Sunday, March 29, 2020

Don't look now...

Post-ABC poll shows Trump and Biden in a competitive race for the White House
President Trump and former vice president Joe Biden are in a tightly competitive race for the White House in the November general election, with the president gaining ground on his likely challenger over the past month as the coronavirus pandemic convulses the country, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll.
Trump has moved from what was a seven-point deficit in February to a near tie with Biden today. Among registered voters, Biden is favored by 49 percent and Trump by 47 percent. Trump is more trusted to handle the economy, while Biden is more trusted to deal with health care. When voters are asked whom they trust more to confront the coronavirus outbreak, the difference between the two is statistically insignificant.
           (Note: Trump led Biden 47-43 in confronting coronavirus crisis) 
Despite the rapid consolidation around Biden among a broader Democratic electorate, the former vice president suffers from an enthusiasm gap when contrasted with the incumbent president. More than 8 in 10 (86 percent of) registered voters who currently side with Trump say they are enthusiastic about their support. That compares with 74 percent of Biden supporters.
More telling is the gap in the intensity of that enthusiasm, which can translate into who turns out to vote and who might not. Among registered voters who support Trump, 55 percent say they are very enthusiastic about backing him while 32 percent say they are somewhat enthusiastic. Among Biden’s supporters, a far smaller 28 percent say they are very enthusiastic while 46 percent are somewhat enthusiastic.

These things are all about momentum. If Biden is in what is basically a statistical dead heat here in March, then he is in serious trouble. The concept of Biden just having to "stay alive" is much like a boxer who has accumulated a lead and just needs to do little more than not get knocked out. Much easier to avoid getting knocked out than having to step up and win more rounds.

But at this point it now looks like Biden will have to make something happen (not just hang on) in the coming months. If he continues to hide (as he has) while Trump continues to lead (as he has) then these numbers are going to drop further for Biden. He's going to have to actually win some of these later rounds if he wants to win a general election.

But the bigger problem is that Biden is still Biden and he has never been either a smart guy or a talented politician. He has lost his previous attempts at the Presidency for a reason. He lost early on in retail states to Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg for a reason.There are also allegations of sexual assault that so far has flown under the radar, and let's not forget that Burisma is still a thing and Hunter Biden is still a problem.

So if he hides, he loses ground. If he steps out into the public, he probably loses more ground. Moreover, there is a growing sentiment within the Democratic Party that Biden might not have actually been the smart choice, and many are scrambling to find away around this. Sanders is now challenging that the Debates should continue and that he plans on taking his campaign all the way to the conventions.

Oh... and just keep some additional facts clear. These are still registered voter polls. If  you look at the enthusiasm gap and the problems the Democrats have had pulling in the young voters to their primaries this year, this number is going to swing when the pollsters start calculating "likely voters". Not to mention, Trump can probably lose the popular vote by two or three percent and still wins the electoral college.

33 comments:

Myballs said...

Pelosi now wants to pretend Trump virus response was horrible, causing deaths and investigate him for it. She has to be the worst, most partisan house speaker in history.

Commonsense said...

All depends what happens with the coronavirus crisis.

If Trump is perceived to be handling crisis as a strong leader to be trusted (as he is now despite the news media and Democrats best efforts to discredit him and his team), then he will be unbeatable in the fall.

If not, then Biden has a chance be he has to show he can be a strong, healthy, energetic president. So far, he hasn't shown it. And if he doesn't turn it around then the DNC will probably replace him.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

At this point in a national and world crisis, a President's approval should have skyrocketed. Trump's has not.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Pelosi Calls Trump’s Denial and Delay ‘Deadly’
March 29, 2020 at 10:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 27 Comments

Speaker Nancy Pelosi told CNN that President Trump’s delay and denial in responding to the coronavirus pandemic has had “deadly” consequences for Americans.

Said Pelosi:
“His denial at the beginning was deadly, his delaying of getting equipment … to where it is needed is deadly, and now the best thing would be to do is to prevent more loss of life, rather than open things up to that, because we just don’t know.

She added: “As the President fiddles, people are dying.”

Myballs said...

Trump approvals are quite high, even with the news media trying to bring them down.

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...

I see "pastor" james can't stop with his GODDAMN Goddard political_lire LIES and propaganda.

24/7

*spit*

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

The approval ratings of the two Bush presidents skyrocketed in response to each national crisis. Trump's have not.

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...


I hope Nancy is the national face of the democrat party in November.

Reagan got what, 60% of the national vote?

Unless the dems and China manage to tank America I think Trump will crush that.

And that's probably why we have the stream of lies by james. the dems are his God and he worships all their idols.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

*spit*

Welcome back, Loretta.

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...

James said...
*spit*

Welcome back, Loretta.


Yeah she would have *spit* on you too.

As would others who have left on both sides.

You have no shame and a dismal future.

*spit* and as I recall she also identified you as a pederast as I am becoming to see. You "denied" that in the same manner you are denying your current position. hmmmm

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Quote of the Day
March 29, 2020 at 10:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 15 Comments

“The worst thing you can do is raise false expectations and then watch them get dashed – then, they begin to lose confidence in their leadership. So we should just tell the truth as best we know it, as best the scientists know it. We should let them speak.”
— Joe Biden, in an interview with NBC NEWS.

C.H. Truth said...

,At this point in a national and world crisis, a President's approval should have skyrocketed. Trump's has not.

At this point in a national and world crisis... our political leaders from both sides should have put partisanship aside and rallied around the President. Just as they did for Bush in 2001.

But that hasn't happened here.


Certainly the people the Reverend believes are infallible still take every opportunity that they can to spread hate and lies....

You know, like claiming that multiple countries are losing thousands of people to coronavirus every day... or continuing to focus on silly things that were "said" two months ago.

Those are very selfish traits from self absorbed morons who find every reason to politicize tragedy.

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...

Only 632 People Watch Sleepy Joe Biden’s Coronavirus Town Hall on YouTube

2020 Democrat front runner Joe Biden held a Coronavirus town hall with nurses, firefighters and emergency medical technicians.

Biden advertised his Coronavirus livestream to his 4.62 million Twitter followers.

Let’s take a look at President Trump’s ratings for a little comparison.
The Fox News special with President Trump and members of his Coronavirus task force on Tuesday was the highest rated town hall in the history of cable news.

The virtual town hall had 4,409,000 viewers between 12:00 and 2:00 p.m. according to ratings from Nielsen. It also has over a million views on YouTube.

But Sleepy Joe could only attract 632 viewers on YouTube.


https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/03/only-632-people-watch-sleepy-joe-bidens-coronavirus-town-hall-on-youtube/

anybody wonder why the "pastor" is so desperate after he abandoned Bloomberg and proclaimed President Joe Biden. Of course that was after President Hillary.

What a fucking loser.

Myballs said...

If I see Taegan Goddard in a post, I skip over it. I will not read them cry wolf over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over...

C.H. Truth said...

“The worst thing you can do is raise false expectations and then watch them get dashed – then, they begin to lose confidence in their leadership. So we should just tell the truth as best we know it, as best the scientists know it. We should let them speak.”

And the moron Biden doesn't believe that Fauci and Birx are experts in their fields or that epidemiologist from the CDC and NIAID are not better experts than "scientists".

What the hell does he mean by "scientists" anyways?


Because whoever it is that he has advising him are completely unaware of anything that is actually happening... Either that, or Dementia Joe doesn't retain what they tell him, or he is just lying through his dentures.


What a fucking buffoon!

It's his job to RALLY around the President and our task force at a time of cricis... we don't need an 80 year old man undermining the President from his basement studio.

Myballs said...

Even worse is Hillary still trying to be relevant and undermining Trump as well.

anonymous said...

Anonymous Myballs said...
Trump approvals are quite high,


BWAAAAAAAA!!!! I guess being above water in half of them are a great thing when they have been in the shitter for so long.....Sad you think they are good especially after the bump busch got after 9-11,,,,,

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...

Matt Walsh
@MattWalshBlog

The total blackout of the Joe Biden sexual assault allegations is incredible. Obviously I knew the media wouldn’t give it fair coverage. But usually they’ll at least mention these kinds of stories and then bury them quickly. In this case, though, nothing. No coverage. Silence.

she was just a staffer, right? Believe all women except staffers.

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...

Joe Concha
@JoeConchaTV

If only Joe Biden was in some sort of position of power during this time...

https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/27/cnn10/ventilators-supply-government-warnings-coronavirus-invs/index.html?utm_term=link&utm_medium=social&utm_content=2020-03-28T01%3A49%3A58&utm_source=twCNN

While trying to dunk on Trump CNN accidentally dunks on Biden

Commonsense said...

The total blackout of the Joe Biden sexual assault allegations is incredible.

I don't know why anybody is surprised. "#Metoo for thee but not for me!!!"

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Yeah, you'd think they'd give him no rest from that porno star allegation.

Oh, wait.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

It's a little difficult to rally around a President who tells us this is all sort of like having a bad cold when you can stay home or even go to work with it, and besides in a short time the cases will be down to zero and even gone away completely like magic, the whole thing just disappeared.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

Oh wait, those were 'silly things that were "said" two months ago,' Ch tells us (though some are more recent).

I guess Ch puts "said" in quotes to imply they WERN'T said.

Ah, but they're on video.

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...

Ah, but they're on video.

Good, please provide link so we can see them in context.

You always are asking but never providing.

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...

Marco Rubio
@marcorubio


Some in our media can’t contain their glee & delight in reporting that the U.S. has more #CoronaVirus cases than #China

Beyond being grotesque,its bad journalism

We have NO IDEA how many cases China really has but without any doubt its significantly more than why they admit to


Glee ? Sounds like the POS "pastor"

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY said...

Flashback

Secretary Pompeo
@SecPompeo

We have coordinated with U.S. organizations to transport more humanitarian relief to people in Wuhan. Personal protective equipment and other medical supplies donated by these organizations can help save lives in #China and help protect people from the #coronavirus.

Feb 7, 2020
https://twitter.com/SecPompeo/status/1225836989393534976

So America relied on Chinese numbers and information and actually rather than being racist or whatever Trump was being humanitarian.

Strange, the media narrative is so different.

Anonymous said...

JAMES'S FUCKING DADDY

anybody wonder why the "pastor" is so desperate after he abandoned Bloomberg and proclaimed President Joe Biden. Of course that was after President Hillary."

Jamestown is not sold on Biden, she said she could support Coumo IF he was selected at the CONvention.

Bernie is still in it to win it.

Anonymous said...

One would think that IF James was ever a man of the cloth his post would be of hope and light and not doing and death.

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

During a meeting of the Group of 20 nations, U.N. Secretary General António Guterres reminded the leaders of the exponential spread of the virus,
saying
"the first 100,000 cases
were confirmed in the first three months of the outbreak.
“The next 100,000 happened in just 12 days,” he said.
“The third took four days.
"The fourth, just one-and-a-half.”

Nothing for us in America to worry about, however.
Our President has assured us we'll soon be down to zero
and can consider opening up our country by Easter.

Commonsense said...

4 months into the outbreak we are still under a million confirm cases.

However, China has stop reporting cases and Russia has never reported its cases so the number could be above one million.

Commonsense said...

It's a little difficult to rally around a President

The great majority of Americans have little problem doing this James.

anonymous said...


The great majority of Americans have little problem doing this James.


BWAAAAAAAA!!!! Polls do not show that at all cramps.....!!!!


4 months into the outbreak we are still under a million confirm cases.

Wow.....talk about meaningless bullshit you made up!!!! Considering the number of tests world wide is probably less than that number !!!!! BWAAAAAAAAA!!!!! What the fuck is wrong with you??????

Honest, decent, truthful Rev. said...

...to really around a President who incessantly lies.