americans in your communities to build bulwarks against coming assaults. Stand unflinchingly shoulder-to-shoulder with Trump, DeSantis, and other patriots to bring about the demise of tyranny on our shores.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FiHEi0SsqNQ
Seriously Reverend?
A YouTube video of Liz Cheney? (No I didn't watch it - I was just curious as to what legitimate video you felt was relevant to this thread.
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